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我国油气主干管网天然气输送量突破1万亿立方米
news flash· 2025-05-22 22:40
Core Insights - The natural gas transmission volume in China's main oil and gas trunk pipeline network has exceeded 1 trillion cubic meters since the network's integration in 2020 [1] - The highest daily gas transmission volume has surpassed 1.1 billion cubic meters, indicating significant operational efficiency [1] - The market-oriented reform of the oil and gas pipeline operation mechanism has achieved remarkable results [1]
央行今日开展5000亿元MLF操作 保持流动性充裕
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-05-22 15:42
近年来,央行加快推进利率市场化改革。继去年7月份明确了7天期逆回购操作利率的政策利率地位后, 今年3月份又调整了MLF的招标模式,改为固定数量、利率招标、多重价位中标,不再有统一的中标利 率。MLF利率的政策属性退出,回归流动性投放工具定位,与其他工具合理搭配维护流动性充裕。 央行近期发布的2025年第一季度中国货币政策执行报告称,MLF招投标机制完善后,由操作当天发布 结果公告改为预先发布招标公告,有利于参与机构提前做好短中长期流动性安排,价格招标多重价位中 标既有利于机构按需求合理确定投标利率,提高金融机构自主市场化定价能力,也有利于央行动态掌握 机构流动性余缺状况。同时,随着基础货币投放渠道不断丰富,货币政策操作对MLF的依赖也逐步降 低。 对于本月MLF大额净投放,东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青对《证券日报》记者表示,4月份以来,外部 环境波动加剧,国内实施超常规逆周期调节。其中,5月7日央行等部门推出包括降息降准在内的一揽子 金融政策措施,加大金融对实体经济的支持力度。5月份降准后MLF继续大额加量续做,这在保持银行 体系流动性处于充裕状态的同时,会进一步增加银行的信贷投放能力,更好满足企业和居民的融资 ...
专家访谈汇总:银行还在靠“买债”支撑业绩?
阿尔法工场研究院· 2025-05-22 12:22
1、 《 银行买债的底层逻辑、特征及展望 》 摘要 ■ 浙江高新制造产业链延续高景气,利好 半导体(如士兰微)、电子整机、医疗制造设备、工业自动 化 相关企业,同时也反映全球对"浙江智造"产品的稳定需求正在增强。 ■ 浙江对东盟、拉美出口分别增长16.4%、12.3%,对"一带一路"共建国家出口增长高达36%,明显 高于欧美传统市场。 ■ 高新制造企业出海路径趋于多元,有望催生 区域跨境电商平台、海外仓储物流、品牌本地化运营服 务 的中长期投资机会。 ■ OpenAI收购io是其 迈向AI设备主导权的重要一步 ,不仅增强自身生态闭环能力,更有望打破苹果 长期主导的硬件创新节奏 ■ 国家发展改革委与国家能源局联合印发的 136号文 将于6月1日起正式实施,标志着新能源项目将全 面进入电力市场交易阶段,从"保障性收购"转为"市场化定价+机制电量差价补偿"。 ■ 该举措被广泛认为是 电力市场机制性改革的关键拐点 ,意味着新能源不再"躺赢",而是必须通过定 价竞争、配储能力与辅助服务参与市场博弈。 ■ 集中式项目主导地位仍存,但分布式项目(42%占比)在调节灵活性和场景化创新中具有巨大潜 力,中小企业凭借响应灵活性在 ...
电力指数全年上涨13.80% 电力板块持续稳健向上
Zhong Guo Dian Li Bao· 2025-05-22 09:34
随着2024年报及2025一季报全面披露,已释放出明显的前瞻信号,能源领域基础稳、优势多、韧性强、 潜能大。 Wind数据显示,2024年电力板块整体表现稳健,总营收为1.8256万亿元,各细分行业均有不同程度的增 长。这也意味着在用电需求增长、新能源快速发展、火电成本改善和一系列政策支持下,电力板块的收 入规模达到了一个较高的水平。同时,板块归母净利润合计1662.32亿元,行业盈利能力显著提升。 "4月中下旬,在美国关税政策冲击下,叠加市场风格从偏好科技成长逐步过渡到业绩落地验证,电力板 块增长韧性十足。往后演绎,电力具备需求刚性增长特性,二三季度将迎来用电旺季,板块基本面有望 继续稳健向上。"民生证券相关负责人表示。 业绩的改善,主要源于利润占比近7成的火电水电表现亮眼。火电业绩同比增速较快,2024年板块归母 净利润同比提升38.7%;水电发电量同比大增带动业绩大增,2024年归母净利润同比增加14.6%;绿电 板块盈利下滑,核电板块盈利平稳。 具体来看,火电企业的业绩改善主要受益于煤价中枢下行、容量电价落地、辅助服务细则出台,推动火 电提升盈利稳定性。 2024年,华能国际以两千亿级体量登顶电力板块 ...
光伏供给侧困境反转见曙光,新能源ETF(159875)近半年份额增长显著
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-22 04:06
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the significant growth and performance of the New Energy ETF, which has shown a notable increase in trading volume and scale, ranking among the top two comparable funds [3] - The New Energy ETF has a recent average daily trading volume of 36.32 million yuan over the past year, indicating strong liquidity [3] - The fund's scale has increased by 3.44 million yuan in the past week, and its share count has grown by 36 million shares in the last six months, both ranking in the top two among comparable funds [3] - The valuation of the index tracked by the New Energy ETF is at a historical low, with a price-to-book ratio (PB) of 2.08, which is lower than 85.94% of the time over the past five years, suggesting a favorable valuation [3] - The index includes companies involved in renewable energy production, application, storage, and related equipment, reflecting the overall performance of the new energy sector [3] Group 2 - The Shandong Provincial Development and Reform Commission has issued a draft implementation plan for the market-oriented reform of new energy grid connection prices, which is the first provincial-level guideline following the national notice aimed at promoting high-quality development in the new energy sector [4] - The guidelines are expected to serve as a reference for other regions in formulating their own plans in response to the national directive [4] - According to Guojin Securities, the core driving force for the photovoltaic industry is shifting from policy intervention to self-driven industry dynamics, indicating a potential recovery for the sector [4] - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI New Energy Index include major companies such as CATL, LONGi Green Energy, and others, collectively accounting for 44.26% of the index [4]
经济大省探路,下一条“民资控股高铁”在哪?
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-21 15:42
Core Viewpoint - The implementation of the "Private Economy Promotion Law" marks a significant step in supporting private enterprises' participation in major national projects, particularly in the railway sector, with the Hangzhou-Shaoxing-Taiwan Railway serving as a key example of private capital involvement in high-speed rail [1][22]. Investment and Financing Promotion - The "Private Economy Promotion Law" includes provisions to support private economic organizations in participating in national strategic projects, with a focus on enhancing the financing environment for private enterprises [1][22]. - The Hangzhou-Shaoxing-Taiwan Railway project, signed in 2017, is a landmark initiative where private capital holds a controlling stake, demonstrating a shift in investment models within the railway sector [2][4]. Project Overview - The Hangzhou-Shaoxing-Taiwan Railway spans 266.9 kilometers with a total investment of approximately 45 billion yuan, featuring a 34-year cooperation period [2]. - The project is notable for being the first high-speed railway in China with majority private ownership, with a consortium of private enterprises holding 51% of the shares [1][4]. Operational Insights - Since its opening, the railway has seen a significant increase in passenger traffic, from 7 million in 2022 to an expected 25 million in 2024, indicating a positive growth trajectory despite initial challenges [8][10]. - The railway's operational model involves a partnership with the Shanghai Railway Bureau for train operations, which is a common practice in China's railway sector [12][23]. Future Expectations - The "Private Economy Promotion Law" aims to create a more favorable environment for private investment in infrastructure, potentially lowering financing costs for projects like the Hangzhou-Shaoxing-Taiwan Railway [22][23]. - There is an ongoing discussion about the future direction of railway reform, with a focus on either unified management or separation of infrastructure and service operations, which could impact private sector participation [16][17]. Challenges and Opportunities - The railway sector has historically been dominated by state-owned enterprises, but the introduction of private capital is seen as a crucial step towards market reform and increased competition [13][17]. - The Hangzhou-Shaoxing-Taiwan Railway serves as a model for future projects, with lessons learned from its financing and operational strategies that could inform subsequent private investments in the railway industry [6][13].
深度|央行新框架,对利率有何影响?——货币知识点系列之二【陈兴团队•财通宏观】
陈兴宏观研究· 2025-05-21 14:59
报 告 正 文 央行推进的货币政策改革已近一年,除了货币政策调控机制不断向"价格型"转变以外,结构性货币政策工具的使用也趋于频繁。那么,货币政策框架如何创新?结 构性工具的实际使用情况如何?改革之下市场利率有哪些变化? 核 心 观 点 央行推进的货币政策改革已近一年,除了货币政策调控机制不断向"价格型"转变以外,结构性货币政策工具的使用也趋于频繁。那么,货币政策框架如何创 新?结构性工具的实际使用情况如何?改革之下市场利率有哪些变化? 货币政策新框架,有哪些变化? 到目前为止,央行基本形成了质押式逆回购投放短期流动性、买断式逆回购投放中短期流动性以及MLF、存款准备金率和二 级市场买国债来投放中长期流动性的流动性供给期限结构。从货币政策目标的角度来看, 一方面 ,央行每日调节短期流动性的量价来调控资金利率,这是操 作目标的实现,集中在狭义流动性层面; 另一方面 ,央行通过实现操作目标,间接影响广义流动性层面的中介目标,不过目前从政策利率传导至实体融资成 本效率降低,是价格型调控机制的主要障碍。 结构性工具,使用现状如何? 货币机制传导不畅主要在于政策利率下降也难激发内生融资需求,资金无法转化为实体的投资和消费 ...
永泰数能全球首发四大场景化工商储产品矩阵
中关村储能产业技术联盟· 2025-05-21 11:23
文 | 中关村储能产业技术联盟 5月20日,永泰数能在深圳举办"智储·致护"520工商储产品发布会,针对工商业储能市场的核心痛点,创新推出四大硬核产品及其解决方案, 打造完善的端到端全周期服务体系,为客户提供从价格竞争向长期价值创造转型的破局方案。在"136号文"、"394号文"推动储能市场化转型的 关键时点,此次发布标志着工商储赛道正式从 产品竞争 进入 场景化解决方案 和 服务竞争 新阶段。 行业痛点倒逼技术革新 随着新能源保障性收购政策退场,中国工商储市场迎来爆发窗口。低价竞争引发的系统兼容性差、场景适配度低、系统可用性不足、运维碎片化 等问题,叠加复杂电价机制,导致客户面临" 初始投资高、收益不确定、安全风险大 "三重困境。 永泰数能董事长盛剑明指出: " 行业亟需从设备供应商转型为端到端全周期价值服务商 。我们通过 ' 储能 +X ' 战略,以场景定义产品,用技 术穿透需求,重构储能价值评估体系。 " 四大场景化产品矩阵重构储能价值边界 在工商业储能需求分化的市场环境下,永泰数能瞄准 高能耗、波动性用电、电网治理 及 绿色出行 四大核心场景,推出全维度产品矩阵。此次 发布的四大新品以 "场景穿透"为 ...
9家股份行跟进下调存款利率,活期存款接近零利率,定存最大降幅25bp
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-05-21 10:19
Core Viewpoint - The recent adjustment of deposit rates by major banks marks the seventh round of rate cuts, significantly lowering the cost of bank liabilities and stabilizing profit margins, which is expected to enhance the banks' internal growth capabilities and maintain sound operations [4][7]. Group 1: Deposit Rate Adjustments - As of May 21, nine joint-stock banks have announced adjustments to their deposit rates, following the lead of the six major state-owned banks [5]. - The new rates include a 5 basis point reduction in demand deposit rates and a 15-25 basis point reduction in time deposit rates, with the one-year fixed deposit rate falling below 1% [3][5]. - The current demand deposit rate is now close to zero, and the one-year fixed deposit rate has been set at 1.15% for most banks [5][6]. Group 2: Impact on Banking Sector - The reduction in deposit rates is expected to lower banks' funding costs, thereby stabilizing net interest margins and enhancing their ability to support the real economy [8][12]. - Analysts suggest that the ongoing low interest rate environment may lead to a shift in deposits from large banks to smaller banks, which could affect the competitive landscape [8][12]. - The overall banking sector is entering a low interest rate and low spread cycle, with net interest margins for various types of banks showing a downward trend [10][12]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The adjustments in deposit rates are anticipated to lead to a decrease in overall deposit rates by approximately 0.11-0.13 percentage points, which may help stabilize banks' net interest margins [13]. - Despite the downward pressure on net interest margins, it is expected that the decline will not continue indefinitely, as measures to control funding costs are taking effect [12][13]. - The shift in deposit rates may also influence the allocation of bank assets towards bonds, potentially increasing demand in the bond market [8][13].
美联储6月降息预期升温:外资回流A股,哪些方向值得布局?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-21 09:13
最近全球资本市场的"风向标"突然变了!欧洲央行暗示年内降息,美联储通胀数据缓和,市场对6月暂停加息、 下半年降息的预期迅速升温。 这一变化直接带动了外资加速回流A股,哪些方向值得布局? 欧洲央行"松口",释放降息信号 5月22日,欧洲央行行长拉加德在讲话中明确表示:"通胀已进入下降阶段",市场将其解读为6月可能开启降息的 信号。 受此影响,欧元区债券收益率全线下跌,德国10年期国债收益率一度跌破2.4%,为近8个月来最低水平。 美联储通胀降温,但"鹰鸽博弈"持续 美国4月CPI同比上涨4.9%(前值5%),核心CPI录得5.5%,虽连续10个月回落,但仍高于美联储2%的目标。 资料来源:WIND、美国劳工部、长城证券产业金融研究院; 不过,市场更关注的是"薪资增速放缓"和"商品通胀降温"信号。芝商所数据显示:市场预计美联储6月维持利率 不变的概率升至80%,9月降息概率超过50%。 国际投资环境的变化直接带动了外资加速回流A股—— 北向资金"买买买",单周净流入超300亿 截至5月20日当周,北向资金连续8天净买入,单周净流入达320亿元,创下年内新高。从持仓方向看,外资正从 传统的金融、能源板块转向科技与消 ...