风险管理
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第六期宁波地区大宗商品产业培训班成功举办
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-09-25 01:48
参加培训的企业代表均表示,通过本次系统性的理论授课、前沿的案例分析及深度的同业研讨进一步提 升了企业对期货及衍生品工具的认知水平和应用能力,对于引导树立正确的风险管理理念,有助于企业 在复杂多变的市场环境中增强抗风险能力和核心竞争力。 宁波市证券期货业协会相关负责人也表示,将以本期培训为新的起点,持续深化服务实体经济内涵,积 极联合证监会系统单位等各方力量,共同搭建更广阔的合作平台,为促进宁波期现市场互联互通,营造 良好的产融结合发展环境。 大连商品交易所相关业务负责人在活动中表示,近年来,大宗商品价格波动加剧,实体企业风险管理需 求迫切。大商所在持续完善产品体系、不断丰富市场服务模式、深化场外建设、加快高水平对外开放等 方面努力为实体经济健康发展保驾护航。宁波的经济结构与大商所上市品种关联度较高,一直以来都是 大商所产业服务的重要区域之一。举办本次产业培训活动,就是希望在地方政府部门的支持下,能与证 监会系统单位一起,帮助实体企业进一步认识期货市场的功能与作用,依托衍生品工具强化风险管理能 力、提升企业管理水平,积极为宁波实体经济的高质量发展助力赋能。 中国期货市场监控中心相关部门负责人在致辞中提到,近年来 ...
柳工:降息刺激需求但风险增加,公司保障国际业务发展
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-25 01:17
Group 1 - The current interest rate cut cycle in the US is expected to lower the financing costs for overseas dealers and end-users, stimulating equipment procurement demand [1] - Enhanced global liquidity and intensive economic stimulus policies are likely to boost investment demand in downstream industries such as infrastructure, real estate, and mining projects [1] - The company aims to seize growth opportunities in emerging markets and the recovery in Europe and the US while maintaining cautious and comprehensive risk management to ensure long-term high-quality development of international business [1]
上期所联合中钢协举办深化服务钢铁企业专项系列培训 为产业培养风险管理复合型人才
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-24 19:55
Group 1 - The training program for steel industry professionals is aimed at enhancing risk management and cost control through the use of financial derivatives [1][2] - The steel industry in China is undergoing a critical transformation from "scale expansion" to "quality improvement," with significant sustainable development potential [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) is committed to high-quality development of steel futures, implementing targeted policies based on extensive research into industry needs [2] Group 2 - The training includes three sessions scheduled from September to November, focusing on innovation, risk management, and compliance in the steel sector [2] - Experts from the steel and futures industries will provide insights on green and low-carbon development, as well as practical applications of futures and derivatives [2] - The program aims to equip participants with the knowledge to effectively utilize futures and options for hedging, thereby enhancing risk management capabilities within the steel supply chain [2]
期权市场规模创历史新高上市品种达62个
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-09-24 16:55
Core Insights - The Chinese options market has experienced rapid growth, with daily average open interest increasing by 207% compared to 2022, indicating a significant rise in market activity and demand for risk management tools [1][2] Market Development - The China Futures Market Monitoring Center reported that the options market has reached new highs in open interest, with a record of 13.48 million contracts on August 6 [1] - A total of 7 new options products have been launched this year, bringing the total to 62, with comprehensive coverage across major futures and options products in energy and agricultural sectors [1] Demand Drivers - The volatility in international commodity prices has heightened the hedging needs of enterprises, leading to increased participation in the options market [2] - The understanding of options among various market participants, especially enterprises, has deepened, shifting strategies from directional trading to complex hedging strategies [2] Client Growth - In the first half of the year, the futures market added 410,000 new clients, a 2.5% increase year-on-year, with total effective clients reaching 2.61 million, marking a 12% year-on-year growth [2] - The number of institutional clients surged by 43% compared to 2022, while overseas clients increased by 63% [2] Impact on the Economy - The options market is playing a unique role in supporting national strategies and the real economy, with enterprise clients showing a growing preference for options as a flexible risk management tool [3] - Options have been effective in assisting enterprises with risk management and contributing to rural revitalization efforts [3] Future Outlook - Industry experts suggest further expansion of options product coverage to meet diverse risk management needs and recommend optimizing existing contract specifications for greater flexibility [3]
报告:保险业转型发展面临的外部环境仍然严峻 但预期较去年有明显改善
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-09-24 15:46
Core Insights - The 2025 insurance industry is seen as a critical window for reshaping the market, necessitating strategic and tactical alignment for insurance companies [1] - The implementation of new standards is a pivotal opportunity for financial management digital transformation and deeper integration of finance and operations [2] Group 1: Strategic Discussions - The conference emphasized five core topics: strategic formulation, new standards planning, system construction, risk management, and internal audit empowerment [1] - The importance of "long-termism" in strategy and "lean management" in tactics was highlighted as essential for navigating industry transformations [1] Group 2: New Standards Implementation - Insights were shared on the practical handling of new standards, focusing on the core operational indicators and performance impacts for insurance companies [1] - Companies are encouraged to refine their implementation processes, including plans, systems, and internal controls, while also preparing for future challenges in assessment, product development, and asset-liability management [1][2] Group 3: Risk Management Insights - A survey covering over 150 insurance companies revealed ongoing challenges in risk management, including weak data governance and insufficient quantitative modeling tools [2] - Despite improvements, the integration of risk management into core decision-making processes remains lagging, and the application of emerging technologies and AI in risk management is still in its early stages [2]
报告:保险业转型发展面临的外部环境仍然严峻,但预期较去年有明显改善
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-09-24 15:32
Core Insights - The 2025 insurance industry seminar hosted by Tianzhi International emphasizes the critical window for reshaping the insurance landscape, focusing on strategic transformation and new standards implementation [1] - The seminar discusses five core topics: strategy formulation, new standards planning, system construction, risk management, and internal audit empowerment [1] Group 1: Strategic Insights - Tianzhi International's financial industry partner highlights the need for insurance companies to align strategy and tactics, advocating for a long-term approach and lean management to navigate industry changes [1] - The emphasis is on thorough preparation and execution to ensure stability and growth during the industry's transformation [1] Group 2: Implementation of New Standards - The insurance consulting partner shares insights on the practical handling of new standards, stressing the importance of refining implementation processes and planning for future challenges [1] - Companies are encouraged to focus on detailed aspects such as proposals, systems, and internal controls to ensure successful implementation [1] Group 3: Technological and System Insights - The actuarial partner discusses the importance of balancing cost-effectiveness with management needs in the design of technical solutions for new standards [2] - The concept of an integrated financial platform, "1+N application," is introduced as a means to enhance financial management and decision-making [2] Group 4: Risk Management Findings - A survey of over 150 insurance companies reveals ongoing challenges in risk management, including weak data governance and insufficient quantitative modeling tools [2] - Despite improvements, the integration of risk management into core decision-making processes remains lagging, and the application of emerging technologies and AI is still in its early stages [2]
Watching MAGY, Holding YMAG: Income Investors Face A Magnificent Dilemma
Seeking Alpha· 2025-09-24 07:36
Group 1 - The article discusses the comparative analysis between YMAG and MAGY, particularly focusing on the Roundhill Magnificent Seven Covered Call ETF (BATS: MAGY) [1] - The author has over 20 years of experience in quantitative research, financial modeling, and risk management, emphasizing expertise in equity valuation and market trends [1] - The research approach combines rigorous risk management with a long-term perspective on value creation, focusing on macroeconomic trends and corporate earnings [1] Group 2 - The article does not contain any disclosures regarding stock positions or plans to initiate positions in the mentioned companies [2] - It clarifies that past performance is not indicative of future results and does not provide specific investment recommendations [3]
透露降息关键原因、预警股市!鲍威尔最新表态
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-24 02:23
Economic Overview - The U.S. economy is experiencing a slowdown in growth, with GDP growth at approximately 1.5% in the first half of the year, down from 2.5% the previous year, primarily due to weakened consumer spending [4][6] - The unemployment rate has slightly increased to 4.3%, although it has remained low overall, with job growth slowing significantly, averaging only 29,000 new jobs per month over the past three months [5][6] - Inflation has recently risen, with the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index increasing by 2.7% year-over-year as of August, still above the long-term target of 2% [6][7] Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve has lowered the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a range of 4% to 4.25%, describing this move as "risk management" in response to concerns about a weakening labor market rather than inflation threats [1][7] - The Fed's policy stance is flexible and will be adjusted based on incoming data and economic outlook, with indications that further rate cuts may occur in the future [1][7] - The current monetary policy is seen as moderately restrictive but aims to better respond to changing economic conditions [7] Market Sentiment - Stock prices are perceived to be "fairly high" in valuation, suggesting that the market may be overvalued according to the Fed's assessment [1][3] - Investor sentiment is cautious as they await the release of the latest PCE price index, which is the Fed's preferred inflation measure [1][3]
【真灼港股名家】美股高位回落美元走势偏软,银行板块高股息收益率吸引资金
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-24 02:12
市场对中资银行股的看法乐观,中证300银行股的股息收益率达到4.3%,显著超越了中国十年期国债的1.8%,高股息收益率为投资者提供了可观的回 报,吸引了大量资金流入银行股。其次,银行业的基本面正在持续改善。二季度的业绩数据显示,银行业的收入、税前利润和净利润增速均转为正 增长,分别达2%、3%和3%,这一变化相较于一季度的负增长有明显好转。这一改善主要是由非利息净收入的增长推动的,其中二季度的手续费收 入同比增长了6%。银行业的不良贷款率和关注类贷款比例保持稳定,整体风险可控。这表明,银行在风险管理方面表现良好,增强了投资者的信 心。二季度,银行业的关注类贷款拨备覆盖率环比上升,显示出对潜在风险的有效应对。最后,中国监管层自2023年底以来推出了一系列旨在提升 上市公司投资者回报的政策措施,这些措施涵盖了市值管理、股份回购和现金分红等多个方面,为银行股等高股息标的创造了良好的政策环境,这 些政策将进一步提升投资者的回报预期。基于高股息收益率、稳定的资金流入、基本面的持续改善、风险控制有效以及政策支持的持续释放,促使 银行股成为备受关注的投资标的,前景值得乐观。 港湾家族办公室业务发展总监 郭家耀 CFA 日期 ...
应对下行周期 玻璃企业组合套保有妙招
Qi Huo Ri Bao Wang· 2025-09-23 21:31
2023年起,玻璃行业陷入"价格跌、库存高、利润薄"的困境。在基差走弱、波动率加大的市场环境下, 传统经营模式难以应对"低估值+现货亏损"的双重压力。在前期的市场走访中,期货日报记者了解 到,"期货+期权"组合策略成为众多玻璃企业破局的关键。 产业下行周期: 传统套保陷多重困境 调研中,玻璃市场人士武延民向记者反映,玻璃行业产能错配与需求不足双重压力叠加,行业竞争加 剧。 这份对行业困境的感知,在河北正大玻璃有限公司(下称正大玻璃)期货部负责人崔彰那里也得到了验 证。"2024年玻璃行业景气度持续下行,价格与利润双降,库存却大幅增加;2025年预计供应同比下降 7%,但需求将随房地产竣工周期下行持续下滑。更关键的是,玻璃原片生产受窑炉特性与寿命限制, 供应端存在刚性,企业不愿放弃产能指标的心态加剧了产能过剩。"崔彰称。 武延民提到,在产业下行的特殊环境中,当企业已陷入亏损、玻璃现货价格屡创新低时,企业普遍顾 虑"价格是否已触底",担心套保后行情反弹(不仅未能规避风险,反而错失后续盈利机会),导致套保 决策陷入犹豫。 河北望美实业期货部负责人霍东凯也表示,当前下行周期中,"不套保,现货价格下跌将直接冲击利 润; ...