在当今复杂多变的国际经济局势中，特朗普掀起的关税大战宛如一场猛烈的风暴，席卷全球，众多国家深受其害。而在这场风暴中，日本与中国的不同遭 遇，犹如一面镜子，映照出美国霸权的蛮横无理，也凸显了各国在应对挑战时的不同抉择与命运走向。 最开始，特朗普扬起关税大棒的时候，日本第一时间就选择了"下跪"。当时，日本首相石破茂出访美国，送上了很多"大礼"，就是为了让日本获得关税豁 免。这些好处有点多，日本承诺大幅提高 2025 财年的防务预算，并力图在 2027 年达到美国人的要求，将国防预算提高到国内生产总值（GDP）的 2%，这 里面，自然隐藏了包括上交美国的保护费。另外，石破茂还表示会计划将对美国的投资规模提升至 1 万亿美元，大幅购买美国液化天然气，此外，石破茂还 暗示特朗普，日本可能会购买美国的生物乙醇等能源，还这般讨好的姿态，一度让特朗普兴奋不已，高呼"我爱日本"，甚至扬言要与日本构建 "日美关系的 新黄金时代"。 然而，日本的卑躬屈膝并未换来美国的怜悯。美国的关税战全面爆发后，日本不仅没有获得豁免，反而遭到了美国一次次沉痛的上海。美国对日本加征了 24% 的高额 "对等关税"， 接着对钢铁和铝制品加征 25% ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the resilience of China's trade with the United States amidst domestic economic challenges, emphasizing the significant role of exports, particularly in consumer electronics and labor-intensive products, in driving economic growth [2][3]. Group 1: Trade Dynamics - China's direct and indirect trade with the U.S. may exceed $1 trillion, with a potential surplus of over $500 billion [2]. - The structure of exports to the U.S. is dominated by industrial products, particularly electromechanical products, which account for over 40% of total exports [2]. Group 2: Consumer Electronics - In 2024, China's export of consumer electronics to the U.S. reached 787.5 billion RMB, making up 21.1% of total exports to the U.S. and maintaining its position as the largest export category for eight consecutive years [3]. - Key categories within consumer electronics include smartphones (250.15 billion RMB), laptops (179.87 billion RMB), tablets (92 billion RMB), and smart home devices (18.9 billion RMB) [3]. - Chinese consumer electronics dominate the U.S. market, with market shares of 62% for smartphones, 58% for laptops, 67% for tablets, and 41% for smart home devices [3]. Group 3: Tariff Implications - Despite ongoing trade tensions, the U.S. has exempted certain Chinese consumer electronics from a 125% tariff, indicating a reliance on Chinese products [3]. - Major companies like Apple and Dell are unlikely to sever ties with Chinese supply chains in the short term due to this dependency [3]. Group 4: Labor-Intensive Products - Labor-intensive products, including textiles, furniture, toys, and plastic products, account for approximately 25% of China's exports to the U.S. [5]. - Despite rising domestic labor costs, China maintains competitive advantages in these sectors due to its complete and coordinated industrial system [5]. Group 5: Market Shares of Labor-Intensive Products - In the U.S. market, Chinese exports of clothing (including sports and casual shoes) account for 42.3% of the apparel market, textiles for 32.4%, furniture for 44.1%, and toys for 66.3% [6]. - Daily necessities and packaging materials have an export value of $42.19 billion, representing 8.0% of the U.S. market [7]. Group 6: Overall Export Landscape - The overall export landscape shows that high-value electromechanical products, particularly consumer electronics, are less affected by tariffs, while low-value labor-intensive products face significant pressure due to their substitutability [7]. - Core components like chips still rely on U.S. imports, highlighting a mixed dependency in the trade relationship [7].

Core Viewpoint - PPG reported a decline in net sales for Q1 2025, with a total of $3.684 billion, down 4.0% year-over-year, influenced by foreign currency translation and business divestitures, despite a 1% increase in organic sales [1][4][5] Financial Performance - The company achieved an operating profit of $380 million, a decrease of 8.21% year-over-year, with a segment profit margin of 16.5% and an EBITDA margin of 19.4% [1][4] - Net profit for the quarter was $375 million, down 7.0% year-over-year, while adjusted net profit was $396 million, reflecting an 11.0% decline [1][4] Segment Performance - The high-performance coatings segment saw a 9% organic sales growth, driven by strong demand in automotive refinish and aerospace coatings, with double-digit growth in several areas [4][15] - The architectural coatings segment reported net sales of $857 million, down 11.0% year-over-year, impacted by foreign currency translation and business divestitures [10][11] - The industrial coatings segment's net sales were $1.562 billion, down 8.0% year-over-year, with organic sales declining by 2% due to lower sales prices and volumes [20][21] Regional Performance - Organic sales in the Asia-Pacific region increased, while the U.S. saw a 4% organic sales growth, marking a recovery after six quarters of decline [4][7] - European organic sales decreased by 1%, showing improvement compared to previous quarters, indicating stabilizing demand [4][11] Cost Management and Shareholder Value - The company repurchased approximately $400 million in stock during the quarter, maintaining a strong balance sheet and focusing on shareholder value creation [4][5][23] - PPG anticipates annual savings of $75 million from cost management initiatives and is committed to adapting to economic uncertainties [5][7] Future Outlook - PPG maintains its adjusted earnings per share guidance for 2025 in the range of $7.75 to $8.05, supported by organic sales momentum and market share growth [5][29] - The company expects total organic sales for Q2 2025 to remain flat to low single-digit growth, with varying performance across segments [29]

中美关税大战的风还是吹到了我的朋友圈。 最近，国内的亲朋好友对我关怀备至，隔三岔五冒出个人发信息问我： 你在美国还能吃上鸡蛋吗？ 物价是不是很贵？ 被问多了，我真有种自己快要破产的慌乱感。 于是，我赶紧去了趟位于耶鲁纽黑文附近的Costco，看看是不是真需要囤点啥。万一关税大战这场没有硝烟的战争持久打下去，家里也好少破点财、多挺 一段日子。 一、鸡蛋风云+囤货清单 第一次被人问时，我还有些丈二和尚摸不着头脑——我吃不上鸡蛋了？没有啊，我爸妈每天早餐必吃两个白水煮蛋，不是还管够么？后来，翻看了近期的 社交媒体，才发现，原来美国发生了"蛋慌"。 可欧洲各国不搭理对方。 丹麦鸡蛋协会表示会调查，但欧洲自己也缺蛋； 瑞典鸡蛋生产商直接拒绝，说运输太复杂； 挪威更是直接说"一个鸡蛋都不多卖"，因为自己都缺； 法国也表示爱莫能助，禽流感让本国鸡蛋也紧张。 这下美国政府是"求蛋无门"了。 以及"鸡蛋文学"：美墨边境上演了毒贩转行当"蛋枭"、用无人机运送鸡蛋、黑市鸡蛋价格已高于市场两倍假价钱的故事。 因为蛋慌，还引发了"鸡蛋风云"： 特朗普政府因为本土缺蛋，向全球求援。先是向欧洲各国"求蛋"，丹麦、荷兰、瑞典、挪威等国都收到 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the transformation of Huaqiangbei, a major electronics market in China, amidst the ongoing trade war and tariff impacts, highlighting the shift from reliance on imported components to increased domestic production and innovation. Group 1: Tariff Impact - The new customs regulations in China have significantly increased costs for American IDM companies, with tariff costs for Texas Instruments' chips rising from 5% to 25% [1] - Prices for popular chips like NVIDIA GPUs and Intel CPUs have been suspended, leading to a price increase for assembled computers from 5000 RMB to 5800 RMB within a week [1] - The price comparison of various products shows substantial increases post-tariff, with iPhone 16 prices rising by 30-40% and SSD prices increasing by 125% [2] Group 2: Market Adaptation - The proportion of domestic chip procurement in Huaqiangbei is expected to rise from 32% in 2018 to 57% by 2024, driven by high tariff costs [4] - The electronics market is experiencing a split, with high-end chip markets facing chaos while mid-range products like STM32F103 remain stable [2][3] - Businesses are adapting by diversifying their markets, with some shifting focus from the U.S. to Southeast Asia and other emerging markets [10][8] Group 3: Resilience and Evolution - Huaqiangbei has shown resilience, with a significant increase in foot traffic and foreign customers despite tariff pressures [4][7] - The market has evolved from panic selling during the initial trade tensions to a more composed response, with businesses restructuring their supply chains to reduce reliance on U.S. markets [8][7] - The "China +1" strategy has allowed businesses to increase domestic sales, with some companies reporting a rise in domestic sales from 0% to 35% [8] Group 4: Innovation and Future Outlook - The shift towards domestic alternatives is seen as a catalyst for a technological revolution, with companies now aiming to be rule-makers rather than just followers [15] - Huaqiangbei is leveraging its extensive supply chain network to provide rapid and customized solutions, achieving delivery times of one day compared to months for U.S. manufacturers [13][11] - The ongoing adaptation to global market demands and the integration of digital tools are reshaping traditional business models in Huaqiangbei [17][11]

基本金属 ◆ 铜： 截至 4 月 29 日收盘，沪铜主力 06 合约上涨 0.3%至 77600 元/吨。隔夜 金属除锡外普遍上涨，美元隔夜下跌，投资者谨慎等待美国贸易政策的 进一步消息，并准备迎接一周密集的经济数据。由于美国政策动摇了人 们对美国资产可靠性的信心，美元创去年 7 月以来的最大月度跌幅。现 货市场，铜价重心下移，下游企业节前继续逢低备货，但备库逐渐进入 尾声，整体交投氛围表现一般。铜社会库存再度大幅去库，BACK 结构 月差拉大，持货商维持挺价惜售情绪。短期基本面整体继续偏强，但关 税大战带来的影响仍会在经济层面逐步显现，铜价潜在上行空间将受到 限制。中美博弈背景下铜价或维持高位震荡。技术上看，沪铜短期维持 偏强震荡，或向上回补跳空缺口，整体运行于 74500-78500 之间，关 注 78500 一线压力，建议区间谨慎交易。 ◆ 铝： 截至 4 月 29 日收盘，沪铝主力 06 合约上涨 0.03%至 19930 元/吨。消 息面上，市场传闻俄铝宣布减产 10%，据了解俄铝是在去年底实施的减 产，不是增量信息。矿端供应逐步好转、价格逐步下行。氧化铝运行产 能周度环比上升 15 万吨至 873 ...

特朗普心里最怵的人至少有三个，两个在国外，分别是泽连斯基和普京，另一个在美国，他就是美联储 主席鲍威尔。他吵吵嚷嚷着要解雇鲍威尔，却功亏一篑。 现在，鲍威尔对他反戈一击，在国际货币基金组织会议上当着包括中国在内的190个成员国的面立下军 令状：美联储绝对不会屈服于特朗普的政治压力，并反复强调独立性，给世界吃了一颗定心丸。 特朗普4月2日向全球185个国家和地区发动关税大战后，最想做到的事情有三件： 第一件事是逼迫世界各国主动与美国联系，与美国进行关税谈判，从而达成令美国满意的关税协议，并 将这些国家拴在美国一边，乖乖地听从美国的号令，组成以美国为马首是瞻的新的关税和贸易阵营。 第二件事就是与中国结束关税大战，达成贸易协议。为了达到这个目的，特朗普政府多次释放正在与中 国举行关税谈判的假消息，多次遭到中国驳斥、打脸。 同时，特朗普还多次上演威胁讹诈的戏，他在4月25日声称"中国须做出实质性让步，否则不会取消对华 加征关税"。 对此，中国驻美国大使馆明确指出，如果美方真的想通过对话谈判解决问题，就应该纠正错误，停止威 胁讹诈，彻底取消所有对华单边关税措施。 第三件事是特朗普施压美联储主席鲍威尔要听话，立即降息。 ...

Group 1 - The international gold price has surged significantly, reaching $3,397 per ounce with a 2% increase on April 21, indicating a potential rise to $3,400 or even $3,500 [1] - The current upward trend in gold prices is attributed to historical levels of market sentiment driven by global tariff impacts, suggesting that the ongoing tariff conflict is a critical factor influencing gold price movements [1] - The domestic gold futures market, particularly the Shanghai gold, has also seen a notable increase, surpassing 800 yuan per gram, with a nearly 15% rise over 11 trading days, indicating a strong correlation with international gold prices [3][4] Group 2 - The rapid acceleration in gold prices, both internationally and domestically, suggests a potential end to the upward trend, as steep price increases often indicate a nearing peak [4] - Investment strategies currently lean towards a cautious approach, with a recommendation to observe market movements rather than engage in new positions during this accelerated price rise [4]