Core Viewpoint - The national economy of China has shown overall stability in the first three quarters, with a solid advancement in high-quality development under the strong leadership of the central government [1] Economic Performance - In the first three quarters, China's GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2% [2] - The primary industry added value was 580.61 billion yuan, growing by 3.8%, contributing 4.7% to economic growth [2] - The secondary industry added value was 3,640.20 billion yuan, with a growth of 4.9%, contributing 34.6% to economic growth [2] - The tertiary industry added value was 5,929.55 billion yuan, growing by 5.4%, contributing 60.7% to economic growth [2] - In the third quarter, GDP was 354.50 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [3] Production and Supply - All sectors showed stable growth, with agriculture increasing by 4.0%, contributing 0.3 percentage points to economic growth [3] - Industrial production grew by 6.1%, contributing 1.8 percentage points to economic growth [3] - The service sector showed steady improvement, with significant contributions from information transmission, software, and IT services, which grew by 11.2% [3] Domestic Demand and Trade - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, adding 2.8 percentage points to GDP [4] - Capital formation contributed 17.5% to economic growth, adding 0.9 percentage points to GDP [5] - Net exports contributed 29.0% to economic growth, adding 1.5 percentage points to GDP [5] Market Dynamics and New Growth Drivers - The digital economy has shown significant support, with revenue from the information transmission, software, and IT services sector growing by 12.1% from January to August [6] - The manufacturing sector is undergoing rapid transformation, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing growing by 9.7% and 9.6% respectively [6] - Investment in high-tech services grew by 6.1%, surpassing the overall fixed asset investment growth rate [6]

Group 1 - The service industry has shown significant growth, contributing 60.7% to the national economic growth, with a value added of 592,955 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.4% [2] - The proportion of service industry value added in GDP reached 58.4%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] - The modern service industry is thriving, with information transmission, software, and IT services growing by 11.2%, and leasing and business services increasing by 9.2% year-on-year [3] Group 2 - The new momentum in the service industry is evident, with strategic emerging service industries and high-tech service industries seeing revenue growth of 10.6% and 9.4% respectively from January to August [3] - Digital technology application industries have also experienced a revenue increase of 11.7% during the same period [3] - Service consumption has improved, with service retail sales growing by 5.2%, outpacing the growth of goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points [3] Group 3 - The service industry maintains an expansionary trend, with a business activity index of 50.1% in September, indicating growth [4] - Certain sectors, such as postal, telecommunications, and financial services, have business activity indices above 60.0%, reflecting robust growth [4] - The business activity expectation index for the service industry stands at 56.3%, indicating stable and optimistic expectations for industry development [4]

Core Insights - The implementation of a comprehensive set of incremental policies since September 26 last year has led to a steady recovery in both invoice sales and tax revenue, indicating a positive trend in China's economy [1] Group 1: Tax Revenue and Economic Indicators - Tax revenue related to the capital market has shown a high growth rate, with a year-on-year increase of 56.8%, and securities transaction stamp duty rising by 110.5% [2] - Major industries have experienced stable tax revenue growth, with manufacturing tax revenue increasing by 5.4%, accounting for 31% of total tax revenue, and contributing 48% of the total increase [2] - High-end manufacturing sectors, such as railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace, have seen tax revenue growth of 31.5%, while information technology services and scientific research sectors have grown by 15.3% and 13.2% respectively [2] Group 2: Real Estate Market and Tax Policies - The decline in tax revenue from the real estate sector has narrowed, reflecting the effectiveness of policies aimed at stabilizing the real estate market, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.8% [3] - The implementation of tax incentives has led to nearly 80 billion yuan in tax reductions, significantly lowering transaction costs for residential properties [3] - The growth in corporate equipment procurement has accelerated, with a 9.7% year-on-year increase in machinery purchases, and high-tech manufacturing equipment purchases rising by 11.8% [3]

Economic Growth - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters of this year, indicating a stable economic performance [1] - The industrial production saw a significant increase, with the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises rising by 6.2% year-on-year [1] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 365,877 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5%, accelerating by 1.2 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] - Urban and rural markets expanded, with urban retail sales growing by 4.4% and rural retail sales by 4.6%, the latter outpacing urban growth by 0.2 percentage points [2] - Online retail sales increased by 9.8% year-on-year, reflecting a positive trend in e-commerce [2] Investment Trends - Manufacturing investment grew by 4.0% year-on-year, contributing to the overall economic stability [1] Service Sector Performance - The service sector experienced a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, contributing 60.7% to the national economic growth [3] - Modern service industries, such as information transmission and software services, saw substantial growth, with increases of 11.2% and 9.2% respectively [3] Consumption Upgrades - Service retail sales grew by 5.2% year-on-year, outpacing goods retail sales by 0.6 percentage points, indicating a shift towards higher quality service consumption [3] - The integration of services, such as "service+" models, is driving growth in various sectors including dining, accommodation, and travel [4]

Economic Growth - China's GDP grew by 5.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters of this year, with industrial production increasing by 6.2% [1][3] - Manufacturing investment saw a rapid growth of 4.0% year-on-year [1] Consumer Market - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 365,877 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.5%, accelerating by 1.2 percentage points compared to the same period last year [4] - Urban and rural markets are expanding, with urban retail sales growing by 4.4% and rural retail sales by 4.6%, the latter outpacing urban growth by 0.2 percentage points [4] Income and Consumption - Rural residents' per capita disposable income increased by 6%, surpassing urban growth of 1.5% and the national average [7] - Online retail sales grew by 9.8% year-on-year, with green consumption and high-efficiency appliances also seeing significant growth [7] Service Sector - The service sector achieved a year-on-year growth of 5.4%, contributing 60.7% to the national economic growth [10] - Key areas such as information transmission, software, and IT services saw increases of 11.2% and 9.2% respectively [10] Innovation and New Consumption Models - The integration of "AI + consumption" is accelerating, with new technologies enhancing consumer experiences and meeting demands for quality and diversity [9][13] - The "service +" model is expanding, linking various service sectors like dining, accommodation, and travel, driving service consumption growth [16]

Core Insights - The National Bureau of Statistics reported a preliminary calculation of GDP for Q3 2025, indicating a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [1] - The information transmission, software, and information technology services industry experienced a significant growth of 11.7% year-on-year in Q3 [1] GDP Overview - Q3 GDP reached 354,500 billion, with a cumulative total of 1,015,036 billion for the first three quarters [3] - The growth rates for various sectors in Q3 include: - Primary industry: 4.0% - Secondary industry: 4.2% - Tertiary industry: 5.4% [3] Sector Performance - Information transmission, software, and information technology services industry: - Q3 revenue: 15,638 billion - Year-on-year growth: 11.7% - First three quarters revenue: 52,758 billion [3] - Other notable sectors: - Manufacturing: 6.3% growth - Wholesale and retail: 4.0% growth - Real estate: -0.2% growth [3]

Core Points - The preliminary GDP results for the third quarter of 2025 indicate a GDP of 354,500 billion with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% and a growth of 5.2% for the first three quarters [8][5][4] - The primary industry grew by 4.0%, the secondary industry by 4.2%, and the tertiary industry by 5.4% in the third quarter [8][5] - The manufacturing sector showed a robust growth of 6.3%, while the construction industry faced a decline of 2.3% [8][5] GDP Growth Rates - Year-on-year growth rates for GDP from 2020 to 2025 show fluctuations, with 2025 projected to have a growth of 5.4% in Q1, 5.2% in Q2, and 4.8% in Q3 [5][4] - The quarterly growth rates indicate a consistent recovery post-pandemic, with 2023 showing a growth of 4.7% in Q1 and 6.5% in Q2 [5][4] Industry Performance - The agricultural sector (including forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery) reported a growth of 4.1% in Q3 2025 [8] - The industrial sector, particularly manufacturing, continues to be a strong contributor to GDP, with a growth rate of 6.3% [8] - The financial sector also showed positive growth at 5.2%, while the real estate sector faced challenges with a slight decline of 0.2% [8] Data Sources and Methodology - The GDP data is calculated using the production method, which reflects the value added by various industries [12][11] - The classification of industries follows the national standards set by the National Bureau of Statistics, ensuring consistency in reporting [22][23] - The GDP figures are subject to revisions as more comprehensive data becomes available, ensuring accuracy in reflecting economic conditions [33][34]

Economic Overview - The national economy is operating smoothly with high-quality development being steadily advanced under the strong leadership of the central government [1] - In the first three quarters, China's GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, growing by 5.2% year-on-year [2] - The GDP for the third quarter was 3,545 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 4.8% [3] Production and Supply - All sectors showed stable growth, with agriculture, industry, and services contributing positively to economic growth [4] - Agricultural production increased by 4.0%, contributing 0.3 percentage points to economic growth [4] - Industrial production grew by 6.1%, contributing 1.8 percentage points to economic growth [4] - The service sector's value added increased by 5.4%, contributing 3.1 percentage points to GDP growth [23] Domestic Demand and Trade - Final consumption expenditure contributed 53.5% to economic growth, adding 2.8 percentage points to GDP [5] - Capital formation contributed 17.5% to economic growth, adding 0.9 percentage points to GDP [6] - Net exports contributed 29.0% to economic growth, adding 1.5 percentage points to GDP [6] Market Dynamics and New Growth Drivers - The digital economy showed significant support, with revenue from information transmission and software services growing by 12.1% [7] - The manufacturing sector is undergoing transformation, with high-tech manufacturing increasing by 9.6% [7] - Investment in high-tech services grew by 6.1%, indicating a shift towards new growth drivers [30] Agricultural Sector - The agricultural economy is showing a stable and positive trend, with autumn grain production expected to be stable [8] - Livestock production is also stable, with pork production increasing by 3.0% [10] Industrial Development - Industrial production increased by 6.2% in the first three quarters, with 37 out of 41 major industrial sectors showing growth [14] - The export value of industrial products grew by 3.3%, indicating resilience in the industrial sector [14] Energy Sector - Energy production is steadily increasing, with coal production at 3.57 billion tons, up 2.0% year-on-year [18] - The share of non-fossil energy consumption is steadily rising, with a 1.7 percentage point increase compared to the previous year [21] Service Sector Growth - The service sector's value added reached 592,955 million yuan, growing by 5.4% [23] - The modern service industry is thriving, with significant growth in information technology and business services [24] Investment Trends - Fixed asset investment reached 371,535 billion yuan, a slight decline of 0.5% year-on-year, primarily due to real estate investment [26] - Industrial investment grew by 6.4%, contributing positively to overall investment growth [27] Consumer Market Expansion - Retail sales of consumer goods reached 365,877 billion yuan, growing by 4.5% year-on-year [33] - Online retail sales increased by 9.8%, indicating a shift towards digital consumption [36] Employment Stability - The urban unemployment rate averaged 5.2%, with major cities showing slightly lower rates [38] - Employment in key sectors such as transportation and hospitality has increased, reflecting a stable job market [39] Resident Income and Consumption - Per capita disposable income reached 32,509 yuan, growing by 5.1% year-on-year [41] - Per capita consumption expenditure was 21,575 yuan, with significant growth in categories like household goods and services [43]

国家统计局新闻发言人表示，三季度GDP增速回落是多种因素共同作用的结果。尽管经济增速有所回 落，但经济稳中有进发展态势没有变。实现全年预期目标（5%左右）有基础有支撑，但也需要付出艰 苦努力。 二是生产继续强于需求。9月工业增加值同比增长6.5%，与9月中国出口增速8.3%相呼应，其中高技术 制造业同比增长10.3%。9月服务业生产指数同比增长5.6%，其中信息传输、软件和信息技术服务业同 比增长12.8%，体现出产业转型升级对经济的支撑力度。 供需分化的"温差"也在价格中有所体现。三季度GDP平减指数为-1.1%，相比二季度的-1.3%略有收窄， 还需要通过改革发力、政策给力来着力缩小"温差"。尽管四季度受高基数影响，经济增速或许会面临一 定挑战，但通过政策发力，相信全年能够顺利实现5%的增长目标。 一方面，消费和出口的韧性仍强。四季度社零增速或在高基数等因素的影响下，有所放缓。但值得关注 的是，目前政策正在加大对服务消费的支持力度，且服务消费的韧性更强，预计最终消费对GDP的支撑 或有望维持一定韧性。今年9月，商务部等9部门印发《关于扩大服务消费的若干政策措施》，提出培育 服务消费促进平台、丰富高品质服务 ...

Economic Overview - The preliminary data for the first three quarters indicates that the GDP reached 10,150.36 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.2% at constant prices, showcasing a stable and progressive economic operation with positive outcomes in high-quality development [1] Agriculture Sector - The agricultural production situation is favorable, with the value added in agriculture (planting) increasing by 3.6% year-on-year. The summer grain and early rice output increased by 190,000 tons compared to the previous year, and the overall autumn grain production remains stable, indicating a potential for another bumper harvest for the year [1] Industrial Sector - The industrial production has shown rapid growth, with the value added of large-scale industrial enterprises increasing by 6.2% year-on-year in the first three quarters. Specifically, the value added in equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing grew by 9.7% and 9.6% respectively [1] Service Sector - The service industry has experienced steady growth, with a year-on-year increase of 5.4% in value added. Notably, the information transmission, software, and IT services sector saw an increase of 11.2%, while leasing and business services, as well as transportation, warehousing, and postal services, grew by 9.2% and 5.8% respectively [1] Consumer Spending and Investment - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 3,658.77 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 4.5%. Additionally, manufacturing investment increased by 4.0% year-on-year [1] Income Growth - The per capita disposable income for residents reached 32,509 yuan, reflecting a nominal year-on-year growth of 5.1%, and a real growth of 5.2% after adjusting for price factors [2]