黄金避险属性
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多因素推动金价维持高位
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-18 22:15
在业内人士看来,由于市场此前已充分消化降息预期,降息"靴子"落地后或出现"利多出尽"的现象,金 价短线可能承压,但中长期黄金价格仍有支撑。 "短期来看,美联储年内连续降息是大概率事件,'降息周期'将继续成为黄金的核心交易逻辑,金价大 概率维持'易涨难跌'走势。"梁永慧说,长期视角下,全球地缘政治局势紧张、美国债务高企、全球央 行持续购金以及美联储降息周期等底层支撑因素短期难以改变,黄金长期上涨趋势或将延续。 白雪提示,美联储降息符合市场预期,需警惕前期积累的大量多头头寸因获利了结、集中平仓而导致的 金价回调。"但历史数据也显示,在美联储降息后的60天内,黄金价格平均上涨6%,部分周期涨幅高达 14%。同时,中东、俄乌等地缘政治风险以及美元信用受损强化了黄金的避险属性,也将支撑金价上 涨。全球央行持续购金,以及新兴市场央行储备多元化需求也对金价构成长期利好。"白雪说。 近段时间,在美联储降息预期持续升温等因素作用下,国际黄金价格上涨明显。9月16日,伦敦现货黄 金价格首次突破每盎司3700美元关口,最高触及每盎司3703.13美元,创下历史新高。如今,美联储降 息"靴子"落地,业内人士认为,国际金价在短期或振幅 ...
金价冲 3700!暴涨39%,越南金跌1%仍溢价2190,这里有什么弯弯绕
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 12:52
一边是越南金条、金戒指价格悄悄跌了1%多,一边是全球金价连涨四周、今年狂飙39%,眼看就要摸 到历史高点。这反差是不是有点让人懵? 明明国际金价都快冲3700美元/盎司了,越南本地金咋还"反向操作"? 更怪的是,就算小跌,越南金价仍比国际高2000多人民币每两,这溢价没消不说,投资者还喊"稳了"。 这"稳"到底从哪来?是全球涨势托底,还是越南人买黄金的老习惯在撑着? 想知道答案,就得往下捋捋这黄金市场的"里外账"。 越南金价,为何逆行? 咱们看越南黄金市场这事儿,表面是"本地小跌、全球大涨"的反差,但细琢磨可能会有不少疑问。 前言 接下来咱们就从几个容易让人困惑的角度聊聊,先说说可能的质疑,再慢慢捋清楚背后的逻辑,这样也 能更明白黄金市场到底是咋回事。 或许有人会说,全球金价都连着四周涨了,甚至快摸到历史高点,可越南的金条、金戒指价格反而跌了 1%多,这是不是说明越南黄金市场跟国际"脱钩"了? 要是以后一直背离,那之前说的"整体趋势向上"不就没道理了?其实还真不是脱钩。 现在越南本地金价还比国际高15百万越南盾(差不多2190元人民币每两),这说明国际金价的上涨趋势 其实还在"托着"本地市场,只是越南这边出了 ...
谁给黄金插上了金融属性的翅膀?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 09:52
Core Viewpoint - The recent surge in gold prices is primarily driven by expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, alongside the introduction of digital gold, which enhances the financial attributes of physical gold [1][2]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The U.S. non-farm payroll numbers have consistently fallen short of expectations, leading to a strong likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut this month, with speculation of two additional cuts to stabilize economic growth [1]. - Historical data indicates that gold prices typically rise by an average of 6% within 60 days following the start of a rate-cutting cycle in the U.S. [1]. - Concerns over the independence of the Federal Reserve, particularly in light of President Trump's criticisms, could further bolster gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [1]. Group 2: Introduction of Digital Gold - The World Gold Council plans to pilot digital gold next year, utilizing 8,776 tons of gold stored in London as the underlying asset, leveraging blockchain technology to issue corresponding digital gold [2]. - The minimum trading unit for digital gold will be as low as 0.01 ounces (approximately 0.31 grams), with a transaction value of around $35, significantly lowering the investment threshold for ordinary investors [2]. - Digital gold will support 24/7 trading and reduce settlement time from the traditional "T+2" to real-time, cutting transaction costs by over 60% compared to physical gold [2]. Group 3: Comparison with Gold ETFs - Unlike gold ETFs, which are essentially securities linked to the price of physical gold and do not guarantee ownership of the metal, digital gold is directly tied to real gold stored in London, making it akin to a stablecoin in the gold sector [2][3]. - The price of digital gold is expected to respond more sensitively and accurately to market changes compared to gold ETFs, enhancing its hedging capabilities [3]. Group 4: Strategic Intentions of the World Gold Council - The introduction of digital gold aims to generate revenue through increased trading activity, as the smaller trading units and improved liquidity will attract a broader range of global investors [3]. - The initiative also seeks to revitalize the UK financial sector, particularly London, which historically was a global financial hub before being surpassed by Wall Street [3][4].
贺博生:9.15黄金原油晚间行情涨跌趋势分析及欧美盘最新独家操作建议
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 09:46
投资市场永远有四个层次:保住本金,控制风险,赚取收益,长期稳定持续赢利。不要因为一天的输赢定结果,赚钱是偶然还是必然,是凭真功夫还是凭运 气,在市场上能活着的肯定是最终能够长期持续赢利的投资者。交易就是一个好的习惯,严格执行你的交易计划。一次严谨的交易=良好的心态控制+正确 的仓位控制+过硬的技术功力,合作从不强买强卖。机会是留给有准备的人,一次正确的选择大于百倍努力, 你相信老师,我给你一个满意收益,你刚好 需要,我刚好专业! 黄金消息面解析:周一(9月15日)欧市早盘,现货黄金震荡微跌,目前交投于3643美元/盎司附近。上周五,国际金价仅微涨0.26%,收于3643.21美元/盎 司,但这一数字距离上周早些时候创下的3674美元巅峰仅一步之遥。背后的推手,正是美国劳动力市场疲软的信号灯,夯实了美联储将于本周迎来今年首次 降息的预期。调查显示,多数分析师仍倾向于看涨黄金后市,一些机构看涨至3900上方。在这样的背景下,美联储的货币政策天平倾斜已成定局。投资者们 不再纠结于短期波动,而是将目光锁定在本周美联储决议前夕的观望氛围。 毕竟,自去年12月美联储最后一次降息以来,其基准利率区间一直维持在4.25%-4 ...
金价亚盘小幅震荡微跌,考虑支撑位多单布局方案
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-15 06:01
周一(9月15日)亚市早盘,现货黄金震荡微跌,目前交投于3637美元/盎司附近。上周五,国际金价仅 微涨0.26%,收于3643.21美元/盎司,但这一数字距离上周早些时候创下的3674美元巅峰仅一步之遥。 背后的推手,正是美国劳动力市场疲软的信号灯,夯实了美联储将于本周迎来今年首次降息的预期。调 查显示,多数分析师仍倾向于看涨黄金后市,一些机构看涨至3900上方。本周不仅有美联储利率决议, 还将出炉有着"恐怖数据"之称的美国零售销售数据,加拿大央行、英国央行和日本央行也将分别公布利 率决议,中美新一轮贸易谈判也正在进行,投资者需要重点关注。 美联储的货币政策天平倾斜已成定局。投资者们不再纠结于短期波动,而是将目光锁定在本周美联储决 议前夕的观望氛围。毕竟,自去年12月美联储最后一次降息以来,其基准利率区间一直维持在 4.25%-4.5%的"按兵不动"状态长达九个月。但如今,劳动力市场的疲软已成为压垮骆驼的最后一根稻 草,它强化了市场对宽松政策的渴望。金价的微涨并非孤立事件,而是这一预期链条的直接产物:当经 济下行风险升温时,黄金作为"硬通货"的避险属性瞬间被激活,资金如潮水般涌入,推动价格在高位稳 固。 当 ...
港股黄金板块狂飙,紫金金矿子公司拟扩大募资冲刺聆讯
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-09-14 02:55
Group 1 - The spot gold price surged to a record high of $3,674.27 per ounce, driving significant gains in the Hong Kong gold sector, with Lingbao Gold up 529.56% year-to-date [1][3] - Major gold companies such as China Gold International, Zhaojin Mining, and Zijin Mining saw substantial stock price increases of 240.44%, 174.62%, and 116.12% respectively, while Laopu Gold's stock price skyrocketed over 17 times since its listing, making it the highest-priced stock in Hong Kong [1][3] - Zijin Mining's subsidiary, Zijin Gold International, plans to increase its IPO fundraising target from $2 billion to $3 billion, positioning it as the second-largest IPO globally after CATL [1][3] Group 2 - The rise in gold prices is attributed to increased global macroeconomic uncertainty, expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, geopolitical conflicts, and a surge in central bank gold purchases [3][4] - Lingbao Gold leads the industry with 37 mining rights and 131.81 tons of gold reserves, while Zijin Mining reported a revenue of 167.7 billion yuan and a net profit growth of 54.4% in the first half of the year, with a market capitalization exceeding 757.5 billion HKD [3][4] - Laopu Gold's innovative "ancient method gold" retail model resulted in a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan and a net profit of 2.35 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 251% and 291% respectively [3][4] Group 3 - Analysts highlight that the strong performance of the gold sector is supported by both fundamental and capital market factors, including sustained demand for gold from central banks and strategic asset optimization by mining giants through spin-offs and mergers [4]
帮主郑重:黄金突然暴涨!这3类人必须知道的3个真相
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 01:13
Core Insights - The recent surge in gold prices, increasing by 30% in one month and doubling over three years, is attributed to three main factors: the Federal Reserve's potential interest rate cuts, global geopolitical tensions, and central banks accumulating gold reserves [3][4]. Group 1: Factors Influencing Gold Prices - The Federal Reserve's anticipated interest rate cuts are seen as a catalyst for gold price increases, as a weaker dollar typically boosts gold's appeal [3]. - Ongoing global conflicts, such as those in the Middle East and Ukraine, have led wealthy individuals to seek gold as a safe haven [3]. - Central banks worldwide, including China, Poland, and Turkey, are significantly increasing their gold reserves, with China having added to its holdings for ten consecutive months [3]. Group 2: Implications for Investors - Individuals holding gold, whether in physical form or through gold funds, are benefiting from the price increase, with retail gold prices exceeding 1070 yuan per gram, a nearly 40% rise since the beginning of the year [3]. - Short-term fluctuations in gold prices are expected, with recent prices reaching 1079 yuan per gram before retreating to 1075 yuan [3]. - Long-term prospects for gold remain strong, with Morgan Stanley predicting potential prices of $3,800 to $5,000 per ounce by year-end due to increasing central bank purchases and issues with dollar credibility [3][4].
地球上的金属那么多,为何唯有黄金这么值钱?黄金有哪些优势?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-14 00:49
Group 1 - The recent surge in gold prices, with prices reaching 1074 yuan per gram for gold jewelry and 845 yuan per gram for ICBC's gold bars, indicates a significant increase from earlier prices of 632 yuan per gram [1][2] - Gold's unique properties, including its chemical stability and resistance to oxidation, contribute to its status as the "king of precious metals," making it a valuable asset over time [2][4] - The global proven gold reserves are limited to 54,770 tons, with an annual production of 3,661 tons, suggesting that at current extraction rates, gold could be mined for only about 12 years [2][3] Group 2 - Gold's versatility in various applications, including electronics and medical fields, enhances its demand, with global technology gold demand reaching 326 tons in 2024, a 7% increase year-on-year [4][6] - Central banks are increasingly purchasing gold, with global purchases reaching 1,045 tons in 2024, highlighting gold's role as a stable asset not reliant on government credit [6][7] - The unique supply-demand dynamics in the gold market, with a total demand of 4,974 tons against a supply of 4,975 tons, create a tight balance that can lead to significant price fluctuations [7][8] Group 3 - The rising popularity of gold ETFs, with holdings increasing by 86.66% to 114.73 tons in 2024, indicates a growing recognition of gold as a key asset for investment diversification [9] - Gold's historical significance and cultural value, having been a symbol of wealth for over 7,000 years, further solidify its status as a precious commodity [13] - Current economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks are driving the investment value of gold, making it a wise choice for both central banks and individual investors [13]
金价下跌了:2025年9月10日,国内市场人民币黄金的今日报价
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 06:23
Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant surge in gold prices, reaching a historical high of $3635.81 per ounce, with a year-to-date increase of over 38% from $2624.43 at the end of 2024 [1] - The domestic gold jewelry brands have adjusted their prices in response to the rising international gold prices, with notable increases across various brands [2][3][4][5] - The international precious metals market shows a strong performance for gold, with fluctuations in other metals like silver, platinum, and palladium, indicating varied market dynamics [9] Group 2 - The recovery prices for precious metals are also noteworthy, with gold recovery prices at 818 yuan per gram for pure gold, reflecting the high market prices [10] - The future outlook for gold prices suggests that demand will be a crucial factor, with geopolitical tensions and economic conditions influencing market behavior [14][15] - The article emphasizes that the increase in gold prices since 2022 is a result of global uncertainties, including geopolitical conflicts and inflation, which have reinforced gold's status as a safe-haven asset [15]
2025正规的黄金现货平台如何应对黄金牛市?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-12 19:34
Core Insights - The global gold spot market is experiencing explosive growth in 2025, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and escalating geopolitical risks, with gold prices surpassing $3,674 per ounce in early September, marking a 38% increase year-to-date [1] - The Asian market is particularly notable, with gold futures trading volume in the Asian session exceeding one-third of the total, and daily trading volume of micro gold futures contracts increasing fivefold compared to two years ago, indicating a significant rise in retail investor participation [1] Market Data - In China, the total transaction value of all gold varieties reached 10.70 trillion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 42.85%, while domestic gold ETF holdings surged by 327.73% [3] - Central banks are on a gold-buying spree, with the People's Bank of China increasing its gold reserves for ten consecutive months, reaching 74.02 million ounces by the end of August, and global central bank purchases expected to remain between 900-950 tons in 2025 [4] Trading Platform Requirements - As the influence of the Asian trading session grows, investors' demands for gold trading platforms are evolving, necessitating three core standards: easy verification of regulatory qualifications, system stability for order execution during high volatility, and comprehensive risk management tools [3] Compliance and Security - Jinsheng Precious Metals meets the core requirements of a compliant gold trading platform, being an AA class member of the Hong Kong Gold Exchange, with transparent trading processes and independent transaction codes for trades over 0.1 lots [6] - The platform implements a "funds separation custody" system, ensuring client funds are stored separately from operational funds, and offers a rapid two-hour withdrawal service, significantly faster than the industry average [7] Investment Guidelines for New Investors - New investors are advised to verify platform regulatory qualifications, test small transaction processes, and learn basic trading rules to avoid scams [8] - It is emphasized that with gold prices at historical highs, there is no possibility of "guaranteed high returns," and investors should establish rational expectations and utilize regulated trading platforms [8]