Group 1 - The Hong Kong technology sector is experiencing active performance, with the Hang Seng Technology Index reaching a new intraday high of 6000 points since April this year [1] - There is a strong expectation for a 25 basis point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve, which is likely to benefit the interest-sensitive Hong Kong technology sector [1] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF (513130) has seen significant trading volume, with daily turnover exceeding 5 billion yuan from September 9 to September 12, and a net inflow of 1.186 billion yuan in September, reaching a historical high of 39.2 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng Technology ETF closely tracks the Hang Seng Technology Index, which includes 30 leading Hong Kong internet and manufacturing companies, covering various sectors such as internet, media, software, automotive, and chips [2] - There has been a cumulative increase of 93.882 billion Hong Kong dollars in southbound capital since September, with internet companies being a key focus for investment [2] - The current price-to-earnings ratio of the Hang Seng Technology Index is 23.12 times, which is in the lower range of the past five years, indicating potential investment value [2]

9月15日，港股科技板块开盘高开高走表现活跃，Wind数据显示，恒生科技指数早盘突破6000点刷新今 年4月以来盘中新高。消息面上，美联储将于当地时间9月17日召开议息会议，基于前期公布的一系列数 据表现出经济走势疲软的背景，市场对于降息25个基点的预期较强。离岸特性突出的港股备受关注，其 中利率敏感性较高的港股科技板块有望深度受益。受此逻辑强化，恒生科技ETF（513130）上周有所放 量，近4个交易日（2025/9/9-2025/9/12）全天成交额均超55亿元，近10个交易日资金净流入额累计达 11.86亿元，最新规模达392.11亿元，创历史新高。（指数历史涨跌幅情况不代表未来表现，不构成对基 金业绩表现的保证，请投资者关注指数波动风险） 此外港股科技板块产业层面同样传来利好消息。据 The Information 援引四位直接知情人士的话报导， 两大港股互联网龙头企业或已开始采用内部自主设计的芯片训练AI 大模型，取代了部分英伟达芯片， 我国芯片自主可控进程又迈进一步。此外海外科技巨头发布2026财年Q1业绩，其中云基础设施营收增 长显著，在海外映射作用下对国内AI产业链相关标的有望产生进一步催化。 ...

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略点评 策略点评 20250915 降息前的普涨——港股&海外周观察 2025 年 09 月 15 日 首先，关税对美国通胀传导程度仍旧可控。美国 8 月 PPI 同比增长 2.6%， 为 6 月以来新低，远低于预期的 3.3%，前值从 3.3%下修为 3.1%；同时， 美国 8 月 CPI 也基本符合预期，CPI 同比 2.9%，持平预期，较前值 2.7% 小幅回升。美国 8 月 CPI 环比 0.4%，略高于预期的 0.3%，前值 0.2%。 PPI 下降为 9 月美联储提供了支持降息的依据，CPI 的温和表现则是巩 固了降息 25bps 降息的幅度。 其次，甲骨文财报超预期，给美股科技注入"强心剂"。甲骨文财报受 到 AI 驱动合同量大幅增长，第一季度创纪录 3320 亿美元订单金额，不 仅刷新软件行业历史最高签约记录，同时标志着其商业模式的根本性转 型。与此同时，甲骨文又宣布与 OpenAI 达成 3000 亿美元新合约，积极 AI 消息的频度和强度持续提升，不断推高科技狂热潮。 短期来看，我们认为美股以继续震荡上行为主。美国就业高频数据（初 请失业金人数上升）+基本符合预期 ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent layoffs at major software companies like Oracle and Salesforce signal a rapid shift in the tech industry due to the impact of AI, which is not only enhancing efficiency but also replacing jobs directly [1][3]. Group 1: Layoffs and AI Impact - Oracle has cut over 3,000 jobs globally, affecting various markets including the US, India, Canada, the Philippines, and Europe, indicating a broad and significant reduction rather than targeted cuts [1]. - Salesforce has laid off approximately 4,000 customer service personnel, as their AI platform, AgentForce, can handle nearly half of customer interactions, showcasing the efficiency and cost-saving potential of AI [1]. - The trend of layoffs is not isolated; Microsoft has laid off 15,000 employees since May, while other companies like Amazon and T-Mobile are also reducing their workforce, reflecting a broader industry contraction [3]. Group 2: Employee Concerns and Opportunities - Employees at Oracle and Salesforce express anxiety over job security and the rapid pace at which AI is replacing roles, with concerns that AI is penetrating core business functions rather than just low-skill jobs [4]. - Despite the fears of job displacement, AI is also creating new opportunities, as both Oracle and Salesforce are investing more in AI products, cloud computing, and data analytics, leading to a demand for skilled professionals who can work alongside AI [4]. - The key challenge for individuals is not whether they will be replaced by AI, but rather how to adapt and learn to collaborate with AI to enhance their value in the workforce [5][6].

Group 1: Market Overview - The stock market has rebounded strongly from the sharp decline in April, reaching a historical high, with the S&P 500 index up 11% and the Nasdaq index up 13.5% year-to-date, reflecting sustained market optimism [1] - Goldman Sachs' Chief U.S. Equity Strategist David Kostin predicts that the upcoming Federal Reserve interest rate cuts and a projected acceleration in economic growth in 2026 will support further gains in U.S. equities [1] - Kostin's forecast includes three expected interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year and a prediction that the U.S. economy will avoid recession, with the S&P 500 index expected to rise by 2% by year-end and 6% by mid-2026 [1] Group 2: Braze (BRZE.US) - Braze operates a customer engagement platform for multi-channel marketing optimization, focusing on conversation rather than sales, and aims to provide a clear path from information acquisition to comfortable purchasing [2] - The platform is data-driven and AI-enabled, allowing enterprise clients to interact with users and convert sales funnels into information journeys, processing over 3.9 trillion messages last year [2] - For the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, Braze reported revenue of $180.1 million, a 24% year-over-year increase, exceeding expectations by nearly $8.5 million, with a non-GAAP EPS of $0.15, surpassing estimates by $0.12 [3] - Goldman Sachs analysts view Braze as a preferred stock with a target price of $52, indicating a potential upside of 73% over the next year [3] Group 3: Carlsmed (CARL.US) - Carlsmed focuses on AI-driven personalized spinal surgery, aiming to reduce surgical costs while improving patient outcomes, with its aprevo platform supporting precise surgical planning [4] - The company went public on July 22, pricing its IPO at $15 per share and raising approximately $100.5 million [4] - For the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, Carlsmed reported revenue of $12.1 million, a significant 99% increase year-over-year, with guidance for full-year revenue between $45.5 million and $47.5 million [5] - Goldman Sachs analysts highlight Carlsmed's growth potential driven by expected sales team expansion and the launch of cervical indications in 2026, projecting a target price of $19, indicating a 40% upside [5]

Group 1 - The Jiangsu Industry-University-Research Cooperation Conference aims to promote deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, serving as a platform for high-end innovation resource aggregation and technology achievement transformation [1][6] - The conference featured the "Kirin Team" from the Nanjing Kirin Science and Technology Innovation Park, showcasing multiple latest achievements from five research institutes affiliated with the Chinese Academy of Sciences, indicating the growing influence of national strategic scientific forces [1][2] - The theme of this year's conference is "Technology Empowering New Quality Productivity, Innovation and Integration Development Leading the Way," with various activities organized to facilitate deep connections among the technology, industry, and finance sectors [1][6] Group 2 - The Nanjing Mobile Communication and Computing Innovation Research Institute presented a comprehensive system equipment platform for integrated information networks, achieving breakthroughs in low-orbit satellite communication technology [2][3] - The research institute has successfully incubated nearly 30 satellite communication-related enterprises, including 10 high-tech companies, focusing on satellite communication and low-altitude self-organizing networks [2][3] - The "Information High-speed Rail Comprehensive Experimental Infrastructure" was highlighted as a significant research facility, aimed at providing a comprehensive experimental environment for the integration of computing and networking [2][3] Group 3 - The Nanjing Information High-speed Rail Research Institute showcased two key products: an AI development platform that supports over 50 major scientific research models and a model factory service platform for AI integration [3][4] - The Future Energy Systems Research Institute presented advanced energy storage technologies, including a 100MW advanced compressed air energy storage system, which is the first of its kind with complete independent intellectual property rights [3][4] Group 4 - The Nanjing Software Technology Research Institute introduced a major open-source software infrastructure, which has become the largest open-source software governance platform in China, supporting over 80 leading enterprises [4][5] - The Nanjing Life Health Research Institute showcased advanced products in the fields of innovative vaccines and high-end medical devices, including a broad-spectrum influenza vaccine with a unique design [5][6] Group 5 - The Nanjing Kirin Science and Technology Innovation Park has become a significant hub for innovation resources outside Beijing, with multiple major scientific and technological infrastructure projects focusing on critical core technologies [5][6] - The park is actively implementing actions to build an industrial technology innovation highland, aiming to convert high-end innovation resources into high-quality development momentum [6]

Core Insights - The article highlights a significant divide in the tech industry driven by AI, with companies like Oracle experiencing a 359% increase in contract revenue due to AI partnerships, while traditional software firms face scrutiny over their AI monetization strategies [1][2][4]. Group 1: AI Impact on Companies - Oracle's stock surged due to a projected 359% increase in future contract revenue, largely attributed to its deal with OpenAI, showcasing the direct valuation impact of AI on the market [2][4]. - Companies directly involved in AI infrastructure, such as Nvidia and OpenAI, attracted significant investor interest, contrasting sharply with traditional software firms that struggled to demonstrate their AI capabilities [2][3]. - Investors are demanding clear monetization paths for AI from software companies, with a focus on how customers are utilizing AI features and whether they are willing to pay for them [3][5]. Group 2: AI Monetization Strategies - Google Cloud's Thomas Kurian reported that Google has already earned billions through AI, emphasizing the importance of clear AI monetization examples to investors [5]. - Twilio discussed its AI tools that enhance revenue through features like text-to-speech, indicating a growing trend among companies to showcase specific AI applications that drive income [5]. - Grindr's CEO highlighted how their AI features could generate potential matches for paid users, reflecting the ongoing exploration of AI's impact on business models within software companies [5][6]. Group 3: Data Infrastructure Companies - Companies like Databricks, Snowflake, and MongoDB are gaining investor favor as they provide essential support for AI infrastructure, managing the vast amounts of data generated by AI [6]. - The stock performance of data infrastructure companies has been strong, with Snowflake's stock up 43% and MongoDB's up 37% this year, indicating a robust market recognition of their value in the AI ecosystem [6]. - Databricks recently completed a $1 billion funding round and reported annualized revenue exceeding $1 billion from its AI products, underscoring the critical role of data processing capabilities in the AI era [6].

Core Insights - The 2025 Internet Yuelu Conference will be held on September 14 in Changsha, Hunan, where Wankang Technology (300624.SZ) will showcase its AIGC digital creative products and solutions [1] - The conference theme is "AI Leading, Imagining Xiangjiang," focusing on artificial intelligence and innovation in the digital creative industry [1] - Wankang Technology has been actively expanding its presence in Changsha, establishing a second headquarters and launching initiatives to attract talent back to Hunan [3] Company Developments - Wankang Technology has been participating in the Yuelu Conference since 2019, enhancing its influence and engagement in the region [3] - The company has initiated a talent recruitment strategy, offering competitive salaries and housing benefits to attract skilled professionals to Changsha [3] - By the end of 2023, Wankang Technology will begin construction on a new creative science park in Changsha, with an investment of nearly 1 billion yuan and a building area of approximately 100,000 square meters [3] Technological Innovations - Wankang Technology focuses on digital creative software, adopting a "platform + entrepreneur" model to stimulate organizational vitality [4] - The company has launched the first domestic audio and video multimedia large model, "Wankang Tianmu," which has been recognized as a representative achievement in Hunan's emerging software sector [4] - In the first half of 2025, Wankang Technology's AI commercialization accelerated, with over 500 million AI server calls and a revenue exceeding 60 million yuan from AI-native applications, marking over 200% growth in both paid users and revenue [4] Ecosystem Collaboration - Wankang Technology emphasizes industry-academia-research collaboration, partnering with Xiangjiang Laboratory and various universities to build talent cultivation bases [5] - The company is exploring new possibilities in the audio and video sector in emerging markets through collaborations with cultural and creative organizations [6] - Wankang Technology has introduced an official AI digital persona, "Xiao Lu," to promote the international dissemination of Chinese culture [6]

Core Insights - The 2025 Internet Yuelu Conference will be held on September 14 in Changsha, Hunan, where Wankang Technology (300624.SZ) will showcase its AIGC digital creative products and solutions [1] - The conference theme is "AI Leading, Imagining Xiangjiang," focusing on artificial intelligence and innovation [1] - Wankang Technology has been actively expanding its presence in Changsha, establishing a second headquarters and launching initiatives to attract talent [3] Company Developments - Wankang Technology has been participating in the Yuelu Conference since 2019, enhancing its influence and engagement in the region [3] - The company has initiated a talent recruitment strategy, offering competitive salaries and housing benefits to attract skilled professionals back to Changsha [3] - By the end of 2023, Wankang Technology will begin construction on a new creative science park in Changsha, with an investment of nearly 1 billion yuan and a building area of approximately 100,000 square meters [3] Technological Innovations - Wankang Technology focuses on digital creative software, adopting a "platform + entrepreneur" model to stimulate organizational vitality [4] - The company launched the first domestic audio and video multimedia large model, "Wankang Tianmu," in Hunan, which has been recognized as a representative achievement in the software sector [4] - In the first half of 2025, Wankang Technology's AI commercialization accelerated, with over 500 million server calls and AI-native application revenue exceeding 60 million yuan, marking over 200% growth in both paid users and revenue [4] Ecosystem Collaboration - Wankang Technology emphasizes industry-academia-research collaboration, partnering with institutions like Xiangjiang Laboratory and several universities to build talent cultivation bases [5] - The company is exploring new possibilities in the audio and video sector in emerging markets through collaborations with cultural and creative organizations [6] - Wankang Technology's participation in the Yuelu Conference highlights its role as a benchmark for returning entrepreneurs and a leader in the AI industry [6]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates next week, with a high probability of a 50 basis point cut due to weak economic data, although there is debate over the extent of the cut [4][5][8] - Historical data shows that every time the Fed has initiated a rate cut of 50 basis points since 1987, it has been followed by an economic recession [6][15] - The recent employment data indicates a significant downward revision of 919,000 jobs, suggesting previous employment figures were inflated, which may pave the way for a larger rate cut [8][9] Group 2 - Various financial institutions have differing predictions regarding the rate cut, with Standard Chartered recently changing its forecast from 25 to 50 basis points, citing a rapid shift in the labor market [9][10] - Political pressure from the Trump administration is influencing Fed Chair Powell's decision-making, with expectations that a larger cut would signal loyalty to the administration [13][14] - The upcoming Fed meeting is seen as a critical event that will impact global financial markets and reveal the Fed's policy direction amid economic and political pressures [23]