各位老铁早上好，帮主郑重的早间观察又如约而至！今早的财经消息可太有看头了，黄金价格飙破1300元/克，特斯拉人形机器人要扩产到千万台，还有光 伏、储能赛道的真利好和小风波，做了20年财经记者、死磕中长线的我，今天就帮大伙儿扒扒里面的门道，不搞虚头巴脑的，只聊能落地的机会和避坑指 南。 先说说宏观大环境，昨晚美股道指接着创历史新高，银行和黄金板块领涨，这背后是市场在押注美国政府停摆即将结束，还有美联储的利率政策动向。虽然 亚特兰大联储行长要退休，且表态支持维持利率到通胀达标，但劳动力市场降温、部分经济数据可能缺失，都让降息预期没降温，这对全球资产定价影响不 小。国内这边更给力，境外投资者持有A股市值超3.5万亿元，全球前40大投资机构还在增持中国股票，说明外资对咱们市场的信心越来越足，加上中美经贸 领域在推进合作，这些都是中长期的利好支撑，市场的大环境在慢慢变好。 人形机器人赛道也传来重磅消息，特斯拉要扩建得州超级工厂，专门用来量产Optimus，目标年产能1000万台，2027年就启动量产。做了20年财经记者，我 知道这种巨头明确量产规划的信号有多重要，这意味着行业要从研发阶段迈入规模化落地阶段了。不只是特斯 ...

Group 1: Market Developments - The Shanghai Stock Exchange International Investor Conference opened on November 12, with the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) emphasizing the stability and potential of the Chinese economy, and plans to deepen comprehensive reforms in investment and financing [2] - The CSRC aims to enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of capital market systems, promoting reforms in the ChiNext board and accelerating the implementation of the "1+6" policy for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [2] - The CSRC will also focus on expanding long-term investments from social security, insurance, and pension funds, while enhancing the stability of the capital market to prevent extreme fluctuations [2] Group 2: Industry News - The China Photovoltaic Industry Association issued a statement refuting false information circulating online, asserting that the industry is progressing steadily and will combat malicious attempts to undermine the sector [3] - The National Energy Administration released guidelines to promote the integrated development of distributed renewable energy, encouraging the construction of integrated energy facilities in transportation hubs and advancing building-integrated photovoltaics [4] - The Ministry of Education and six other departments outlined plans to strengthen science and technology education in primary and secondary schools, aiming for a comprehensive educational ecosystem by 2035 [5] Group 3: Company Updates - JA Solar clarified recent rumors circulating about the company, stating that misleading information has harmed its reputation and that it reserves the right to pursue legal action against the spread of false claims [6] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (CATL) announced that its fifth-generation lithium iron phosphate battery has begun mass production [7] - Zhejiang Dongri clarified that it does not engage in "brain-computer interface" business, addressing market speculation [8] Group 4: Market Analysis - Debon Securities noted a divergence in index performance, suggesting a shift in market preference towards defensive and growth sectors, with a focus on insurance and banking stocks [11] - Guotou Securities highlighted that AI demand has disrupted traditional storage cycles, leading to a new "super cycle" in the industry, with significant price increases expected due to rising enterprise-level storage needs driven by AI [12]

5、海博思创：与宁德时代签订战略合作协议，2026年至2028年公司采购电量累计不低于200GWh。 宏 观 新 闻 早 报 精 选 4、美股银行与黄金板块领涨，国际油价大幅收跌。 1、 中共中央政治局委员、国务院副总理何立峰12日晚在京会见美中关系全国委员会董事会执行副主席格林伯格、会长欧伦斯。何立 峰表示，中美在经贸领域拥有广阔合作空间，中美双方应相向而行，共同维护好、落实好两国元首釜山会晤重要共识和成果，加强合 作、管控分歧，推动中美经贸关系稳定发展。 2、上海证券交易所国际投资者大会11月12日正式启幕。在开幕式上，中国证监会副主席李明表示，强化战略性力量储备和稳市机制 建设，提升资本市场内在稳定性，坚决防止市场大起大落、急涨急跌。李明介绍，目前境外投资者持有A股的市值超过3.5万亿元， 是A股市场的重要参与力量。 3、瑞银投资银行近日发布报告称，今年三季度，外国机构投资者进一步增持中国股票。全球前40大投资机构的中国股票持仓升至 1.1%，为2023年一季度以来的最高水平。 4、美联储再现人事变动，亚特兰大联储行长博斯蒂克意外宣布将于明年2月退休。博斯蒂克同日还表示支持将利率保持原状，直至 通胀降至 ...

消息面上，三星电子、SK海力士和铠侠等正在谋划推动NAND价格上调。去年一整年，NAND售价几 乎停留在成本价水平。据悉，三星目前正与海外大型客户讨论明年的供货量，并在内部考虑将价格上调 20%至30%以上。同时，三星、SK海力士、铠侠、美光这四大存储龙头今年下半年都纷纷削减NAND闪 存供应量。(格隆汇) 存储概念股走强，闪迪涨约4.8%创新高；美光科技涨超3%，Pure Storage、西部数据涨超1%。 ...

Group 1: Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry is experiencing structural opportunities driven by AI demand and domestic substitution, characterized by capacity expansion and supply chain security [1][16]. - Global silicon wafer shipments are expected to reach 12.824 billion square inches in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, and this growth trend is projected to continue until 2028 [16]. - The advanced process capacity (≤7nm) is expected to grow from 850,000 wafers per month in 2024 to 1.4 million wafers per month by 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14% [16]. Group 2: AI Computing - AI capital expenditures are surging, with major cloud service providers (CSPs) increasing their investments in AI infrastructure, leading to growth opportunities in PCB, liquid cooling, optical modules, and HVDC [2][48]. - CSPs' capital expenditures are expected to continue rising, with North American companies like Microsoft, Amazon, Google, and Meta showing significant year-on-year increases in their capital spending [48][52]. - The demand for AI computing is driving the need for high-end PCB products, particularly in GPU acceleration cards, with a clear trend towards advanced technologies such as HDI and CoWoP [56]. Group 3: Storage - The storage industry is entering a "super cycle" driven by AI demand, breaking traditional storage cycle models, with prices rising and technological innovations leading the investment narrative [3]. - Despite expectations of a downturn in 2024, the market is rebounding in the first half of 2025 due to high enterprise storage demand from AI servers and strict capacity control by leading manufacturers [3]. - The transition from planar to 3D DRAM technology is becoming crucial, with the 4F² combined with CBA technology expected to increase bit density by approximately 30% [3]. Group 4: Consumer Electronics - The consumer electronics sector is witnessing a significant shift as major companies like Apple and Meta transition from technology layout to market realization, with AI innovations providing macroeconomic momentum for the industry [9]. - The global sales of AI smart glasses surged by 370% year-on-year in Q3 2025, indicating that the industry has entered a high-growth phase [9]. - The market for optical displays and storage components is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for smart glasses and other AI-driven consumer electronics [9].

晶存科技旗下产品的终端应用覆盖了消费电子，包括智能手机、笔记本计算机、平板计算机、教育电子、智 能家居、可穿戴设备、智能机器人等，以及工业领域和智能座舱系统等多元化场景，并为上述终端提供高性 能、高可靠性及高耐用性的数据存取能力。 9月29日，深圳市晶存科技股份有限公司（简称"晶存科技"）向港交所递交上市申请文件，启动港股IPO进 程。招股书显示，晶存科技是一家嵌入式存储产品独立厂商，主要专注于嵌入式存储产品及其他存储产品的 研发、设计、生产和销售。 此前，晶存科技曾筹划在A股上市，并于2024年12月启动IPO辅导，但最后晶存科技自愿放弃A股上市计划。 在嵌入式存储领域出货量领先 招股书显示，晶存科技的嵌入式存储产品包括基于DRAM的产品（DDR、LPDDR）、基于NAND Flash的产品 （eMMC、UFS）、以及多芯片封装（MCP）嵌入式存储产品（eMCP、uMCP、ePOP），其他产品则主要包 括固态硬盘和内存条。 除了产品销售外，晶存科技还为部分客户提供测试及存储技术服务，作为存储解决方案的补充。 根据弗若斯特沙利文报告，以2024年出货量计算，晶存科技在全球嵌入式存储市场所有独立存储器厂商中排 ...

人民财讯11月12日电，江波龙(301308)11月12日在互动平台表示，综合第三方信息来看，云服务商纷纷 追加大容量QLC SSD订单，导致客户需求远超存储原厂原先的供应预期，目前各大存储原厂在报价上 仍然保持着向上的态势。 转自：证券时报 ...

Group 1: Tesla and Robotics - Tesla is preparing to expand its Texas Gigafactory to produce 10 million units of the Optimus humanoid robot annually, with mass production scheduled to start in 2027 [1] - The Fremont factory is currently producing a limited number of Optimus prototypes, with an expected annual capacity of 1 million units [1] Group 2: Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) Market - The price of lithium iron phosphate has reached approximately 37,000 to 38,000 CNY per ton, with a reported production of 399,700 tons in October, reflecting an 11.5% month-over-month increase [2][3] - Major LFP manufacturers are operating at nearly full capacity, with a utilization rate of 75.9% in October, up 2.5 percentage points from the previous month [2] Group 3: AI and Storage Demand - The demand for storage solutions is surging due to AI applications, leading to significant price increases in DRAM and NAND flash memory products [4] - NAND flash prices have risen by 17.1% recently, with expectations of continued price increases into the next quarter due to supply constraints [4] Group 4: Solid-State Battery Development - The solid-state battery industry is accelerating, with mass production expected to begin in 2027 and full-scale production by 2030, driven by policy support and emerging market demands [6] - The global market for solid-state battery equipment is projected to reach 32.06 billion CNY by 2030 [6] Group 5: Brain-Computer Interface Innovations - The brain-computer interface market is expanding, with the first invasive product entering the special review process in China, indicating significant advancements in the field [8] - The global brain-computer interface market is expected to grow from approximately 2.62 billion USD in 2024 to 12.4 billion USD by 2034 [8] Group 6: Dairy Industry Trends - The popularity of traditional snacks like "milk skin" has surged, leading to long queues and high demand, reflecting a successful blend of traditional food with modern marketing [10] - Companies in the dairy sector are adapting to consumer trends, with innovations driving revenue and profit growth [10][11] Group 7: Chemical New Materials Sector - The People's Bank of China emphasizes that financial empowerment and technological innovation will help the chemical new materials industry transition to a high-performance, green, and intelligent development phase [12] - The market for high-performance materials is expected to grow, particularly in aerospace and electronic information sectors [12]

Core Insights - The price of memory products, particularly DDR4 and DDR5 RAM, has seen a significant increase recently, with DDR4 16G prices rising from under 200 yuan to around 484 yuan, reflecting a dramatic market shift [1][3][4] Price Trends - Between October 13 and 18, the average price of DDR5 16G and DDR4 16G increased by 20.59% and 11.11% respectively, with month-over-month increases of 58.73% and 43% [3] - The price of DDR4 16G memory has more than doubled since September, with current prices ranging from 370 yuan to 440 yuan [4][6] - Some high-end models have seen prices rise from over 1,000 yuan to nearly 2,000 yuan, indicating a widespread price surge across various markets [11] Market Dynamics - The current market is characterized by rapid price fluctuations, with some vendors reporting daily price changes, making it difficult for consumers to make purchasing decisions [6] - The demand for memory products has surged due to the AI industry's growth, leading to supply constraints as major manufacturers shift production focus to high-bandwidth memory (HBM) and DDR5 products [12][14] - The competition for storage chips between mobile devices and computers has further exacerbated supply issues, with smartphone manufacturers increasing their demand for memory [12] Future Outlook - Industry experts predict that the price increase trend will continue into 2025, with a potential 25% reduction in DDR4 production capacity and ongoing supply shortages [12][14] - The overall storage industry is entering a new upward cycle, driven by recovering server demand and the expansion of AI server deployments [14]

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight decline with the three major indices falling slightly, while the pharmaceutical sector showed strength, particularly in cell immunotherapy stocks like Kaineng Health and Jimin Health, which hit the daily limit [1] - Oil and gas stocks remained strong, with companies like Sinopec Oilfield Services and Zhun Oil hitting the daily limit [1] - The banking sector saw a brief rise before retreating, with Agricultural Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China reaching historical highs [1] - The consumer sector was active, with companies like Sanyuan and Zhongrui achieving consecutive gains [1] - Overall, more than 3,500 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets declined, with a total trading volume of 1.96 trillion [1] Hot Topics Storage Sector - The storage concept continued to rise, with stocks like Haoshanghao, Kexiang, and Dagang hitting the daily limit, while Xiangnong Chip Innovation reached a new high [3] - According to reports, NOR Flash usage is expected to increase by approximately 50% as AI servers transition from HBM3E to HBM4, leading to a price increase of up to 30% in the first quarter of next year [3][5] - Haotong Securities noted that NOR Flash is the largest storage chip market after DRAM and NAND Flash, driven by demand from smartphones, IoT, TWS headsets, 5G, and automotive electronics [4] Oilfield Services - The oilfield services sector showed strength, with companies like Zhun Oil, Shandong Molong, and Sinopec Oilfield Services hitting the daily limit [5] - According to research, OPEC plans to increase production by 137,000 barrels per day in December, but actual production has not met expectations [5] - The oilfield services sector is expected to see a recovery, with significant growth potential in the Middle East market, which is valued at hundreds of billions [7] Consumer Sector - The consumer sector remained active, with companies like Zhongrui, Dongbai Group, and Sanyuan achieving consecutive gains [8] - The October CPI increased by 0.2%, and the Ministry of Finance plans to continue implementing measures to boost consumption [9] - Citic Securities highlighted that consumer performance often improves when the economic fundamentals begin to recover, with a focus on new products, technologies, channels, and markets for long-term investment [10]