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8月通胀数据点评:核心CPI持续改善,PPI边际好转
Mai Gao Zheng Quan· 2025-09-11 07:34
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In August, the CPI recorded a year-on-year decrease of -0.4%, influenced by a high comparison base from the previous year and lower food price increases than seasonal levels[1] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.9%, marking a two-and-a-half-year high, indicating structural inflation despite overall CPI decline[1][15] - Food prices significantly dragged down the CPI, with an annual decline of 4.3%, contributing approximately 0.51 percentage points to the overall CPI drop[1][14] Group 2: PPI Insights - The PPI fell by 2.9% year-on-year in August, an improvement from July's -3.6%, signaling a potential easing of industrial deflation pressures[2][18] - Month-on-month, the PPI remained flat, ending an eight-month downward trend, with some industrial prices showing signs of recovery due to improved supply-demand dynamics[2][18] - The coal processing price increased by 9.7%, while domestic oil extraction prices decreased by 1.4%, reflecting mixed trends across different sectors[2][21] Group 3: Economic Outlook - Future PPI declines are expected to narrow due to low base effects and ongoing "anti-involution" policies aimed at optimizing market competition[2][22] - The recovery of the real estate market remains slow, posing risks to demand for industrial products and potentially affecting PPI recovery[2][22] - Overall, PPI recovery will depend on domestic demand restoration and changes in the international economic environment[2][22]
S&P 500: All Eyes Turn to CPI After Upbeat Day of Renewed AI Fervor
Investing· 2025-09-11 07:07
Group 1 - The article provides a market analysis focusing on major indices such as Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500, indicating their performance trends and potential investment opportunities [1] - Cisco Systems Inc and Oracle Corporation are highlighted as key companies within the technology sector, with insights into their financial performance and market positioning [1] Group 2 - The analysis includes a review of recent market movements and economic indicators that may impact investor sentiment and stock performance [1] - Specific metrics and data points related to the performance of Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 are discussed, providing a quantitative basis for investment decisions [1]
X @Ash Crypto
Ash Crypto· 2025-09-11 06:41
REMINDER 🚨🇺🇸 US CPI DATA WILL BE RELEASED TODAY AT 8:30AM ET.EXPECTATIONS: 2.9%● IF CPI < 2.9%, BITCOIN AND ALTS WILL EXPLODE● IF CPI = 2.9%, THE MARKET COULD EXPERIENCE A CORRECTION AS LAST MONTH'S CPI WAS 2.7%● IF CPI > 2.9%, THIS WILL BE REALLY BAD FOR MARKETS.YESTERDAY, PPI DATA CAME WAY LOWER THAN EXPECTED AND SOMETHING SIMILAR AGAIN COULD RESULT IN 50BPS CUT THIS MONTH. ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-11 06:03
Bitcoin dumped after all the latest CPI prints.Should we be worried? https://t.co/76L8wcdISx ...
X @Crypto Rover
Crypto Rover· 2025-09-11 05:26
💥BREAKING:🇺🇸 U.S. CPI DATA DROPS TODAY AT 8:30 ET.SOFT PRINT MEANS RATE CUTS! 🚀 https://t.co/sknDnIO7nm ...
8月北京CPI环比由涨转降
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-09-11 05:12
8月北京CPI环比由涨转降 中新社北京9月11日电 (记者 吕少威)国家统计局北京调查总队11日发布的数据显示,今年8月,北京居 民消费价格(CPI)环比由涨转降,同比降幅扩大。 从环比看,8月北京CPI由上月上涨0.7%转为下降0.1%。食品价格由上月下降0.9%转为上涨0.6%。食品 中,鲜菜价格上涨12.6%,鸡蛋价格上涨1.5%,鲜果价格下降3.6%,猪肉价格下降0.8%,水产品价格下 降0.6%。8月飞机票、在外住宿价格分别下降12.3%和4.2%,旅行社收费价格上涨0.4%;工业消费品价 格由上月上涨0.9%转为下降0.1%,其中,汽油、柴油价格分别下降0.9%、1.0%,大型家用器具价格上 涨1.4%,金饰品价格上涨0.5%。 从同比看,8月北京CPI下降0.8%,降幅比上月扩大0.6个百分点。食品价格下降6.2%,降幅比上月扩大 4.7个百分点。食品中,鲜菜、猪肉、鸡蛋、鲜果价格分别下降21.2%、16.0%、11.1%和7.1%,水产品 价格上涨2.3%。同期,飞机票价格上涨2.9%,涨幅比上月回落5.6个百分点,在外住宿价格下降12.9%, 降幅比上月扩大5.9个百分点;工业消费品价格上涨 ...
2025年8月物价数据点评:物价数据步入改善过程
Ping An Securities· 2025-09-11 04:48
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In August 2025, the CPI year-on-year decreased by 0.4%, while the PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.9%[2] - The core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.9%, marking a continuous expansion for four months[3] - The food component of CPI fell by 4.3%, contributing approximately 0.51 percentage points to the overall CPI decline[3] Group 2: PPI Insights - The year-on-year decline in PPI narrowed by 0.7 percentage points, the first contraction since March 2025[3] - PPI remained flat month-on-month after a decline of 0.2% in the previous month, indicating a potential stabilization[3] - The prices of production materials increased by 0.3% month-on-month, while living materials saw a slight recovery[3] Group 3: Market Outlook - The overall price data indicates an improvement, with core CPI steadily rising and PPI showing signs of stabilization[3] - The supply pressure from pork prices is expected to persist into the first quarter of next year, impacting CPI[3] - Continued improvement in price data may influence asset reallocation strategies in equity and bond markets[3]
核心CPI涨幅连续4个月扩大 消费市场运行总体平稳
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-09-11 04:09
据董莉娟介绍,猪肉、鲜菜和鸡蛋价格同比分别下降16.1%、15.2%和14.2%,降幅比上月均有不同程度 扩大,鲜果价格同比由上月上涨2.8%转为下降3.7%,上述4项对CPI同比的下拉影响比上月增加约0.47个 百分点。非食品价格上涨0.5%,涨幅连续3个月扩大,影响CPI同比上涨约0.43个百分点。 8月消费市场运行总体平稳,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比持平,同比下降0.4%,扣除食品和能源价 格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%,涨幅连续4个月扩大。 CPI同比为何由平转降?国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟认为,主要是上年同期对比基数走高叠加 8月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。从翘尾因素看,上年价格变动对8月CPI同比的翘尾影响约 为-0.9个百分点,下拉影响比上月扩大0.4个百分点;从新涨价因素看,8月CPI环比持平,低于季节性水 平约0.3个百分点,二者共同导致CPI同比走低。 东方金诚研究发展部执行总监冯琳表示,8月CPI同比由平转负,较上月回落0.4个百分点,主要是受上 年同期高温多雨天气导致食品价格基数大幅抬高,今年8月蔬菜、猪肉、水果等主要食品价格走势相对 平稳,进而导致当月食品CPI同比降幅 ...
8月通胀数据点评:CPI同比继续走低
Great Wall Securities· 2025-09-11 02:57
Group 1: CPI Analysis - In August 2025, the CPI year-on-year decreased to -0.4%, down from 0.0% in the previous month, while the month-on-month change remained flat at 0.0%[1] - The core CPI year-on-year rose to 0.9%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous month, marking four consecutive months of acceleration[2] - The average month-on-month CPI for August 2023-2024 was 0.35%, significantly lower than historical averages[2] Group 2: PPI Insights - The PPI year-on-year decreased by 2.9%, but the decline was less severe than the previous month's drop of 3.6%[1] - The month-on-month PPI change turned flat, ending an eight-month downward trend, indicating a positive effect from anti-involution policies[2] - The improvement in PPI is contingent on the recovery of domestic demand and international commodity price trends[3] Group 3: Market Dynamics - The weak CPI performance in August was primarily due to food and energy price pressures, while the core CPI showed improvement driven by policy-induced consumer activity[3] - The narrowing decline in PPI and the stabilization of key industrial product prices, such as coal and steel, suggest early signs of stabilization in production[3] - Risks include potential underperformance of domestic macroeconomic policies, unexpected changes in interest rates, and concentrated credit events[3]
核心CPI涨幅连续4个月扩大
Jin Rong Shi Bao· 2025-09-11 02:19
图为消费者在山东省青州市一家超市选购商品。 新华社发(王继林 摄) 具体来看,8月食品价格环比上涨0.5%,但涨幅低于季节性水平约1.1个百分点,其中,猪肉、鸡 蛋、鲜果价格变动均弱于季节性。食品价格同比下降4.3%,降幅比上月扩大2.7个百分点,对CPI同比的 下拉影响比上月增加约0.51个百分点,高于CPI同比降幅。 据董莉娟介绍,猪肉、鲜菜和鸡蛋价格同比分别下降16.1%、15.2%和14.2%,降幅比上月均有不同 程度扩大,鲜果价格同比由上月上涨2.8%转为下降3.7%,上述4项对CPI同比的下拉影响比上月增加约 0.47个百分点。非食品价格上涨0.5%,涨幅连续3个月扩大,影响CPI同比上涨约0.43个百分点。 8月消费市场运行总体平稳,居民消费价格指数(CPI)环比持平,同比下降0.4%,扣除食品和能 源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.9%,涨幅连续4个月扩大。 CPI同比为何由平转降?国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟认为,主要是上年同期对比基数走高 叠加8月食品价格涨幅低于季节性水平所致。从翘尾因素看,上年价格变动对8月CPI同比的翘尾影响约 为-0.9个百分点,下拉影响比上月扩大0.4个百分点;从 ...