矿业ETF（561330）跟踪的是有色矿业指数（931892），该指数从市场中选取涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀有 金属等矿产资源开采与加工业务的上市公司证券作为指数样本，以反映有色金属矿业相关上市公司证券 的整体表现。该指数具有较强的周期性和商品价格敏感性，能够较好地体现有色金属矿业板块的市场走 势。 每日经济新闻 平安证券指出，上游资源端及中游冶炼产能扰动持续，新能源需求韧性叠加AI等新兴产业打开远期增 长极，宽松货币环境有望推动宏观与基本面共振。有色金属方面，美元信用弱化及美联储降息将强化黄 金货币属性，同时弱美元为工业金属提供向上驱动；供给收缩成为工业金属核心逻辑，铜、铝等品种面 临资源约束或产能瓶颈；能源金属中钴、锂伴随主产国政策落地及海外产能出清，供需改善显著，价格 中枢有望上移。贵金属方面，美国财政问题及政治风险抬升支撑黄金避险属性，金价中枢看涨。整体来 看，有色金属行业在宏观与基本面双轮驱动下，价格弹性有望加速释放。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参 考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成 投资建 ...

注：如提及个股仅供参考，不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考，不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动，不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考，不 构成任何投资建议，也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品，请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日经济新闻 平安证券指出，2026年工业金属行业面临供应约束强化与需求弹性释放的双重驱动。上游资源端及中游 冶炼产能扰动持续，新能源需求韧性叠加AI等新兴产业打开远期增长极，宽松货币环境有望推动宏观 与基本面共振。有色金属方面，美元信用弱化及美联储降息将强化黄金货币属性，同时弱美元为工业金 属提供向上驱动；供给收缩成为工业金属核心逻辑，铜、铝等品种面临资源约束或产能瓶颈；能源金属 中钴、锂伴随主产国政策落地及海外产能出清，供需改善显著，价格中枢有望上移。贵金属方面，美国 财政问题及政治风险抬升支撑黄金避险属性，金价中枢看涨。整体来看，有色金属行业在宏观与基本面 双轮驱动下，价格弹性有望加速释放。 矿业ETF（561330）跟踪的是有色矿业指数（931892），该指数从市场中选取涉及铜、铝、铅锌、稀有 ...

Group 1: Report's Investment Rating - No investment rating information provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints - The short - term view of TL2509 is to oscillate, the medium - term view is to oscillate, and the intraday view is to be weak, with an overall view of oscillatory consolidation due to a decrease in short - term interest rate cut expectations and the existence of medium - to - long - term easing expectations [1] - For financial futures index stock sectors including TL, T, TF, and TS, the intraday view is weak, the medium - term view is to oscillate, and the reference view is oscillatory consolidation. In the long run, the lack of effective domestic demand requires a loose monetary environment, providing strong support for Treasury bond futures. However, in the short term, the economic data shows resilience, and there is no high necessity for additional easing at the end of the year, and the possibility of an interest rate cut in the short term is low, so the upward momentum of Treasury bond futures is limited. Overall, Treasury bond futures will mainly oscillate and consolidate in the short term [5] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Variety Viewpoint Reference - Financial Futures Index Stock Sector - For TL2509, the short - term is to oscillate, the medium - term is to oscillate, the intraday is weak, with an overall view of oscillatory consolidation. The core logic is that short - term interest rate cut expectations decline while medium - to - long - term easing expectations remain [1] Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Financial Futures Index Stock Sector - For TL, T, TF, and TS, the intraday view is weak, the medium - term view is to oscillate, and the reference view is oscillatory consolidation. Last week, Treasury bond futures oscillated and consolidated. Currently, they are in a state with limited upward and downward space. In the long run, the lack of effective domestic demand requires a loose monetary environment, supporting Treasury bond futures. In the short term, economic data shows resilience, and there is no high need for additional easing at the end of the year, and the short - term interest rate cut possibility is low, limiting the upward momentum of Treasury bond futures [5]

Core Insights - The GUM MPF Composite Index rose by 0.3% in October, reaching 284.9 points, with an average gain of HKD 830 per person for the month and HKD 44,197 year-to-date [1][1][1] Market Performance - Market fluctuations in early October were triggered by the stalemate between the US and China over rare earths and tariffs, leading to a temporary decline in stock prices [1] - A shift in sentiment occurred after former President Trump adopted a more conciliatory tone on social media, alleviating market fears and allowing stock markets to stabilize [1] - The US and China have paused the escalation of their rare earth and tariff disputes, contributing to improved market conditions [1] Asset Allocation - The outlook for stock funds in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Japan remains optimistic, driven by a pragmatic approach in US-China trade negotiations aimed at finding solutions and reducing concerns over conflict escalation [1] - Expectations are that the Bank of Japan will maintain an accommodative monetary policy under the new Prime Minister Fumio Kishida, alongside aggressive fiscal expansion, which is believed to support asset prices [1]

Group 1 - The spot gold price reached $3320 per ounce on July 1, with a year-to-date increase of over 25% as of June 30 [1] - The gold ETF (518880) showed active performance, rising 0.68% with a trading volume exceeding 1.2 billion yuan, leading among similar products [1] - A report from Galaxy Securities predicts that the COMEX gold price may steadily break through $3300 per ounce, with a potential to reach $3500 per ounce under extreme risk scenarios [1] Group 2 - Ping An Securities indicates that the precious metals market will continue to differentiate in the second half of the year, with gold prices expected to rise due to weakened dollar credit and increased safe-haven demand [2] - Industrial metals like copper and aluminum are expected to benefit from a loose monetary environment and tight supply-demand dynamics, leading to amplified price elasticity [2] - The demand resilience in sectors like new energy vehicles and photovoltaics will support energy metals, despite being in a clearing cycle [2]