翻倍基金开始调整持仓结构！部分龙头牛股遭遇减持。 2025年，AI算力引爆A股科技行情，一批重仓算力产业链的主动权益基金，年度收益率高达100%以上。根据部分2025年度"翻倍基"最新披露的重仓股数据， 过去一个季度，不同基金经理对个别AI细分赛道龙头股的操作截然相反。 以光模块龙头中际旭创（300308）为例，永赢科技智选、中欧数字经济均在2025年四季度减持了中际旭创。其中，前者持有中际旭创的数量较2025年三季度 末减少了17%至224.49万股，中际旭创仍为基金第二大重仓股；中欧数字经济持有中际旭创的数量较2025年三季度末减少了33.42%至185.42万股，但仍为其 第一大重仓股。 截至1月22日午盘，中际旭创A股市值超6500亿元，2025年中际旭创全年涨幅近400% 除了机构密集减持，1月16日，中际旭创也公告，控股股东中际控股已完成550万股减持计划，减持均价为521.73元/股，占公司总股本的0.49%。 图/1月16日上市公司公告 而交银优择回报、前海开源沪港深乐享生活则在2025年四季度增持了中际旭创，前者持仓数量环比增长了77.25%，后者持仓数量环比大增了266.44%。截至 20 ...

记者丨 易妍君 编辑丨姜诗蔷 翻倍基金开始调整持仓结构！部分龙头牛股遭遇减持。 2025年，AI算力引爆A股科技行情，一批重仓算力产业链的主动权益基金，年度收益率高达100%以上。根据部分2025年度"翻倍基"最新披露的 重仓股数据， 过去一个季度，不同基金经理对个别AI细分赛道龙头股的操作截然相反。 以光模块龙头中际旭创为例，永赢科技智选、中欧数字经济均在2025年四季度减持了中际旭创。 其中，前者持有中际旭创的数量较2025年三 季度末减少了17%至224.49万股，中际旭创仍为基金第二大重仓股；中欧数字经济持有中际旭创的数量较2025年三季度末减少了33.42%至 185.42万股，但仍为其第一大重仓股。 | | SZSE CNY 11:30:00 休市 査看L2全畳 | | | | | 通 部 ▽ ○ + | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 愛比 | 79.50% 委差 | 287 | Wind ESG评级 A | | | 详情 | | 卖五 | 589.00 | 16 | 交生 | -3.55% 120日 | | 206.95% | | 卖 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share listed companies are entering a concentrated disclosure period for their 2025 performance forecasts, with over 580 companies having disclosed their forecasts, and around 300 companies expecting a year-on-year increase in net profit [1] Group 1: Performance Forecasts - Among the companies with positive performance forecasts, 100 companies expect a net profit increase of over 100%, and 17 companies anticipate an increase of over 300% [1] - The electronics, semiconductor, new energy, and non-ferrous metals industries are showing particularly strong performance [1] Group 2: Notable Companies and Their Forecasts - Huisheng Biological is expected to have a net profit increase of 1265.93% to 1444.54%, with a forecasted net profit of 235 million to 271 million yuan, attributed to market expansion and price increases [2] - Zijin Mining, a leader in the non-ferrous metals sector, forecasts a net profit of 51 billion to 52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 59% to 62%, driven by increased production and sales prices [3] - Shenghong Technology, a PCB leader, anticipates a net profit of 4.16 billion to 4.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 260.35% to 295%, supported by advancements in AI computing and high-performance computing [4] Group 3: Industry Trends - The "hard technology" sector is experiencing enhanced profitability due to the growing global demand for AI infrastructure and computing power [3] - Companies like Bawei Storage expect a net profit increase of 427.19% to 520.22%, with improvements in sales revenue and gross margin anticipated from the second quarter of 2025 [3] - Other technology companies, including Changxin Bochuang and Ding Tai High-Tech, are also forecasting potential doubling or more in their performance [5]

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.08% to close at 4116 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 0.7%, and the ChiNext Index up by 0.54%, having once surged over 1.5% during the session [1][2] - The total market turnover reached 2.61 trillion yuan, a decrease of 180.5 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with nearly 3100 stocks advancing [1] Sector Performance - The precious metals sector saw significant gains, with spot gold surpassing 4880 USD, leading to a surge in related stocks such as Zhaojin Mining and Chifeng Jilong Gold, both hitting the daily limit [3] - The CPO concept stocks also performed well, with companies like Huatian Technology and Tongfu Microelectronics reaching their daily limit [3] - Lithium mining stocks were active, with Shengxin Lithium Energy and others hitting the daily limit [3] - The PCB sector experienced a rise, with Dazhu CNC reaching the daily limit [3] - Conversely, the duty-free and commercial retail sectors declined, with Guangbai Co. and Yonghui Superstores leading the losses [3] - The electric grid equipment sector weakened, with Sanbian Technology dropping over 8% [3] - Coal stocks also fell, with Dayou Energy declining by over 8% [3]

Group 1 - Aoshikang's stock reached the daily limit, indicating strong market interest and demand [1] - Guanghe Technology's stock also hit the daily limit, achieving a historical high in its stock price [1] - Kexiang Co., Ltd. saw its stock price increase by over 10%, reflecting positive investor sentiment [1] Group 2 - ShenNan Circuit, HuDian Co., Baoding Technology, and JinAn Guoji all experienced stock price increases, indicating a broader trend of growth in the sector [1]

【 导读 】 一批绩优基金四季报披露 中国基金报记者 曹雯璟 随着公募四季报陆续披露，一些绩优基金经理的调仓换股"跃然纸上"。 去年四季度，不少绩优基金聚焦人工智能、云计算、机器人等投资方向。多位基金经理表 示，展望2026年，对资本市场整体环境保持相对乐观，科技产业仍将是结构性行情的重要方 向。 也有基金经理进行提示风险，科技板块具有高成长性和高波动率，应该先讲风险，再谈收 益，建议进行分散投资。 任桀：继续重点布局全球云计算产业 重点关注通信领域中的光通信及PCB方向 1月21日，由任桀管理的永赢科技智选披露四季报。该基金成立于2024年10月底，在2025 年度取得233.29%的单位净值增长率，不仅在主动权益基金业绩榜单上名列第一，更是摘得 年度公募基金全市场冠军，且领先优势明显。 最新季报显示，截至2025年四季度末，该基金规模达154.68亿元，环比增长34.26%。该基 金四季度股票仓位有所下降，从持仓情况看，其股票市值占基金总资产比例为78.76%，较三 季度末减少了13个百分点。 任桀在季报中表示，去年四季度，该基金继续聚焦全球云计算产业投资，在三季度判断的基 础上（基于2027年新技术的兑 ...

Core Viewpoint - The PCB concept stocks in the A-share market have shown strong performance, with several companies experiencing significant price increases. Group 1: Stock Performance - Kexiang Co., Ltd. saw a rise of over 17% [1] - Chipbond Technology increased by over 15% [1] - International Composite Materials rose by over 13% [1] - Silver Holdings, Zhongtung High-tech, Guanghe Technology, and Aoshikang all hit the daily limit with a 10% increase [1] - Saiteng Co. and Benchuan Intelligent rose by over 8% [1] - Mulinsen increased by over 7% [1] - Hongchang Electronics rose by over 6% [1] - Other companies like Inno Laser, Xingsen Technology, Jiangnan New Materials, China Jushi, Lianrui New Materials, and Honghe Technology all saw increases of over 5% [1] Group 2: Market Data - Kexiang Co., Ltd. has a total market value of 10.6 billion and a year-to-date increase of 32.40% [2] - Chipbond Technology has a market value of 25.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 44.13% [2] - International Composite Materials has a market value of 31.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 20.00% [2] - Silver Holdings has a market value of 63.5 billion and a year-to-date increase of 46.50% [2] - Zhongtung High-tech has a market value of 95 billion and a year-to-date increase of 50.42% [2] - Guanghe Technology has a market value of 40.7 billion and a year-to-date increase of 17.00% [2] - Aoshikang has a market value of 13.9 billion and a year-to-date increase of 2.50% [2] - Other companies listed have varying market values and year-to-date increases, with notable performances from companies like Mulinsen and Hongchang Electronics [2]

Market Overview - The A-share market opened lower on January 21, but all three major indices turned positive by the time of reporting [1] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index slightly declined while the Hang Seng Tech Index saw a minor increase [2] Sector Performance - The polyurethane, gold, and non-ferrous metal sectors led the gains, while AI marketing, internet, communication equipment, and Zhizhu AI sectors experienced declines [2] - The precious metals sector opened strong, with companies like Hunan Silver and Shandong Gold showing significant gains [3] Gold Market Insights - Gold stocks in the Hong Kong market opened higher, with Zhaojin Mining and Shandong Gold seeing notable increases [5] - Spot gold prices surged, breaking the $4,800 per ounce mark and reaching a new historical high of $4,828.59 per ounce, up 1.38% [5] - The National Bank of Poland announced plans to purchase 150 tons of gold, valued at approximately $23 billion at current market prices, exceeding the total gold reserves of larger economies like Brazil and Mexico [5] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector continued its strong performance, with companies like Chengdu Investment Holdings and Vanke A experiencing upward momentum [6] - A joint announcement from the Ministry of Finance and other departments extended the personal income tax preferential policy for housing purchases until the end of 2027, allowing taxpayers to enjoy tax refunds when purchasing new homes within one year of selling their own [8] Robotics and AI Sector - The humanoid robot concept saw a rise, with companies like Fangzheng Electric and Yifan Transmission hitting their daily limits [8] - Industry reports indicate that large-scale production of humanoid robots is imminent, with significant technological breakthroughs expected by 2025 and commercialization anticipated by 2026 [8] Lithium Mining Sector - The lithium mining sector experienced a rebound, with companies like Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting their daily limit [9] - The main contract for lithium carbonate on the Shanghai Futures Exchange rose over 5%, surpassing 164,000 yuan per ton [9] PCB Sector Developments - The PCB sector saw fluctuations, with companies like Aoshikang and Guanghe Technology reaching their daily limits [9] - Due to tight supply and soaring prices of raw materials, Japanese semiconductor material manufacturer Resonac announced a price increase of over 30% for copper foil substrates and adhesive films starting March 1 [9]

Summary of Conference Call Notes Industry Overview: PCB Equipment Key Points - **Expansion Plans**: - Pengding plans to invest 4.3 billion yuan in expansion, focusing on HDI and HLC products aimed at AI servers, AI edge devices, and low-orbit satellites. The project is expected to be completed by the end of 2026, with PCB equipment orders anticipated to materialize within the same year [1][1][1] - **Technological Advancements**: - Huadian Co. is investing in a high-density optoelectronic integrated circuit board project in Jintan District, Changzhou, with a total investment of 300 million USD (phased into two parts). This initiative aims to establish platforms for cutting-edge technologies like CoWoP and advanced processes such as mSAP, focusing on next-generation technology directions like copper-light integration [1][1][1] Market Dynamics - **Accelerated Expansion and Technological Iteration**: - Leading PCB manufacturers are rapidly expanding, particularly in the AI PCB sector. Equipment manufacturers are expected to benefit significantly from this expansion wave, while material suppliers may see improvements in product structure due to the increasing layers in AI PCBs [2][2][2] - **High-End PCB Upgrades**: - Continuous advancements in chip technology are driving the upgrade of PCBs towards high-end applications, characterized by smaller aperture sizes and narrower line widths. Advanced packaging processes like CoWoP and micro-aperture/line-width processing techniques such as mSAP are expected to propel the development of high-end equipment, leading to increased demand for high-resolution LDI equipment and ultra-fast laser drilling [2][2][2] Investment Recommendations - **Focus Areas**: - It is recommended to pay attention to companies involved in the PCB drilling segment, such as Dazhu CNC, Zhongtung High-tech, and Dingtai High-tech, as well as those in the LDI segment like Chip Quik [2][2][2] Risk Factors - **Potential Risks**: - Macro-economic risks and the possibility of technology development falling short of expectations are highlighted as significant risk factors [2][2][2]

Core Viewpoint - The performance forecasts from various listed companies indicate a significant growth in earnings for 2025, particularly in the sectors of new energy vehicles, energy storage, PCB, and semiconductors, driven by strong market demand and recovery in consumer electronics [1][4]. Group 1: Energy Storage and New Energy Vehicles - Puxin's profit forecast for 2025 is expected to be between 2.3 billion and 2.4 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 93.18% to 101.58% [2]. - The global automotive market's trend towards electrification and intelligence, along with strong demand in the energy storage market, is contributing to improved operational conditions for companies [4]. - Puxin's growth is also attributed to the introduction of new products and processes, capturing high-end customer demand and the incremental needs of the energy storage market [4]. Group 2: Semiconductor and PCB Industries - Tongfu Microelectronics anticipates a net profit of 1.1 billion to 1.35 billion yuan for 2025, reflecting a growth of 62.34% to 99.24% [8]. - The semiconductor industry is experiencing structural growth, with increased capacity utilization and revenue growth, particularly in mid-to-high-end products [8]. - Eastway Technology expects a net profit of 120 million to 140 million yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 73.23% to 102.10%, driven by investments in Southeast Asia and the rapid development of AI and computing sectors [8]. Group 3: High-End Materials and Other Sectors - Watte's expected net profit growth is between 55.75% and 91.28% for 2025 [9]. - Huacheng Equipment forecasts a net profit of 182 million to 212 million yuan, with a significant increase of 193.64% to 242.04% year-on-year [9]. - Zhongfu Industrial anticipates a net profit of 1.55 billion to 1.7 billion yuan, representing a growth of 120.27% to 141.59% due to lower costs and higher sales prices in the aluminum business [14]. Group 4: Other Notable Companies - Haitong Health expects a net profit of 660 million to 730 million yuan, indicating a turnaround from losses [15]. - Langzi Co. forecasts a net profit of 900 million to 1.05 billion yuan, with an increase of 245.25% to 302.8%, influenced by investment gains from the disposal of Ruoyuchen [16].