金融市场瞬息万变，投资与经济政策深刻影响全球。我们为您带来昨夜今晨的财经新闻，涵盖股市动 态、经济数据、企业财务和政策更新，帮助您全面把握金融世界。 双星鞋业家族内斗！84岁创始人宣布断绝父子关系，曾曝出抢公章"夺权" 双星鞋业创始人汪海于2026年1月3日发布公开信，宣布与儿子汪军、儿媳徐英断绝关系，家族内斗再度 公开化。矛盾核心在于集团控制权之争，此前已曝出抢夺公章、限制人身自由等冲突。纠纷或源于三年 前股权变更导致徐英成为实控人，双方已多次对簿公堂。这场持续的内部纷争消耗了企业转型精力，也 让面临市场挑战的老牌国货品牌前景蒙上阴影。 宇树科技澄清：我司未涉及申请"绿色通道"相关事宜，上市工作正常推进 宇树科技针对某媒体关于其上市申请"绿色通道"的不实报道发布严正澄清，声明公司从未涉及相关事 宜，该报道内容与事实严重不符，已误导公众并侵害公司权益。公司已向主管部门反映并督促撤稿，保 留法律追责权利。目前，宇树科技的上市工作正在正常推进中，后续进展将依法依规进行披露。 巴菲特"退休"后首度发声：伯克希尔百年后可能依然存在 巴菲特退休后首度发声，对继任者格雷格・阿贝尔给予高度评价，称其效率远超自己，并坚信伯克 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese economy is navigating a complex internal and external environment, with the A-share market showing resilience, as evidenced by the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4000 points in Q4 2025, marking a nearly ten-year high and an annual increase of over 30% [2][10]. The outlook for 2026 remains positive, with expectations of continued upward movement in the A-share market driven by high-quality development and supportive policies [2][10]. Group 1: Global Liquidity and Currency Dynamics - The reopening of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle has led to a marginal improvement in the global liquidity environment, with the US dollar index weakening significantly throughout the year [4][12]. - The RMB has shown a phase of strengthening, with the USD/RMB exchange rate breaking the 7.0 mark by year-end, reflecting market recognition of China's economic resilience and enhancing the attractiveness of domestic assets in global investment portfolios [4][12]. - The A-share market, characterized by structural opportunities and relatively low valuations, is likely to attract overseas incremental capital, particularly in technology companies with long-term growth prospects [4][12]. Group 2: Domestic Demand and Inflation Trends - Domestic effective demand is gradually strengthening due to fiscal policies aimed at expanding effective investment, moderate monetary policy easing, and measures to promote large-scale and service consumption [5][13]. - The overall inflation level in 2025 is showing a low rebound, with core CPI growth maintaining above 1% since September 2025, and PPI growth stabilizing, indicating improvements in the domestic supply-demand structure [5][13]. - The moderate rise in prices is expected to enhance corporate pricing power and profitability, leading to a clearer recovery cycle for corporate profits in 2026, thus providing fundamental support for the A-share market [5][13]. Group 3: Capital Market Dynamics and Investor Behavior - As the real estate market adjusts and the risk-free interest rate center declines, household funds are shifting from real estate and low-yield financial products to equity assets with greater appreciation potential [6][14]. - Continuous deepening of capital market reforms and improvements in investor protection mechanisms are accelerating this transition, indicating a stable and sustained influx of new capital into the A-share market [6][14]. - Institutional investors, including insurance funds, pension funds, and public funds, are showing a stronger willingness to enter the market, enhancing market effectiveness and stability [6][14]. Group 4: Technological Innovation and Market Opportunities - The continuous improvement of domestic technological capabilities is expected to create new market drivers, with significant advancements in AI, semiconductors, high-end manufacturing, commercial aerospace, and national defense industries in 2025 [7][15]. - Technological innovation is becoming the core force driving the structural market trends in A-shares, with expectations that it will continue to dominate market styles and capital flows in 2026 [7][15]. - While the long-term outlook for A-shares remains positive, potential risks from international trade environments and geopolitical uncertainties must be acknowledged, as they could impact market sentiment and valuations [7][15].

Core Viewpoint - Investors express optimism for the A-share market in 2026, anticipating a steady and stable development, with expectations for earnings to surpass those of 2025 [1] Economic Outlook - The consensus among various brokerages indicates a GDP growth expectation of around 5% for 2026, driven by policy support, stable domestic demand, and industrial upgrades [2] - A combination of fiscal and monetary policies is expected to support economic stability, with predictions of a 50 basis points reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a potential increase in fiscal deficit rates compared to 2025 [2][3] - The focus of fiscal policy in 2026 will be on new infrastructure, technological innovation, and green low-carbon initiatives, balancing expenditure expansion with risk prevention [3] Market Dynamics - The A-share market saw significant inflows of incremental funds in 2025, with margin financing balances reaching a historical high of 25,552.84 billion yuan, reflecting a robust market liquidity [4][5] - The overall market capitalization of A-shares increased by 25.30 trillion yuan from the beginning of 2025, with total cash dividends reaching a record high of 2.63 trillion yuan [5] Investment Sentiment - The A-share market is expected to maintain an upward trend in 2026, with institutions optimistic about continued market growth, although the pace of increase may slow [7] - Earnings for non-financial enterprises in the A-share market are projected to recover, with an expected growth rate of around 10% [8] - The market is anticipated to experience a rebalancing of investment styles, driven by the recovery of the real estate cycle and positive signals from companies expanding overseas [8]

"在投资的路上，我们都需要持续进步""弱水三千，我只要取属于我的那一瓢""希望2026年的收益能超 过2025年""2026年会更关注产业层面的机会""希望2026年的A股市场能够更稳健、平稳地发展"……一位 位投资者对2026年A股市场表达期许。 2025年，A股市场持续上涨，上证指数一度站上4000点，A股总市值、成交额、融资余额等连创纪录。 2026年资本市场的画卷即将展开，投资者对2026年A股市场充满期待。业内人士表示，2026年我国宏观 经济有望在政策支持下保持稳健复苏态势，A股市场资金面有望保持活跃，基本面重要性进一步上升， 全年市场有望延续上行趋势。 ● 本报记者 吴玉华 马爽 政策加码可期 夯实经济回升基础 "夯实基础、全面发力""双宽松护航""更上层阶""乘势而上"……梳理多家券商对2026年国内宏观经济展 望的关键词可见，作为"十五五"开局之年，政策协同推动经济稳健复苏已成共识。尽管面临外部环境变 化与内部结构调整，但中国宏观经济有望在政策支持下延续稳健复苏态势。 前瞻性政策部署已筑牢根基。2025年末召开的中央经济工作会议明确"稳中求进、提质增效"的政策取 向，为2026年政策发力定调 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2026, the global debt issue will present three main solutions: real growth exceeding real interest rates (growth-based debt reduction), inflation exceeding expectations (inflation-based debt reduction), and fiscal tightening (fiscal-based debt reduction). Both AI and gold are expected to benefit from these paths, forming a dual mainline logic for asset performance [1] Group 1: A-Share Market Outlook - The A-share market is expected to maintain a "slow bull" pattern in 2026, driven by a profound change in corporate profit structures despite ongoing weakness in real estate, infrastructure, consumption, social financing, and PPI [1] - The net asset return on equity (ROE) for non-financial enterprises in the A-share market has stabilized over several quarters, with profits from eight advanced manufacturing industries now accounting for 38% of total profits [1] - Companies with overseas operations have seen their overseas revenue share increase to 20%, with overseas market gross margins exceeding domestic margins by 5 percentage points, which may drive a rebound in overall A-share ROE after stabilization [1] Group 2: Investment Directions - Investment focus should be on industries with constrained supply and clear prosperity trends, such as the AI industry chain, which has strong capital expenditure demand and limited short-term supply release [1] - Other sectors to consider include energy storage and metals, which have undergone capacity clearing [1] - Tactically, it is recommended to utilize market adjustments to position for the spring rally, prioritizing the aforementioned high-prosperity sectors [1]

方正证券研报指出，展望未来，多重积极利好因素决定了中国资本市场长期向好的趋势不会改变：一是 中长期向好态势不变。二是A股估值较低权益资产性价比突出。三是上市公司质量稳步提升夯实微观基 础。四是分红回购不断增加提高投资者回报。五是耐心资本持续流入助力市场健康发展。 信达证券（601059）分析，2025年12月下旬上证指数以"11连阳"收官，主要受益于风险偏好修复和中证 A500为主的ETF放量。元旦假期期间港股走强，背后的原因除了南下资金布局，也有人民币升值、半导 体产业催化密集等逻辑，或有利于元旦后A股表现。认为春节前流动性环境大概率较好，市场可能继续 偏强，但1月可能会有一些波动。 东吴证券分析，元旦港股大涨。港股与A股的联动性历来较强，此次港股上涨亦强化了节后A股走强的 预期。 2025年行情收官，A股以全年超18%的涨幅收官，公募基金业绩再创传奇。展望2026行情将会怎样？多 家研报看好A股后市。 永赢科技智选A以233.29%的年度涨幅成为2025年度"冠军基金"，同时打破了由王亚伟保持了18年的公 募年度收益率纪录。全年收益率超过100%的"翻倍基金"达到76只；其中易方达基金独占10只。 此前， ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to experience moderate growth in 2026, supported by stable macroeconomic fundamentals and improving corporate earnings [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance and Expectations - In 2025, the A-share market showed a steady upward trend, with the CSI 300 index rising over 17% and public equity funds averaging a 30% increase [1]. - For 2026, corporate earnings are projected to grow by 10-15%, indicating a recovery from previous performance challenges [1]. - The current valuation of the CSI 300 is around 14 times earnings, which is considered reasonable, although there is significant structural differentiation within the market [1]. Group 2: Liquidity Environment - The liquidity environment for 2026 is expected to remain relatively loose, with the central economic work conference advocating for more proactive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies [2]. - The Federal Reserve's potential for a rate cut in 2026, along with the need for lower interest rates to support the "Great Beautiful" plan, suggests a continued loose liquidity scenario [2]. Group 3: Asset Allocation and Investment Opportunities - Domestic residents' asset allocation is likely to favor equity assets represented by the A-share market, as current interest rates remain low, making equities attractive [3]. - The regulatory efforts to promote high-quality development in the A-share market are yielding positive results, enhancing the investment experience for investors [3]. - Overall, with stable macro fundamentals, loose liquidity, improving corporate earnings, and support from domestic and foreign capital, the A-share market is expected to see moderate growth in 2026, presenting structural investment opportunities [3].

（原标题：2025年A股"燃爆了"！创近6年最大涨幅，540股股价翻倍！融资客年度"采购清单"出炉） 2025年，A股市场表现坚挺，在政策支持以及资金注入的提振下，走出科技以及资源板块的结构化行情。本文为《数说2025》的市场篇，从指数 表现、牛熊股分布、资金流向等角度，回顾2025年这一年A股市场的整体行情。 沪指创下近6年最大涨幅 熊股方面，2025年，共计25股年度跌幅超过40%。在非退市股、非ST个股中，仕净科技跌幅居首，年度跌幅达到50.99%；康乐卫士、龙大美食、 华星创业紧随其后，全年跌幅均超过45%。 *ST宇顺登顶2025年涨停排行榜 2025年A股市场已正式收官。截至2025年12月31日，上证指数报3968.84点，年度涨幅为18.41%，优于同期道指、标普500指数表现，并且为2020 年以来的最大年涨幅。深证成指年度大涨29.87%，创业板指年度大涨49.57%。 港股方面，恒生指数年度大涨27.77%，恒生科技指数年度大涨23.45%，均优于多数国家主要股指同期表现。 有色、通信板块全年涨幅居前 以申万一级行业划分，2025年，由于贵金属价格持续飙涨，以及稀土出口限制的影响，有色金 ...

行业板块方面，31个申万一级板块指数中，累计共有8个板块在近20年1月期间的上涨比例超50%（不含 50%），分别为银行、国防军工、钢铁、家用电器、交通运输、汽车、机械设备、石油石化，其中，银 行、国防军工板块上涨比例双双超60%。另有13个板块跌多涨少，其中，公用事业、纺织服饰、建筑装 饰、环保、食品饮料板块上涨比例相对靠后。 以平均涨幅统计，家用电器、银行、计算机板块近20年1月期间平均涨幅超1%，各为1.9%、1.9%、 1.0%，有色金属、美容护理、钢铁、传媒、煤炭五个板块也同样收涨。而公用事业、环保、通信、商 贸零售、食品饮料、建筑装饰板块历史数据则相对表现不佳，平均跌幅在1.6%以上。 注：上证指数近20年（2005年至2024年）1月期间涨跌幅情况 其余主要指数方面，以上涨比例来看，科创50、红利指数、中证红利、深证成指在近20年1月期间上涨 比例在5成以上（不含5成，不足20年以实际年份统计），分别达60%、58%、58%、55%。而国证 2000、中证2000、中证1000、创业板指、中证全指则跌多涨少。若以平均涨跌幅来看，中证红利、红利 指数在1月期间相对占优，平均涨幅各为0.98%、0. ...

Group 1 - The ChiNext index experienced a decline of 1.2%, while the ChiNext Mid 200 index fell by 0.04% and the ChiNext Growth index decreased by 1.3% [1] - In 2025, the ChiNext index achieved a cumulative increase of 49.6%, outperforming broader market indices [1] - The latest scale of the ChiNext ETF (159915) has exceeded 100 billion yuan, making it the largest among ChiNext-related ETFs [1] Group 2 - China Galaxy Securities indicates that the A-share market is entering a critical window for cross-year layout as 2026 approaches, with attention on potential market movements around New Year's Day [1] - The year 2026 marks the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," and the release of policy dividends is expected to be relatively early, with structural opportunities concentrated in sectors aligned with policy guidance and industry prosperity [1] - There is an anticipation of a spring market rally in the future [1]