Core Viewpoint - The Chinese stock market is entering a "transformation bull" phase, driven by a clearer understanding of economic conditions among investors and a shift in the main contradictions from economic cycle fluctuations to a decline in discount rates, particularly the reduction in risk-free rates and systemic risk awareness [1][2]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The key drivers of the market are the decline in risk-free interest rates and a systemic reduction in risk perception. The past three years saw high opportunity costs hindering investor willingness to enter the market, but recent monetary policies have improved liquidity [2]. - The long-term government bond yield has fallen below 2%, and deposit rates have dropped below 1%, indicating a substantial decrease in risk-free rates in the Chinese stock market [2]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - Emerging technologies are a primary investment theme, while cyclical finance is seen as a dark horse. The focus is on sectors such as finance and high dividends, with recommendations for brokers, banks, and insurance companies, as well as companies with stable dividends and monopolistic advantages [3]. - New technology growth is emphasized, particularly in sectors like internet, media, robotics, pharmaceuticals, and military, driven by competition between China and the U.S. [3]. - The revival of cyclical consumption is anticipated, with a focus on sectors experiencing improved competitive dynamics and tight supply-demand conditions, such as non-ferrous metals and chemicals, along with new consumer demands in retail and cosmetics [3]. Group 3: Thematic Recommendations - Recommendations include investments in AI applications, which are expected to accelerate demand for computing power, benefiting internet giants and infrastructure spending [4]. - The diversification of products and applications in embodied intelligence is highlighted, with a focus on core components and lightweight materials that benefit from large-scale production [4]. - The rise of domestic brands in consumer goods is noted, with recommendations for sectors like beauty, IP toys, and pet services that resonate with new consumer demographics [4]. - Regional economic policies, such as the Western Development strategy and the upcoming Hainan free trade zone, present opportunities in infrastructure, specialty raw materials, and tourism [4]. - The restructuring of global technology supply chains suggests a positive outlook for advanced semiconductors, domestic computing, and foundational software [4].

Group 1: Vodafone and Three Merger - The merger between Vodafone and CK Hutchison's Three UK has been completed, creating the largest mobile operator in the UK named VodafoneThree [2][3] - Vodafone holds a 51% stake in the merged entity, while CK Hutchison retains a 49% stake [6] - The companies have committed to invest £11 billion over the next decade to develop a state-of-the-art 5G network in Europe, with £1.3 billion allocated for network construction in the first year [6] - The merger is expected to generate £700 million in cost and capital expenditure synergies annually by the fifth year and contribute positively to Vodafone's cash flow starting from the fiscal year 2029 [6] - The merger is seen as a significant move to enhance and expand the UK's mobile network infrastructure [6] Group 2: UK Defense Industry - The UK government plans to invest £1.5 billion to establish six new military factories aimed at producing critical ammunition and explosives [7] - This initiative is part of a broader strategy to revitalize the UK's military industrial base in response to increasing global aggression [7] - The government also intends to purchase 7,000 long-range weapons, including fighter jets capable of carrying nuclear weapons, to strengthen the UK's nuclear deterrent [7] Group 3: UK Business Confidence - Lloyds Bank's Business Barometer indicates a rebound in UK business confidence, with the index rising 11 points to 50% in May, marking a nine-month high [14] - Confidence in the construction sector reached a nine-month high of 56%, while the services sector also saw an increase to a one-year high of 54% [14] - However, retail sector confidence fell by 5 percentage points to 40%, the lowest level since January 2025 [14] - Overall, the optimistic sentiment in the UK economy increased by 12 percentage points to 48% [14]

与此同时，英国政府还确认将对 主权核弹头项目追加150亿英镑投资 ，用于升级位于奥尔德马斯顿的核武器设施，确保英国"持续海上核威慑"能力的延续。 英国首相基尔·斯塔默表示，国家安全将是其"变革计划"的核心支柱，这一系列举措将"让英国在本土更安全、在全球更强大"。 据央视新闻报道，当地时间6月1日，记者从英国首相府获得信息，英国政府将在2日发布新一轮《战略国防评估报告》的同时，宣布大幅扩建其核动力攻击型潜 艇舰队，并加速推进军工产业现代化。此举被外界普遍解读为英国在地缘安全压力加剧背景下，全面进入"备战状态"。 新建12艘新型攻击型核潜艇 追加150亿英镑投资核武 根据英国政府公布的内容， 英国未来将建造多达12艘新型"SSN-AUKUS"攻击型核潜艇 ，以替代现役的"机敏级"潜艇。 英国新计划要求军工产业发展提速 助推就业 根据规划，英国还将在巴罗和德比两地大幅扩建潜艇生产基地，未来每18个月建造一艘新型核潜艇。按规划，相关军工投资将直接带动全国3万个高技能岗 位，并在未来十年创造3万个学徒名额和1.4万个毕业生岗位。 除了核潜艇，英国政府还宣布将采购最多7000枚本土制造的远程武器，进一步增强军备库存，支持 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the winning probabilities of the equity and convertible bond markets were relatively insufficient, with various broad-based and convertible bond indices showing different trends. Short-term performance may be pressured by tariff disturbances. Since May, the equity market's rise has been characterized by a rebound from oversold conditions. Investors entered the market actively based on odds considerations, and with institutional support, the market continued to rise. However, after the Shanghai Composite Index reached a high on May 14, the logic of the rebound has changed, and market divergence has increased. Considering the uncertainty of future tariff policies, style rotation may accelerate. The dumbbell allocation strategy may continue to be advantageous [1][2][7] - In the short term, the winning probabilities of the equity and convertible bond markets are relatively insufficient and may be pressured by tariff disturbances. The risk of a significant short-term decline is limited, and the market will likely remain volatile. The dividend style benefits from policy support, and the technology growth style has re-entered the institutional view after a valuation correction [2][7] - It is recommended that investors focus on high-grade, fundamentally stable convertible bonds. The market style will still tend to be stable. Strategies should balance defense and theme flexibility. Suggested areas to focus on include the dividend, technology growth, and large consumption sectors [8] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalog 1 Market Observation - From May 26 to May 30, various broad-based and convertible bond indices showed different trends, with some convertible bond indices leading the gains. Balanced and equity-based valuations were compressed [7] - The market was volatile this week, with insufficient winning probabilities for major indices and significant sector differentiation. Environmental protection, medicine, and military industries led the gains. The small-cap style was dominant. The bond market had low volatility and weak trading sentiment due to the lack of a macro trading theme and limited odds space [2][7] - The equity market may be pressured by tariffs in the short term. The risk of a significant decline is limited, and the market will remain volatile. After the high on May 14, market divergence increased, and trading volume decreased. Style rotation may accelerate, with the dividend style benefiting from policies and the technology growth style re-entering institutional consideration after a valuation correction [2][7] - In the short term, investors are advised to focus on high-grade, fundamentally stable convertible bonds. Strategies should balance defense and theme flexibility. Suggested areas to focus on include the dividend, technology growth, and large consumption sectors [8] 2 Convertible Bond Market Tracking 2.1 Convertible Bond Market Trends - Not provided in the given content 2.2 Individual Convertible Bonds - Not provided in the given content 2.3 Convertible Bond Valuations - Not provided in the given content 2.4 Convertible Bond Prices - Not provided in the given content

Market Performance - As of May 30, the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 2.09% in May, the Shenzhen Component Index rose by 1.42%, and the ChiNext Index gained 2.32% [1] Top Performing Stocks - The top-performing stock in May was Zhongyou Technology, with a cumulative increase of 157.28%, driven by the dual forces of cost reduction and intelligent upgrades in the logistics industry [3][6] - Shutaishen ranked second with a cumulative increase of 145.37%, attributed to its innovative drug projects [3][7] - Wangzi New Materials achieved a 108.37% increase, with significant media attention on its involvement in controlled nuclear fusion [3][8] - Hezhuan Intelligent also saw a 108.16% increase, supported by its core component manufacturing capabilities for Tokamak devices in nuclear fusion applications [3][10] - Luqiao Information, a company listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange, experienced a 102.64% increase, focusing on information technology solutions in the transportation sector [3][11] - Chengfei Integration recorded a 99.52% increase, with its main business in automotive parts and tools [3][12] - San Sheng Guojian had a 99.45% increase, following a significant licensing agreement with Pfizer for its innovative drug [3][13] - ST Yazhen saw a 93.14% increase, linked to a change in its controlling shareholder [3][14] - Zhongzhou Special Materials, another controlled nuclear fusion concept stock, increased by 92.87%, although its products are not yet applied in that field [3][15] - Qifeng Precision Engineering, a military stock, increased by 90.58%, with a focus on aerospace and rail transportation markets [3][17]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the industry [1] Core Insights - The industry is experiencing continuous fluctuations, with a focus on the turning points of dividend and growth styles [19][20] - The macro model indicates that the market may face adjustment pressure in the near term, with a potential for a slight rebound later in June [19][24] - The report highlights the importance of monitoring event-driven impacts, particularly regarding U.S. tariff policies [20] Market Overview (May 26 - May 30, 2025) - Major broad-based indices showed varied performance, with the top three being North Securities 50 (up 2.82%), Wind Micro-Equity Daily Equal Weight Index (up 2.65%), and CSI 2000 (up 1.09%). The bottom three were ChiNext Index (down 1.40%), Shanghai 50 (down 1.22%), and CSI 300 (down 1.08%) [9][10] - Style indices also varied, with small-cap value (up 0.56%) and large-cap growth (down 2.71%) showing significant differences [10][13] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry indices, Environmental Protection (up 3.42%) and Pharmaceutical Biology (up 2.21%) performed well, while Automotive (down 4.11%) and Electric Equipment (down 2.44%) lagged [14][15] Market Outlook (June 3 - June 6, 2025) - The market is expected to remain volatile, with a focus on the transition between dividend and growth styles [19] - The macro model for June indicates a score of 0, suggesting a generally flat performance for the month, with potential for a slight increase after initial adjustments [24] - The report anticipates that the dividend style may face headwinds while the growth style could perform better in the latter half of June [19][20] Fund Allocation Recommendations - The report suggests a balanced allocation strategy for ETFs, anticipating a period of market adjustment [20]

Group 1: U.S.-China Relations and Military Dynamics - The U.S. military leadership acknowledges that U.S. global strategy is significantly hindered by China's counteractions, indicating a shift in the balance of power [1][11] - The U.S. has implemented strict export controls on high-end chips to China, aiming to isolate China's high-tech industry and prevent its self-sufficiency in this critical sector [3][4] - China has responded to U.S. tariffs with equivalent countermeasures, leading to increased inflation in the U.S. due to reliance on Chinese low-end products [3][6] Group 2: Resource Dependency and Military Production - The U.S. military's dependency on Chinese rare earth elements is highlighted, with over 80% of its military supply chain reliant on these materials, which are crucial for advanced weaponry [6][9] - The U.S. military's production capabilities are under threat due to potential restrictions on rare earth exports from China, which could lead to material shortages and production halts [6][10] - The U.S. has proposed unrealistic solutions to its rare earth challenges, such as acquiring territories for resource access, which are impractical and violate international law [6][10] Group 3: Technological and Industrial Competitiveness - China's shipbuilding capacity is reported to be 200 times greater than that of the U.S., showcasing a significant gap in military production capabilities [7][9] - The U.S. Navy's shipbuilding projects are lagging, with significant delays in the construction of new vessels compared to China's rapid production timelines [7][9] - The U.S. military leadership expresses deep concern over China's advancements in both traditional and emerging military capabilities, indicating a loss of competitive edge [9][10] Group 4: Strategic Misjudgments and Future Directions - The U.S. has historically underestimated China's potential and resilience, leading to misguided policies that have exacerbated its current strategic challenges [10][11] - The U.S. military's resource allocation issues and inefficient budget usage contribute to its declining military effectiveness [10][11] - A call for the U.S. to abandon its hegemonic mindset and seek cooperative relations with China is emphasized as a necessary step for future stability [11]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core View of the Report - Due to US tariffs and the Fed's stance, the probability of a divergence between the US dollar and US Treasury yields is high, which will trigger asset fluctuations. The domestic A-share market is expected to rebound after the Dragon Boat Festival or after filling the gap. The market may experience short - term fluctuations, and the real market trend will be observed after the festival [2][8] Summary by Directory 1. Market Views 1.1 Overseas Overnight - The revised annualized quarterly rate of real GDP in the US in Q1 was - 0.2%, higher than the expected and previous value of - 0.3%. The monthly rate of the existing home sales contract index in April was - 6.3%, lower than the expected - 1% and the previous value of 5.5%, indicating an economic slowdown in Q1 and a cooling real - estate market. Fed's Goolsbee said that if tariffs are avoided, the Fed may return to a rate - cut scenario. The probability of a rate cut in September is 52.4%. US tariffs are volatile, causing overnight market fluctuations. The US dollar index fell, US Treasury yields rose, gold rose, US stocks rose, the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index rose, and the offshore RMB exchange rate first depreciated and then appreciated. A divergence between the US dollar index and US Treasury yields is expected, and capital market volatility will increase [1][4] 1.2 Domestic Market Review - On Thursday, the market rebounded with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.7%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 1.24%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.37%. Stocks generally rose, and trading volume increased. Brokerage and technology sectors were active. Computer, medicine, electronics, and military industries led the gains, while beauty care, banking, food and beverage, and petrochemical sectors declined. There were 4468 rising stocks and 831 falling stocks [2][5] 1.3 Important Information - The US Court of Appeals allowed Trump's tariff policy to continue temporarily. Trump's officials were confident of victory in the lawsuit and believed alternative ways to impose tariffs could be found. Three agreements are expected in the next few weeks. The US Treasury Secretary said trade partners' attitudes remained unchanged in the past 48 hours. Trump met Powell and asked for a rate cut, but Powell insisted on monetary policy independence. There is no plan for Putin to talk with Trump. The CPC Central Committee General Office and the State Council General Office issued an opinion on improving the market - based allocation system for resource and environmental elements. China's Ministry of Commerce responded to US semiconductor export controls and urged the US to cancel tariffs. The US decided to revoke Chinese student visas, and China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs criticized it. The Hongdao operating system was launched. Yushu's name change sparked listing speculation, and the company said it was a routine change [6][7] 1.4 Today's Strategy - Thursday's A - share and overseas market movements reflected news. Given US tariffs and the Fed's attitude, a divergence between the US dollar and US Treasury yields is likely, causing asset fluctuations. The domestic A - share market is expected to rebound after the Dragon Boat Festival or after filling the gap. The Thursday's rebound was unexpected, and the market may fluctuate in the short - term. The real market trend will be observed after the festival [8] 2. Futures Market Tracking Futures Market Performance - Data on the closing prices, settlement prices, price changes, price change rates, basis, and other indicators of various stock index futures contracts such as the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 are provided [10] Futures Trading Volume and Open Interest - Data on trading volume, trading volume changes, trading value, trading value changes, open interest, open interest changes, and other indicators of various stock index futures contracts are provided, as well as the positions of the top 20 members [11] 3. Spot Market Tracking Spot Market Performance - Information on the current points, daily, weekly, monthly, and annual price changes, trading value, and other indicators of major domestic stock indexes such as the Wind All - A, Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index is provided. It also includes data on different sectors such as upstream, mid - stream, consumer, TMT, and financial sectors [33] Impact of Market Styles on Index Fluctuations - Analyzes the impact of market styles (cycle, consumption, growth, finance, stability) on the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indexes in terms of the number of stocks, weights, and daily, weekly, monthly, and annual contributions [34][36] Index Valuation - Presents the current valuations and historical percentile rankings of important indexes and Shenwan sectors [37][40] Other Market Indicators - Includes data on the Sunday average trading volume, Sunday average turnover rate, number of rising and falling stocks, north - bound funds, Hong Kong Stock Connect, margin trading balance, and margin trading net purchase amount and its proportion in A - share trading volume [42][50] 4. Liquidity Tracking - Information on central bank open - market operations and Shibor interest rate levels is provided, presented in graphical form [52]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news highlights the positive performance of the defense sector, with the China Defense Index and related ETFs showing significant gains, indicating a growing interest in military-related investments [1][2] - The China Defense ETF has reached a new high in scale at 4.619 billion yuan, with a total of 6.515 billion shares, reflecting strong investor confidence in the defense industry [1] - The collaboration between Meta and Anduril to develop AI military products, including an AI helmet with virtual and augmented reality capabilities, signifies a trend towards integrating advanced technology in defense applications [1] Group 2 - The research from Shenwan Hongyuan suggests increasing attention on the military industry, particularly on precision-guided weapons expected to enter a growth phase by 2025, indicating potential investment opportunities [2] - The China Defense Index comprises stocks from major military groups and companies that provide equipment to the armed forces, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 43.61% of the index, showcasing the concentration of investment in key players [2] - The global military trade market is anticipated to expand due to intensified arms races, with Chinese military products expected to leverage their technological advantages and competitive pricing [1]

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights the significant rise in military stocks, particularly the surge in Zhongtian Rocket, which reached its daily limit [1] - Other companies in the aerospace sector also experienced notable gains, including Hangfa Technology, Zongheng Co., and Aerospace Hongtu, which all increased by over 5% [1] - Additional companies such as Xinyu Guoke, Guanglian Aviation, Hangfa Control, Guangwei Composite Materials, and Hangfa Power also saw upward movement in their stock prices [1]