Core Viewpoint - The market's muted reaction to President Trump's unprecedented dismissal of a Federal Reserve governor indicates a lack of heightened concern, despite the significant challenge to the independence of the central bank [1] Group 1: Market Pricing and Reactions - The event has already been priced into the market, as Trump's previous criticisms of the Federal Reserve and his desire for lower interest rates were well-known [2] - Trump is expected to control the Federal Reserve Board by May next year, having already appointed three governors, which diminishes the immediate impact of the dismissal [3] - Lisa Cook, the dismissed governor, asserts that Trump lacks legal grounds for her termination, potentially leading to a legal battle that could either reinforce or challenge the limits of presidential power [4] Group 2: Implications for Federal Reserve Leadership - The focus on Cook may alleviate pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who has been a target of Trump's criticism, as the market's attention shifts [5] - Current appointees to the Federal Reserve do not appear to be mere "yes men" for Trump, as their actions suggest a more nuanced approach to monetary policy [6] Group 3: Potential Risks and Market Behavior - Investors may consider strategies such as betting on short-term interest rate declines while anticipating rising long-term bond yields, reflecting concerns over the Federal Reserve's independence [7] - The market's calmness may stem from a belief that Trump will retract extreme measures in response to market sell-offs, although this assumption relies on the premise that significant market reactions will deter reckless actions [10]

市场信心：丰田汽车公司将从下个月起将在美国销售的某些车型的价格提高200多美元。 ...

潮新闻客户端 记者 蒋敏华 | | 城市 | 环比 | 同比 | 1-5月平均 | | | 环比 | 同比 | 1-5月平均 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 上年同月 | 上年同期 | 城市 | | | 上年同月 | 上年同期 | | | | 上月=100 | =100 | =100 | | | 上月=100 | =100 | =100 | | 北 ਜੇ | 京 海 | 99.6 99.5 | 95.7 | 94.7 97.8 | 唐 秦皇岛 | ш | 99.5 99.5 | 93.0 93.7 | 92.6 | | | | | 98.0 | | | | | | 93.1 | | 石 家 庄 | | 99.7 | 96.7 | 96.3 | 包 | ਜੇੱ | 99.7 | 93.8 | 93.6 | | 太 | 順 | 100.0 | 100.9 | 101.0 | ਦੇ | 东 | 99.8 | 94.9 | 94.1 | | 呼和浩特 | | 99.7 | 94.1 | 94.0 | 锦 | ...

欧洲央行管委卡扎克斯：没有必要急于降息。市场对下次会议的定价比较合适。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent market dynamics indicate a shift from a technology-dominated landscape to a more diversified performance across various sectors, including consumer goods, retail, textiles, agriculture, and light manufacturing, suggesting discussions around "market diffusion" or "high-low rotation" are increasing [1] Group 1: Calendar Effect - The calendar effect is a common explanation for the market's behavior, with reports indicating that March to April serves as a transition period where market styles shift from clear trends to a more balanced performance across various styles [2] - Specifically, from early February to early March, small-cap and high-beta sectors tend to outperform, while larger, low-valuation stocks struggle [2] - As the market moves into late April, with earnings reports being disclosed, the focus will shift towards high-performing stocks with strong earnings certainty [2] Group 2: Incremental Capital Changes - Reports suggest that the "high-low rotation" phenomenon is partly driven by incremental capital changes, with consumer-focused and dividend-style funds showing signs of increasing allocations to consumer sectors [3] - Additionally, there are indications of portfolio adjustments among dividend-style funds, while low-risk capital is being allocated to low-positioned cyclical large-cap growth stocks due to favorable cost-benefit considerations [3] - However, there is no significant evidence of technology growth funds switching out of their positions [3] Group 3: Market Pricing Dynamics - Changes in market pricing are also being observed, with reports noting that credit growth is weak, and consumer activity is seasonally declining post-holiday [3] - The stock market appears to be pricing in optimistic data while underpricing negative data, possibly due to prior pricing of pessimistic data and expectations of new growth cycles driven by policies and emerging industries like AI [3] Group 4: Global Perspective - Some analysts suggest that the changes in the A-share market should be viewed in a global context, indicating a shift in global investor focus from the U.S. and information technology to other sectors [4] - The rising correlation between the CSI 300 and European markets suggests that global investors are seeking new opportunities beyond traditional tech narratives [4] Group 5: Market Sentiment - The diverse explanations for market behavior reflect a warming market sentiment, indicating that the market is no longer dominated by a single sector, which may lead to more investment opportunities [5] - This environment is favorable for investors skilled in identifying alpha, providing a platform for previously held insights to materialize [5]