Core Viewpoint - The overall price stability in the industry chain is expected in 2H25, with potential price elasticity in certain segments, supported by high operating rates of leading companies and benefits from new product premiums, indicating a recovery in fundamentals [1][3]. Demand - The demand for new energy vehicles (NEVs) is anticipated to maintain high growth in China due to the old-for-new policy and the expected decline in purchase tax in 2026, while the European market is expected to recover due to carbon policies and subsidies [3][6]. - In the first four months of 2025, China's NEV wholesale sales increased by 46% year-on-year, with exports also showing strong growth, benefiting from the recognition of Chinese brands in overseas markets [7][9]. - The commercial vehicle sector in Europe is experiencing strong growth, with a 47% year-on-year increase in NEV commercial vehicle sales in the first four months of 2025, driven by various subsidies [16]. Industry Chain - After significant price declines in 2023-2024, the industry chain prices are entering a bottoming phase, with certain segments like 6F, copper foil, and iron lithium cathodes showing signs of price stabilization [3][26]. - The supply-demand structure is improving, with leading manufacturers maintaining high operating rates, indicating a potential recovery in their fundamentals [28][31]. New Technologies - The solid-state battery technology is expected to see accelerated industrialization in 2H25, driven by demand from NEVs, eVTOLs, and robotics, with significant advancements in testing and pilot production [4][45]. - The second-generation semi-solid batteries are entering a critical phase for commercialization, with various companies making progress in production and application [47][48]. Global Manufacturing Layout - The lithium battery industry chain is accelerating its global manufacturing layout, particularly in Europe and Southeast Asia, with expected production capacity coming online from late 2H25 to 2026 [41][44]. - The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is promoting domestic production of batteries and components, which is expected to enhance local supply capabilities and reduce reliance on foreign products [42][43].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The production industry has seen an increase in new energy vehicle production and sales, with exports also growing significantly. The service industry should pay attention to the promotion of elderly - care service - related programs [1]. - Upstream, international oil prices have risen slightly, while urea and soda ash prices have declined. In the mid - stream, PX and pig product processing开工率 have increased. Downstream, first - and second - tier city property sales are at a near - three - year low, and domestic flight frequencies have decreased periodically [2][3][4]. - The credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries have recently declined slightly [5]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1. Mid - view Event Overview 3.1.1. Production Industry - From January to May, China's automobile production and sales reached 12.826 million and 12.748 million vehicles respectively, with year - on - year growth of 12.7% and 10.9%. New energy vehicle production and sales were 5.699 million and 5.608 million vehicles, growing by 45.2% and 44% year - on - year, accounting for 44% of total new car sales. Automobile exports were 2.49 million vehicles, with new energy vehicle exports at 855,000 vehicles, a 64.6% year - on - year increase [1]. 3.1.2. Service Industry - The International Organization for Standardization has released an international standard on the inclusive digital economy for an aging society led by China, providing specific suggestions for high - frequency digital economy scenarios for the elderly [1]. 3.2. Industry Overview 3.2.1. Upstream - Energy: International oil prices have risen slightly. - Chemical: Urea and soda ash prices have declined [2]. 3.2.2. Mid - stream - Chemical: PX开工率 has recovered. - Agriculture: Pig product processing开工率 has increased [3]. 3.2.3. Downstream - Real Estate: First - and second - tier city property sales are the same as last year and at a near - three - year low. - Service: Domestic flight frequencies have decreased periodically [4]. 3.3. Market Pricing - The credit spreads of the pharmaceutical and chemical industries have recently declined slightly [5]. 3.4. Industry Credit Spread Tracking (as of 6/11) | Industry | Last Year | One Quarter Ago | One Month Ago | Last Week | This Week | Quantile | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry and Fishery | 63.38 | 88.71 | 77.76 | 59.48 | 59.28 | 0.70 | | Mining | 35.48 | 25.94 | 47.91 | 38.57 | 39.39 | 9.40 | | Chemical | 67.32 | 72.87 | 63.09 | 21.15 | 50.99 | 0.10 | | Steel | 42.16 | 65.09 |... | 45.94 | 46.91 | 10.50 | | Non - ferrous Metals | 44.71 | 65.43 | 58.77 | 51.36 | 51.00 | 12.00 | | Electronics | 61.94 | 86.94 | 77.65 | 58.50 | 58.89 | 8.40 | | Automobile | 63.19 | 71.17 | 51.29 | 40.74 | 41.64 | 0.70 | | Household Appliances | 42.03 | 60.23 | 53.02 | 45.87 | 46.68 | 12.50 | | Food and Beverage | 42.30 | 54.60 | 45.51 | 35.32 | 36.25 | 2.20 | | Textile and Apparel | 51.27 | 64.99 | 55.00 | 51.41 | 51.69 | 9.10 | | Light Industry Manufacturing | 49.82 | 203.78 | 165.50 | 148.84 | 145.95 | 7.10 | | Pharmaceutical and Biological | 23.69 | 75.25 | 73.82 | 61.08 | 59.40 | 8.60 | |... | 26.29 | 41.31 | 33.99 | 26.24 | 27.04 | 9.80 | | Transportation | 32.99 | 45.47 | 38.14 | 30.12 | 31.18 | 6.10 | | Real Estate | 221.47 | 158.34 | 125.70 | 101.21 | 103.67 | 6.40 | | Commercial Trade | 46.51 | 59.70 | 51.36 | 42.04 | 41.84 | 4.00 | | Leisure Services | 80.78 | 112.28 | 127.15 | 121.37 | 122.09 | 98.10 | | Bank | 27.73 | 36.23 | 19.75 | 19.17 | 18.01 | 4.40 | | Non - bank Finance | 28.71 | 42.60 | 35.76 | 29.23 | 29.51 | 6.80 | | Comprehensive | 69.20 | 59.32 | 51.02 | 41.51 | 42.20 | 1.30 | | Building Materials | 35.82 | 55.75 | 47.38 | 37.31 | 38.25 | 8.10 | | Building Decoration | 43.77 | 66.60 | 56.84 | 59.22 | 60.30 | 28.40 | | Electrical Equipment | 53.06 | 93.59 | 83.42 | 79.80 | 79.15 | 41.80 | | Mechanical Equipment | 32.71 | 51.69 | 48.31 | 42.07 | 43.99 | 24.30 | | Computer | 69.67 | 76.76 | 62.98 | 48.56 | 46.46 | 0.00 | | Media | 227.40 | 53.06 | 46.41 | 38.66 | 39.69 | 1.00 | | Communication | 31.64 | 44.82 | 28.75 | 24.87 | 25.36 | 1.40 | [49] 3.5. Key Industry Price Index Tracking (as of 6/10) | Industry | Index Name | Frequency | Unit | Update Time | Value | Year - on - Year | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Agriculture | Spot price: Corn | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 2308.6 | 0.50% | | | Spot price: Eggs | Daily | Yuan/kg | 6/10 | 5.8 | - 2.02% | | | Spot price: Palm oil | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 8630.0 | - 0.07% | | | Spot price: Cotton | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 14623.0 | 0.44% | | | Average wholesale price: Pork | Daily | Yuan/kg | 6/10 | 20.3 | - 1.41% | | | Spot price: Copper | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 79293.3 | 1.03% | | | Spot price: Zinc | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 22146.0 | - 2.50% | | Non - ferrous Metals | Spot price: Aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 20193.3 | 0.28% | | | Spot price: Nickel | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 123000.0 | - 0.52% | | | Spot price: Aluminum | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 16706.3 | 1.10% | | | Spot price: Rebar | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 3090.2 | 1.29% | | Ferrous Metals | Spot price: Iron ore | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 746.1 | - 0.56% | | | Spot price: Wire rod | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 3267.5 | 0.23% | | | Spot price: Glass | Daily | Yuan/sq.m | 6/10 | 13.8 | - 2.82% | | Non - metals | Spot price: Natural rubber | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 13670.8 | 2.72% | | | China Plastics City price index | Daily | - | 6/10 | 824.4 | - 0.25% | | | Spot price: WTI crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 6/10 | 65.3 | 4.43% | | Energy | Spot price: Brent crude oil | Daily | US dollars/barrel | 6/10 | 67.0 | 3.73% | | | Spot price: Liquefied natural gas | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 3998.0 | - 2.01% | | | Coal price: Coal | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 748.0 | - 0.53% | | | Spot price: PTA | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 4880.5 | - 1.38% | | Chemical | Spot price: Polyethylene | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 7346.7 | - 0.14% | | | Spot price: Urea | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 1821.7 | - 3.92% | | | Spot price: Soda ash | Daily | Yuan/ton | 6/10 | 1370.0 | - 4.20% | | | Cement price index: National | Daily | - | 6/10 | 140.9 | 0.84% | | Real Estate | Building materials comprehensive index | Daily | Points | 6/10 | 111.6 | 0.30% | | | Concrete price index: National index | Daily | Points | 6/10 | 99.1 | - 0.24% | [50]

Core Insights - Ningbo Qianwan New Area is emerging as a hub for "unicorn" companies, with 11 enterprises listed in the 2025 Zhejiang Province unicorn company rankings, accounting for nearly one-third of Ningbo's total of 37 listed companies [1] - The total valuation of the 11 listed companies in Qianwan is approximately 25.25 billion yuan, driven by strong technological research and development capabilities [4] Unicorn Companies - The unicorn companies in Qianwan are primarily focused on "hard technology," with all 11 companies listed being categorized as such [1] - Kanglong Huacheng (Ningbo) Biopharmaceutical Co., Ltd. is the only unicorn in the life sciences sector, aiming to establish a world-class CGT (cell and gene therapy) drug R&D and production platform [2] Semiconductor Industry - Six of the listed companies in Qianwan are from the semiconductor industry, which is known for housing many unicorns and gazelles [2] - Qingchun Semiconductor, incubated by Fudan University Ningbo Research Institute, launched its first car-grade silicon carbide diode and MOSFET products within a year, filling domestic gaps [3] R&D Investment - Qianwan's total R&D expenditure surpassed 5 billion yuan for the first time in 2023, reaching 5.098 billion yuan, with an average growth rate of nearly 30% over the past three years [4] Digital Economy and Innovation - The Qianwan Digital Economy Industrial Park hosts over 40 companies engaged in R&D and production, with a total valuation exceeding 15 billion yuan [5] - The area has implemented forward-looking development policies for smart connected vehicles, digital economy, and biomedicine to attract potential projects [6] Financial Ecosystem - The financial ecosystem in Qianwan is continuously optimized to support the growth of unicorn companies, with nearly 100 capital matching events arranged annually [7] - Qianwan has established a leading capital market policy package, ensuring that companies receive necessary support at every growth stage [8] Investment and Collaboration - Qianwan has formed 31 sub-funds in collaboration with social capital, with a total scale approaching 25 billion yuan [9] - The region is focusing on AI and big data sectors, seeking professional fund collaboration teams to build an AI innovation industry cluster [9]

Group 1 - Doubao-Seed-1.6 model was officially launched, supporting 256k long context, with a daily average token usage of 16.4 trillion by the end of May [1] - The launch reflects the extensive application of Doubao in a competitive large model industry, necessitating continuous performance optimization and innovation in multimodal fields [1] Group 2 - Qianxun launched a mini-program named "Qianxun Super Member," which sparked speculation about its connection to the return of influencer Viya, but the company denied any such link [2] - The mini-program aims to promote consumption and serve merchants while adhering to national laws and regulations, indicating a shift in the live e-commerce industry towards private domain operations [2] Group 3 - AliExpress, a cross-border e-commerce platform under Alibaba, launched a car sales business, initially offering Chinese electric vehicles during the overseas "618" shopping festival [3] - This move is seen as a strategic expansion into vehicle sales, leveraging its existing user base in auto parts, but faces challenges related to after-sales and logistics [3] Group 4 - 3D model company VAST secured tens of millions of dollars in Pre-A+ round financing, led by Beijing AI Industry Investment Fund, with previous investors including various venture capital firms [4] - VAST launched the world's first AI-driven one-stop 3D workspace, Tripo Studio, and is set to introduce a new algorithm, Tripo 3.0, enhancing its competitive edge in the 3D modeling market [4]

Core Insights - The era of consumers focusing solely on price when purchasing new energy vehicles has passed, as they now consider design, personalization, performance, and after-sales service as essential factors [1] Consumer Preferences - Consumers interested in driving experience prioritize metrics such as acceleration time and high-speed power output [1] - Tech-savvy consumers are more concerned with intelligent assistance features and futuristic interaction interfaces [1] - A significant number of consumers are willing to pay for aesthetics, analyzing interior design, wheel shapes, and even color coordination between car paint and license plates [1] Industry Challenges - The shift in consumer preferences indicates that relying solely on low pricing strategies may lead car manufacturers into a dilemma of "increasing production but incurring losses" and "increasing revenue without increasing profit" [1]

与其"跟风"，不如"造风"。在未来，新能源车行业更需要一种"长期主义"的格局，在价值创造的过程 中，找到擅长的方向和赛道，跑得更远更稳更好 这段时间有朋友准备入手新能源车，去4S店试驾新车，一直在考虑到底买哪款。没过几天，待选的几 款车型全部降价。朋友一方面感慨"省钱了"，一方面又更加不敢出手，"怕买贵"。汽车论坛里，不少老 车主吐槽遭遇"价格背刺"：提车两个月，降价两万元，新款上市直接变"绝版车"。在新能源车消费市 场，"买得越早，亏得越狠"的尴尬为何挥之不去？ 在"日日有新款"的今天，设计感、个性化、高性能、强售后，也是消费者购置新车时必须考量的因素。 看中驾驶感的消费者在意的是百公里加速时间、高速动力输出水平；喜欢酷炫风的消费者则关心智能化 的辅助功能、未来感的交互界面；还有不少消费者更乐意为"颜值"买单，他们研究内饰的线条、轮毂的 造型，就连车漆与牌照颜色能不能搭配得和谐，都得纠结大半天……面对消费观念的转变、消费偏好的 调整，单靠"低价输出"，只会让车企陷入"越造越赔""增收不增利"的困境。 不久前，中国汽车工业协会发布《关于维护公平竞争秩序促进行业健康发展的倡议》，引导车企比 拼"价值"不卷"价格 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the energy and new energy sectors [7]. Core Insights - The supply side is expected to reverse, with accelerated technological iterations breaking the deadlock in the power equipment and new energy sectors [2]. - The report highlights a structural resilience in demand, supported by domestic large-scale project reserves and accelerated inventory digestion in Europe, alongside cost advantages from N-type technology iterations [4]. - The report emphasizes the strong competitive advantage of China's wind power industry, with over 90% localization rate and self-sufficiency in core components, predicting a positive trend in wind power exports [4]. Weekly Market Review - From June 1 to June 6, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 1.42%, and the ChiNext Index by 2.32%. The Shenwan Power Equipment Index increased by 1.38%, outperforming the CSI 300 by 0.5 percentage points [12]. - Sub-sectors such as photovoltaic equipment, wind power equipment, batteries, and grid equipment saw increases of 1.10%, 1.50%, 1.05%, and 1.80%, respectively [12][15]. Key Sector Tracking - Tesla announced on June 4, 2025, its plan to build a complete battery production system in the U.S., aiming to eliminate reliance on the Chinese supply chain, highlighting the importance of localizing supply chains to reduce geopolitical risks [3][19]. - The report suggests focusing on companies like GCL-Poly Energy, Junda Co., JinkoSolar, and Sungrow Power Supply in the photovoltaic sector, and Jinlun Technology, Mingyang Smart Energy, and Dongfang Cable in the wind power sector [4]. Investment Recommendations - In the photovoltaic sector, after a procurement surge driven by the "430 rush installation," prices in the supply chain have entered a correction phase, but still maintain a buffer compared to Q1 lows. The industry has achieved healthy inventory turnover through self-discipline, and the underlying logic for profit recovery remains solid [4]. - In the wind power sector, the report maintains a positive outlook for the domestic wind power industry chain, especially with the upcoming year being significant for offshore wind projects in China [4]. - For the new energy vehicle sector, the report recommends focusing on companies benefiting from low upstream raw material prices and stable profitability, such as CATL, Eve Energy, and others [5].

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market showed a positive trend with significant gains in sectors such as media, automotive, cultural tourism, and e-commerce, indicating a strong consumer sentiment [1] - The Hong Kong Consumption ETF (159735) rose by 0.84%, with a trading volume exceeding 30 million, reflecting high market activity and interest in consumer stocks [1] - The current consumer landscape emphasizes unique experiences as a form of social currency, with companies focusing on emotional resonance and cultural identity to connect with younger generations [1] Group 2 - New consumption trends are driven by modern consumers' dual demands for quality-price ratio and emotional value, with product quality, emotional value, and cost-effectiveness being the top three factors influencing purchasing decisions [2] - The market for trendy toys, "grain economy," and freshly brewed tea has seen a compound annual growth rate of 23%-30% over the past two years, highlighting the rapid growth of the new consumption market [2] - A survey by McKinsey indicates that Generation Z has the highest optimism regarding consumption prospects, with 78% expressing positive views [2]

Group 1 - Regulatory bodies have called for an end to "involution-style" competition, leading several automakers to commit to not delaying payments to suppliers, with companies like FAW Group, Dongfeng Motor, GAC Group, Seres, and BYD promising a payment period not exceeding 60 days [1] Group 2 - The New Energy Vehicle ETF (159806) has rebounded strongly, rising over 2% during trading, driven by favorable market conditions [2] - In May, the retail sales of new energy passenger vehicles reached 1.021 million units, marking a year-on-year increase of 28.2% and a month-on-month increase of 12.1%, with a retail penetration rate of 52.9% [2] - Pacific Securities forecasts that under the influence of policies like trade-in incentives, the wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles are expected to reach 1.24 million units by May 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 38% and a month-on-month growth of 9% [2] - The core drivers of the current market are the intelligentization of electric vehicles and ecological upgrades, with the potential for continued growth in the integration of new energy and AI [2] - The New Energy Vehicle ETF tracks the CS New Energy Vehicle Index (399976), which includes listed companies across the new energy vehicle supply chain, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [2]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview - The notes primarily discuss the impact of U.S. tariffs on China's export performance, particularly focusing on the electronics and integrated circuits sectors, as well as the overall trade dynamics between China and the U.S. [1][2][3] Key Points and Arguments 1. **Impact of U.S. Tariffs on Exports**: U.S. tariffs have led to a significant decline in exports to the U.S., with a reported drop of approximately 35%. However, the impact has started to weaken following recent U.S.-China trade talks, leading to improvements in the unit prices of electromechanical products, which may help restore profitability [1][3][4] 2. **Strong Performance of Integrated Circuits**: China's integrated circuit exports have shown robust growth, outperforming other electronic trade economies like Vietnam and South Korea. This indicates strong demand for electronic products despite the challenging trade environment [1][7] 3. **Sensitivity of Consumer Goods Exports**: China's exports of consumer goods to the U.S. are highly sensitive to tariff changes, while intermediate goods have shown resilience due to prior experience with trade tensions and government support [4][5] 4. **Emerging Industries Resilience**: New advantage industries such as lithium batteries and new energy vehicles have experienced growth in exports to the U.S. despite high tariffs, contrasting with declines in sensitive categories like solar products and food [5][8] 5. **Changes in Export Structure**: In May, the export structure of China was influenced by electromechanical products, cross-border e-commerce, and imitation shoes and bags. The demand for cross-border e-commerce has weakened, while new advantage industries like ships, integrated circuits, and automotive supply chains have shown strong external demand [1][6] 6. **Weakening Import Demand**: In May, China's import performance was negatively affected by a decline in demand for energy and mineral-related capital goods. The demand from ASEAN and African economies has also shown significant downturns, with the demand for integrated circuits from Taiwan being a key support factor [9][10] 7. **Global Manufacturing Stability**: Recent signals of tariff easing and stabilization in global manufacturing PMI have alleviated some external demand pressures. The improvement in the new export orders PMI for China indicates a potential recovery in external demand [2][12] 8. **Future Challenges for External Demand**: Looking ahead, external demand may face downward pressure, particularly due to the front-loading of demand from export and re-export activities. The government may focus on foreign affairs to mitigate these pressures, with potential incremental policies being deployed in the latter half of the year [12][13] Additional Important Insights - The notes highlight the importance of monitoring the potential disruptions in the electronic supply chain and the overall trade environment as global economic conditions evolve [7][12] - The resilience of new advantage industries suggests a shift in China's export strategy, adapting to the complexities of international trade dynamics [8][12]