高盛大宗商品策略师认为，黄金是明年整个大宗商品领域中最佳的投资选择，如果私人投资者效仿央行进行资产多元化配置，金价很可能超过每盎司4900美 元的基准预测。 "一些国家在人工智能和地缘政治实力上的竞争，以及全球能源供应浪潮，构成了我们核心判断的基础，"他们在《2026年大宗商品展望》报告中写道。"大 宗商品指数在2025年实现了强劲的总回报（例如彭博商品指数回报率为15%），这是因为工业、特别是贵金属领域的强劲回报——这两者都倾向于受益于美 联储降息——超过了能源领域相对温和的负回报。" 展望未来，高盛表示他们的宏观基准预测包括"稳固的全球GDP增长以及2026年美联储降息50个基点"，这应会再次支持大宗商品的强劲回报。 分析师们重点强调了两大结构性趋势，他们认为这将驱动来年大宗商品的前景。 "首先，在宏观层面，大宗商品很可能仍将处于大国争夺地缘政治实力以及技术和人工智能主导地位的中心，"他们写道。"其次，在微观层面，2025年开始 的两大能源供应浪潮驱动了我们对能源的判断。" 在所有研究的大宗商品中，高盛对黄金最为看涨——而央行的需求是重要原因。 "我们预计央行购金需求在2026年将保持强劲，每月平均购买7 ...

【环球网财经综合报道】12月29日亚洲市场早盘，白银继续大涨刷新历史，现货白银升破83美元/盎司 关口，日内涨超5%；COMEX白银涨超6%。其他贵金属方面，现货黄金及COMEX黄金均录得小幅上 涨。 但另一方面，在今年白银价格累计涨幅已达175%、迅猛涨势远超黄金的背景下，特斯拉CEO马斯克对 此表达担忧，直言这对工业发展"不是好事"。随着白银等贵金属价格持续飙涨，亦有分析人士警告称， 贵金属价格已站在"悬崖边缘"，回调风险正在累积。 《埃及金字塔报》发文称，银价强劲上涨，有望创1979年来最佳年度表现，主要受益于全球供应受限和 需求增加。中国出口管制导致供应缩减，而低利率环境和投资者避险需求推高银价，作为避险资产和工 业金属，白银受益于工业和投资需求增长。 消息面上，作为全球重要的衍生品交易所，芝商所（CME Group）发布重大保证金调整通知称，将于12 月29日（星期一）收盘后，全面上调黄金、白银、锂等金属期货品种的履约保证金。 ...

今日关注 全国财政工作会议召开，锚定明年六大任务； 上交所发布商业火箭企业IPO指引; 6.12月27日起，银行业监督管理法修订草案(下称"修订草案")向社会公开征求意见，为期30日。在此之前，修订草案于12月22日提请十四届全国人大常委 会第十九次会议首次审议。修订草案以强化机构监管、行为监管、功能监管、穿透式监管、持续监管为主线，以消除监管空白、弥补监管短板、明确监管 授权为着力点，切实提高监管的前瞻性、精准性、有效性和协同性，更好发挥法治固根本、稳预期、利长远的保障作用，切实提高金融治理体系和治理能 力现代化水平。 7.国投白银LOF发布公告，为保护基金份额持有人利益，国投瑞银白银期货证券投资基金(LOF)C类基金份额将从2025年12月29日开始暂停申购。本基金取 消或调整2025年12月29日起的暂停C类基金份额申购(含定期定额投资)业务的具体时间将另行公告。 白银史诗级暴涨； 国投瑞银白银基金C类份额周一(12月29日)开始暂停申购。 重要的消息有哪些 1.12月27日至28日，全国财政工作会议在北京召开。会议总结2025年财政工作，布置2026年重点任务。财政部党组书记、部长蓝佛安作工作报告。会 ...

Key Points - The National Financial Work Conference was held from December 27 to 28, 2025, outlining six key tasks for 2026, including a focus on domestic demand and consumer spending, as well as increased investment in new productivity and human development [4] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange released guidelines for the IPO of commercial rocket companies, allowing them to list under the fifth set of standards on the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [4] - Precious metals experienced a historic surge, with silver rising by 10% to $79.405 per ounce, marking a year-to-date increase of over 170%, while gold reached $4549 per ounce [4] - The People's Bank of China published the "China Financial Stability Report (2025)," emphasizing the need for collaboration among financial regulatory bodies to enhance the investment environment for long-term capital in A-shares [5] - A draft amendment to the Banking Supervision Law was opened for public consultation, focusing on strengthening regulatory measures and improving the effectiveness of financial governance [6] - The Guotou Silver LOF announced a suspension of subscription for its C-class fund shares starting December 29, 2025, to protect the interests of fund holders [7] Company News - *ST Changyao received a notice from the China Securities Regulatory Commission regarding administrative penalties for inflating revenue and profits over three consecutive years, with potential delisting risks [8] - Xiaomi Group announced a plan for its co-founder to sell up to $20 billion of B-class ordinary shares starting December 2026, with proceeds aimed at establishing an investment fund [8] - New Energy Holdings is progressing with its privatization and has completed foreign exchange registration for significant asset restructuring [9] - Yijing Optoelectronics reported delays in its photovoltaic project in Qianjiang County and received a hearing notice [10] - ST Huluwawa and its chairman are under investigation by the CSRC for information disclosure violations [11] - ST Lutong plans to apply for the removal of other risk warnings from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange [12] - State Grid Yingda intends to sell 100% equity of Yingda Futures for 1.129 billion yuan [13] - Reader Culture terminated plans for a change in control and will resume trading on December 29 [14] - Tianchuang Fashion will have its controlling shareholder change to Anhui Xianrui and will resume trading on December 29 [15] - Baihua Pharmaceutical is planning a change in control and will suspend trading starting December 29 [16] - China Electric Research proposed a profit distribution plan of 2.5 yuan per 10 shares for the first three quarters of 2025 [17] - Jinhui Wine proposed a profit distribution plan of 2 yuan per 10 shares for the first three quarters of 2025 [18] - Qianfang Technology proposed a cash dividend plan of 0.2 yuan per 10 shares for the mid-2025 period [19] - Pulit has officially scaled up production of its LCP film products [20] - Slin shares will change their name to "Slin Smart Drive" starting December 29 [21] - Pairui shares are under investigation by the CSRC for information disclosure violations [22] - Daye Intelligent is also under investigation by the CSRC for information disclosure violations [23] - Zhenlei Technology is under investigation by the CSRC for information disclosure violations [24] - ST Changyuan is under investigation by the CSRC for information disclosure violations [25] - Qiangda Circuit plans to issue convertible bonds to raise no more than 550 million yuan [26]

国内贵金属市场跟涨，沪金期货年内涨62%，最高触及1024元/克，沪银期货年内涨逾157%，最高触及 19215元/千克。 面对剧烈波动，上海期货交易所于12月26日发布通知，自12月30日收盘结算时起，对黄金、白银期货合 约的交易参数进行调整。这也是上期所本月内第三次针对贵金属品种调整风控参数。根据最新通知，调 整后的黄金、白银期货合约的涨跌停板幅度调整为15%，套保持仓交易保证金比例调整为16%，一般持 仓交易保证金比例调整为17%。 市场也在关注白银可能面临的新贸易风险。白银已于11月被美国地质调查局列入"关键矿物"名单，意味 着未来可能被纳入关税讨论范围。自10月初以来，纽约Comex仓库已有7500万盎司白银出库，但因担忧 美国白银可能出现突然溢价，不少交易商对将金属运往海外保持谨慎，进一步加剧了海外市场紧俏。 这场席卷全球的贵金属盛宴，由多重因素支撑。 中信证券分析称，2026年金价有望继续受益于美联储降息带来的流动性宽松氛围，全球黄金ETF流入将 作为黄金的重要买盘。 特朗普也公开主张较宽松的货币政策，利率下行通常会给不用支付利息的贵金属提供支撑。另在各国债 务规模不断膨胀的担忧下，投资者加速撤 ...

Group 1 - The announcement from Guotou Ruijin Silver Futures Securities Investment Fund (LOF) states that the Class C fund shares will suspend subscription starting December 29, 2025, to protect the interests of fund shareholders [1] - The Class A fund shares will be suspended from trading on December 29, 2025, until 10:30 AM, with a limit on regular investment amounts set at 100.00 yuan starting from the same date [2] - The Shanghai Futures Exchange issued two notices to remind the market to manage risks and to outline trading margin ratios and price fluctuation limits for related products during the New Year period [2] Group 2 - The silver market is significantly smaller than the gold market, with the total value of London silver stocks around 50 billion USD compared to gold's 1.2 trillion USD, leading to more volatile price movements with the same capital inflow [3] - Current silver price increases are supported not only by a loose monetary environment and geopolitical risks but also by industrial demand, particularly from the solar energy sector and the rise of electric vehicles [3] - Analysts warn that precious metal prices are at a precarious level, with expectations that silver prices may drop to around 42 USD by the end of next year as enthusiasm for gold wanes [3]

男生普通话版 下载mp3 女声普通话版 下载mp3 粤语版 下载mp3 西南方言版 下载mp3 东北话版 下载mp3 上海话版 下载mp3 今日优选 芝商所全线上调金属品种履约保证金 "特泽会"前特朗普先与普京通话，俄乌关键领土问题尚未解决 泰柬就停火问题签署联合声明 日本内阁批准史上最大预算案 财政部明确明年积极财政政策 国家创业投资引导基金启动 中国ETF规模史上首次突破6万亿元大关 跨国公司本外币一体化资金池业务在全国范围推广 国投白银LOF C类基金份额周一起暂停申购 市场盘点 A股三大指数早盘走强后回落，午后震荡回升。截至收盘，上证指数收涨0.10%，已连续八个交易日收涨，深证成指收涨0.54%，创业板指收涨0.14%。海南 板块大幅回升，海南矿业、海汽集团、钧达股份等多股涨停；商业航天板块震荡走高，中国卫星涨停走出三连板；锂电池产业链走强，永兴材料、海科新源 等多股涨停；除此以外，贵金属、氟化工、钢铁、有机硅、化纤、光伏设备等板块日内走强。造纸印刷、光刻机、激光雷达、退税商店、CPO、电源设备等 板块日内低迷。沪深两市成交额约2.16万亿元，较昨日同期放量约2357亿元；全市约1900股上涨，34 ...

你知道吗？ 就在过去短短四个月里，有一股"神秘"的资金以每月2500亿的速度，疯狂涌入A股。 不是外资，也不是游资，而是一种很多普通投资者以前不 太在意的工具，ETF。 到12月26日，它的总规模已经像坐火箭一样，冲破了6万亿元大关。 这个数字意味着，它已经悄无声息地超越了那些由明星基金经理 掌舵的主动型基金，成为了A股里块头最大的机构投资者。 很多人还没反应过来，市场的游戏规则，其实已经变了。 这股资金的洪流并不是突然出现的。 我们把时间拉回到2020年，那时候整个ETF市场的规模才刚突破1万亿元。 用了整整十六年，它才走到这个节点。 但 从那以后，一切都加速了。 万亿到两万亿，只用了三年。 而从五万亿冲到六万亿，仅仅花了四个月。 这种膨胀速度，在以前的金融市场里几乎不敢想象。 推动这一切的力量是多方面的。 监管层这几年一直在鼓励长线资金入市，ETF的审批通道变得前所未有的顺畅。 但更深层的原因，恐怕还是投资者自己用 脚投了票。 越来越多的人发现，费尽心思去挑选个股、追逐热点，结果可能还跑不赢简单的指数。 于是，无论是手握重金的保险机构，还是普通的散户， 都开始把目光投向这种透明、成本低、像"购物车"一样打 ...

Core Viewpoint - The global precious metals market experienced an unprecedented bull market in 2025, with gold prices rising over 70% and silver soaring more than 170%, driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical risks, and supply-demand imbalances [1][4][9]. Group 1: Market Performance - In early 2025, gold fluctuated between $2,600 and $3,000 per ounce, while silver ranged from $28 to $32 per ounce [3]. - By mid-March, gold broke the $3,000 per ounce mark, achieving a 19.01% increase in Q1 [3]. - In Q2, platinum surged by 36.58%, while gold and silver had modest gains [3]. - By September, gold reached $3,857 per ounce, marking an 11.92% increase for the month, the highest monthly gain of the year [3]. - In Q4, silver rose by 70.04%, with platinum and palladium increasing over 50%, and gold up by 17.49% [3][4]. Group 2: Market Drivers - The primary driver of the bull market was the expectation of loose monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, alongside economic pressures and geopolitical uncertainties [4][8]. - Central banks globally purchased a net total of 634 tons of gold in the first three quarters of the year, with a record monthly increase of 53 tons in October [7]. - The shift in market dynamics has moved from traditional drivers like dollar weakness to a more complex interplay of factors including central bank behavior and supply-demand structures [7][8]. Group 3: Future Outlook - For 2026, the market is expected to see structural differentiation rather than a uniform rise, with gold supported by ongoing central bank purchases and potential interest rate cuts [9][10]. - Silver and platinum may exhibit stronger price elasticity due to persistent supply shortages, despite some anticipated new production [9][10]. - The overall precious metals market is likely to enter a phase of high volatility and differentiation among various metals, with gold expected to remain stable but with limited upside compared to 2025 [10].

Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged dramatically, with COMEX silver futures rising over 11% and spot silver increasing over 10%, reaching a new historical high, with a year-to-date increase of 175%, significantly outpacing gold [1] Group 1: Price Dynamics - Spot silver prices have reached $79.19 per ounce, surpassing the price of a barrel of WTI crude oil, which closed at $56.93 [1] - The last time silver prices exceeded oil prices was in April 2020, during the COVID-19 pandemic [1] - The current surge in silver prices is attributed to high demand from both investors and the industrial sector, with industrial demand now accounting for 50% to 60% of total silver demand [2] Group 2: Supply and Demand Factors - The solar industry consumes nearly 30% of the annual silver production from mining and recycling, indicating a strong demand despite reductions in U.S. solar support [3] - The global supply of "pure silver" is nearly exhausted, with most silver now being produced as a byproduct of mining other metals like copper, gold, and zinc [3] - The market has been in a supply shortage for five consecutive years, with a projected cumulative shortfall of approximately 25,500 tons from 2021 to 2025 [4] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Current silver demand is projected to reach 1.24 billion ounces by 2025, while supply is expected to be only 1.01 billion ounces, resulting in a supply gap of 100 to 250 million ounces [4] - COMEX silver inventories have decreased by 70% since 2020, and London vaults have seen a 40% decline, with some regions having only 30 to 45 days of available silver inventory [4] - Analysts warn that precious metal prices are at levels difficult to justify based on fundamentals, with predictions of a potential decline in silver prices to around $42 by the end of next year [5][6]