行业反内卷
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【电新公用环保】持续看好风电整机环节,关注光伏“防内卷”后续政策——电新公用环保行业周报20250629(殷中枢)
光大证券研究· 2025-06-30 13:10
Overall Viewpoint - Wind power: The price of wind turbine units is stabilizing, and the trend towards larger units along with cost reductions in components will drive continuous improvement in profitability for the turbine segment through 2026. The 136 document reshapes the logic of new energy installations, as wind power has a favorable output curve, leading to a potential recovery in wind power development and power station sales. Short-term pressure is expected from June wind power bidding and Q2 performance, but the market is gradually digesting these issues, and expectations for improvement in related indicators are forming [2]. Component Segment - Attention is drawn to the trend of larger turbine units, particularly in the bearing segment, and investment opportunities in European offshore wind products. The current timing is crucial for performance realization [3]. Photovoltaics - This week, the price of polysilicon futures has rebounded due to news factors. After experiencing internal competition policies in Q4 2024 and a rush for installations in Q1 2025, the photovoltaic sector's debt repayment ability did not continue to deteriorate during Q1 2025. However, starting in May 2025, production and prices in the photovoltaic sector have declined, further worsening the sector's debt repayment and profitability. It is anticipated that supply or demand-side support policies will strengthen in the next phase, with a focus on BC cells, perovskite, silicon materials, and low-PB integrated companies [3]. Solid-State Batteries - The market for solid-state batteries has expanded to include copper foil, separators, and other segments, which are currently at low price levels and in distress, but may not have reversed yet. In the short term, there is a risk of a pullback in the solid-state battery sector. However, in the medium term, battery manufacturers are actively advancing semi-solid production lines and full solid-state experiments, leading to increased capital expenditure in the solid-state battery sector, supported by policies. Continuous attention is recommended for solid-state battery front and mid-process equipment, lithium sulfide, solid-state electrolyte membranes, and dry-process positive electrode technologies [3]. Energy Storage - There is a consensus in the market regarding the favorable outlook for large-scale energy storage in Europe and overseas commercial storage. However, there are differing views on the profitability improvement and demand rhythm for domestic large-scale storage following the 136 document. The good bidding data for large-scale storage in May-June is related to the "531" rush for installations and independent energy storage "land grabbing." The mid-term profitability improvement for large-scale storage relies on the construction of the electricity market and improved trading flexibility, while the peak-valley price difference remains cyclical. In the short term, large-scale storage still requires substantial subsidies, but the commercial model is expected to improve, necessitating continuous monitoring of large-scale storage bidding data changes in the second half of the year [4][5].
李斌:蔚来一直反对打价格战,行业反内卷对蔚来走向盈利是好事
Xin Lang Ke Ji· 2025-06-04 08:28
新浪科技讯 6月4日下午消息,在今日的蔚来沟通会上,蔚来创始人、董事长、CEO李斌,蔚来联合创 始人、总裁秦力洪与媒体对话。 对于近期的价格战话题,李斌表示,最近行业协会、主管部门也在呼吁要坚决反对内卷式竞争,蔚来肯 定是不喜欢价格战。如果只是从价格战去参与做市场竞争的手段,对整个行业的健康发展都是非常不利 的。蔚来一直都是在研发方面坚决进行投入,在充换电网络方面进行坚决投入,在用户体验、用户价值 方面进行投入。这些投入如果简单被价格战就给带进去了,对于蔚来这种做长期投入的公司来说,肯定 是非常辛苦的。 "我们也非常高兴看到现在国家相关部门在治理行业乱象,行业协会也进行了呼吁,我们一直都是反对 打价格战。"他表示,蔚来被迫参与市场促销方面,总的来说都是非常克制的。现在行业反内卷是利好 蔚来,希望整个行业能够把精力放在技术创新、用户服务上。避免简单的用价格战去把行业推到非常难 以持续竞争的境地里去。希望整个行业能够真正拼技术、拼品质、拼服务,这样才能让整个行业能够健 康持续地发展。才能够把中国智能电动汽车产业、新能源产业来之不易的好局面保持下来。 "我们认为现在行业反内卷,对蔚来是好事儿。因为我们本来是被动参与 ...