黑色建材日报 2026-01-30 万林新 从业资格号：F03133967 0755-23375162 wanlx@wkqh.cn 黑色建材组 陈张滢 从业资格号：F03098415 交易咨询号：Z0020771 0755-23375161 chenzy@wkqh.cn 郎志杰 从业资格号：F3030112 交易咨询号：Z0023202 0755-23375125 langzj@wkqh.cn 赵 航 从业资格号：F03133652 0755-23375155 zhao3@wkqh.cn 【行情资讯】 螺纹钢主力合约下午收盘价为 3157 元/吨, 较上一交易日涨 34 元/吨（1.088%）。当日注册仓单 17283 吨, 环比减少 0 吨。主力合约持仓量为 178.54 万手，环比增加 40974 手。现货市场方面, 螺纹钢天津汇 总价格为 3170 元/吨, 环比增加 10/吨; 上海汇总价格为 3260 元/吨, 环比增加 20 元/吨。 热轧板卷主 力合约收盘价为 3308 元/吨, 较上一交易日涨 28 元/吨（0.853%）。 当日注册仓单 187668 吨, 环比增加 8842 吨。主力合约持 ...

| | 材产业期现日报 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 【2011】1292号 2026年1月30日 | | | 哥敏歌 | ZOOJOSSO | | | 钢材价格及价差 | | | | | | | 品种 | 现值 | 即值 | 涨跌 | 其左 | 单位 | | 螺纹钢现货 (华东) | 3260 | 3240 | 20 | 32 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华北) | 3170 | 3160 | 10 | -58 | | | 螺纹钢现货(华南) | 3290 | 3280 | 10 | 62 | | | 螺纹钢05合约 | 3157 | 3126 | 31 | 103 | | | 螺纹钢10合约 | 3203 | 3174 | 29 | 57 | | | 螺纹钢01合约 | 3228 | 3199 | 29 | 32 | | | 热卷现货 (华东) | 3290 | 3270 | 20 | -60 | 元/吨 | | 热卷现货 (华北) | 3180 | 3170 | 10 | -170 | | | 热卷现货(华南) ...

投资咨询系列报告 山金期货黑色板块日报 一、螺纹、热卷 更新时间：2026年01月30日08时22分 报告导读： 供需方面，本周247家样本钢厂螺纹产量小幅上升，表观需求环比回落，总库存继续回升，五大品种总产量小幅增加，库存继续继续增加，表观需求 环比回落。整体来看，目前市场整体处于消费淡季，产量、需求处于低位，库存从低位回升。央行下调再贷款再贴现利率在一定程度上提振市场信 心，未来仍有降准和降息的空间，不排除央行将很快行动。短线价格的上涨或主要因央行取消房企的 "三条红线"的要求所致。从技术面看，目前期 价在上下 100 元/吨的区间窄幅震荡，可能面临方向选择 操作建议： 多单轻仓持有，待期价回落至震荡区间下沿附近后再逢低加仓 ，中线交易。不可以追涨杀跌 二、铁矿石 报告导读： 请务必阅读文后重要声明 第 1 页，共 3 页 投资咨询系列报告 需求方面，本周247家样本钢厂螺纹产量小幅上升，表观需求环比回落，总库存继续回升，五大品种总产量小幅增加，库存继续增加，表观需求环比 回落。目前市场仍处于消费淡季，铁水产量大概率仍将沿着季节性趋势回落 ，上周 247 家样本钢厂铁水产量基本维持不变 。由于今年春节较晚 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the given content 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Price - For silicon iron, different regions have varying prices and price changes. For example, the latest price of 72 silicon iron in Ningxia is 5350, with a daily change of 100 and a weekly change of 100. The price of the main contract is 5736, with a daily change of 104 and a weekly change of 126 [1]. - For silicon manganese, the closing price of the main contract on CZCE, the basis in different regions, and the price differences between different grades and regions are presented. For example, the closing price of the silicon manganese main contract on CZCE shows different trends from 2022 - 2026 [6]. Supply - The production volume and capacity utilization rate of silicon iron in 136 Chinese enterprises (monthly and weekly), and the production volume of silicon manganese in China (weekly) are provided. For example, the monthly production volume of silicon iron by 136 Chinese enterprises shows different trends from 2022 - 2026 [4][6]. - The production volume and procurement volume of silicon iron and silicon manganese by Hebei Iron and Steel Group are also included. For example, the monthly procurement volume of FeSi75 - B silicon iron by Hebei Iron and Steel Group shows different trends from 2022 - 2026 [4]. Demand - The demand - related data of silicon iron and silicon manganese in China are presented, such as the estimated and actual production volume of crude steel in China, the production volume of stainless - steel crude steel in China, and the demand for silicon manganese in China (in ten thousand tons) [4][7]. Inventory - The inventory data of silicon iron and silicon manganese are provided, including the inventory of 60 sample enterprises of silicon iron in different regions (weekly), the total number of silicon iron and silicon manganese warehouse receipts on CZCE (daily), and the inventory average available days in different regions [5][7]. Cost and Profit - The cost and profit data of silicon iron and silicon manganese are provided, such as the production cost of silicon iron in Ningxia and Inner Mongolia (yuan/ton), the profit of silicon iron and silicon manganese in different regions (yuan/ton), and the export profit of 75 - grade silicon iron (yuan) [5][7].

钢材早报：矛盾有限，期钢延续窄幅震荡 市场信息： 1、 美联储宣布将联邦基金利率目标区间维持在3.5%至3.75%之间，符合市场普遍预期。 2、 国家统计局数据显示，2025 年，中国粗钢产量96081 万吨，同比下降4.4%；生铁产量 83604万吨，同比下降3.0%；钢材产量144612万吨，同比增长 3.1%。国家统计局数据显示，2025年钢铁行业实现利润总额1098.3亿元，同比增长299.2%；煤炭开采和洗选业实现利润总额3520.0亿元，同比下降41.8%。 海关总署数据显示，2025 年我国累计出口钢材11901.9 万吨，同比增长7.5%，创历史新高。 热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 3、 1月28日，河北、天津地区部分钢厂对焦炭采购价格进行首轮上调，湿熄焦上调50元/吨，干熄焦上调55元/吨，2026年1月30日零点执行。 螺纹钢： 本周螺纹钢产量继续小幅增加，累计增产0.28万吨至 199.83 万吨，螺纹总库存累库 23.43 万吨至475.53 万吨，表需下降9.12万吨至176.4万吨。现阶段螺纹钢 供给回升但需求不济，基本面延续季节性弱势。从原料端 ...

热点栏目 自选股 数据中心 行情中心 资金流向 模拟交易 客户端 螺纹钢： （邱跃成，从业资格号：F3060829；交易咨询资格号：Z0016941） 昨日螺纹盘面明显上涨，截止日盘螺纹2605合约收盘价格为3157元/吨，较上一交易收盘价格上涨34元/ 吨，涨幅为1.09%，持仓增加4.1万手。现货价格上涨，成交低位回升，唐山地区迁安普方坯价格上涨20 元/吨至2950元/吨，杭州市场中天螺纹价格上涨20元/吨至3210元/吨，全国建材成交量7.29万吨。据我的 钢铁数据，本周全国螺纹产量环比回升0.28万吨至199.83万吨，农历同比增加0.42万吨；社库环比回升 23.28万吨至326.4万吨，农历同比增加34.09万吨；厂库环比回升0.15万吨至149.13万吨，农历同比增加 23.59万吨；螺纹表需环比回落9.12万吨至176.4万吨，农历同比减少13.65万吨。螺纹产量略有增加，库 存累积幅度有所加快，表需回落，供需数据表现符合季节性特征。目前螺纹现货市场处于供需双弱局 面，库存累积有所加快，不过库存压力整体并不算大，钢厂接单情况基本正常。当前宏观政策不断有宽 松预期，有色、能化等相关品种表现强势 ...

废钢早报 研究中心黑色团队 2026/01/30 | 日期 | 华东 | 华北 | 中部 | 华南 | 东北 | 西南 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2026/01/23 | 2185 | 2266 | 2052 | 2248 | 2218 | 2109 | | 2026/01/26 | 2189 | 2271 | 2057 | 2250 | 2218 | 2109 | | 2026/01/27 | 2189 | 2271 | 2061 | 2246 | 2218 | 2109 | | 2026/01/28 | 2191 | 2271 | 2061 | 2245 | 2218 | 2107 | | 2026/01/29 | 2191 | 2270 | 2061 | 2244 | 2218 | 2108 | | 环比 | 0 | -1 | 0 | -1 | 0 | 1 | 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析 ...

Core Viewpoint - The steel industry giant, Fangda Special Steel, is expected to achieve a significant turnaround in its financial performance for 2025, with projected net profit growth exceeding 200% compared to the previous years [1][2]. Financial Performance - Fangda Special Steel anticipates a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 835 million and 998 million yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of approximately 236.90% to 302.67% [2]. - The company also expects a non-recurring net profit of 705 million to 868 million yuan, which would increase by about 299.87% to 392.32% compared to the previous year [2]. - In the previous three years (2022-2024), the company's net profit had declined significantly, with figures of 1.062 billion, 689 million, and 248 million yuan, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 61.11%, 35.16%, and 64.02% respectively [2][3]. Operational Strategy - Fangda Special Steel has implemented a strategy focused on cost reduction and efficiency improvement, which has led to a significant increase in gross margin, reaching 10.44% in the first three quarters of 2025, compared to 4.77% in the same period last year [1][7]. - The company has adopted a differentiated business strategy, combining ordinary and special steel products, and is committed to a "low-cost, differentiated, and specialized" development path [6]. - The company has also focused on optimizing its product structure and increasing the production and sales of high-margin products, which has contributed to its performance growth [5][6]. Market Conditions - The steel market in 2025 is characterized by weak downstream demand and fluctuating steel prices, but a significant drop in upstream raw material prices has helped restore steel margins [4][9]. - Fangda Special Steel has been proactive in seizing market opportunities, particularly in the commercial vehicle sector, which has boosted demand for specific products like spring flat steel [9]. Financial Health - As of September 2025, Fangda Special Steel reported a strong financial position with cash reserves of 6.693 billion yuan and interest-bearing liabilities of only 273 million yuan, indicating a robust ability to withstand market risks [1].

专题报告 2026-01-30 钢材：从地产约束到信用改善 报告要点： 近期，万科债务展期的平稳落地与监管层不再硬性要求房企上报"三条红线"指标，标志着房 地产行业运行逻辑发生了根本性逆转。黑色金属行业作为其核心上游，过去三年锚定的"信用 收缩-开工坍塌"负反馈环路正在解体。我们认为，当前黑色系品种正处于由悲观预期出清向 信用溢价修复的切换期，市场需重新评估下游需求韧性与定价结构变化。 黑色研究员 从业资格号：F03098415 交易咨询号：Z0020771 0755-23375161 chenzy@wkqh.cn 赵 航（联系人） 黑色研究员 从业资格号：F03133652 0755-23375155 zhao3@wkqh.cn 陈张滢 黑色金属研究 | 钢材 1.黑色顶压前行，结构呈现韧性 2026 年是"十五五"规划的开局之年。在 2025 年我国 GDP 突破 140 万亿元、经济 增速保持 5.0%的背景下，宏观运行正由总量扩张转向结构优化与动能切换。作为 国民经济的重要基础行业，黑色金属需求逻辑正经历从"地产主导"向"制造业与 新型基建驱动"的深刻重构。近期万科债券展期方案的成功落地，在阶段性缓释 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Xinjiang region, particularly the Tianshan North Slope urban agglomeration, has made significant progress in air quality improvement over the past three years, achieving a notable reduction in air pollution and enhancing the quality of life for residents [3][4][9]. Group 1: Air Quality Improvement - The Tianshan North Slope urban agglomeration, which includes key areas such as Urumqi, Changji, and Shihezi, has seen a historical improvement in air quality, with an air quality good rate reaching 91.0% in 2025, marking a continuous improvement over five years [4][6]. - The proportion of heavily polluted days in the Tianshan North Slope urban agglomeration was reduced to 1.5% in 2025, with specific regions like "U-Chang-Shi" at 3.3% and "Kui-Du-U" at 1.1% [4][6]. Group 2: Pollution Control Measures - Xinjiang has focused on structural, root cause, and trend-related issues in air pollution, implementing comprehensive measures to address industrial, energy, and transportation structures [6][10]. - The region has targeted key pollution sources, including coal-burning and industrial emissions, with specific strategies to reduce PM2.5 contributions from these sources [6][7]. Group 3: Industry and Energy Adjustments - The region has made strides in optimizing industrial structures, including relocating 550,000 tons of electrolytic aluminum capacity and 2,600 tons/day of cement capacity to non-key areas [7]. - Renewable energy capacity in the "U-Chang-Shi" area reached 51.6% in 2023, a significant increase of 29.6 percentage points from 2022, as part of efforts to phase out coal [7][10]. Group 4: Technological and Collaborative Efforts - A national air pollution prevention and control joint center has been established in Xinjiang to enhance research capabilities and implement targeted pollution control technologies [8][10]. - The region has engaged in collaborative agreements with major enterprises to utilize grid electricity, significantly reducing pollutant emissions during peak usage [8][11]. Group 5: Future Directions - Xinjiang plans to continue its focus on deep pollution control in key industries, with a commitment to high-quality development and sustainable air quality improvements [12]. - The region aims to integrate carbon reduction, pollution reduction, and green expansion strategies to enhance air quality and promote economic growth [12].