Workflow
零和博弈
icon
Search documents
美国税改72小时倒计时,中方亮出关键棋子!72岁崔天凯重出江湖
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-05 13:29
一场牵动全球神经的税收博弈进入最后倒计时。当美国参议院以微弱优势通过30年来最大规模税改法案,全球资本市场屏息凝神——这场减税飓风, 将如何重塑世界经济版图? 法案通过仅4票之差,折射出美国内部深刻的利益撕裂。表面是降低企业税率的"让利",实则暗藏三重战略意图:吸引万亿美元海外资本回流,重塑美 国制造业筋骨;以"税收洼地"虹吸全球产业资本;迫使跨国企业在中美之间做出"二选一"的站队。这是一场精心设计的全球经济秩序洗牌。 国际税收战场的硝烟背后,是国运兴衰的世纪博弈。当崔天凯这样的国士再度出山,中国向世界传递的不仅是应对之策,更是一种战略定力——真正 的崛起,永远不寄希望于对手的仁慈,而在于锻造不可替代的竞争优势。 值此关键时刻,一位熟悉的身影悄然回归外交前线——72岁的资深外交家崔天凯。这位曾驻美八载、亲历中美风云变幻的老将,以中国政府中美经贸 中方牵头人身份重披战袍。其复出传递的深意远超人事变动本身,它代表着中国面对复杂博弈的终极底牌:以最顶级的战略智慧,打最硬的仗。 历史是最好的教科书。回望2018年美国上一轮税改冲击波,中国以增值税改革"组合拳"巧妙化解:制造业税率从17%降至13%,全年减税超万亿;研 ...
刘建超:所谓“以实力促和平”是霸权思维的新化身
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-07-04 01:10
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes that the U.S. notion of "promoting peace through strength" is a manifestation of hegemonic thinking, aiming for military action rather than dialogue [1] - Liu Jianchao highlights that under such a mindset, the "Thucydides Trap" becomes an inevitable fate for great powers, with smaller nations often forced to choose sides and become victims of great power rivalries [1] - The article discusses the fundamental changes in the nature of warfare today, warning that an obsession with zero-sum games and absolute security, including the use of AI in warfare, could lead to catastrophic consequences for humanity [1] Group 2 - Liu Jianchao asserts that the peace and stability in Asia over the past 80 years is attributed to the region's countries having their own values and methods for problem-solving, emphasizing a preference for dialogue and negotiation over military solutions [2] - The article notes that military solutions are seen as temporary fixes, while negotiated solutions are viewed as long-term resolutions [2]
所谓赚钱,就是借力、借智、借势
洞见· 2025-06-30 09:31
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of leveraging external resources, wisdom, and timing to achieve financial success, rather than relying solely on individual effort [6][72]. Group 1: Leveraging Resources - The story of Fan Li illustrates how leveraging the resources of others can lead to mutual benefits, as he partnered with a merchant to transport horses safely and profitably [8][19]. - The concept of "zero-sum game" is discussed, highlighting that unlike strict competition, wealth creation can be a win-win situation where all parties benefit [22][26]. - The article suggests that sharing opportunities and collaborating can yield greater returns than competing alone, as exemplified by the analogy of mining gold with partners [27][29]. Group 2: Borrowing Wisdom - The transformation of a character named Abao from a street vendor to a successful businessman is attributed to his mentorship from an experienced financial expert [33][38]. - The narrative emphasizes that learning from successful individuals can significantly enhance one's financial acumen and opportunities [44][46]. - The article posits that understanding the underlying logic of wealth creation and industry dynamics is crucial for success [43]. Group 3: Timing and Opportunity - The importance of timing in business decisions is illustrated through the example of two brothers in the clothing industry, where one capitalized on the e-commerce trend while the other hesitated [56][60]. - The article stresses that recognizing and acting upon favorable conditions can lead to significant advantages in business [61][70]. - Historical references highlight that successful individuals often align their actions with the prevailing trends and opportunities in their environment [66][72].
国防部:美方不要欺骗误导美国民众和国际社会
news flash· 2025-06-26 08:08
Core Viewpoint - The Chinese Ministry of Defense emphasizes that China's development does not pose a threat to any country and advocates for peaceful coexistence between China and the United States, rejecting the notion of zero-sum games in international relations [1] Summary by Relevant Sections - **U.S. Military Spending and Strategy** - The U.S. plans to allocate $12 billion for the "Pacific Deterrence Initiative" to enhance military readiness in the Indo-Pacific region and strengthen Taiwan's defense capabilities [1] - **China's Position on Defense and Peace** - The Chinese military is portrayed as a steadfast force for maintaining world peace, contrasting with the U.S. approach of deterrence and coercion [1] - **Taiwan Issue** - The Taiwan issue is framed as an internal matter for China, with a strong rejection of foreign interference, particularly from the U.S. [1]
北约秘书长操弄涉华议题,外交部回应
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-06-26 07:35
Group 1 - NATO Secretary General Jens Stoltenberg emphasized the importance of increased spending by the EU and NATO in light of the Russia-Ukraine conflict and China's military expansion [1] - NATO members' military spending is projected to account for 55% of global military expenditure in 2024, with calls for member states to raise defense spending to 5% of their GDP [1] - NATO's actions are perceived as an attempt to extend its influence into the Asia-Pacific region, raising concerns among countries in that area [1] Group 2 - China maintains a position of promoting peace and dialogue regarding the Ukraine issue, refraining from supplying weapons to conflict parties and controlling dual-use item exports [2] - China's constructive role in international affairs has been recognized globally, contrasting with NATO's alleged misinformation [2] - China urges NATO to abandon outdated Cold War mentalities and to correct its misconceptions about China, emphasizing its commitment to safeguarding its sovereignty and contributing to global peace [2]
北约以应对中国为借口强推5%军费目标,外交部回应
财联社· 2025-06-26 07:29
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses China's response to NATO's claims regarding military spending and perceived threats from Russia and China, emphasizing that NATO's narrative is aimed at justifying increased military expenditures and expansion into the Asia-Pacific region [1]. Group 1 - NATO officials are accused of exaggerating international tensions and undermining China's normal military development to justify increased military spending [1]. - China urges NATO to reflect deeply, listen to the international community's just voices, and abandon outdated Cold War mentalities and zero-sum game concepts [1]. - China reaffirms its commitment to safeguarding its sovereignty, security, and development interests while contributing to global peace and stability through practical actions [1].
汽车行业需走出“互怼互黑”的竞争误区
news flash· 2025-06-20 00:28
Core Viewpoint - The automotive industry must focus on both "making good cars" and "selling good cars," emphasizing the importance of marketing and brand establishment while avoiding the misconception that "traffic equals sales" [1] Group 1: Industry Competition - Some car manufacturers are engaging in "mutual criticism" to gain competitive advantages, which is damaging the industry ecosystem [1] - The "involution" competition among Chinese automotive brands leads to no winners and threatens the future of the industry [1] Group 2: Innovation and Collaboration - Chinese car manufacturers have achieved a leap in the new energy sector and must be cautious of how mutual criticism can erode their innovative momentum [1] - The industry should abandon the "zero-sum game" mentality of undermining competitors and instead embrace "open competition" in technology and services for sustainable growth [1]
犬儒主义者很难成功,只因陷入了零和思维
3 6 Ke· 2025-06-19 00:55
Core Insights - Cynicism views human nature as inherently selfish, leading to a competitive and Darwinian struggle for survival, which can hinder personal growth and team morale [1][3][4] Group 1: Cynicism and Its Impact - Over half of parents believe their children should view the world as harsh and dangerous to succeed, reflecting a widespread acceptance of a cynical worldview [3] - Research indicates that cynicism can impede career success, with cynical individuals experiencing only one-third the salary growth of their non-cynical counterparts over a decade [4][5] - Cynics often exhibit a strong desire for power and manipulate others, believing that others will exploit them, which ultimately isolates them and limits their success [5] Group 2: Trust and Collaboration - Environments that foster trust and collaboration, like those seen in coastal fishing communities, can lead to better outcomes compared to competitive settings [6][7][8] - Organizations can cultivate a culture of mutual support, as demonstrated by IDEO, where team members are recognized for both individual performance and support of colleagues [8] - Many employees desire a collaborative culture but perceive their colleagues as competitive, a phenomenon known as "pluralistic ignorance" [10][11] Group 3: Leadership and Cultural Change - Leaders can combat cynicism by modeling trust and advocating for a culture of collaboration, which can enhance team morale and individual growth [12] - By revealing the true desires of employees for a supportive work environment, leaders can shift perceptions and encourage teamwork [11][12] - The rise of cynicism over the past 50 years has created a paradox where individuals believe they must struggle to succeed, yet collaboration can lead to greater achievements [12]
中美经贸磋商机制首次会议为全球经济注入确定性|专家热评
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-13 06:53
何立峰副总理强调"贸易战没有赢家",并提出中美双方要"进一步发挥好中美经贸磋商机制作用,不断 增进共识、减少误解、加强合作"。 作为发展阶段、经济制度不同的两个大国,中美双方在经贸合作中出现分歧和摩擦是正常的。然而,国 际贸易不可忽视的本质是互利共赢。在全球产业链分工日益细化的今天,世界经济体系高度相互嵌套, 一荣俱荣,这种基于市场选择的自然合作是全球化资源配置的必然结果。近年来,随着美方当局违背经 济规律,倒行逆施单边主义与保护主义,全球政治、经济、贸易局势呈现出显著地恶化趋势。这种将经 贸问题政治化、安全化的做法,不仅撕裂了全球供应链的完整脉络,更在根本上动摇了多边贸易体系的 根基。历史与现实反复印证,贸易战没有赢家,霸凌打压只会造成多败皆伤的困境。当保护主义阴云笼 罩全球经济之际,理性回归的呼声正逐渐汇聚成强大的力量——发展中国家联合捍卫公平贸易原则,跨 国资本用投资选择表达对开放市场的信心,美国国内工商界和农业州也持续发出反制关税的抗议。来自 各方的呼吁清晰表明,世界经济的复苏需要拆除人为藩篱,全球秩序的重构亟须重返合作轨道。 伦敦会议的成果是中美双方正视经贸互利共赢本质,尝试回归经济理性的重要探索。 ...
魏建国:中国单边开放是世界近代史的奇迹一一在郑永年新作《论单边开放》国内首发式上讲话
Core Viewpoint - China's unilateral opening is a remarkable achievement in modern history, representing a creative breakthrough in the logic and rules of globalization [1][2]. Group 1: China's Unilateral Opening - China's unilateral opening breaks the traditional "reciprocal opening" principle of Western-led globalization, showcasing a proactive approach to lowering tariffs from an average of 15.3% to 7.4% since joining the WTO [1]. - By the end of 2023, China has attracted a total foreign investment of $3.3 trillion, with 660,000 foreign enterprises operating in the country, maintaining its position as the top destination for foreign investment among developing countries for 30 consecutive years [1]. Group 2: Historical Context and Strategic Decision - The decision for unilateral opening was made during a time of significant challenges, including a weak industrial base and low technological levels, reflecting the courage and wisdom of the Chinese government [2]. - This approach is not a passive response to external pressures but a strategic decision based on a deep understanding of international economic dynamics and domestic development needs [2]. Group 3: Continuation of Traditional Open Ideals - China's unilateral opening is an extension and elevation of its traditional open mindset, which has been evident throughout history, from the Silk Road to Zheng He's voyages [3]. - This modern unilateral opening embodies the spirit of openness and inclusivity, linking China's development closely with global progress and challenging traditional protectionist barriers [3]. Group 4: New Model for Global Governance - China's unilateral opening offers a new model for global governance by moving away from "zero-sum" thinking, demonstrating that market openness can lead to "incremental win-win" outcomes [4]. - Initiatives like the Belt and Road Initiative and RCEP reflect China's commitment to regional cooperation and participation in global governance, contributing to the UN's 2035 global development agenda [4]. Group 5: Future Directions of Unilateral Opening - Future developments in China's unilateral opening will transition from "factor flow" to "rule-leading," focusing on institutional openness and establishing standards in emerging fields like digital economy and green trade [5]. - The approach will evolve from "economic and trade openness" to "civilizational dialogue," enhancing cultural exchanges and soft power to counter narratives of "China threat" [5]. - China's unilateral opening will shift from merely adopting international rules to contributing Chinese solutions, promoting a more inclusive and equitable global governance framework [5]. Group 6: Conclusion - The essence of unilateral opening is rooted in self-confidence regarding its development path and a belief in human progress, aiming to attract more entrepreneurs, scholars, and media to engage in this significant topic [6].