Core Insights - The average profit of 22,200 yuan per investor is based on a calculation that includes significant market gains, but does not reflect actual realized profits for many investors [3][5] - The disparity between reported average profits and individual experiences highlights the complexities of market participation and the impact of market dynamics on different investor groups [6][8] Calculation Methodology - As of September 26, the A-share market's circulating market value increased from 77.55 trillion yuan to 94.52 trillion yuan, a rise of 16.97 trillion yuan [3] - Individual investors hold approximately 30.88% of the market, leading to a total increase in retail investor market value of 5.24 trillion yuan, resulting in the average profit figure [3] Traps in Average Profit Calculation - The first trap is that "paper gains do not equal realized profits," as market value increases do not account for transaction costs and taxes [3][5] - The second trap involves "dilution from new investors," as 6.29 million new investors entered the market this year, skewing the average profit calculation [3][5] - The third trap is "structural differentiation," where the market rally is not uniform, with certain sectors like technology seeing significant gains while traditional sectors lag [5][6] Investor Categories - The first category includes "lucky investors in technology sectors," who have seen substantial returns, with some stocks increasing over 100% [5][6] - The second category consists of "long-term fund investors," who have benefited from holding funds focused on high-performing sectors, achieving returns over 80% [6][8] - The third category is "rational investors who understand index trends," who have invested in ETFs and avoided individual stock risks, achieving average returns exceeding 45% [6][8] Common Pitfalls - Investors who failed to profit often held onto traditional stocks while technology stocks surged or frequently chased market trends, leading to losses [8] - The average profit figure of 22,200 yuan is a statistical number and does not reflect individual investment capabilities [8] - Successful investment requires understanding personal strengths and avoiding common pitfalls rather than being swayed by average statistics [8]

Core Points - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.36% today, with a trading volume of 965.40 million shares and a transaction value of 1738.03 billion yuan, representing a 1.48% increase from the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - The defense and military industry led the gains with a rise of 3.04%, followed by non-ferrous metals at 2.59% and real estate at 1.57% [1] - The sectors with the largest declines included telecommunications at -1.74%, comprehensive at -1.09%, and oil and petrochemicals at -0.74% [2] Top Performing Stocks - Aerospace South Lake in the defense and military sector surged by 11.07% [1] - Platinum New Materials in the non-ferrous metals sector rose by 12.92% [1] - Deep Zhenye A in the real estate sector increased by 10.05% [1] - New Ray Energy in the power equipment sector saw a significant rise of 20.00% [1] - N Rui Li in the automotive sector experienced a remarkable increase of 57.50% [1] - N Yun Han in the electronics sector skyrocketed by 361.85% [1]

Content: --------- <doc id='1'>大额买入与资金流向跟踪（20250922-20250926） [Table_Authors] 郑雅斌(分析师) 本报告导读： 参考团队前期发布的专题报告选股因子系列研究（五十六、五十七），本报告旨在通 过交易明细数据构建相关指标，跟踪大额买入和净主动买入。</doc> <doc id='2'>投资要点：</doc> <doc id='3'>| | 021-23219395 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyabin@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040105 | | | 张耿宇(分析师) | | | 021-23183109 | | | zhanggengyu@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525040078 |</doc> <doc id='4'>[Table_Report] 相关报告 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报（20250928） 2025.09.28 高频选股因子周报（20250922-20250926） 2025.09.28 低频选股因子周报（2025.09.19-2025.09.26） 2025.09.27 国内权益资产震荡，资产配置策略整体回调 2025.09.26 绝对收益产品及策略周报（250915-250919） 2025.09.24 金 融 工 程 金 融 工 程 周 报 金融工程 /[Table_Date] 2025.09.30 [Table_Summary] 个股大额买入跟踪与净主动买入跟踪。近 5 个交易日大额买入排名 前 5 的个股为：华泰股份、美凯龙、联美控股、启迪环境、酒钢宏 兴；近 5 个交易日净主动买入排名前 5 的个股为：鄂尔多斯、中信 特钢、桂冠电力、南钢股份、京泉华。（本周报中，近 5 个交易日特 指 20250922 至 20250926。） 行业大额买入与净主动买入跟踪。近 5 个交易日大额买入排名前 5 的中信一级行业为：银行、石油石化、非银行金融、钢铁、房地产； 近 5 个交易日净主动买入排名前 5 的中信一级行业为：银行、石油 石化、农林牧渔、房地产、电力及公用事业。 ETF 大额买入跟踪与 ETF 净主动买入跟踪。近 5 个交易日大额买 入排名前 5 的 ETF 为：嘉实中证 500ETF、南方标普中国 A 股大盘 红利低波 50ETF、易方达中证红利 ETF、嘉实中证稀土产业 ETF、 易方达沪深 300ETF；近 5 个交易日净主动买入排名前 5 的 ETF 为： 富国创业板 ETF、嘉实中证新能源 ETF、华夏中证内地低碳经济主 题 ETF、广发创业板 ETF、鹏华中证国防 ETF。 风险提示。因子失效风险，模型误设风险，市场系统性风险。</doc> <doc id='6'>| 1. | 跟踪指标计算说明 3 | | --- | --- | | 2. | 个股大额买入与资金流向跟踪 3 | | 3. | 宽基指数大额买入与资金流向跟踪 3 | | 4. | 行业大额买入与资金流向跟踪 4 | | 5. | ETF 大额买入与资金流向跟踪 5 | | 6. | 风险提示 5 |</doc> <doc id='7'>1. 跟踪指标计算说明 本文使用大买单成交金额占比和净主动买入金额占比，跟踪个股、宽 基指数、行业和 ETF 的大额买入与资金流向。 大买单成交金额占比刻画了大资金的买入行为。根据逐笔成交数据中 的叫买和叫卖序号，可将逐笔成交数据还原为买卖单数据，并按照每单的 成交量筛选得到大单，计算其中大买单的成交金额占当日总成交金额的比 例。 净主动买入金额占比刻画了投资者的主动买入行为。根据逐笔成交数 据中的买卖标志，可界定每笔成交属于主动买入还是主动卖出。将两者的 成交金额相减，可得净主动买入金额，并计算占当日总成交金额的比例。</doc> <doc id='8'>2. 个股大额买入与资金流向跟踪 下表为全市场大买单成交金额占比过去 5 日均值排名前 10 的股票。</doc> <doc id='9'>| | 表 1 大买单成交金额占比前 10 股票列表（20250922-20250926） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排序 | WIND 代码 | 股票名称 | 指标值 | 时序分位数 | | 1 | 600308.SH | 华泰股份 | 89.1% | 100.0% | | 2 | 601828.SH | 美凯龙 | 88.9% | 99.2% | | 3 | 600167.SH | 联美控股 | 88.7% | 98.8% | | 4 | 000826.SZ | 启迪环境 | 88.6% | 99.6% | | 5 | 600307.SH | 酒钢宏兴 | 87.9% | 95.9% | | 6 | 601996.SH | 丰林集团 | 87.7% | 98.0% | | 7 | 601366.SH | 利群股份 | 87.7% | 99.2% | | 8 | 002453.SZ | 华软科技 | 87.7% | 99.6% | | 9 | 600935.SH | 华塑股份 | 87.5% | 97.6% | | 10 | 600606.SH | 绿地控股 | 87.3% | 99.2% | 资料来源: Wind，国泰海通证券研究 下表为部分全市场净主动买入金额占比过去 5 日均值排名前 10 的股票。</doc> <doc id='10'>| | 表 2 净主动买入金额占比前 10 股票列表（20250922-20250926） | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 排序 | WIND 代码 | 股票名称 | 指标值 | 时序分位数 | | 1 | 600295.SH | 鄂尔多斯 | 17.9% | 98.4% | | 2 | 000708.SZ | 中信特钢 | 17.4% | 100.0% | | 3 | 600236.SH | 桂冠电力 | 15.2% | 98.4% | | 4 | 600282.SH | 南钢股份 | 12.7% | 95.1% | | 5 | 002885.SZ | 京泉华 | 11.6% | 100.0% | | 6 | 600323.SH | 瀚蓝环境 | 11.5% | 95.1% | | 7 | 600176.SH | 中国巨石 | 11.5% | 99.2% | | 9 | 603037.SH | 凯众股份 | 11.0% | 100.0% | | 10 | 603091.SH | 众鑫股份 | 10.9% | 99.2% | 资料来源: Wind，国泰海通证券研究</doc> <doc id='11'>3. 宽基指数大额买入与资金流向跟踪 本文使用整体法计算主要宽基指数的大买单成交金额占比和净主动买 入金额占比，列于下表。</doc> <doc id='12'>表 3 宽基指数大额买入与资金流向（20250922-20250926） | | | 大买单成交金额占比 | | 净主动买入金额占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 5 日均值 | 5 日均值分位数 | 5 日均值 | 5 日均值分位数 | | 上证指数 | 72.3% | 2.9% | -3.6% | 21.6% | | 上证 50 | 70.2% | 7.3% | 1.1% | 18.4%

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend in the first three quarters, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3,800 points, led by technology growth stocks, while consumer and cyclical stocks performed poorly [1] - Among the 31 primary sub-industries, only coal and oil & petrochemicals saw declines, while the other 29 sub-industries recorded gains, with the top five performing industries being communication, electronics, non-ferrous metals, media, and comprehensive, all exceeding a 60% increase [1] - The communication industry surged by 105% and the electronics sector rose by 87%, significantly outperforming other sectors, with leading companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyisheng seeing increases of 2.4 times and 3.7 times respectively [1] Group 2 - The consumer sector, including hotels, restaurants, and liquor, has shown weak performance, with companies like Jinjiang Hotels and Kweichow Moutai experiencing declines of over 12% and 2% respectively [1] - The cyclical sectors, particularly coal and oil & petrochemicals, also underperformed, with China Shenhua down by 7% and both China Petroleum and China Petrochemical seeing declines of nearly 20% [1] - Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, market styles are expected to rebalance, with cyclical styles entering a trading window and previously lagging sectors likely to see a rebound [2][3]

Group 1 - The A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend in the first three quarters, with the Shanghai Composite Index reaching 3,800 points, led by technology growth stocks, while consumer and cyclical stocks performed poorly [1] - According to WIND statistics, only the coal and oil & petrochemical sectors declined among the 31 primary sub-industries in the first three quarters, while the other 29 sectors saw increases, with the top five performing sectors being communication, electronics, non-ferrous metals, media, and comprehensive, all exceeding a 60% increase [1] - The communication sector had a remarkable increase of 105%, and the electronics sector surged by 87%, significantly outperforming other sectors [1] Group 2 - The hospitality, liquor, and food sectors showed weak performance this year, with major companies like Jinjiang Hotels, Kweichow Moutai, and Yili Group experiencing declines of over 12%, 2%, and 6% respectively [1] - The cyclical sectors, including coal and oil & petrochemical, also underperformed, with China Shenhua down 7% and both China Petroleum and China Petrochemical facing declines, the latter by nearly 20% [1] Group 3 - Looking ahead to the fourth quarter, market styles are expected to rebalance, with cyclical styles entering a trading window and previously lagging sectors likely to see a rebound [2] - Historical data from Dongwu Securities indicates that sectors that performed well in the first three quarters typically rank lower in the fourth quarter, suggesting a potential shift in market dynamics [2] Group 4 - Certain low-valuation and early-cycle sectors are expected to perform better in the fourth quarter, with a historical probability of over 65% for these sectors to rise, and a 60% chance of outperforming the CSI 300 index [3] - Analysts suggest that the technology sector will remain a key focus, with investment themes coexisting, and internal rotations within growth sectors expected to accelerate, particularly in AI applications, solid-state batteries, energy storage, and innovative pharmaceuticals [3]

Core Points - The Hang Seng Index rose by 494.68 points, an increase of 1.89%, closing at 26,622.88 points [1] - The total turnover for the day on the main board was 309.096 billion HKD [1] - The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 151.02 points, closing at 9,454.12 points, a rise of 1.62% [1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index gained 129.14 points, closing at 6,324.25 points, reflecting a growth of 2.08% [1] Blue Chip Stocks - Tencent Holdings rose by 2.48%, closing at 660 HKD [1] - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing increased by 2.79%, closing at 442.2 HKD [1] - China Mobile decreased by 0.12%, closing at 84.9 HKD [1] - HSBC Holdings rose by 1.97%, closing at 108.8 HKD [1] Local Hong Kong Stocks - Cheung Kong Holdings increased by 3.58%, closing at 37.58 HKD [1] - Sun Hung Kai Properties rose by 1.69%, closing at 93.15 HKD [1] - Henderson Land Development increased by 2.06%, closing at 27.7 HKD [1] Chinese Financial Stocks - Bank of China rose by 0.71%, closing at 4.23 HKD [1] - China Construction Bank increased by 1.36%, closing at 7.48 HKD [1] - Industrial and Commercial Bank of China rose by 0.53%, closing at 5.73 HKD [1] - Ping An Insurance increased by 2.1%, closing at 53.5 HKD [1] - China Life Insurance rose by 4.61%, closing at 22.22 HKD [1] Oil and Petrochemical Stocks - China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation rose by 0.74%, closing at 4.1 HKD [1] - China National Petroleum Corporation increased by 2.39%, closing at 7.28 HKD [1] - CNOOC Limited rose by 0.84%, closing at 19.28 HKD [1]

Core Insights - The recent anti-corruption campaign in the energy and resources sector has intensified, with 10 retired officials being investigated or punished since September [1][3] - The investigated individuals include senior officials from various energy sectors, highlighting the systemic issues within state-controlled industries [3][4] Group 1: Investigated Officials - Eight officials have been officially announced as under investigation, including six from central-level party and state agencies, state-owned enterprises, and financial institutions, along with two provincial-level officials [1] - Notable figures include Zhang Hongshan, former Party Secretary and Executive Director of Sinopec Shengli Oil Engineering Co., and Li Bo, former Deputy General Manager of Anhui Energy Group [1][3] Group 2: Sectoral Representation - Among the ten investigated, three are from the coal sector, three from the electricity sector, two from the oil and petrochemical sector, and two from the steel sector [3] - The concentration of energy project approval rights and monopolistic practices in state-owned enterprises has led to significant opportunities for corruption [3] Group 3: Historical Context - The anti-corruption efforts in the Shanxi coal sector began in 2022, with the investigation of Zhang Youxi, former Chairman of the same coal group, marking the start of a broader crackdown [4] - The restructuring of coal resources in Shanxi initiated in 2020 has been linked to ongoing corruption investigations, with several high-ranking officials from the newly formed Jineng Holding Group being implicated [4]

Core Insights - The "2025 Zhejiang Merchants National Top 500" list was released, with FanJia ranking 321st, a significant increase of 77 places from the previous year [1] - The total revenue of the listed companies reached 14.10 trillion yuan, an increase of nearly 8% from 13.06 trillion yuan in the previous year, highlighting the vitality of the Zhejiang merchant group in China's economic development [3] Company Overview - FanJia has been a leader in the enterprise service sector for 16 years, focusing on AI technology to create a diversified service system covering business travel, smart payment, and administrative management [4] - In 2025, FanJia plans to launch its first enterprise-level AI embodiment robot, which will integrate multimodal interaction, autonomous payment, and real-time decision-making capabilities, facilitating seamless integration between the physical and digital worlds [5] - FanJia has successfully transformed from traditional business travel services to intelligent enterprise services, serving over 10,000 listed and large enterprises, with 50% of domestic main board listed companies as partners, saving over 260 million yuan in costs for enterprises [7]

Market Overview - The main indices showed positive performance today, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 0.9%, the Shenzhen Component Index rising by 2.05%, and the ChiNext Index up by 2.74% [1] - Among the Shenwan first-level industry sectors, non-bank financials, non-ferrous metals, and electric power equipment performed well, while oil and petrochemicals, beauty care, and media lagged behind [1] Concept Sector Performance - The lithium battery electrolyte, stock trading software, and lithium iron phosphate battery concepts performed relatively well [1] - Conversely, the coal mining, poultry industry, and internet celebrity economy concepts showed weaker performance [1]

| 002850 | 科达利 | 189.06 | 4.80 | 48.88 | 9240.31 | 电力设备 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603026 | 石大胜华 | 47.09 | 3.88 | 182.14 | 8577.05 | 电力设备 | | 002150 | 通润装备 | 18.93 | 9.48 | 433.03 | 8197.26 | 机械设备 | | 000985 | 大庆华科 | 19.91 | 4.62 | 406.83 | 8099.98 | 石油石化 | | 600635 | 大众公用 | 5.67 | 11.52 | 1144.96 | 6491.92 | 公用事业 | | 000422 | 湖北宜化 | 14.53 | 5.97 | 445.66 | 6475.44 | 基础化工 | | 002911 | 佛燃能源 | 12.86 | 1.96 | 496.58 | 6385.96 | 公用事业 | | 600173 | 卧龙新能 | 9.19 | 7.75 | 693.18 | 6370.31 | 房地产 ...