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李迅雷专栏 | 中央经济工作会议将如何优化“存量”与“增量”
中泰证券资管· 2025-12-17 11:33
中国经济已步入存量经济主导的时代。一方面,我国经济体量大,"中国已成大象,不可能再躲在树后",国际 经贸斗争对优化存量、争取增量提出了更高要求;另一方面,多年来的经济发展也累积了一定规模的债务,增 量债务可能面临边际效益递减,存量债务也可能不像"船小好调头"。"十五五"规划建议已经擘画了五年的发展 蓝图,近期落幕的中央经济工作会议又将对2026年的经济发展提出哪些具体指示要求?本文试作分析。 大国关系成为影响经济重要变量 ——以苦练内功开展"经贸斗争" 这次中央经济工作会议提出"外部环境变化的影响加深",相比去年末的会议,没有再提 "不利影响加深" ,说 明面对加征关税、高科技封锁等外部压力,我国已经更有信心去应对,并有能力化不利为有利,主动运筹国际 空间、塑造外部环境的诸多有利因素。 中央经济工作会议在总结经济工作规律性认识中提出,必须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战,对于明年的工作提 出"坚持稳中求进工作总基调,更好统筹国内经济工作和 国际经贸斗争 ,更好统筹发展和安全"要求。"坚持稳 中求进工作总基调"是多年来始终坚持的经济工作重要原则,"更好统筹发展和安全"是树牢底线思维,那么"更 好统筹国内经济工作和国际经 ...
李迅雷解读中央经济工作会议:大国关系成为影响经济重要变量,以苦练内功开展“经贸斗争”
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 14:57
专题:中央经济工作会议在北京举行 业内机构解读 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报,权威,专业,及时,全面,助您挖掘潜力主题机会! 来源:李迅雷金融与投资 中国经济已步入存量经济主导的时代。一方面,我国经济体量大,"中国已成大象,不可能再躲在树 后",国际经贸斗争对优化存量、争取增量提出了更高要求;另一方面,多年来的经济发展也累积了一 定规模的债务,增量债务可能面临边际效益递减,存量债务也可能不像"船小好调头"。"十五五"规划建 议已经擘画了五年的发展蓝图,今天落幕的中央经济工作会议又将对2026年的经济发展提出哪些具体指 示要求?本文试作分析。 大国关系成为影响经济重要变量 ——以苦练内功开展"经贸斗争" 这次中央经济工作会议提出"外部环境变化的影响加深",相比去年末的会议,没有再提"不利影响加 深",说明面对加征关税、高科技封锁等外部压力,我国已经更有信心去应对,并有能力化不利为有 利,主动运筹国际空间、塑造外部环境的诸多有利因素。 中央经济工作会议在总结经济工作规律性认识中提出,必须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战,对于明年的工 作提出"坚持稳中求进工作总基调,更好统筹国内经济工作和国际经贸斗争,更好统筹发展和安全"要 ...
李迅雷:中央经济工作会议将如何优化“存量”与“增量”|立方大家谈
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-12-11 14:19
李迅雷 | 立方大家谈专栏作者 中国经济已步入存量经济主导的时代。一方面,我国经济体量大,"中国已成大象,不可能再躲在树后",国际经贸斗争对优化存量、争取增量提出了更高要 求;另一方面,多年来的经济发展也累积了一定规模的债务,增量债务可能面临边际效益递减,存量债务也可能不像"船小好调头"。"十五五"规划建议已经 擘画了五年的发展蓝图,今天落幕的中央经济工作会议又将对2026年的经济发展提出哪些具体指示要求?本文试作分析。 大国关系成为影响经济重要变量 ——以苦练内功开展"经贸斗争" 这次中央经济工作会议提出"外部环境变化的影响加深",相比去年末的会议,没有再提"不利影响加深",说明面对加征关税、高科技封锁等外部压力,我国 已经更有信心去应对,并有能力化不利为有利,主动运筹国际空间、塑造外部环境的诸多有利因素。 中央经济工作会议在总结经济工作规律性认识中提出,必须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战,对于明年的工作提出"坚持稳中求进工作总基调,更好统筹国内经 济工作和国际经贸斗争,更好统筹发展和安全"要求。"坚持稳中求进工作总基调"是多年来始终坚持的经济工作重要原则,"更好统筹发展和安全"是树牢底 线思维,那么"更好统筹国 ...
中央经济工作会议将如何优化“存量”与“增量”
(转载请注明出处:微信公众号 lixunlei0722 ) 中国经济已步入存量经济主导的时代。一方面,我国经济体量大,"中国已成大象,不可能再躲在树后",国际 经贸斗争对优化存量、争取增量提出了更高要求;另一方面,多年来的经济发展也累积了一定规模的债务,增 量债务可能面临边际效益递减,存量债务也可能不像"船小好调头"。"十五五"规划建议已经擘画了五年的发展 蓝图,今天落幕的中央经济工作会议又将对2026年的经济发展提出哪些具体指示要求?本文试作分析。 大国关系成为影响经济重要变量 ——以苦练内功开展"经贸斗争" 这次中央经济工作会议提出"外部环境变化的影响加深",相比去年末的会议,没有再提" 不利影响加深 ",说明面对加征关税、高科技封锁等外部压力,我国已经更有信心去应对,并有能力化不利为有利, 主动运筹国际空间、塑造外部环境的诸多有利因素。 中央经济工作会议在总结经济工作规律性认识中提出,必须以苦练内功来应对外部挑战,对于明年的工 作提出"坚持稳中求进工作总基调,更好统筹国内经济工作和 国际经贸斗争 ,更好统筹发展和安全"要 求。"坚持稳中求进工作总基调"是多年来始终坚持的经济工作重要原则,"更好统筹发展和 ...
亮点前瞻|启航新征程·国泰海通2026年度策略会
Group 1 - The main forum gathers prominent guests from institutions like the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and the China Financial Forty Forum, focusing on insights into the US-China economy and major power relations [2] - Nearly 30 sub-forums cover hot topics such as humanoid robots, AI ecosystem, automotive extensions, new energy, new consumption, real estate chain, and innovative pharmaceuticals, featuring a comprehensive research lineup and senior industry experts to analyze industry trends [3] - The event will take place from November 4-6 at the China Grand Hotel in Beijing [4] Group 2 - Over 800 listed companies will participate, with more than 1,000 small-scale exchanges covering over 40 industries, providing a comprehensive, high-quality, and efficient communication platform for professional institutions [5] - Multiple specialized forums will be set up by various departments, including policy and industry research institutes, sales departments, futures research institutes, margin financing departments, and asset allocation departments, creating a one-stop communication and dialogue platform [6] - High-end dialogues between domestic and foreign investors will be specially arranged, with several international relations experts decoding the political and economic landscape of key regions such as US-China, China-Europe, Middle East, and Africa [8] Group 3 - A total forum live broadcast will be presented on Junhong APP and Daohuo APP, led by chief analysts in macro and strategy research, forecasting investment strategies for 2026 [10]
北京香山论坛筹委会:俄美法德等100余个国家、地区和国际组织确认出席本届香山论坛
Huan Qiu Wang· 2025-09-11 10:08
Group 1 - The 12th Beijing Xiangshan Forum will be held from September 17 to 19, focusing on "Safeguarding International Order and Promoting Peaceful Development" [1][2] - Over 100 countries' defense departments and military leaders, including representatives from Russia, Germany, France, Ukraine, and the United States, have confirmed attendance, indicating a broad and inclusive representation [2][3] - The forum will feature four plenary sessions and eight parallel sessions discussing topics such as global security governance, strategic trust in the Asia-Pacific region, and the impact of emerging technologies on international security [1][2] Group 2 - The forum coincides with the 80th anniversary of the victory in the World Anti-Fascist War and the establishment of the United Nations, highlighting China's role as a builder of peace and contributor to global development [4] - The international influence of the Beijing Xiangshan Forum is increasing, with a particular focus on major power relations, especially between China and the United States [3][4] - The forum will also include a defense technology exhibition, emphasizing the theme "Peaceful Use of Technology, Technology Safeguarding Peace," aligning with the forum's values [2]
北京香山论坛筹委会:俄美法德等100多个国家和组织代表确认出席本届香山论坛
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-09-11 10:08
Group 1 - The 12th Beijing Xiangshan Forum will be held from September 17 to 19, focusing on "Safeguarding International Order and Promoting Peaceful Development" [1][2] - Over 100 countries, including Russia, Germany, France, Ukraine, and the United States, will have defense department leaders and representatives from international and regional organizations attending [2][3] - The forum will feature four plenary sessions discussing global security governance, strategic trust in the Asia-Pacific, post-war international order, and regional peace through dialogue [1][2] Group 2 - The representation at this year's forum includes a significant increase in former military and political leaders, as well as renowned experts, enhancing its inclusivity and balance [2] - A concurrent exhibition on defense technology will take place, themed "Peaceful Use of Technology, Technology Safeguarding Peace," aligning with the forum's values [2] - The forum is expected to address the evolving dynamics of major power relations, particularly the U.S.-China relationship, which remains a focal point of media attention [3][4] Group 3 - The forum's agenda is influenced by significant historical milestones, such as the 80th anniversary of the victory in the Anti-Japanese War and the establishment of the United Nations [4] - The development of China's military capabilities is anticipated to enhance international confidence in China's role as a contributor to global peace and stability [4]
受虐?欧盟外长:美国是“严厉的爱”,总比没爱强
Guan Cha Zhe Wang· 2025-06-01 07:46
Group 1 - The article discusses the ongoing tensions between the U.S. and Europe regarding defense spending, with U.S. Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin urging European nations to increase their military budgets [1][3] - EU's High Representative for Foreign Affairs, Josep Borrell, responded to U.S. criticisms by emphasizing the importance of the transatlantic relationship and suggesting that the U.S. approach is one of "tough love" [1][3] - There are internal disagreements within Europe about military spending, but some EU members recognize the need for increased defense investment [3][4] Group 2 - The article highlights the EU's shift towards a stronger defense posture, aiming for a "peace plan backed by strong defense" and positioning itself as a global security partner [3][4] - Karas pointed out that European security is closely linked to security in the Indo-Pacific region, countering Austin's focus on U.S. interests in that area [3][4] - The EU is also concerned about China's economic influence and its role in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, indicating a desire to establish partnerships in the Indo-Pacific that align with its interests [4][5] Group 3 - The article notes that there are divisions within the EU regarding how to handle relations with China, with some leaders seeking closer ties while others express concerns [5][6] - Karas mentioned the need for the EU to reflect on its approach to China, as internal disagreements could weaken its stance [5][6] - The EU plans to hold a meeting among foreign ministers to establish a unified position on China, indicating ongoing strategic discussions [6]