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隔夜夜盘市场走势:资讯早间报-20260128
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-28 02:41
地址:北京市朝阳区朝阳门外大街甲 6 号万通中心 D 座 20 层(100020) 总机:010-8535 6666 注:本报告资讯信息来源于万得资讯和金十数据,冠通研究整理编辑 本公司具备期货交易咨询业务资格,请务必阅读免责声明。 分析师:王静,执业资格证号 F0235424/Z0000771。 免责声明: 本报告中的信息均来源于公开资料,我公司对这些信息的准确性和完整性不作任何保证。报告中的内容和 意见仅供参考,并不构成对所述品种买卖的出价或征价。我公司及其雇员对使用本报告及其内容所引发的 任何直接或间接损失概不负责。本报告仅向特定客户传送,版权归冠通期货所有。未经我公司书面许可, 任何机构和个人均不得以任何形式翻版,复制,引用或转载。如引用、转载、刊发,须注明出处为冠通期 货股份有限公司。 资讯早间报 发布日期:2026/1/28 隔夜夜盘市场走势 1. COMEX 黄金期货上涨 1.91%报 5179.60 美元/盎司,COMEX 白银期货跌 2.73%报 112.34 美元/盎司。市场对美联储政策不确定性及降息阻力的担忧,叠加各国央 行持续增持黄金储备,支撑黄金需求,推动金价上涨。 2. 国际油价集 ...
《黑色》日报-20260128
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-28 02:36
Report Industry Investment Ratings - No investment ratings provided in the reports Core Views of the Reports Steel Industry - Steel prices are weakly stable. The night - session prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil closed at 3123 yuan and 3287 yuan respectively. The spot price difference between hot - rolled coil and rebar remains at 200 yuan. Due to raw material prices being weaker than steel prices, the profitability of steel mills has increased. Production is stable at a low level, inventory is accumulating, and apparent demand is decreasing. The supply - demand of the industry is weak. The seasonal decline in rebar demand is obvious, the supply - demand gap of rebar is widening, and inventory is accumulating significantly. The demand for hot - rolled coil has not declined much, and the inventory is still being depleted. It is expected that steel prices will fluctuate within a range. The 5 - month contract of rebar is expected to fluctuate between 3100 - 3200 yuan, and hot - rolled coil is expected to fluctuate between 3250 - 3350 yuan. The long - position on the spread between hot - rolled coil and rebar can be continued to hold [1] Iron Ore Industry - The main iron ore contract oscillated weakly yesterday. The ore price is still under pressure. Although Vale's production suspension event has limited impact on supply, the supply side has a slightly increasing global shipment volume, with a marginal decline in the shipment center but still at a relatively high level compared to historical periods. The demand side is expected to keep the molten iron production stable, and the seasonal decline in the port clearance volume indicates that the resumption of molten iron production before the festival is restricted. Steel exports have weakened significantly. Port inventory continues to accumulate but at a slower pace, and steel mill inventory growth has also slowed down. Iron ore is facing a pattern of weak supply and demand, and the price is under pressure. It can be short - sold around 800 yuan. Be vigilant against macro - level fluctuations [3] Coke and Coking Coal Industry - Coke futures showed a weakly declining trend yesterday. The fourth round of price cuts for coke has landed and stabilized. The supply side has slightly reduced production due to pressure on coking profits. The demand side has seen a slight recovery in molten iron production after the New Year's Day. The inventory in ports and steel mills has increased, while that in coking plants has decreased. The overall inventory has increased slightly. The mainstream coking enterprises have initiated a price increase, but it has not been implemented, and the post - festival market is expected to be loose. It should be regarded as oscillating and bearish, with the range of 1600 - 1750 yuan. The arbitrage strategy is to go long on coking coal and short on coke. Coking coal futures also showed a weakly declining trend. The supply side has seen an increase in daily production and better shipments but insufficient inventory reduction. The demand side has limited downstream replenishment demand before the Spring Festival. The inventory in mines, coking enterprises, and steel mills has increased, while that in coal - washing plants, ports, and border ports has decreased. The overall inventory has increased slightly. It should be regarded as oscillating and bearish, with the range of 1000 - 1150 yuan. The arbitrage strategy is also to go long on coking coal and short on coke [5] Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry - The main ferrosilicon contract oscillated weakly yesterday, with a continuous decline in open interest. The supply is stable at a low level, and most regions' production is flat compared to last week. The steel - making demand is expected to keep molten iron production stable before the festival, and the non - steel demand has weakened. The cost in Inner Mongolia may increase due to the expected electricity price adjustment. The overall situation is relatively healthy, and the price is expected to oscillate widely in the range of 5500 - 5900 yuan. The main ferromanganese contract also oscillated weakly, with a gradual increase in open interest. The supply has decreased, and the production is at a historically low level. The demand is also weak, and the high inventory still suppresses the price. The price is expected to oscillate widely in the range of 5800 - 6000 yuan [6] Summary of Relevant Catalogs Steel Industry Steel Prices and Spreads - Rebar and hot - rolled coil spot and futures prices have generally declined. For example, the spot price of rebar in East China decreased from 3280 yuan to 3260 yuan, and the 05 - contract price of hot - rolled coil decreased by 16 yuan [1] Cost and Profit - The price of steel billet decreased by 20 yuan to 2930 yuan, and the profit of hot - rolled coil in East China decreased by 10 yuan to 27 yuan [1] Production - The daily average molten iron production was 228.1 tons, almost unchanged. The production of rebar increased by 9.3 tons to 199.6 tons, with a 4.9% increase, and the production of hot - rolled coil decreased by 2.9 tons to 305.4 tons, with a 1.0% decrease [1] Inventory - The inventory of five major steel products increased by 10.1 tons to 1257.1 tons, with a 0.8% increase. The rebar inventory increased by 14.0 tons to 452.1 tons, with a 3.2% increase, and the hot - rolled coil inventory decreased by 4.6 tons to 357.8 tons, with a 1.3% decrease [1] Transaction and Demand - The building materials transaction volume decreased by 1.0 tons to 6.6 tons, with a 12.8% decrease. The apparent consumption of five major steel products decreased by 16.6 tons to 809.5 tons, with a 2.0% decrease [1] Iron Ore Industry Iron Ore - related Prices and Spreads - The warehouse - receipt costs of most iron ore varieties increased slightly, and the basis of the 05 - contract for some varieties decreased. The 1 - 5 spread decreased by 1.5 yuan to - 31.0 yuan, with a 5.1% decrease [3] Supply - The 45 - port arrival volume decreased by 129.7 tons to 2530.0 tons, with a 4.9% decrease, and the global shipment volume increased by 48.4 tons to 2978.3 tons, with a 1.7% increase [3] Demand - The daily average molten iron production of 247 steel mills was 228.1 tons, almost unchanged. The 45 - port daily average clearance volume decreased by 9.2 tons to 310.7 tons, with a 2.9% decrease [3] Inventory - The 45 - port inventory increased by 211.4 tons to 16766.53 tons, with a 1.3% increase, and the imported ore inventory of 247 steel mills increased by 126.6 tons to 9388.8 tons, with a 1.4% increase [3] Coke and Coking Coal Industry Price and Spread - Coke and coking coal futures and spot prices generally decreased. For example, the 05 - contract price of coke decreased by 51 yuan to 1668 yuan, and the 05 - contract price of coking coal decreased by 43 yuan to 1117 yuan [5] Supply - The daily average coke production of all - sample coking plants decreased by 0.1 tons to 63.3 tons, with a 0.2% decrease, and the daily average production of 247 steel mills increased by 0.2 tons to 46.9 tons, with a 0.4% increase. The raw coal production of sample mines decreased by 2.7 tons to 853.4 tons, with a 0.3% decrease [5] Demand - The molten iron production of 247 steel mills was 228.1 tons, almost unchanged. The demand for coke mainly comes from the molten iron production [5] Inventory - The total coke inventory increased by 18.9 tons to 939.2 tons, with a 2.1% increase. The coking coal inventory in mines, coking enterprises, and steel mills increased, while that in coal - washing plants, ports, and border ports decreased [5] Ferrosilicon and Ferromanganese Industry Price and Spread - The main contract prices of ferrosilicon and ferromanganese decreased slightly. The SF - SM main spread decreased by 14 yuan to - 214 yuan [6] Cost and Profit - The production cost of ferrosilicon in Inner Mongolia decreased slightly, and the production profit decreased. The manganese ore prices in Tianjin Port were relatively stable [6] Supply - The production of ferrosilicon was stable at a low level, and the production of ferromanganese decreased slightly. The manganese ore shipment volume increased by 5.2 tons to 77.7 tons, with a 7.2% increase [6] Demand - The demand for ferrosilicon and ferromanganese in steel - making is expected to keep molten iron production stable before the festival. The non - steel demand for ferrosilicon has weakened [6] Inventory - The inventory of 60 sample ferrosilicon enterprises increased by 0.3 tons to 6.7 tons, with a 5.4% increase, and the inventory of 63 sample ferromanganese enterprises was stable [6]
宝地矿业股价涨7.64%,国泰基金旗下1只基金位居十大流通股东,持有405.21万股浮盈赚取255.28万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 02:36
Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Baodi Mining's stock price increased by 7.64% to 8.88 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 80.84 million CNY and a turnover rate of 2.51%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 7.104 billion CNY [1] - Baodi Mining, established on November 14, 2001, and listed on March 10, 2023, is primarily engaged in the mining, beneficiation, and sales of iron ore, with 99.30% of its revenue coming from iron concentrate and 0.70% from other sources [1] Group 2 - Among Baodi Mining's top ten circulating shareholders, Guotai Fund's Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF (515210) entered the list in the third quarter, holding 4.0521 million shares, which is 1.07% of the circulating shares, with an estimated floating profit of approximately 2.5528 million CNY [2] - The Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF (515210) was established on January 22, 2020, with a latest scale of 3.98 billion CNY, yielding 6.75% this year, ranking 2391 out of 5549 in its category, and 38.75% over the past year, ranking 2021 out of 4285 [2] - The fund manager of Guotai Zhongzheng Steel ETF is Wu Zhonghao, who has a cumulative tenure of 4 years and 2 days, managing total assets of 24.055 billion CNY, with the best fund return during his tenure being 126.21% and the worst being -16.7% [2]
华菱钢铁跌2.12%,成交额8562.11万元,主力资金净流出1850.39万元
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 02:23
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is that Hualing Steel's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.12% and a year-to-date increase of 6.94% [1] - As of January 28, Hualing Steel's stock price is reported at 6.01 yuan per share, with a total market capitalization of 41.52 billion yuan [1] - The company has seen a net outflow of main funds amounting to 18.50 million yuan, with significant selling pressure observed [1] Group 2 - For the period from January to September 2025, Hualing Steel achieved operating revenue of 94.60 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 14.96%, while net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 41.72% to 2.51 billion yuan [2] - The number of shareholders decreased by 6.78% to 84,200, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 7.27% to 82,063 shares [2] - Hualing Steel has distributed a total of 10.44 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.93 billion yuan distributed in the last three years [3]
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-20260128
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-28 02:20
Report Industry Investment Ratings - No specific industry investment ratings are provided in the report. Core Views - The report provides daily analysis and forecasts for various commodities, including precious metals, base metals, energy, agricultural products, etc. It assesses the market trends, fundamental data, and news events of each commodity, and gives corresponding trend intensities and trading suggestions [2]. Summary by Commodity Category Precious Metals - **Gold**: Expected to reach new highs. The Comex gold 2602 contract rose 2.11% to 4938.40. The trend intensity is 1 [6]. - **Silver**: Aiming to reach 100. The Comex silver 2602 contract rose 3.51% to 96.215. The trend intensity is 1 [6]. - **Platinum**: Expected to oscillate upwards. The trend intensity is 0 [31]. - **Palladium**: Slowly rising. The trend intensity is 0 [31]. Base Metals - **Copper**: With the dollar falling, the price is expected to be strong. The沪铜主力合约 rose 0.71% to 102,600. The trend intensity is 1 [13]. - **Zinc**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. The沪锌主力收盘价 rose 0.91% to 24950. The trend intensity is 0 [16]. - **Lead**: With the decrease in LME inventory, the price is supported. The沪铅主力收盘价 fell 0.41% to 17000. The trend intensity is 0 [19]. - **Tin**: Expected to oscillate at a high level. The沪锡主力合约 rose 6.07% to 451,160. The trend intensity is 0 [23]. - **Aluminum**: Expected to run strongly. The沪铝主力合约收盘价 rose 90 to 24305. The trend intensity is 1 [26]. - **Nickel**: The situation in Indonesia is undetermined, with a game between hedging and speculative positions. The沪镍主力收盘价 rose 730 to 146,110. The trend intensity is 0 [35]. - **Stainless Steel**: Concerns about nickel ore in Indonesia have intensified, and the rise in nickel iron prices supports the center of gravity. The不锈钢主力收盘价 fell 105 to 14,540. The trend intensity is 0 [35]. Energy - **Crude Oil**: Not specifically mentioned in the report. - **Natural Gas**: Not specifically mentioned in the report. - **Coal**: - **Coking Coal**: Expected to oscillate within a range, with industry and capital cooperation. The JM2605 contract fell 3.7% to 1116.5. The trend intensity is 0 [58]. - **Coke**: Expected to oscillate within a range, with industry and capital cooperation. The J2605 contract fell 3.0% to 1668. The trend intensity is 0 [58]. - **Steam Coal**: Supply and demand are expected to weaken, and coal prices are expected to stabilize and rise slightly. The产地 price of Datong南郊动力 coal Q5500 rose 2 to 564.0. The trend intensity is not provided [62]. Agricultural Products - **Soybean Meal**: With the weak dollar and rising US soybean prices, the Dalian soybean meal may rebound and oscillate. The DCE豆粕2605 contract rose 0.14% to 2770. The trend intensity is 0 [159]. - **Soybean**: The spot price is stable, and the futures price is expected to rebound and oscillate. The DCE豆一2605 contract fell 0.71% to 4364. The trend intensity is 0 [159]. - **Corn**: Expected to oscillate strongly. The C2605 contract fell 0.44% to 2,282. The trend intensity is 1 [162]. - **Sugar**: Expected to trade in a narrow range. The futures主力价格 fell 4 to 5168. The trend intensity is 0 [165]. - **Cotton**: Expected to maintain a strong oscillation. The CF2605 contract fell 0.58% to 14,565. The trend intensity is 1 [170]. - **Eggs**: The spot price is expected to be strong during the pre - holiday peak season. The鸡蛋2602 contract fell 0.49% to 3,050. The trend intensity is 0 [177]. - **Hogs**: The demand performance is lower than expected, and attention should be paid to supply contradictions. The生猪2603 contract fell 1.57% to 11285. The trend intensity is - 1 [180]. - **Peanuts**: Expected to oscillate. The PK603 contract rose 0.60% to 8,062. The trend intensity is 0 [183]. Chemicals - **PTA**: The unilateral trend is expected to be strong. The PTA主力合约 fell 3.31% to 5258. The trend intensity is 1 [67]. - **MEG**: The trend is still expected to be strong. The MEG主力合约 fell 1.40% to 3938. The trend intensity is 1 [67]. - **Rubber**: Expected to oscillate. The trend intensity is 0 [72]. - **Synthetic Rubber**: Expected to fall from a high level. The顺丁橡胶主力日盘收盘价 fell 220 to 13,045. The trend intensity is 0 [75]. - **LLDPE**: The US dollar offer is temporarily scarce, and the upstream quotation is firm. The L2605 contract fell 0.52% to 6899. The trend intensity is - 1 [78]. - **PP**: The C3 raw material is strong, but the profit repair is limited. The PP2605 contract fell 0.42% to 6709. The trend intensity is - 1 [81]. - **Caustic Soda**: Expected to oscillate at a low level. The 03合约期货价格 is 1951. The trend intensity is 0 [84]. - **Paper Pulp**: Expected to oscillate. The纸浆主力日盘收盘价 fell 32 to 5.342. The trend intensity is 0 [91]. - **Glass**: The original sheet price is stable. The FG605 contract fell 0.93% to 1066. The trend intensity is - 1 [95]. - **Methanol**: Expected to oscillate with support. The甲醇主力收盘价 fell 43 to 2,304. The trend intensity is 1 [98]. - **Urea**: Expected to oscillate with support. The尿素主力收盘价 fell 1 to 1,790. The trend intensity is 0 [103]. - **Styrene**: Expected to oscillate strongly. The苯乙烯2603 contract fell 53 to 7,649. The trend intensity is 0 [106]. - **Soda Ash**: The spot market has little change. The SA2605 contract fell 0.25% to 1,194. The trend intensity is - 1 [110]. - **LPG**: The short - term geopolitical disturbance is strong. The PG2602 contract fell 1.67% to 4,291. The trend intensity is 0 [113]. - **Propylene**: The demand support is strong, and the spot price is rising strongly. The PL2603 contract fell 1.14% to 6,248. The trend intensity is 1 [113]. - **PVC**: Expected to oscillate within a range. The 05合约期货价格 is 4911. The trend intensity is - 1 [121]. - **Fuel Oil**: The night session oscillates, and the high - volatility trend continues. The FU2602 contract fell 2.67% to 2,702. The trend intensity is 0 [124]. - **Low - Sulfur Fuel Oil**: Narrowly adjusted, and the price difference between high - and low - sulfur fuels in the overseas spot market rebounded slightly. The LU2602 contract rose 7.00% to 3,349. The trend intensity is 0 [124]. Others - **Shipping Index (European Line)**: Expected to be in an oscillating market, and beware of repeated geopolitical speculation. The EC2604 contract fell 0.11% to 1,193.9. The trend intensity is 0 [126]. - **Short - Fiber**: Expected to have a short - term correction and oscillate at a high level. The短纤2603 contract fell 164 to 6662. The trend intensity is 0 [142]. - **Bottle Chip**: Expected to have a short - term correction and oscillate at a high level. The瓶片2603 contract fell 174 to 6262. The trend intensity is 0 [142]. - **Offset Printing Paper**: Suggested to sell on rallies and conduct a 3 - 4 reverse spread. The OP2603.SHF contract rose 4 to 4148. The trend intensity is 0 [145]. - **Pure Benzene**: Expected to oscillate strongly. The BZ2603 contract fell 88 to 5990. The trend intensity is 0 [149]. - **Palm Oil**: The high - level volatility intensifies, and attention should be paid to the previous high pressure. The棕榈油主力收盘价 rose 1.61% to 9,238. The trend intensity is 0 [154]. - **Soybean Oil**: The trading idea of the oil - meal ratio is maintained. The豆油主力收盘价 rose 0.39% to 8,258. The trend intensity is 0 [154].
1月27日机械设备、汽车、国防军工等行业融资净卖出额居前
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-28 02:05
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of January 27, the latest market financing balance is 27,059.04 billion yuan, showing a decrease of 2.12 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day, with 17 industries experiencing an increase in financing balance, while 14 industries saw a decrease [1]. Industry Financing Balance Changes - The communication industry had the highest increase in financing balance, rising by 1.11 billion yuan to a total of 1,339.67 billion yuan [1]. - Other industries with notable increases include: - Pharmaceutical and biological: increased by 0.44 billion yuan to 1,696.03 billion yuan - Non-ferrous metals: increased by 0.41 billion yuan to 1,494.54 billion yuan - Public utilities: increased by 0.29 billion yuan to 569.69 billion yuan [1]. - Conversely, the following industries experienced significant decreases in financing balance: - Machinery and equipment: decreased by 1.70 billion yuan to 1,418.93 billion yuan - Automotive: decreased by 0.96 billion yuan to 1,242.31 billion yuan - National defense and military: decreased by 0.68 billion yuan to 1,040.47 billion yuan [2]. Percentage Changes in Financing Balance - The coal industry recorded the highest percentage increase in financing balance at 1.09%, totaling 149.82 billion yuan [1]. - Other industries with notable percentage increases include: - Communication: 0.84% - Steel: 0.79% - Agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery: 0.59% [1]. - Industries with the largest percentage decreases include: - Machinery and equipment: decreased by 1.19% - Comprehensive: decreased by 1.10% - Oil and petrochemicals: decreased by 0.89% [1].
未知机构:东财宏观反内卷系列微专题近期反内卷升温下的投资机会1本轮-20260128
未知机构· 2026-01-28 02:05
【东财宏观-反内卷系列微专题】近期"反内卷"升温下的投资机会 [太阳]1.本轮"反内卷"较此前的三大不同 ➽#范围更广。上轮"去产能"聚焦于上游资源品(煤炭、钢铁为主);本轮"反内卷"治理领域扩大至中、下游,既 包括传统上游产业,也涵盖汽车等中下游产业以及互联网平台、光伏、新能源等新兴产业领域,涉及企业面更 广。 ➽#更注重价。具体举措方面,上轮"去产能"更多采用对产量与产能的直接约束与治理,关于量的举措多于价格层 面的举措;本轮"反内卷 【东财宏观-反内卷系列微专题】近期"反内卷"升温下的投资机会 [太阳]1.本轮"反内卷"较此前的三大不同 ➽#加强价格监测与价格执法。各部委关于"反内卷"的工作部署中,多次提及强化价格监测与价格执法。比如,1 月22日,财政部发布《 查找图书 》,明确要求在政府采购评审中的多种情形应启动异常低价投标审查程序。 ➽#通过标准引导落后产能出清。除了出台行业标准与加强价格监测执法,本轮"反内卷"仍然保留了必要的产能出 清的措施,但更多通过提高行业标准引导而非强制性进行。 [太阳]3.本轮"反内卷"有哪些投资机会? ➽#近期"反内卷"政策在部委协同、制度支持、落地节奏方面已经出现加 ...
未知机构:国金金属黑色钢铁行业核心观点及可路演内容核心观点26年是钢铁三大-20260128
未知机构· 2026-01-28 02:05
Summary of Steel Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call focuses on the steel industry, highlighting key insights and future projections for 2026 as a pivotal year for the sector [1]. Core Insights 1. **Positive Outlook on Supply Reform Probability**: - Feasibility is supported by the identification of potential hidden expansions and data falsification, with a capacity of 200 million tons available [1]. - Necessity arises from the shift in primary conflicts from central-local to international dynamics [1]. 2. **Negative Outlook on Raw Material Prices**: - A reversal in supply-demand dynamics is expected between 2027 and 2028, with inventory adjustments anticipated in Q2-Q3 of 2026 [1]. - A bearish framework suggests a price drop of at least $20, indicating that steel companies maintain bargaining power against iron ore suppliers [1]. 3. **Positive Cash Flow Improvement**: - By 2025, energy efficiency benchmarks and ultra-low emissions standards are expected to be largely achieved, leading to a convergence of capital expenditures to depreciation levels [1]. - This shift is projected to create a doubling of space for dividends [1]. 4. **Recommendation for Hualing**: - Hualing is recommended as a balanced investment opportunity, with a golden allocation period identified between March and April, and an expected increase in EPS by 2-3 times over the next three years [1]. Additional Important Points 1. **Certainty of Iron Ore Price Decline**: - Discussion includes the expected timing, rhythm, and extent of the price decline for iron ore [1]. 2. **Short-term and Long-term Effects of Export Controls**: - Short-term impacts include market segmentation, while long-term signals indicate a transformation in primary conflicts [1]. 3. **Impact of Dual Carbon Policies on the Steel Industry**: - The implications and significance of dual carbon policies for the steel sector are addressed [1].
未知机构:东财宏观反内卷系列微专题近期反内卷升温下的投资机会1本轮反-20260128
未知机构· 2026-01-28 02:05
➽#范围更广。 上轮"去产能"聚焦于上游资源品(煤炭、钢铁为主);本轮"反内卷"治理领域扩大至中、下游,既包括传统上游产 业,也涵盖汽车等中下游产业以及互联网平台、光伏、新能源等新兴产业领域,涉及企业面更广。 ➽#更注重价。 具体举措方面,上轮"去产能" 【东财宏观-反内卷系列微专题】近期"反内卷"升温下的投资机会 1.本轮"反内卷"较此前的三大不同 ➽#范围更广。 【东财宏观-反内卷系列微专题】近期"反内卷"升温下的投资机会 1.本轮"反内卷"较此前的三大不同 目前来看,无论是煤炭等传统的能源和资源领域,还是在新能源汽车、光伏等新兴行业,部委层面对于"反内 卷"的工作推进更多是通过出台优化相应的行业规范与能效标准,引导产业提质增效。 ➽#加强价格监测与价格执法。 上轮"去产能"聚焦于上游资源品(煤炭、钢铁为主);本轮"反内卷"治理领域扩大至中、下游,既包括传统上游产 业,也涵盖汽车等中下游产业以及互联网平台、光伏、新能源等新兴产业领域,涉及企业面更广。 ➽#更注重价。 具体举措方面,上轮"去产能"更多采用对产量与产能的直接约束与治理,关于量的举措多于价格层面的举措;本 轮"反内卷"更多通过对定价层面的指导与 ...
国泰君安期货商品研究晨报:黑色系列-20260128
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-28 01:57
2026年01月28日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-黑色系列 观点与策略 | 铁矿石:刚需仍存,价格震荡 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢:宽幅震荡 | 3 | | 热轧卷板:宽幅震荡 | 3 | | 硅铁:原料短期价格松动,宽幅震荡 | 5 | | 锰硅:原料短期价格松动,宽幅震荡 | 5 | | 焦炭:产业叠加资金配合,区间震荡 | 7 | | 焦煤:产业叠加资金配合,区间震荡 | 7 | | 动力煤:供需趋于双弱,煤价企稳小幅探涨 | 9 | | 原木:区间震荡 | 10 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 商 品 研 究 2026 年 1 月 28 日 铁矿石:刚需仍存,价格震荡 李亚飞 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0021184 liyafei2@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 铁矿石基本面数据 | 期 货 | | | 昨日收盘价(元/吨) | 涨跌(元/吨) | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 3.5 | 0.45% | | | I2605 | ...