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华商基金张明昕: 紧跟时代边际变化 深耕产业趋势景气投资
□本报记者王宇露 "任何大的产业趋势,一定起源于主题,终结于价值。而真正的产业投资必须契合彼时最大的时代背 景,其中的边际变化往往酝酿着最大的投资机会。"华商基金权益投资副总监、华商致远回报混合拟任 基金经理张明昕近日接受中国证券报记者采访时表示。 多年的一线投研经历使张明昕深刻体会到,长期稳定的投资范式并不存在,任何一种策略一定要深刻分 析背后的经济社会及市场背景,因时而异、因势而异,保持谦虚、敬畏市场,不断地迭代和进化才能长 期存活于这个市场。 聚焦成长价值,寻找产业"星辰大海" "能够被广泛认可的投资机会,一定具备鲜明的时代背景,是那一个时期经济社会发展最重要的任务和 最主要的特征。"张明昕表示,回顾中国资本市场三十多年的历程,时代的变迁带来过很多系统性的投 资机会:2005年的工业化城镇化行情,智能手机发布后开启的2015年移动互联创新浪潮,2016年到2017 年供给侧改革带来的周期股猛涨,2019年到2021年消费升级潮流带来的核心资产"狂飙",2020年到2022 年碳中和背景下波澜壮阔的新能源行情,再到2022年底GPT-3.5发布至今引发的AI浪潮。从近年来张明 昕的投资来看,正是基于对时代 ...
揭秘涨停丨固态电池新龙头,7连板!
(原标题:揭秘涨停丨固态电池新龙头,7连板!) 龙头点睛:牛市旗手大幅上涨 1.券商 涨停个股:国盛金控、天风证券、湘财股份 今日(6月25日),上证指数报收3455.97点,上涨1.03%;深证成指收于10393.72点,上涨1.72%。不含未开板新股,今日可交易A股中,收盘封死 涨停的有79只,跌停的有7只。另外,31股封板未遂,整体封板率为71.82%。 涨停战场:固态电池新龙头7连板 据证券时报•数据宝统计,收盘涨停个股中,主板有64只,北交所3只,创业板11只,科创板1只。从所属行业来看,计算机、非银金融、国防军工 行业上榜个股分别有11只、9只、9只。 从连续涨停天数看,诺德股份已连收7个涨停板,连板数量最多,近日该股连发多条公告提示风险。公司表示,2025年推出了双面镀镍铜箔,目前 已适配半固态/固态电池技术;公司自主研发的材料已小批量送样到头部电池企业测试;铜箔业务应用于固态电池领域的收入占公司总营业收入不 足1%,对公司整体业绩的贡献较小。 以封单金额计算,新通联、天风证券、国盛金控等涨停板封资金最多,分别有6.05亿元、3.74亿元、2.77亿元。从封单力度来看,新通联、吉大正 元、瑞玛精 ...
华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2025年6月19日
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-06-18 23:23
请各位听众升级为见闻最新版APP,以便成功收听以下音频。 市场概述 鲍威尔预计通胀压力显著上升,抵消了美股盘中特朗普称伊朗主动提出谈判带来的乐观情绪,鲍威尔新闻发布会后美股一度全线转跌,最终主要股指收盘涨 跌互现。 华见早安之声 潘功胜重磅发声,涉及货币政策框架转型,首次提及稳定币,宣布设立银行间市场交易报告库、设立数字人民币国际运营中心、设立个人征信机 构等8项重磅金融政策。 吴清:设置科创板成长层,支持优质未盈利创新企业上市,试点IPO预先审阅机制。 美股科技股领涨。美国拟放宽限制银行美债交易的资本规定,银行股涨势靠前。稳定币第一股Circle飙升超34%,隔夜美国参议院通过了稳定币法案。 美联储决议后,美债收益率一度刷新日低,但鹰派鲍威尔讲话后,美债收益率仅小幅收低。黄金盘中从日内高点一度跌超1%。铂金创十一年来最高水平。 原油宽幅震荡,特朗普称不希望美国下场中东局势,油价盘中走低。 亚洲时段,A股震荡收涨,半导体产业链午后爆发,港股收跌逾1%,新消费三宝分化,泡泡玛特涨超1%,蜜雪集团跌超2%。 6/21上海投资大师课报名|中泰资管百亿投资经理徐志敏带你穿越牛熊的投资之道,了解详情>> 要闻 李云泽: ...
A股午后拉升!科创板异动
证券时报· 2025-06-18 09:04
6月18日,A股午后拉升翻红,科创50指数表现强势;港股走势疲弱,两大股指均跌超1%。 具体来看,A股主要股指早盘窄幅震荡,午后发力上扬,科创50指数一度涨近1%。截至收盘,沪指微涨0.04%报3388.81点,深证成指涨0.24%报10175.59点,创 业板指涨0.23%报2054.73点,科创50指数涨0.53%,沪深北三市合计成交12219亿元,较此前一日减少约150亿元。 场内近3500股飘绿,地产、医药、券商、保险等板块走低;稀土概念回落,中科磁业跌超12%,宁波韵升跌停;半导体板块拉升,大为股份涨停,源杰科技涨近 10%;银行板块上扬,成都银行、北京银行、浦发银行等创出新高;PCB概念爆发,逸豪新材、科翔股份20%涨停,则成电子、生益电子创出新高;军贸概念活 跃,长城军工涨停,中航成飞等涨逾4%。 PCB概念爆发 PCB概念盘中走势强劲,截至收盘,逸豪新材、科翔股份20%涨停,则成电子涨超19%,生益电子涨超16%,大为股份、沪电股份等亦涨停。值得注意的是,则成 电子、生益电子盘中均创出新高。 | 代码 | 名称 | · 张幅% | 现价 | 涨跌 | 头价 | 卖价 | 总量 | | --- ...
国际局势持续动荡下武器装备需求有望扩大,继续关注军贸与上游
Orient Securities· 2025-06-16 06:15
国际局势持续动荡下武器装备需求有望扩 大,继续关注军贸与上游 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示 军品订单和收入确认不及预期;研发进度及产业化不及预期;竞争格局及份额波动风 险;产品价格下降风险等。 国防军工行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 国家/地区 中国 行业 国防军工行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 06 月 16 日 看好(维持) | 罗楠 | 021-63325888*4036 | | --- | --- | | | luonan@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号:S0860518100001 | | 冯函 | 021-63325888*2900 | | | fenghan@orientsec.com.cn | | | 执业证书编号:S0860520070002 | 鲍丙文 baobingwen@orientsec.com.cn 军工上游进入配置区间,关注军贸和航发 产业链等:—军工行业周报(6/2~6/6) 2025-06-09 OC 证落地,载人 eVTOL 迎来商业化元年 2025-03-30 全力推进"十四五"规划圆满收官,新一 轮景气上行周期已开启 2025-03 ...
今日投资参考:AI行业景气度持续 军贸市场迎新机遇
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 02:12
Market Overview - On June 13, stock indices in China experienced a downward trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling below 3400 points, closing down 0.75% at 3377 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index and ChiNext Index dropped over 1% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing markets reached 150.41 billion yuan, an increase of approximately 20 billion yuan compared to the previous day [1] - Sectors such as media, retail, liquor, automotive, pharmaceuticals, and real estate declined, while the oil sector surged [1] Military Trade Opportunities - The recent escalation of tensions in the Middle East, particularly Israel's airstrikes on Iran, has created new opportunities in the military trade market [2] - Global military spending is projected to increase for the tenth consecutive year in 2024, with the highest growth rates seen in Europe and the Middle East [2] - China's military exports are transitioning from low-end to high-end weaponry, with increasing international recognition of domestic military products [2] Oil Price Volatility - Current geopolitical tensions, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine, are driving significant fluctuations in oil prices [3] - The next OPEC+ meeting on July 6 is crucial, as the group's production strategy may change in response to high oil prices [3] - Brent crude oil prices are expected to fluctuate between $70 and $100 per barrel in the short term, depending on demand and OPEC+ production levels [3] AI Industry Growth - As of May 2025, the daily usage of tokens for the Doubao large model exceeded 16.4 trillion, a growth of over 137 times since its launch last year [4] - Oracle anticipates a growth rate of over 40% for its overall cloud business in the 2026 fiscal year, with IaaS growth exceeding 70% [4] - The surge in AI-related activities indicates a high level of industry vitality, suggesting continued investment in the computing power supply chain [4] Medical Supplies Procurement Optimization - The State Council meeting on June 13 discussed optimizing drug and medical supplies procurement policies to enhance collaboration in the healthcare sector [5] - The meeting emphasized the need for better evaluation of procurement policies and improving the quality control of drugs and medical supplies [5][6] - Optimizing procurement rules is expected to benefit the medical supplies industry, particularly high-value supplies, by stabilizing market confidence [6] Real Estate Market Stabilization - The State Council meeting also focused on strategies to stabilize the real estate market, emphasizing the importance of a new development model [7] - Policies will be implemented to support the construction of quality housing and improve the overall effectiveness of existing policies [7] - The aim is to activate demand and optimize supply in the real estate sector to prevent further declines [7] Infrastructure Development - The "Two Heavy" construction projects are accelerating, focusing on national strategic implementation and safety capabilities [8] - Significant progress is being made in the construction of key railway and port projects, supported by various facilitation measures [8] Brain-Computer Interface Clinical Trials - China has successfully conducted its first prospective clinical trial of an invasive brain-computer interface, becoming the second country after the U.S. to enter this phase [9] Red-Chip Stock Listing in Shenzhen - New policies allow companies listed in Hong Kong to also list in Shenzhen, which is expected to enhance financial collaboration in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [10] - This initiative is anticipated to boost investor confidence in China's capital markets and facilitate the return of quality tech companies to the A-share market [10]
全球股市巨震!A股,放量!
证券时报· 2025-06-13 09:37
全球股市巨震。 6月13日,亚太主要股指集体走低,日经225指数收盘跌0.89%报37834.25点,韩国综合指数跌0.87%报2894.62点,新西兰标普50指数跌0.76%报12552.87点。 受中东地缘局势急剧升温影响,国际油价大幅拉升,WTI原油主力合约盘中一度涨超14%,最高升至77.62美元/桶;布伦特原油主力合约一度涨超13%,最高升至 78.5美元/桶。国内方面,上海原油主力合约一度涨停。 消息面上,据央视新闻报道,当地时间12日凌晨,以色列对伊朗发动袭击。13日早间,以色列国防军发言人埃菲·戴弗林发布视频声明称,当天凌晨以军共出动超过 200架战机参与对伊朗的首轮空袭,其间共投下330多枚弹药,打死了伊朗高级军事领导人以及其他指挥官。他同时称,过去几小时内,伊朗方面向以色列发射了 100多架无人机,目前以军正在努力拦截这些无人机。 A股市场全线回调,深证成指、创业板指跌逾1%;港股亦走弱,恒生科技指数跌近2%。截至收盘,沪指放量跌0.75%报3377点,深证成指跌1.1%报10122.11点,创 业板指跌1.13%报2043.82点,北证50指数跌2.92%,沪深北三市合计成交15041亿 ...
红宝书20250609
2025-06-09 05:29
2025.6.9 市场逻辑精选 特别提示:下文涉及的题材或公司,内容罗列和篇幅长短,与后续涨跌无关,亦 均非进行推荐,仅作研究辅助。投资者应自主决策,注意风险。 一、机会前瞻 人形机器人:Figure Al 发布演示视频,华为将举办开发者大会 �事件: 1)2025 年 6 月 7 日,Figure Al 展示了其 Helix 神经网络在物流作业 中实现了 60 分钟连续工作;Helix 如今能够处理更多样化、更复杂的包裹类型, 其操作速度和灵活性已开始接近人类水平。 2)2025年 6 月 20 日,华为将举办开发者大会,或将公布其具身智能领域最新 进展。 3) 据网络调研信息, 2025 年 6 月 16 日, 华为将公布其人形机器人 Demo(未 证实)。 ◇Figure Al: Helix 神经网络集成了触觉和短期记忆, System1 引入了隐式立体 视觉(相比非立体基线吞吐量提高 60%),提供了丰富的 3D 理解和精确的深度 感知运动。多尺度视觉表示使其能够处理细粒度细节和场景级理解。学习型视觉 本体感知允许机器人进行自我校准,从而实现无缝跨机器人转移。 ◇华为机器人:2024年11月,华为(深 ...
并购重组迎来利好!股民又要学习新知识?——道达对话牛博士
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-18 11:12
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of correction after reaching new highs, with micro-cap stocks performing well, indicating potential investment opportunities and risks in the upcoming weeks [1][4]. Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index has rebounded 25 trading days since the low on April 7, with the Shanghai 50 Index reaching a new high since November last year, which is seen as a significant market highlight [1][4]. - The rebound percentages for major indices are approximately 12% for the Shanghai Composite, Shanghai 50, and CSI 300, while micro-cap indices like CSI 1000 and CSI 2000 have rebounded around 20% and 33% respectively [4]. Market Outlook - Two scenarios are anticipated for the upcoming week: 1. If the market reaches a new high and breaks the March peak, it would indicate a continuation of the upward trend [3]. 2. If it fails to reach a new high, a normal correction of about 38.2% is expected, with a critical support level around 3273 points [3][11]. Regulatory Changes - The recent amendments to the Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures by the CSRC are expected to boost market confidence and enhance the enthusiasm for mergers and acquisitions among listed companies [8]. - Key changes include the establishment of a phased payment mechanism for restructuring shares and the introduction of a simplified review process [8]. Upcoming Events - Significant economic data releases, including retail sales and industrial output for April, are expected next week, which could influence market sentiment [5]. - The 2025 Global Investor Conference will be held on May 19-20, focusing on active mergers and acquisitions, which may present investment opportunities [8][10]. Sector Focus - The market is currently characterized by short-lived hot sectors, with a focus on sectors such as military, textiles, logistics, and AI technologies [6][10]. - The shipping sector has shown a breakthrough in its index, indicating potential for further activity [10]. Investment Strategy - Given the current market conditions, a cautious approach is recommended, focusing on short-term trading rather than chasing already heated sectors [11]. - Investors are advised to monitor the performance of the Shanghai Composite Index closely, particularly the support levels around the recent lows [11].
突发重磅!港股、A50直线飙升
证券时报· 2025-05-12 08:17
A股今日全线走高,沪指涨近1%,创业板指涨近3%;港股尾盘飙升,恒生指数目前涨超3%,恒生科技指数暴涨约6%。富时中国A50指数期货直线拉升一度涨 超2%。 具体来看,两市主要股指盘中单边上行,深证成指、创业板指尤为强势。截至收盘,沪指涨0.82%报3369.24点,深证成指涨1.72%报10301.16点,创业板指涨2.63% 报2064.71点,北证50指数涨2.89%,沪深北三市合计成交13410亿元,较此前一日增加近1200亿元。 场内超4100股飘红,券商板块拉升,锦龙股份盘中一度涨停,东方财富、中国银河等涨超4%;军贸概念再度爆发,中航成飞、航天南湖、华如科技等20%涨停;人 形机器人概念活跃,拓斯达20%涨停,埃夫特涨超13%;苹果概念崛起,东尼电子、朝阳科技等涨停。 港股方面,截至发稿,舜宇光学科技、比亚迪电子涨超15%,联想集团涨超10%,京东集团、快手、阿里巴巴、招商银行、中国人寿等涨超5%。 消息面上,今日午后,中美日内瓦经贸会谈联合声明发布,双方承诺将于2025年5月14日前采取修改加征的从价关税等系列举措。 券商板块拉升 军贸概念爆发 军贸概念盘中大幅拉升,截至收盘,中航成飞、航天南 ...