转自：智通财经 【集运欧线期货主力合约日内涨幅扩大至5%】智通财经12月10日电，集运欧线期货主力合约日内涨幅 扩大至5%，报1694点。 转自：智通财经 【集运欧线期货主力合约日内涨幅扩大至5%】智通财经12月10日电，集运欧线期货主力合约日内涨幅 扩大至5%，报1694点。 ...

20251210申万期货品种策略日报-聚烯烃（LL&PP） | | 申银万国期货研究所 陆甲明 （从业编号F3079531 交易咨询号Z0015919） lujm@sywgqh.com.cn 021-50583880 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | LL PP | 1月 | 5月 | 9月 | 1月 | 5月 | 9月 | | | 前日收盘价 | 6557 | 6610 | 6656 | 6192 | 6280 | 6322 | | 期 | 前2日收盘价 涨跌 | 6643 -86 | 6708 -98 | 6754 -98 | 6275 -83 | 6370 -90 | 6409 -87 | | 货 | | | | | | | | | 市 | 涨跌幅 | -1.29% | -1.46% | -1.45% | -1.32% | -1.41% | -1.36% | | | 成交量 | 228488 | 193612 | 2327 | 245848 | 139975 | 3064 | | 场 | 持仓量 | 3 ...

2025 年 12 月 10 日 短纤：中期有压力，逢高做缩加工费 20251210 瓶片：中期有压力，逢高做缩加工费 20251210 | | 短纤2601 | 昨日 6180 | 前日 6220 | 变化 -40 | PF01-02 | 昨日 -2 | 前日 -6 | 变化 ব | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 短纤2602 | 6182 | 6226 | -44 | PF02-03 | 8 | 12 | -4 | | PF | 短纤2603 | 6174 | 6214 | -40 | PF主力基差 | 108 | 74 | 34 | | | 短纤主力持仓量 | 172136 | 174928 | -2792 | 短纤华东现货价格 | 6. 290 | 6. 300 | -10 | | | 短纤主力成交量 | 190815 昨日 | 182124 前日 | 8691 变化 | 短纤产销率 | 66% 昨日 | 50% 前日 | 16% 变化 | | | 瓶片2601 | 5576 | 5628 | -52 | PR0 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Urea: Not clearly indicated [1] - Methanol: Not clearly indicated [1] - Pure Benzene: Not clearly indicated [1] - Styrene: Not clearly indicated [1] - Propylene: Not clearly indicated [1] - Plastic: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars, indicating a relatively balanced short - term trend and poor operability) [1] - PVC: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars) [1] - Caustic Soda: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars) [1] - PX: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars) [1] - PTA: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars) [1] - Ethylene Glycol: Not clearly indicated [1] - Short - fiber: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars) [1] - Glass: ☆☆☆ (Three white stars) [1] - Soda Ash: Not clearly indicated [1] - Bottle Chips: Not clearly indicated [1] Core Views - The overall chemical market is affected by factors such as oil prices, supply - demand relationships, and device operations. Different chemical products show different trends and investment opportunities [2][3][4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Olefins - Polyolefins - Propylene futures had a narrow - range intraday consolidation. Production enterprises had smooth shipments, but the overall trading atmosphere was average. Downstream demand provided some support, but the upward momentum of prices was insufficient [2] - Plastic and polypropylene futures closed down. For polyethylene, supply was abundant, and downstream procurement was mainly for rigid needs. For polypropylene, supply pressure was controllable due to concentrated maintenance, but downstream demand showed signs of weakening [2] Pure Benzene - Styrene - The price of pure benzene futures closed below 5,500 yuan/ton again. The spot price in East China declined slightly. There was pressure in the short - term, but the supply - demand pressure might ease in the future. Consider long - short spreads on dips [3] - Styrene futures closed down slightly. The decline in crude oil prices made it difficult to drive the rise of styrene, but the supply - demand structure supported the price [3] Polyester - The decline in oil prices dragged down PX and PTA prices. The load of PX decreased slightly, and the output of PTA increased slightly. The supply - demand drive of the industry chain was limited [4] - Ethylene glycol rebounded rapidly in the late trading. The market faced inventory - building pressure due to increased supply and seasonal decline in demand. Short - term device shutdowns would relieve the supply pressure, but long - term pressure remained [4] - Short - fiber load ran at a high level, and inventory increased slightly. The long - term supply - demand pattern was relatively good. Bottle - chip demand weakened, and the long - term pressure was over - capacity [4] Coal Chemical Industry - Methanol futures prices fluctuated weakly. The port inventory was expected to remain high. The short - term supply - demand pattern was difficult to improve significantly, and it would mainly fluctuate weakly within a range [5] - Urea prices declined slightly. Last week, urea production enterprises destocked. The supply was still high, and the market sentiment cooled down. The market was expected to oscillate and correct [5] Chlor - alkali Industry - PVC continued to decline. The supply pressure might be relieved if enterprises were forced to overhaul. The export situation improved, but the domestic demand was weak. It was expected to operate in a low - level range [6] - Caustic soda continued to decline. The chlor - alkali integration still had profits, but the support for the liquid caustic soda price was limited. The industry faced high inventory pressure and would continue to compress profits [6]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No industry investment ratings are provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports Crude Oil - Monday saw a decline in international crude oil prices due to factors such as the resumption of normal operations in some Iraqi oil fields, the continuous production - increase plan of OPEC+, high - level US crude oil production, and an increase in crude oil inventory. However, the ongoing Russia - Ukraine peace talks and the expected Fed rate cut next week are likely to support prices. Short - term Brent crude is expected to trade between $60 - 65 per barrel [1]. Natural Rubber - On the supply side, the continuous decline in Thai raw material prices, the expected increase in overseas supply, the weakening of upstream cost support, and the seasonal increase in overseas shipments have led to a continuous build - up of natural rubber inventory, suppressing spot prices. On the demand side, although tire production is gradually recovering, the overall output increase is limited, and the market is mainly focused on inventory digestion. Short - term rubber prices are expected to be weak and volatile [3]. Methanol - Methanol futures fluctuated narrowly. Spot was purchased on - demand, and the basis was firm. Inland supply increased with plant restarts, but coal - and gas - based production profits were weak. Traditional downstream demand increased slightly, and winter fuel demand provided support. In ports, Iranian gas restrictions led to multiple plant shutdowns, strengthening the expectation of inventory reduction, but high overseas shipments and a large number of registered warrants kept prices weak. Attention should be paid to MTO05 [6][7]. LLDPE and PP - The operating load of polyethylene is gradually increasing, and supply is on the rise. Although upstream inventory is being depleted, it is still higher than the same period last year, and the profit from naphtha cracking is low. The supply of polypropylene is expected to increase after maintenance, and inventory depletion is accelerating, but the overall inventory level is still high. The cost of propylene is strong, compressing the profit of PP production processes. Overall, the fundamentals show a pattern of increasing supply and weak demand, with cost support and inventory pressure coexisting [11]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - For pure benzene, domestic supply is expected to remain stable, downstream cash flow has improved slightly, but demand support is limited. There will be a large number of imports arriving at ports, and port inventory is expected to continue to build up. The short - term price driver is weak, and it may follow oil prices and styrene fluctuations. For styrene, although planned and unplanned maintenance is expected to increase, the overall operating rate may rise slightly, and port inventory may continue to decline. However, due to weak cost support and seasonal weakening of terminal demand, the upside space is limited [14]. Urea - Supply pressure is continuously released as the daily production on December 8 reached a recent high. Demand is in the off - season, and downstream procurement willingness is weak. Although the inventory depletion rate of enterprises has accelerated, the overall inventory level is still high. The mismatch between supply and demand is the main reason for price decline, and short - term prices are expected to be weak and volatile [15]. Polyester Industry Chain - For PX, short - term supply is less affected, but there is an expected supply contraction in the medium - term. Demand is relatively strong, and short - term price drivers are limited, but medium - term support is strong. PTA supply is expected to decrease in November - December, and demand is relatively strong, with short - term price support. Ethylene glycol is expected to continue to decline due to high overseas supply and inventory build - up. Short - fiber supply remains high, and demand is seasonally weak, with limited price drivers. Polyester bottle - chip supply is expected to increase in December, and demand is weak, with processing fees expected to be squeezed [16]. LPG - The data shows price fluctuations in LPG futures and spot markets, as well as changes in inventory and operating rates. Overall, the market is in a state of adjustment, and attention should be paid to changes in supply and demand and international market prices [17]. Glass and Soda Ash - Soda ash production is at a high level, and it is expected to return to the inventory - build - up pattern this week. Downstream demand is shrinking, and the supply - demand pattern is bearish. Glass prices in some regions are weakening, and although there is still some short - term demand support, the medium - and long - term demand outlook is not optimistic [19]. PVC and Caustic Soda - Caustic soda industry supply is abundant, demand is weak, and prices are expected to be weak. PVC supply pressure remains high, demand is low, and although there is some export advantage, overall supply exceeds demand, and prices are expected to be weak [20]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs Crude Oil - **Prices and Spreads**: Brent crude fell from $63.75 to $62.49 per barrel (-1.98%), WTI from $60.08 to $58.88 per barrel (-2.00%), and SC rose from 453.40 to 456.40 yuan/ton (0.66%). Various spreads also showed different degrees of change [1]. - **Refined Oil**: Prices of NYM RBOB, NYM ULSD, and ICE Gasoil all declined, and their spreads also changed [1]. - **Refined Oil Crack Spreads**: Crack spreads of various refined oil products in different regions decreased [1]. Natural Rubber - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The price of Yunnan Guofu new - type rubber increased slightly, while the price of Thai standard mixed rubber decreased. The basis of whole - milk rubber increased [3]. - **Monthly Spreads**: The 9 - 1 spread increased significantly, while the 1 - 5 and 5 - 9 spreads decreased [3]. - **Fundamentals**: In October, production in Thailand, Indonesia, and China decreased, while production in India increased. Tire production and export decreased, and inventory increased [3]. Methanol - **Prices and Spreads**: Futures and spot prices showed small fluctuations, and various spreads also changed [6]. - **Inventory**: Methanol enterprise, port, and social inventories all decreased [6]. - **Operating Rates**: Upstream domestic enterprise operating rates increased slightly, while some downstream operating rates changed [7]. LLDPE and PP - **Prices and Spreads**: Futures and spot prices of LLDPE and PP decreased slightly, and various spreads changed [11]. - **Operating Rates and Inventory**: PE and PP operating rates showed different trends, and enterprise and social inventories decreased [11]. Pure Benzene and Styrene - **Upstream Prices and Spreads**: Crude oil, naphtha, and other upstream prices changed, and spreads between products also changed [14]. - **Styrene - Related Prices and Spreads**: Styrene prices and spreads showed different degrees of change [14]. - **Inventory and Operating Rates**: Pure benzene and styrene inventories and operating rates in different regions changed [14]. Urea - **Futures Prices and Spreads**: Futures prices and spreads changed [15]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply increased, demand was weak, and inventory was at a high level [15]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Upstream and Downstream Prices**: Upstream crude oil, naphtha, and other prices changed, and downstream polyester product prices and cash flows also changed [16]. - **PX, PTA, and MEG**: Prices, spreads, inventory, and operating rates of PX, PTA, and MEG all changed [16]. LPG - **Prices and Spreads**: Futures and spot prices of LPG changed, and various spreads also changed [17]. - **External Market Prices**: LPG external market prices increased slightly [17]. - **Inventory and Operating Rates**: LPG inventory decreased, and upstream and downstream operating rates changed [17]. Glass and Soda Ash - **Prices and Spreads**: Glass and soda ash prices and spreads changed [19]. - **Supply, Inventory, and Real - Estate Data**: Supply, inventory, and real - estate data showed different trends [19]. PVC and Caustic Soda - **Prices and Spreads**: PVC and caustic soda prices and spreads changed [20]. - **Supply, Demand, and Inventory**: Supply, demand, and inventory of PVC and caustic soda showed different trends [20].

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】31号 【新能源周报】 12月排产更新，商品价格承压 国贸期货贵金属与新能源研究中心 2025-12-8 分析师：白素娜 从业资格证号：F3023916 投资咨询证号：Z0013700 助理分析师：陈宇森 从业资格证号： F03123927 本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议；期市有风险，投资需谨慎 目录 01 02 工业硅（SI） 多晶硅（PS ） 碳酸锂（LC ） 01 PART ONE 工业硅（SI） 多晶硅（PS） 工业硅 ：供给重心向西北转移 ，硅价上方压力较大 本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议，期市有风险，投资需谨慎 影响因素 驱动 主要逻辑 供给端 偏多 （1）全国周产8.13 万吨，环比-8.69%；全国开炉238台，环比-19台。 （2）主产区：新疆地区周产4.92 万吨，环比-2.19%，开炉数环比一致。云南地区周产0.55 万吨，环比-19.77%，开炉数环比-11台。四川地区 周产0.25 万吨，环比-60.48%，开炉数环比-7台。 （3）11月产量40.1 ...

2025 年 12 月 8 日 硅铁：工厂复产情绪冲击，宽幅震荡 锰硅：市场多空情绪博弈，宽幅震荡 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 期货研究 商 品 研 究 | | 李亚飞 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0021184 | liyafei2@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 金园园（联系人） | 期货从业资格号：F03134630 | jinyuanyuan2@gtht.com | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | | | 硅铁、锰硅基本面数据 | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 较前一交易日 | 成交量 | 持仓量 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 硅 铁2603 | 5474 | -72 | 403,523 | 262,736 | | 期 货 | 硅 铁2605 | 5436 | -70 | 24,325 | 57,395 | | | 锰 硅2601 | 5746 | -32 | 68,664 | 147,717 | | | 锰 硅2605 | 5796 | -32 | 63 ...

| | 收盘价 | 今日涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 生猪01 | 11385 | 0 | 0% | | 生猪03 | 11085 | -105 | -0.94% | | 生猪05 | 11805 | -65 | -0.55% | | 生猪07 | 12590 | -30 | -0.24% | | 生猪09 | 13515 | -10 | -0.07% | | 生猪11 | 13770 | -5 | -0.04% | 饲料养殖日报 2025/12/05 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：许亮 Z000220 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和 建议。在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形 下做出修改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客 ...

| 铁矿石产业期现日报 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2025年12月5日 | | | | Z0020017 徐艺丹 | | | 铁矿石相关价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 前值 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | | 仓単成本:卡粉 | 796.7 | 803.3 | -6.6 | -0.8% | | | 仓单成本:PB粉 | 841.4 | 844.7 | -3.3 | -0.4% | | | 仓单成本:巴混粉 | 843.8 | 847.0 | -3.2 | -0.4% | | | 仓单成本:金布巴粉 | 840.3 | 843.5 | -3.2 | -0.4% | | | 01合约基差:卡粉 | 2.2 | 3.8 | -1.6 | -41.6% | | | 01合约基差:PB粉 | 46.9 | 45.2 | 1.7 | 3.8% | 元/吨 | | 01合约基差:巴混粉 | 49.3 | 47.5 | 1.8 | 3.7% | | | 01合约基差 ...

每经AI快讯，12月5日，集运指数欧线期货主力合约日内涨6%，现报1641点。 每经AI快讯，12月5日，集运指数欧线期货主力合约日内涨6%，现报1641点。 ...