Core Viewpoint - The international environment is becoming increasingly complex and severe, with intensified great power competition being a long-term trend. The defense strategy focus of the U.S. and its allies is gradually shifting towards the Indo-Pacific region, which may lead to escalating tensions around China [1]. Industry Summary - To win modern warfare, advanced aircraft and missiles are essential, along with cost-effective equipment like rockets for sustained consumption, and a reliable communication and command system for support [1]. - By 2027, the goal is to achieve the centenary military objectives, with the "14th Five-Year Plan" expected to accelerate the filling of gaps in military capabilities [1]. - The military industry is projected to have a long-term positive trend under these circumstances [1]. ETF and Index Summary - The military ETF (512660) tracks the CSI Military Industry Index (399967), which selects the top ten military groups listed on the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets, focusing on companies whose main business is related to the military industry [1]. - The constituent stocks cover various military fields, including aviation, aerospace, shipbuilding, and weaponry, and generally exhibit a small to mid-cap style [1].

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese military industry is transitioning from a model reliant on domestic demand to a new development pattern characterized by "domestic demand foundation, foreign trade expansion, and civilian backfeeding," leading to more diversified and sustainable growth [1] Group 1: Domestic Military Demand - The first growth curve focuses on domestic military demand, emphasizing "preparation for combat" and modernization of equipment, driven by stable growth in defense budgets and upgrades in military equipment [1] - Key growth directions include strong deterrence through high-precision technology and systematic unmanned low-cost solutions [1] Group 2: Military Trade Expansion - The second growth curve involves military trade expansion, leveraging cost-performance advantages, systematic combat capabilities, and geopolitical strategic cooperation [1] - China's share in global military trade continues to rise, establishing the country as a significant supplier in the global market [1] Group 3: Civilian Applications of Military Technology - The third growth curve represents the civilian application of military technology, resulting in the spillover of advanced military technologies into civilian sectors [1] - This trend is fostering the emergence of trillion-level new industries such as commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, future energy, deep-sea technology, and large aircraft, thereby driving the development of new processes, materials, and components [1] - The cycle of "military technology for civilian use, backfeeding military industry" is forming a virtuous cycle [1]

爱沙尼亚对外情报机构的评估显示，俄罗斯正在利用旨在结束俄乌冲突的谈判作为一种"操纵工具"，目 的是恢复与美国的关系，但其并无意结束冲突。 爱沙尼亚是与俄罗斯接壤的欧盟和北约成员国，其报告指出，即使达成和平协议，莫斯科的军工复合体 仍将对其邻国构成危险。莫斯科仍希望限制北约在其边境沿线的活动——报告称，"俄罗斯极有可能在 继续进行俄乌冲突的同时，为未来的冲突做准备。" 报告称，随着日益严峻的经济前景在统治精英中引发分歧，预计今年俄罗斯的军事生产将停滞。报告指 出，借贷成本上升和投资低迷是推动俄罗斯经济陷入衰退的因素。 报告称，作为俄罗斯政府资金主要来源的石油产量已稳步下降，且不太可能在未来几年反弹。为支付冲 突成本而提高的税收和削减的开支，加上乌克兰无人机深入俄罗斯境内的袭击已经抑制了消费者情绪。 但据该情报机构称，经济全面崩溃的可能性不大。 "俄罗斯正在为其针对乌克兰的冲突设定长期行动目标。这证实了近期和平谈判言论的升温仅仅是一种 拖延时间的策略，"爱沙尼亚对外情报局在周二发布的年度报告中表示。 报告称："统治精英内部在经济政策上的分歧也已加剧，导致关于经济状况和央行货币政策的争论蔓延 到了公共领域。" 爱沙 ...

| 东方阿尔法招阳混合A(011184) | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 单位净值(2026-02-09) | 累计净值 | | | 0.4940 1.08% | 0.4940 | | | 近1月: -6.01% | 近3月:14.04% | 近6月: -2.85% | | 沂1年:-2.10% | 近3年:-35 96% | 成立来:-50.60% | | 东方阿尔法招阳混合C(011185) | | | | 单位净值(2026-02-09) | 累计净值 | | | 0.4677 1.08% | 0.4677 | | | 沂1月: -6.07% | 近3月:13.80% | 近6月: -3.25% | | 沂1年:-2.89% | 沂3年:-37.62% | 成立来:-53.23% | 中国经济网北京2月10日讯 2月4日，智通财经发布《2021年成立的基金还拿不回本？五成亏损 问题究 竟出在哪？》一文。文中称，2021年大量主动权益基金密集成立，但2021年那一批在牛市尾声发车的基金 却并没有集体扬眉吐气。智通财经记者以2021年成立并仍存续的667只主动权益基金为样本统计发现， ...

Asset Allocation Insights - A-shares are focusing on mid-cap blue chips, with a neutral stance on bonds and US stocks, and a cautious outlook on gold in the short term[2] - The risk appetite in A-shares is shifting, with structural opportunities being the main focus amid overall market fluctuations[2] - Bond performance in February is expected to follow risk appetite trends, serving as a hedge against risk assets[2] Market Sentiment and Risk Assessment - Regulatory measures in January have led to a more balanced risk preference, with high-risk investors showing decreased appetite while low-risk investors gain confidence[9] - Trading sentiment across large, mid, and small-cap stocks has cooled, but medium-term uncertainty remains relatively stable[9] Industry and Sector Recommendations - Current price increases in cyclical goods are key indicators for asset allocation, with a positive outlook on sectors like chemicals, agriculture, and non-ferrous metals[30] - The report highlights two main drivers for price increases: industrialization in emerging economies and geopolitical tensions affecting import prices[30] Model and Strategy Suggestions - The recommendation includes increasing positions in mid-term bonds and focusing on sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, and military technology for February[5] - The multi-asset allocation strategy suggests a combination of passive and active enhancements, with a focus on risk parity models for stock and bond allocations[48] Performance Metrics - The low-volatility strategy has achieved an annualized return of 11.8%, while the high-volatility strategy has reached 18.1% since 2025[9] - The industry rotation strategy has outperformed benchmarks with an annualized return of 44.8% since 2025[9]

Core Viewpoint - The military industry sector experienced a significant rebound, with the high-profile military ETF, Huabao (512810), seeing a trading volume surge of over 150% compared to the previous day, indicating substantial capital inflow [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The military sector showed a V-shaped recovery in early trading, maintaining a positive trend throughout the afternoon [1] - Huabao ETF's trading volume exceeded 1 billion yuan, suggesting strong investor interest [1] - Notable performers included Hangjin Technology and China Power, both hitting the daily limit, while Yingliu Co. continued to rise over 6%, reaching a historical high [1] Group 2: Stock Performance - There was a significant divergence in the performance of constituent stocks, with some experiencing sharp declines, such as Aerospace Nanhu and Aerospace Development, which were among the worst performers in the commercial aerospace sector [1] - The report from Huatai Securities highlighted the importance of international military trade investment opportunities amid increasing uncertainties in global security [1] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to drive a shift from quantity to quality in military modernization, with structural opportunities emerging in new domains, unmanned intelligence, advanced weapons, and cost-effective equipment [1]

Market Outlook - A-shares are focusing on mid-cap blue chips, with a neutral stance on bonds and US stocks, and a cautious outlook on gold in the short term[2] - Risk appetite in A-shares is shifting, with structural opportunities being the main focus amid overall market fluctuations[2] - The bond market is expected to continue following risk appetite trends, serving as a hedge against risk assets[2] Investment Strategy - The report recommends increasing allocations to mid-cap blue chips and sectors such as non-ferrous metals, chemicals, new energy, military, communication, and electronics[5] - A dual strategy of passive and active enhancement is suggested for stock-bond allocation, with a focus on increasing positions in mid-term bonds[48] Industry Insights - Price increases in cyclical goods are highlighted as key investment clues, particularly in the chemical, agricultural, and non-ferrous sectors[30] - Geopolitical tensions are raising global economic risk assessments, which is a fundamental driver for commodity price increases[30] Performance Metrics - The low-volatility strategy has achieved an annualized return of 11.8%, while the high-volatility strategy has reached 18.1% since 2025[9] - The industry rotation strategy has outperformed benchmarks with an annualized return of 44.8% since 2025[9] Risk Considerations - Extreme risk events could disrupt market expectations, and there is a risk of quantitative models failing to predict future trends[6]

上周A股市场整体承压，主要宽基指数普遍下跌，价值股整体表现偏强。行业上，食品饮料、银行、建 材行业继续上行，有色、通信、石化行业转跌，电子、计算机、化工行业继续下跌。 宏观分析：地方两会政策聚焦扩内需与强科技 国内方面，地方两会时间开启，从各地经济增长目标和政策部署来看，增长目标稳中有降，增量政策聚 焦扩内需与强科技。 投资策略：关注内需价值与新兴科技两大方向 在震荡之后，市场有望逐步企稳，或可持股过节。市场仍具备以下积极因素：1）全球市场正快速计入 美联储潜在的鹰派货币立场，但从路径角度沃什的降息立场更鸽派和确定。与此同时，贝森特澄清强美 元政策并非指干预汇率，海外金融紧缩预期边际改善。2）国内政策重心正转向内需主导，并作为首要 任务，有望提振中国经济前景与资产回报。3）证监会近期再次强调"全力巩固资本市场稳中向好势 头"，A股上市公司亦掀起回购热潮。 投资思路上，新兴科技仍有望是主线，价值股也有春天。考虑到当下估值分化的极端性，以及资金高低 切的部分需求，短期内风格有切换的可能性，可关注自由现金流指数等代表公司质量的标的。 具体方向上，1）内需价值：春节后内需板块超额概率较高，叠加扩内需成为重要增长抓手， ...

Core Viewpoint - Changyou Technology (301557) is actively advancing its layout and development in the military industry, emphasizing its commitment to this sector [1] Group 1: Company Developments - The company's wholly-owned subsidiary, Jiangsu Changzhuo Technology Co., Ltd., holds weapon equipment quality management system certification and military-level confidentiality qualification [1] - The company has already secured relevant orders in its military business and has achieved sales revenue from this segment [1] Group 2: Financial Impact - Currently, the revenue from the military business constitutes a very low proportion of the company's total income, and it does not significantly impact the company's current performance [1]

证券日报网讯 2月9日，常友科技在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，本次公司与远景能源签订的重大 合同，是双方在芯材领域深化合作的重要体现，该合同的履行将为后续更深层次合作奠定坚实基础。除 芯材领域外，公司与远景能源在机舱业务上也保持着长期良好的合作关系。具体合作推进情况，请关注 公司后续披露的公告并以公告内容为准。公司高度重视并持续推进在军工领域的布局与发展。目前，公 司全资子公司江苏常卓拥有武器装备质量管理体系认证证书和军工二级保密资质。在此基础上，公司在 军工业务方面已获得相关订单并实现销售收入。目前该部分业务收入占公司收入比例极低，对公司当前 业绩尚不构成重大影响，请投资者注意风险。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...