首席点评：首个关税贸易协议获将达成 市场风险情绪有所好转 英国和美国就关税贸易协议条款达成一致，英国将对美商品关税从 5.1%降至1.8%，美国则维持对英进 口商品10%的统一关税不变，英国将进一步放宽对美商品市场准入，特朗普表示协议最终细节将在接下 来几周内敲定。欧盟将就美关税向世贸组织提出诉讼，并准备对950亿欧元自美国进口产品采取反制措 施。在宣布美英两国达成贸易协议时，特朗普说"最好现在就出去买股票"。特朗普再批鲍威尔动作慢， 称所有央行都降息，美联储是例外。印巴冲突升级，多地发生爆炸。中国国家主席同俄罗斯总统普京会 谈。中美将就经贸问题会谈，路透社援引知情人士的话称，会谈预计讨论全面降低关税、取消特定产品 关税、美国取消的中国商品小额豁免政策以及中国对美国公司的出口管制。 重点品种：氧化铝、原油、航运 氧化铝： 夜盘沪铝主力合约收涨 0.46%。海外角度，特朗普关税态度有所反复；国内降准降息，货币 环境趋于宽松。基本面角度，氧化铝再度收跌，未来供需预计宽松，但当前部分厂商利润较低、存在检 修现象，因此期货再度下跌还需看到铝土矿价格的继续走弱，以及氧化铝厂商的复产。据SMM消息， 近期铝加工环节除铝线 ...

Group 1 - The US and UK have reached an agreement on tariff trade deal terms, with details pending finalization [1] - Trump indicated that the UK deal is not a template for other countries, suggesting that tariffs could be higher than 10% for some nations [1] - The EU plans to file a complaint with the WTO regarding US tariffs and is preparing countermeasures against €95 billion worth of imports from the US, targeting products like cars, planes, and whiskey [1] Group 2 - The US stock market has seen two consecutive days of gains, with Alcoa rising over 5% [1] - Bitcoin has surpassed the $100,000 mark, indicating strong market interest [1] - US oil prices rebounded by over 3%, while gold futures experienced a drop of more than 2% [1] Group 3 - The Bank of England has lowered interest rates by 25 basis points in response to tariff impacts, although there was a split in decision-making among policymakers [1] - Kazakhstan has stated it does not plan to reduce oil production in May, challenging OPEC+ leadership [1] Group 4 - Google has responded to a decline in search traffic on Apple devices, stating that overall search query volume continues to grow [1] - Morgan Stanley claims that the threat of AI to search has been exaggerated, suggesting it is a good time to buy Google stock [1] Group 5 - OpenAI has undergone significant leadership changes, appointing a new CEO for applications and Altman relinquishing some responsibilities [1] - OpenAI is launching a global version of "Star Gate," with the first ten countries involved [1]

但美国与欧盟的关税谈判似乎进展得不太顺利。当地时间5月8日，欧盟委员会发布消息称，将向世贸组织投诉 美国关税，并计划对950亿欧元（约合1080亿美元）的美国进口产品采取潜在反制措施，以应对美国关税。 特朗普宣布了 5月8日晚间，据央视新闻客户端，当地时间8日，英国和美国已经就关税贸易协议条款达成一致。英国政府同 意进口美国食品和农业产品方面作出让步，以换取美方降低对英国汽车出口的关税。 英美达成一致！ 今日晚间，据央视新闻客户端，英国和美国已经就关税贸易协议条款达成一致。据最新消息，美国将对英国制 造的汽车关税降至10%，美英协议下，将把牛肉关税降至接近零的水平。 随后，美国总统特朗普表示，与英国达成重大协议，将降低美国商品的非关税壁垒，最终细节将在未来数周内 拟定。受此影响，美股三大指数全线拉升，纳指涨超1%。英国股市则维持弱势震荡，阿斯顿马丁伦敦股价逆 势大涨超10%，领跑欧洲一众汽车制造概念股。 据《每日电讯报》，在贸易协议中，美国将对英国制造的汽车关税降至10%，英国汽车制造商将获得10万辆车 的出口配额，并享受较低的关税。此外，美英协议下，将把牛肉关税降至"接近零"。 随后，美国总统特朗普在椭圆形 ...

新华社报道，英国央行英格兰银行8日宣布，下调基准利率25个基点，从4.5%下调至4.25%。 英国央行指出，需要确定通胀持续保持在低位，才能谨慎决定下次降息的幅度和时间。市场预期，英国央行可能在6月份再次下调基准利率25个基点。 3月份，英国通胀率为2.6%。英国央行预测，受能源价格上涨影响，通胀将在几个月后短暂升至3.7%。 当地时间8日，英国和美国已经就关税贸易协议条款达成一致。英国政府同意进口美国食品和农业产品方面作出让步，以换取美方降低对英国汽车出口的关 税。 图片来源：视觉中国-VCG111554733487 每经编辑｜张锦河 据央视新闻，当地时间8日，欧盟委员会发布消息称，将向世贸组织投诉美国关税，并计划对950亿欧元的美国进口产品采取潜在反制措施，以应对美国关 税。 欧盟称将继续优先与美国寻求互利且平衡的解决方案。拟议的反制措施将针对美国飞机、酒精饮料、鱼类、汽车和汽车零部件，以及美国化学品、塑料、电 气设备、保健产品和机械，此外，还包括可能实施限制的价值44亿欧元欧盟废钢和化工产品出口。 英国央行指出，美国对全球加征关税以来，全球贸易政策不确定性加剧，金融市场出现波动，这种不确定性和新的关税措 ...

欧盟贸易官员：如果扩大关税范围，美国可以征收超过1000亿美元的关税 金十数据5月6日讯，欧盟最高贸易谈判代表表示，如果白宫对医药产品和半导体等商品的新调查导致更 多关税，美国可能会从欧盟收取超过1000亿美元的关税。欧盟委员会副主席谢夫乔维奇表示："目前的 情况是不可接受的，我们不能坐视不管。"美国官员目前以国家安全为由，正在研究对几个行业征收关 税的可能性，包括铜、木材和药品的进口。谢夫乔维奇说，如果所有可能的关税都实施，欧盟对美国出 口的约5490亿欧元（6212.8亿美元）将受到关税的影响。"预计美国现在可能会获得多达1000亿欧 元，"他说。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery following the support from "national team" funds, with indices and individual stocks rebounding after a period of decline [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - After a series of gains, A-shares experienced a slight decline at the end of the week, with many stocks and the Shanghai Composite Index showing an eight-day winning streak [2]. - The market has become more cautious regarding tariff information, leading to a shift from increased trading volume to a period of reduced trading activity [3]. - The rebound in the A-share market has been influenced by the "national team" funds, which have actively supported the market since April 7, particularly through significant purchases of major banks [5]. Group 2: Fund Flows - In the past five days, significant net inflows have been observed in various indices, with the banking index seeing a net inflow of 13.056 billion and the retail index 5.557 billion [6]. - The "national team" holds approximately 1.04 trillion yuan in ETFs, accounting for about 36% of the total A-share stock-type ETF market, with net inflows exceeding 200 billion yuan in recent weeks [7]. Group 3: Economic Indicators - The first quarter GDP growth was reported at 5.4% year-on-year, with improvements in investment, consumption, and exports compared to the first two months of the year [9]. - The real estate sector has shown signs of recovery, with March data indicating a smaller decline in sales area and sales amount compared to previous months [11][13]. - Consumer sector performance has been strong, with companies like Dongpeng Beverage reporting significant revenue and profit growth in their first-quarter results [15]. Group 4: Policy and Future Outlook - The government is expected to implement policies to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize the real estate market, with potential measures including infrastructure investment and consumption subsidies [24][26]. - Analysts predict that monetary policy will also be adjusted, with expectations of a reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates to improve liquidity [25][30]. - The market is closely monitoring the timing and scale of these policy measures, as they will significantly influence market expectations and economic stability [28][36].