Group 1 - The Fujian sector in the A-share market is experiencing a counter-trend rise, with notable increases in several companies [1] - Zhongneng Electric has surged over 10%, while companies such as Xiamen Construction, Snowman Group, Pingtan Development (14 consecutive trading days with gains), Anji Food, and Shida Group have reached the 10% daily limit [1] - Zhangzhou Development has increased by over 7%, and Haixia Environmental Protection, Zhongfutong, and Qingshan Paper have risen by over 5% [1]

Macro Strategy - The core view is that actual interest rates remain the key anchor for gold prices, with fluctuations in actual rates dominating the market dynamics for gold [1][22] - In October, gold prices experienced a "rise first, then fall" pattern, influenced by U.S. government shutdown concerns and subsequent economic data recovery [1][22] - The outlook for November suggests that gold prices will be driven by geopolitical situations, trade negotiations, and macro policies, with a potential for continued high-level fluctuations [1][22] Fixed Income Strategy - The report discusses a trading strategy of "long old bonds and short new bonds" based on the behavior of active bond spreads during the cutting process [2][23] - The active bond spread is expected to remain profitable, with the maximum spread observed at 9.8 basis points since the switch in 2023 [2][23] - The next active bond switch is anticipated around early January 2026, providing an opportunity to leverage the characteristics of active bond spreads for trading [2][23] Retail Industry - Baima Tea, a leader in the high-end tea market, has recently listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, focusing on high-quality tea products and targeting younger consumers [4][26] - The company's revenue growth has been accompanied by a decline in profit margins, with a slight decrease in gross and net profit margins reported [4][26] - The online sales channel is increasingly significant, with its contribution to total revenue rising from 19% in 2020 to 35% in the first half of 2025 [4][26] Food and Beverage Industry - The report highlights a divergence in growth within the snack sector, with leading companies showing more sustainable growth due to channel changes and consumer shifts [5][27] - Companies like Salted Fish and Wei Long are recommended for their strong channel layouts and significant contributions from key products [5][27] - The report emphasizes the importance of continuous growth and valuation switching certainty in investment recommendations, particularly for companies like Ba Bi Food and Guo Quan [5][27]

Summary of the Engineering Machinery Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The engineering machinery industry experienced accelerated growth in Q3 2025, with both main engine manufacturers and component suppliers showing increases in revenue and profit, indicating a turning point in industry performance [1][2] - Non-excavator machinery has returned to positive growth, outpacing excavators, primarily due to a low base from the previous year and the spillover effect from medium and large excavators [1][2] Key Company Performances - SANY Heavy Industry reported steady revenue growth of approximately 10% in Q3 2025, while XCMG and Zoomlion achieved growth rates of over 20% and around 15%, respectively, driven by non-excavator product contributions [4] - SANY demonstrated the fastest profit growth in the industry, with significant improvements in expense control, accounts receivable, and inventory turnover rates [4] - XCMG's net cash flow from operating activities doubled in the first three quarters, while Zoomlion's increased by more than 100% [4] Overseas Market Growth - All major companies maintained strong growth in overseas markets in Q3 2025, with SANY's overseas business growing by about 10%, XCMG close to 20%, and Zoomlion reaching 30% [5] - The high-end markets in Europe and North America showed significant recovery, with SANY's growth in Africa exceeding 50% and over 30% in South America [5] Globalization Strategies - Main engine manufacturers are actively pursuing globalization, with SANY raising over 12 billion RMB through Hong Kong stock offerings for overseas production base construction and channel development [6] - XCMG and Zoomlion are also focusing on international expansion, with overseas revenue proportions reaching approximately 60% for SANY and Zoomlion, and around 50% for XCMG, with these regions generally offering higher profitability than domestic markets [7] Domestic Market Trends - The domestic excavator market has shown early signs of recovery, with significant increases in sales of non-excavator machinery such as truck cranes and concrete machinery, with truck crane sales in September up over 40% year-on-year [9] - The industry is entering a phase of resonance between domestic demand and supply, driven by large infrastructure projects and special local government bonds, which are expected to boost engineering machinery demand [12][13] Future Outlook - The engineering machinery industry is anticipated to experience a dual resonance phase, with domestic and international markets expected to grow, particularly with ongoing large-scale infrastructure projects and a projected 15%-20% compound growth rate in overseas exports [12][13] - The sector is currently at a relatively low valuation compared to other machinery sectors, suggesting potential for rapid growth and valuation recovery in the coming years [15] Product Structure Differences - SANY focuses on excavators, concrete equipment, and cranes, with excavators being the largest segment; XCMG specializes in cranes, holding over 30% market share, while Zoomlion emphasizes lifting machinery and concrete equipment [11] - These structural differences impact revenue performance, but all leading companies exhibit strong competitive capabilities [11] Recommendations for Investors - Investors are advised to focus on the opportunities presented by different stages of the market cycle, as companies may experience varying degrees of performance and stock price increases [19]

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 晨会聚焦 资料来源：Wind,中原证券 -12% -6% 0% 5% 11% 17% 23% 29% 2024.11 2025.03 2025.07 2025.11 上证指数 深证成指 | 国内市场表现 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数名称 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌幅(%) | | | 上证指数 | | 3,960.19 | | -0.41 | | 深证成指 | | 13,175.22 | | -1.71 | | 创业板指 | | 2,022.77 | | -0.47 | | 沪深 | 300 | 4,618.70 | | -0.75 | | 上证 | 50 | 2,443.97 | | -0.52 | | 科创 | 50 | 891.46 | | 0.14 | | 创业板 | 50 | 1,924.26 | | -0.67 | | 中证 | 100 | 4,455.30 | | -0.90 | | 中证 | 500 | 7,2 ...

Core Insights - The report highlights a selection of stocks for November, including China Eastern Airlines, COSCO Shipping, and CATL, indicating potential investment opportunities in these companies [1] - The report emphasizes the performance of Shantui Construction Machinery, which reported a revenue of 10.488 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 2.36%, and a net profit of 838 million yuan, up 15.67% [9][10] - Longi Green Energy's third-quarter report shows a significant reduction in losses, with a net profit of -3.403 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, compared to -6.505 billion yuan in the same period last year, indicating operational stability [13][14] Fixed Income - The report discusses the outlook for bond market yields, suggesting that in the context of a "slow bull" market for A-shares and stagnant housing prices, long-term yields may remain in a volatile range [6][7] - It notes that low interest rates are often linked to low financing demand and asset values, with a historical comparison to Japan's low-rate era [6][7] Mechanical Equipment - Shantui Construction Machinery is identified as a leading manufacturer of bulldozers, with ongoing expansion in excavator and mining machinery businesses, and growth in overseas markets expected to enhance its growth potential [9][10][11] - The company achieved a gross margin of 20.53% and a net margin of 8.01% in the first three quarters of 2025, reflecting effective cost control [11] Power Equipment - Longi Green Energy's performance shows a recovery trend, with a focus on optimizing gross margins and cash flow, and a strategic push against "involution" in the industry [13][15] - The company reported stable sales volumes for silicon wafers and components, with a notable increase in the sales of high-value BC components, indicating a competitive advantage [14][15]

Group 1: AI Investment Competition - The AI investment competition "Alpha Arena" concluded on November 4, with Alibaba's Qwen winning the championship with a return exceeding 20% [1] - The competition featured six major AI models, each starting with $10,000 in real market trading without human intervention, lasting 17 days [1] - Qwen and DeepSeek were the only two profitable models, while four leading US models incurred losses, with GPT-5 losing over 60% [1] Group 2: Corporate Leadership - Lin Xiaoqing, born in June 1996, was re-elected as the chairman of Chengdu Road and Bridge, with a pre-tax salary of 925,700 yuan for 2024 [3] Group 3: Monetary Policy - On November 5, the People's Bank of China announced a 700 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system, with a term of 3 months [4] Group 4: Travel Industry - The announcement of a 9-day Spring Festival holiday in 2026 led to a significant increase in ticket searches, with a 63% rise in flight bookings compared to the same period in 2025 [6] Group 5: Gold Market - Following the implementation of new tax policies, gold jewelry prices have increased, with retail prices rising by 7% to 8%, and some reaching up to 13% [7] Group 6: Agricultural Exports - In the first eight months of 2025, US soybean exports to China were only 5.93 million tons, a significant drop from 26.8 million tons in the same period of 2024 [8] Group 7: Pharmaceutical Industry - The negotiation for the 2025 National Basic Medical Insurance Drug List concluded, with 120 companies participating, and the new list is expected to be released in December [9] Group 8: Automotive Industry - In October, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in China reached 1.61 million units, marking a 16% year-on-year increase [10] Group 9: Company Developments - Jinkuan Electric is focusing on expanding its market in county-level and new energy heavy-duty vehicle charging, developing charging stations and smart charging platforms [11] - Zoomlion plans to start mass production of robots in 2026, with several models having reached industry benchmark performance [13] - Fuyao Glass has changed its legal representative from Cao Dewang to his son, Cao Hui [16] - Vision China is planning to issue shares overseas and list on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange to enhance its international presence [16] - ST Lingnan is facing legal issues for alleged collusion in bidding, with a court date set for October 31, 2025 [16] - Redik plans to acquire a 20.41% stake in Aoyi Technology for approximately 160 million yuan, a leading high-tech company in robotics and brain-machine interfaces [17][19]

Group 1: Company Highlights - Aihuilong has completed the prototype of its second-generation sequencing project, achieving full self-research and production of core reagents, auxiliary reagents, and auxiliary enzyme reagents, with various patented technologies [1] - Aibo Medical has developed the Puno Tong AI digital fitting system independently [1] - Xinmai Medical reported a revenue of 300 million yuan and a net profit of 114 million yuan for Q3 2025, with a 60% year-on-year increase in net profit after excluding government subsidies [2] - Zhonglian Heavy Industry possesses a national A-level and international T3+ level supercomputing center, with a GPU computing power of 59P, supporting 1,000 cabinets and 10,000 servers [3] Group 2: Financial Performance - Xinmai Medical's domestic sales growth rate remains above 20% for the first three quarters, with overseas revenue increasing by over 65%, accounting for 18% of total revenue [2] - Xinmai Medical expects its annual gross margin to recover to over 70% due to improved production efficiency and cost optimization [2] - Guangfa Fund has an asset management scale of 1,540.246 billion yuan, ranking 3rd among 211 [3] Group 3: Market Activities - Guangfa Fund participated in various company performance briefings and site visits, indicating active engagement in the market [1][2][3] - The latest public fund product launched by Guangfa Fund is the Guangfa CSI 300 Index Quantitative Enhancement A, with a subscription period from November 3 to November 21, 2025 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Shantui Construction Machinery Co., Ltd. has shown stable revenue growth and significant profit increase in Q3 2025, alongside ongoing stock buyback and H-share issuance preparations [3][4][5]. Group 1: Q3 Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 10.488 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.36% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 838 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 15.67% [3] - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 823 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 24.40% [3] - Basic earnings per share were 0.5595 yuan, up 15.84% year-on-year [3] Group 2: Stock Buyback Progress - As of October 31, 2025, the company has repurchased 10,762,650 shares, accounting for 0.72% of the total share capital [4] - The repurchase price ranged from 8.64 yuan to 9.74 yuan per share [4] - The company plans to continue the buyback based on market conditions and will fulfill information disclosure obligations [4] Group 3: H-Share Issuance Project - The company is progressing with its H-share issuance and listing on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [5] - Key milestones include receiving approval from the controlling shareholder on August 14, 2025, and submitting the IPO application to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on August 28, 2025 [5] - The company has responded to supplementary material requests from the China Securities Regulatory Commission and is preparing responses to inquiries from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange [5] Group 4: On-Site Visit - The research team conducted an on-site visit to the company's exhibition hall and main engine factory, gaining insights into the product matrix and application scenarios [6] - The visit provided a comprehensive understanding of the company's operational performance, capital operations, and strategic planning [6]

Core Viewpoint - The company expects a sustained growth of over 10% in exports for the second half of the year, driven by global industry layout, technological innovation, and expansion into emerging markets [1] Group 1: Industry Outlook - The industry is anticipated to benefit from a combination of policy dividends, a renewal cycle, and advancements in new energy and intelligent technology, leading to a continuous recovery in domestic sales [1] Group 2: Company Goals - The company's overall target for 2025 is to achieve a revenue growth of over 10% [1]

Core Viewpoint - XCMG Machinery has a robust global presence and strong international expansion capabilities, with a marketing network covering over 190 countries and regions, indicating a positive outlook for export revenue growth [2] Company Overview - The company provides comprehensive product marketing services, full value chain services, and overall solutions to global customers [2] - Major export regions include Southeast Asia, Central Asia, Africa, South America, Europe, North America, the Middle East and North Africa, Central America, and Oceania [2] Market Outlook - The overseas market is expected to maintain a favorable trend, with export revenue continuing to grow [2] - The overseas market for domestic brands shows growth potential, with sustained demand release [2] - Continuous improvement in the quality of domestic products enhances the comprehensive competitiveness of domestic brands in overseas markets [2] - There is significant room for growth in market share across major regional markets [2] - Domestic key enterprises are adjusting global capacity planning and accelerating localization strategies to enhance global layout [2] - Overall, the sales volume of domestic brands in the overseas market is projected to maintain an upward trend this year [2]