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14亿的人带不动消费?经济持续低迷,专家说问题就出在这些上面?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 15:12
Group 1 - The core issue is that despite China's large population, consumer spending remains low, with retail sales growth significantly lagging behind pre-pandemic levels, only reaching 7.2% in 2023 and dropping to 4-5% in 2025 [2][4][6] - Household savings have surged, with deposits increasing by over 14 trillion in 2024, reaching 151 trillion, and an additional 12.73 trillion added in the first three quarters of 2025, while retail sales growth continues to decline [4][6] - The phenomenon of "14 billion people cannot drive consumption" has become a trending topic, highlighting the disconnect between population size and consumer spending, with urban areas experiencing high vacancy rates in retail spaces [6][8] Group 2 - Key factors contributing to low consumer spending include rapid aging of the population, with over 300 million people aged 60 and above, leading to different consumption habits focused on healthcare and savings rather than discretionary spending [8][10] - The real estate market downturn has negatively impacted wealth expectations, with many families seeing significant declines in property values, leading to reduced consumer confidence and spending [10][12] - Income growth is not keeping pace with inflation and housing costs, with nominal growth around 5% in 2025, but real disposable income growth being much lower, causing consumers to prioritize savings over spending [12][14] Group 3 - Excess capacity in various industries has led to price wars and thin profit margins, making it difficult for companies to raise wages, which in turn affects consumer spending [14][16] - A cycle of low spending has emerged, where reduced consumer expenditure leads to lower sales for businesses, stagnant wages, and further reluctance to spend, resulting in a significant portion of funds remaining in banks [16][18] - Government initiatives aimed at boosting consumption have started to show positive effects, with retail sales rebounding in mid-2025 and GDP growth stabilizing at 5.2%, indicating a potential recovery in consumer confidence [18][20]
新华时评|谱写“十五五”县域经济高质量发展新篇章
Xin Hua She· 2025-11-22 11:11
县域是城乡融合发展的关键纽带。作为连接城市与乡村的桥梁,县域在促进城乡要素双向流动中发挥着 不可替代的作用。四川蒲江将生态"高颜值"转化为经济"高价值";山东曹县通过电商产业吸引大批人才 返乡创业……以县域经济为依托,整合与优化城乡资源配置,促进产业迭代升级,全面提升城乡公共服 务水平,将为乡村全面振兴、城乡融合发展营造有利环境。 面向"十五五",县域发展迎来新的历史机遇。党的二十届四中全会审议通过的"十五五"规划建议提 出"发展各具特色的县域经济",为县域经济高质量发展指明方向。以人为本、多元协同、因地制宜、在 发展中创新,蓬勃发展的县域经济描绘中国之治壮丽画卷的浓墨重彩,更成为中国式现代化的重要支撑 和活力之源。 数据显示,截至2024年,全国县域经济总量已达54万亿元,占全国国内生产总值比重近40%,62个"千 亿县"如繁星般照亮中国经济的广阔腹地,展现出蓬勃生机。 县域经济是中国经济的"微观基础"。它为中国超一半人口就业和生活品质提升提供基础和保障,同时承 担着扩大内需、畅通循环等重要宏观经济职能,是推动中国经济高质量发展的重要引擎。昆山市、江阴 市、张家港市、晋江市、慈溪市、长沙县、义乌市7个"超强 ...
39岁广东富豪陈伟杰去世,年轻时常熬夜,吃胃药还喝酒,亲友纷纷哀悼
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 08:16
陈伟杰的人生曾是励志范本。10 多岁外出闯荡,2010 年创立杰盛集团,凭借敢拼敢干的劲头,将企业打造成涵盖建材、房地产、物流的综合性集团,年 营收超 20 亿元,2024 年跻身《胡润百富榜》揭阳地区第 5 名。他同时经营电商公司与 "辰梦车房",收藏劳斯莱斯、宾利等众多豪车,社交账号里满是跨 国旅行、高端聚会的高光时刻。 但这份风光背后,是生命倒计时的悄然开启。2025 年 10 月 17 日晚,陈伟杰在商业宴请中突发剧烈腹痛,被紧急送往揭阳市人民医院,诊断为 "急性重症 胰腺炎合并多器官功能衰竭"。尽管医生连夜抢救,他仍于次日上午宣告临床死亡,从进手术室到生命终结仅五分钟。 陈伟杰的离世并非偶然,而是长期不良习惯累积的必然结果。近十年间,他习惯夜间处理工作,每晚 8 点后召开会议至凌晨 1-2 点,后续仍需回复客户消 息、浏览资讯,日均睡眠不足 5 小时。2024 年因头晕、高血压就医时,医生曾强制建议保证 7 小时睡眠,但他仅坚持一周便因 "工作太忙" 恢复旧习。 商业应酬频繁的他,每周至少 3 次豪饮,每次高度白酒摄入量超 500 毫升。2022 年确诊慢性糜烂性胃炎后,医生反复叮嘱戒酒,他却仅在服 ...
京东郑小丹:以具身智能赋能产业升级与民生改善
Ren Min Wang· 2025-11-22 06:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the significance of embodied intelligence in enhancing supply chain efficiency and reducing logistics costs, which are critical challenges faced by the industry [1][2] - JD Group's General Manager of Embodied Intelligence, Zheng Xiaodan, highlighted the high proportion of logistics costs in the overall supply chain and the need for improved operational efficiency, indicating a common industry consensus on these issues [1] - The company aims to leverage intelligent technologies to address cost and efficiency problems in logistics, which would not only benefit enterprises but also invigorate the entire supply chain industry [1] Group 2 - The embodied intelligence sector is experiencing rapid development, with significant advancements observed within just six months, transitioning from demonstration-focused robots to practical applications in factories and public spaces [2] - There is a growing consumer expectation for robots to assist with household chores and childcare, although achieving complex service scenarios will require more time [2] - JD plans to continue focusing on the embodied intelligence sector by promoting deep integration of technology and practical applications, while also creating collaborative platforms that connect technology developers, application scenarios, and consumers [2]
微信推客别乱闯!揭秘微信电商超越传统平台的真相
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 05:11
"新疆花园牛奶99元5提,性价比超高,快买!"这样的文案发在朋友圈,大概率会被划走。传统电商靠搜索流量,用户有明确需求才 会点击,文案只要说清价格和规格就行;但微信里的用户没有购物需求,需要你用场景唤醒。 真正能开单的分享是"场景化表达":买了新疆花园牛奶后,拍一张一家人早餐时人手一瓶的照片,配文"试了款新疆牛奶,比之前买 的更浓,儿子平时不爱喝牛奶,今天居然主动要第二杯,99元5提比超市便宜20多,喝不完放冰箱也能存很久"。这样的内容没有推 销感,反而像好友间的真心推荐。有数据显示,场景化分享的转化率是硬广的8倍,因为它契合了微信"社交+电商"的本质。 传统电商是"人找货"的货架模式,用户要主动搜索;微信电商是"货找人"的社交模式,用生活场景激发需求,这也是它能突破传统 电商流量天花板的关键。 新手想快速上手,这三个黄金步骤必须记牢,更能帮你看懂微信电商的真正威力。 传统电商的推客模式很简单:拿到商品链接,配上通用文案群发即可,很多人甚至没见过实物。但微信推客要是这么做,必死无 疑。微信电商的基石是社交信任,连自己都不用的东西,凭什么让好友买单? 正确的起步方式是"自购体验":从推客平台选鸡蛋、牛奶、食盐这 ...
腾讯打出电商王牌!微信推客模式崛起,普通人赚钱的机会来了
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 03:14
Core Insights - Tencent's WeChat ecosystem is undergoing a significant transformation with the introduction of the WeChat promoter model, which allows users to earn commissions by sharing product links in their social circles [1][4][8] - The WeChat promoter model differentiates itself from traditional e-commerce platforms by creating a "product finds people" approach, enabling ordinary users to become distribution nodes [1][4] Group 1: WeChat Promoter Model - The WeChat promoter is an official e-commerce promotion model launched by Tencent, distinguishing it from third-party platforms [3] - This model offers legal and compliance guarantees, with Tencent providing technical support and core functionalities that third-party platforms cannot match [4] - The WeChat promoter integrates deeply with the WeChat ecosystem, creating new shopping scenarios through seamless connections with Moments, groups, public accounts, and video accounts [4][5] Group 2: Advantages of WeChat Promoter - The model presents a zero-risk, zero-investment opportunity, attracting ordinary individuals who can start promoting products without significant financial commitments [4] - Users can generate personalized promotion links and earn commissions on sales, significantly lowering the psychological and economic barriers to e-commerce entrepreneurship [4][6] - The social sharing capabilities of WeChat allow every post or message to potentially serve as a sales channel, enhancing the "lifestyle e-commerce" concept [5] Group 3: Innovative Features - The introduction of the gift blue packet feature adds marketing value to traditional red packets, linking users to promoters regardless of whether they win [6] - The WeChat promoter model allows for efficient conversion of private traffic, contrasting with traditional platforms that rely on public traffic and advertising [6][7] - The model aligns platform strategy with individual interests, providing early adopters with competitive advantages [6] Group 4: Market Potential - WeChat boasts over 1.3 billion monthly active users, creating unprecedented growth opportunities for the WeChat promoter model [6] - Experts predict that social relationship-based e-commerce will capture a larger market share in the next five years, with the WeChat promoter being just the beginning of Tencent's e-commerce strategy [8] - The trend indicates a shift from professional to democratized e-commerce, allowing individuals to leverage their social influence for participation [8]
学经验、听干货!陕西近百名巾帼电商先行者“解锁”数字创业新技能
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-22 00:53
11月18日至20日,全省巾帼数字素养与技能提升活动暨秦女子电商专委会会员(代表)能力提升培训班在杨凌圆满举办。由省妇联主办的这一活动旨在进 一步提升全民数字素养与技能,来自全省女性电商领域的近百名先行者与骨干力量齐聚一堂,共学共进。 在经验分享与专题授课环节,行业大咖倾囊相授。西安培华学院女子学院副院长李蒙、榆林巾帼电商创业发展协会会长高杨、铜川秦女子电商专委会秘书 长徐欣,分享了其在人才培养、电商创业、产业发展中的宝贵经验与实战心得,为参会者提供了可借鉴、可复制的实践路径。此外,西安星辰云控股有限 公司相关负责人樊红影、西安麦道营销咨询有限公司负责人李杏杰分别开展了《用数字化来做好农业》《未来数字经济对中小企业发展影响》的专题讲 座,为女性创业者把握数字经济机遇提供了专业指导。 活动期间,"妈妈益起团"巾帼消费帮扶农特产品展示展销活动同步举办,通过"线下展示+线上推广"的模式,搭建产销对接桥梁,助力乡村振兴。 据悉,2025年,省妇联投入80余万元扶持巾帼电商产业发展,取得了较好成效。截至10月底,省妇联已累计组织巾帼电商培训8期,覆盖500余人次;吸引 400余支团队参与电商大赛,帮助脱贫地区销售农特产 ...
美国四分之一失业者拥有本科或以上学历,创纪录水平
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-11-21 18:09
市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议,也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。 风险提示及免责条款 9月,美国25岁及以上、拥有至少本科学历的失业人口超过190万人,占全美失业总人数的四分之一。自 1992年有数据记录以来,这一比例在2025年之前从未达到如此之高。摩根大通美国首席经济学家 Michael Feroli指出,受过大学教育的人群失业率上升"应该会进一步加剧对人工智能引发失业的担忧"。 与此同时,一系列大型企业宣布裁员,包括亚马逊、塔吉特和星巴克。就业服务公司Challenger, Gray & Christmas的最新报告显示,随着人工智能重塑行业格局以及成本削减加速,美国企业10月份宣布的裁 员规模是二十多年来同期最高水平。 ...
汇通达网络拟收购 认知边界57%股权
Zheng Quan Shi Bao· 2025-11-21 16:25
Core Viewpoint - HuTongDa Network (09878.HK) has signed an equity acquisition agreement with cognitive boundary, planning to acquire 57% of its shares for 456 million yuan, which will enhance its AI product matrix in retail scenarios [1] Group 1: Acquisition Details - The acquisition will allow cognitive boundary to become a subsidiary of HuTongDa, with its financial statements incorporated into the listed company [1] - The performance commitment states that cognitive boundary's net profit attributable to the parent company will not be less than 85 million yuan, 100 million yuan, and 115 million yuan over the next three years [1] Group 2: Strategic Implications - This acquisition is seen as a significant capital operation to strengthen HuTongDa's "industry empowerment" capabilities, enhancing its "5+ empowerment" model [1] - The integration of cognitive boundary's AI technology with HuTongDa's self-developed "QianCheng Cloud AI Model" is expected to improve operational efficiency for 251,000 member stores [1] Group 3: Data Integration - Cognitive boundary manages over 16,000 e-commerce stores with an annual sales control exceeding 140 billion yuan, which will integrate with HuTongDa's offline market data [2] - This integration aims to create a unique "online + offline + community" data platform for precise decision-making support [2] Group 4: Training and Support - Cognitive boundary's team of over 150 e-commerce experts will provide practical training for over 250,000 small-town stores and brand factories [2] - The focus will be on enhancing the grassroots capability of selling products through practical and scenario-based training [2] Group 5: Product and Supply Chain - The collaboration will enhance the supply of quality products in the lower-tier market by integrating cognitive boundary's brand resources with HuTongDa's existing supply chain [2] - This is expected to strengthen HuTongDa's control over core categories and improve the competitiveness of its private label and smart supply chain [2] Group 6: Marketing Enhancement - Cognitive boundary's advanced AIGC content tools and marketing automation capabilities will complement HuTongDa's existing agents [2] - This synergy is anticipated to systematically enhance the digital marketing efficiency of member stores across various platforms [2] Group 7: Strategic Execution - HuTongDa's recent steps, including the development of SaaS products and partnerships, align with its strategy to empower member stores and upstream partners [3] - The acquisition of cognitive boundary is a clear execution of this strategic direction [3]
跌懵了?这场暴跌的"凶手"究竟是谁——一份写给大家的深度复盘
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-11-21 13:01
Core Viewpoint - The recent market crash is described as a "perfect storm" caused by multiple factors, leading to a significant loss of investor confidence. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Northbound capital, often seen as "smart money," has been a major force in the sell-off, with over 10 billion net outflow in a single day and continuous withdrawal over several trading days [1] - Quantitative trading has exacerbated the situation, with automated strategies triggering stop-loss orders and creating a negative feedback loop during market declines [2] - Retail investors, through mutual funds, have experienced "institutionalized losses," leading to a cycle of forced selling as fund net values drop below critical thresholds [4] Group 2: Economic and Policy Factors - The macroeconomic environment is characterized by a collapse in systemic expectations, with significant declines in exports, real estate sales, and consumer spending [8] - The market is currently in a "policy shout period" with uncertainty about the effectiveness of future policies, contributing to investor anxiety [6] - The supply-demand imbalance in the market is highlighted by a surge in IPOs under the registration system, while delistings remain scarce, leading to a saturated market [10] Group 3: Historical Context - Historical market crashes, such as those in 2008, 2015, 2018, and 2022, illustrate that while each crash appears unique, quality assets tend to recover and reach new highs over time [11][12][13][14] - The current situation is noted as the most complex in the past decade, influenced by macroeconomic, geopolitical, and market ecological pressures [14] Group 4: Recommendations for Investors - Investors are advised to manage their positions carefully, considering whether they are investing in stocks or companies, and to maintain a cash reserve for market downturns [15][16] - Emphasis is placed on selecting high-quality stocks with strong fundamentals and management, akin to investing in real estate rather than trading [17] - The importance of avoiding leverage and chasing market trends is highlighted as essential for survival in a bear market [18]