Group 1 - The Hong Kong government has implemented several policies to support the stock market, including lowering stamp duty and optimizing trading mechanisms to enhance market liquidity and attractiveness [1] - Dividend assets are gaining attention due to high returns and low volatility, especially in the context of improving international liquidity and anticipated dividend tax reforms [1][2] - The Hong Kong dividend index is expected to attract medium to long-term capital due to its resilience and stability amid global geopolitical conflicts and trade tensions [1] Group 2 - In a declining interest rate environment, there is a shift in asset allocation focus from growth to returns, leading to increased interest in dividend assets [2] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect Dividend Index has become an important tool for investors seeking high cash flow and low volatility investments, particularly as the overall valuation of the Hong Kong stock market is at historical lows [2] - The issuance of mainland dividend strategy ETFs is rising, which raises expectations for the index's structure, performance, and investability [2] Group 3 - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index has shown outstanding performance in terms of long-term cumulative returns, annualized returns, and risk-adjusted return metrics, indicating strong downside protection and long-term return potential [3] - The index has a balanced structure, focusing on stable sectors such as finance, utilities, communication, and industry, while maintaining a low proportion of real estate, thus achieving high risk diversification [3] - The tracking fund's scale has surpassed 3 billion, with increasing average daily trading volume, reflecting its acceptance and liquidity advantages in actual investments [3] Group 4 - The Hang Seng Index's high dividend indices, while historically significant, are overly concentrated in banking, energy, and real estate sectors, leading to weaker drawdown control and long-term returns [4] - Central state-owned enterprise dividend indices, although supported by policy, are primarily focused on finance and industry, lacking growth elasticity in market capitalization and sectors, making them less attractive for long-term capital [4]

Group 1 - The popularity of dividend-themed funds is increasing, with several funds announcing early closure of fundraising and many ETFs reaching historical highs in share volume [1][2] - Fund managers are modifying dividend distribution rules to enhance attractiveness to investors, increasing the frequency of dividend payouts [3][4] - The total scale of dividend funds has significantly increased, surpassing 250 billion yuan, with a notable rise in ETF shares [3][5] Group 2 - Recent data indicates that dividend assets are likely to attract institutional allocation, aligning with regulatory encouragement for long-term investments [5][6] - Research shows that dividend assets have a higher success rate compared to broad market indices when held for longer periods, with over 70% success rate for holding periods exceeding one year [6]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong High Dividend ETF (159302) has shown a recent upward trend, increasing by 0.33% and achieving a four-day consecutive rise, with the latest price at 1.2 yuan [1] - The ETF has accumulated a 1.96% increase over the past week, with a trading volume of 1110.32 million yuan and a turnover rate of 9.43% [1] - Over the past six months, the ETF's scale has grown by 819.64 million yuan, indicating strong investor interest in high dividend assets [1] Group 2 - Insurance capital is expected to be a significant source of incremental funds for bank stocks, with a proposed reduction of risk factors for stock investments by 10%, potentially releasing approximately 269.8 billion yuan for market investment [2] - The insurance sector is focusing on increasing sales of dividend insurance to enhance floating income attractiveness, which will test their long-term investment capabilities [2] - The recovery of premium income in March indicates a return to positive growth, suggesting that high dividend asset allocation, particularly in bank stocks, remains a key focus for insurance companies [2]

Core Viewpoint - The active equity funds have shown significant performance disparity in 2023, with some funds achieving over 80% returns while others have seen declines exceeding 25% [1][2][5]. Group 1: Performance Highlights - As of May 20, 63 active equity funds have returned over 30% this year, with 11 funds exceeding 50% [1][2]. - More than 150 active equity funds have reached historical highs in their adjusted net asset values [1][2]. - The top-performing funds have capitalized on opportunities in innovative pharmaceuticals, new consumption, and robotics sectors [1][3]. Group 2: Characteristics of Top-Performing Funds - The leading fund, 华夏北交所创新中小企业精选两年定开混合基金, achieved a return of 80.79%, followed by 中信建投北交所精选两年定开混合基金 at 73.12% and 汇添富北交所创新精选两年定开混合基金 at 63.29% [3]. - Funds heavily invested in the robotics sector, such as 鹏华碳中和主题混合基金, reported returns of 61.72%, with several others exceeding 50% [3]. - Pharmaceutical-themed funds, particularly those focused on innovative drugs, have also performed well, with 长城医药产业精选混合基金 returning 55.32% [3]. - Funds focused on new consumption have seen significant rebounds, with 恒越匠心优选一年持有期混合基金 achieving a return of 51.49% [3]. Group 3: Underperforming Funds - Over 90 active equity funds have experienced declines of more than 10%, with the worst-performing fund down by 27.03%, resulting in a performance gap of 107.82 percentage points [1][5]. - Underperforming funds often exhibit concentrated holdings and frequent changes in their top stocks, indicating a trend of chasing market movements [5]. Group 4: Fund Flow and Market Outlook - Due to increased inflows into high-performing funds, several have announced purchase limits, including 中信保诚多策略混合基金 and 中欧价值回报混合基金 [5][6]. - The market is expected to shift from emotion-driven pricing to a focus on fundamentals, with attention on technology growth sectors, cyclical areas, and dividend assets [6]. - The AI sector is highlighted as a key investment theme for the year, with opportunities in AI applications and related hardware expected to exceed market expectations [6].

Group 1 - The LPR (Loan Prime Rate) has experienced its first decline of the year, with the 5-year LPR dropping to 3.5% from 3.6% and the 1-year LPR decreasing to 3% from 3.1% [1] - The People's Bank of China has also lowered the interest rates for various deposit terms, with 2-year and below term deposits down by 15 basis points, and 3-year and 5-year term deposits down by 25 basis points [1] - According to China International Capital Corporation (CICC), the A-share market is expected to maintain a fluctuating upward trend in 2025, supported by corporate profit growth and strong policy backing [1] Group 2 - The red-chip state-owned enterprise ETF (510720) has consistently paid dividends every month since its listing, achieving 13 consecutive months of dividends, making it a unique investment opportunity in the market [1] - Investors without stock accounts can access the red-chip state-owned enterprise sector through the linked fund (021702) to capture investment opportunities [1]

证券研究报告|宏观研究报告 [Table_Date] 2025 年 05 月 21 日 [Table_Title] 如何高效捕捉红利收益？ [Table_Summary] ►如何理解红利行情的本质？ 以史为鉴，红利资产绝对收益走强通常离不开权重行业自身的 行情，如以煤炭、钢铁为代表的周期行情，以及以银行为代表 的金融行情。相对收益机会则更多是出现在市场回调压力增加 时期或者是风格切换的混沌期。而红利资产表现转弱，常是因 为 A 股市场出现其他产业机会或者权重行业自身逻辑证伪。 总结红利资产的核心要素，其前提假设是能够长期稳健经营， 在此基础之上，绝对收益来源于分红能力（其实本质是也是盈 利能力）、估值水平以及分红意愿，相对收益则更多取决于其 他资产表现。此外，机构行为也是助推红利资产绝对&相对收 益的重要来源。 ►24 年财报季后，哪些行业分红意愿提升？ 拆解股息率公式可以发现，股息率是由分红率、ROE、PB 构成 的，基本对应前文所述的分红意愿、分红能力、与估值水 平。 从分红意愿出发，在 2024 年新国九条框架下，A 股上市公司 基本都在努力提升分红比例，尤其是有能力分红的上市公 司，进一步增加了分红体 ...

Group 1 - Multiple high-performing North Exchange theme funds have implemented purchase limits to maintain strategy effectiveness and protect investor interests [1] - Nearly 80% of North Exchange theme funds have seen net value growth exceeding 30% year-to-date, with many products ranking high in their categories [1] - Public quantitative index-enhanced funds have capitalized on market volatility, with nearly 80% outperforming their benchmarks [1][2] Group 2 - In the low interest rate environment, many macro-strategy private equity firms are favoring equity assets over bonds, particularly in Hong Kong's internet and dividend stocks [2] - The first quarter of 2025 saw significant differentiation in the Chinese electric vehicle sector, with XPeng leading in deliveries and revenue growth, while Li Auto and NIO faced challenges [2] - XPeng delivered 94,000 vehicles, projecting revenue between 15.19 billion to 15.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 132% to 139.8% [2] Group 3 - The successful completion of China's first closed-loop spinal cord nerve interface implantation surgery marks a significant breakthrough in the field, potentially benefiting 3.7 million spinal injury patients [3] - Several AI applications have been reported for illegally collecting and using personal information, highlighting regulatory concerns in the tech industry [3] Group 4 - The development of the AI Pro chip by the Technical University of Munich features a brain-like architecture for local computation, enhancing network security and energy efficiency [5] - Rongxin Zhiyuan has completed seed round financing to accelerate the integration of AI computing architecture with domestic chip technology [5] - Weiqi Intelligent has secured a new round of financing to advance large model technology and its application across various industries [5] Group 5 - Dingdong Maicai's supply chain planning director was sentenced to 18 months in prison for accepting bribes totaling 950,000 yuan, facilitating warehouse leasing contracts worth over 300 million yuan [6] - Country Garden received disciplinary action from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for failing to timely disclose its mid-year report for 2024, leading to public reprimands for its executives [7] Group 6 - Shenzhen Morning Light Dairy faced consumer backlash over its "供港壹号牛奶" branding, with claims that the product is not actually sold in Hong Kong [8][9] - Former Midea Group vice president Yin Bitong has joined Hisense Group as the president of the air conditioning division [9] - Demais has announced a suspension of trading as its controlling shareholder plans to change the company's control [9] Group 7 - U.S. stock indices closed lower, with the S&P 500 ending a six-day winning streak, influenced by declines in major tech stocks following Google's developer conference [10] - The Japanese bond market is underperforming, contributing to increased sensitivity to interest rate fluctuations [11] - The U.S. dollar weakened while Bitcoin surged past $3000, reaching a four-month high, driven by risk-averse sentiment [12]

Group 1 - The new consumption sector in A-shares is gaining significant attention, with multiple brokerages hosting themed strategy meetings, indicating strong market interest [1] - Recent trends show a rise in popularity for industries such as pet products, snacks, health supplements, and beauty care, attracting analysts from other sectors like new energy and technology [1] - The increasing focus on the new consumption trend is likely to influence stock price volatility and enhance overall market activity in the consumption sector [1] Group 2 - The North Exchange 50 Index has reached a historical high, reflecting strong market confidence, with several thematic funds achieving returns exceeding 70% this year [2] - The performance of North Exchange funds has been bolstered by individual stock selection strategies, with many funds successfully identifying stocks that have doubled in value [2] - Industry experts suggest that the weight stocks and new stocks on the North Exchange still hold investment value, indicating potential mid- to long-term investment opportunities [2] Group 3 - Public funds have invested nearly 10 billion yuan in private placements this year, demonstrating confidence in certain A-share companies [3] - Among the stocks favored by public funds, Haohua Technology received significant attention, with multiple funds participating in its private placement, totaling over 1.6 billion yuan [3] - Other companies like Guolian Minsheng, Dizhe Pharmaceutical, and Anning Co. also attracted substantial investment from public funds, each exceeding 500 million yuan [3] Group 4 - In a low-interest-rate environment, private equity strategies are shifting towards equity assets, with a preference for Hong Kong internet and dividend-paying stocks [4] - The difficulty of bond investments has increased, making equity assets more attractive, especially with ongoing policy support and increased stock buybacks [4] - Companies benefiting from AI development and those with high dividend yields are highlighted as worthy of attention, potentially driving capital inflows into these sectors [4]

每经编辑｜叶峰 降息降准落地，一年期定期存款利率下破1%。低利率背景下，"财富搬家"该往哪里去？ 红利类高股息资产或为较好选择。 1、股息率高，显著高于银行存款 以上证国企红利指数为例，截至5月19日，股息率超6%，显著高于当前银行存款利率。另外，红利资产具备"类固收"属性，定期支付股息，收益相对稳定。 2、红利避险属性突出，市场下行期表现占优 市场震荡调整期，红利风格往往占优。以上证国有企业红利指数为例，在2021/12/10-2024/9/23的市场调整期，二级市场涨幅为20.63%，明显优于同期的沪 深300（-36.74%）、上证指数（-25.16%）的回报水平。 从指数过往表现来看，在"红利"+"中特估"的双重增益加持下，上证国企红利指数的市场表现明显占优。截至一季度末，上证国企红利指数近三年涨幅为 13.63%，同期中证红利指数涨3.12%，上证综指涨2.12%，沪深300下跌8.62%。 | 日期/指数(2 | 上证国企红利e | 中证红利( | 上证综指( | 沪深 300-7 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 近三年4 | 13.63% | 3.12%< ...

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 华创交运|红利资产月报（2025 年 5 月） 收费公路管理条例预备修订，关税调整下港 推荐（维持） 口交易活跃 交通运输 2025 年 05 月 20 日 邮箱：luhaomin@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524090001 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：吴一凡 电话：021-20572539 邮箱：wuyifan@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516090002 证券分析师：梁婉怡 邮箱：liangwanyi@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523080001 证券分析师：吴晨玥 邮箱：wuchenyue@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360523070001 证券分析师：霍鹏浩 邮箱：huopenghao@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360524030001 证券分析师：卢浩敏 联系人：李清影 邮箱：liqingying@hcyjs.com 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 122 | 0.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 33,240.61 | 3.34 | | ...