Market Performance - On July 24, the Hang Seng Index rose by 129 points or 0.5%, closing at 25,667 points, marking a five-day winning streak[1] - The Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.05% to 5,743 points, ending its five-day rise[1] - Market turnover reached HKD 294.8 billion, indicating active trading, with a net inflow of HKD 3.7 billion through the Stock Connect[1] Sector Highlights - The financial sector was a key support, with China Galaxy (6881 HK) and CITIC Securities (6066 HK) rising by 4.4% and 3.9% respectively[1] - China Duty Free (1880 HK) surged by 15% due to positive news regarding Hainan Free Trade Port[1] - Semiconductor stocks remained active, while major tech stocks like Baidu (9888 HK) and Alibaba (9988 HK) saw declines of over 3%[1] Economic Outlook - The overall upward trend in the Hong Kong market is supported by improving fundamentals and positive policy expectations, with a shift from risk aversion to fundamental recovery[2] - Anticipation of trade agreements between the EU and the US is expected to ease global supply chain concerns, potentially benefiting the Hong Kong market[2] Real Estate Market - New home sales in 30 major cities fell by 21.7% year-on-year, although this was an improvement from the previous week's 24.9% decline[5] - The inventory-to-sales ratio for major cities increased to 105.7, up from 102.2 a year ago, indicating a growing supply relative to sales[7] - Land transaction volume dropped by 62.9% year-on-year, reflecting a significant slowdown in real estate activity[8] Policy and Investment Strategy - The central government's recent urban work conference emphasized support for the real estate sector, although no new major measures were announced[9] - Investment strategies should focus on high-dividend sectors such as telecommunications, utilities, and finance, while also considering growth areas like AI and biotechnology[12]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report highlights that 2025 is a pivotal year for the military industry, with a recovery in performance expected in the second half due to the release of delayed orders and the initiation of the 14th Five-Year Plan [5][6] - The global geopolitical landscape is entering a period of turmoil, which is anticipated to drive an unprecedented increase in military spending, benefiting China's military exports [5][6] - The Taiyuan Satellite Launch Center is positioned to play a crucial role in satellite internet construction, with its capabilities expected to enhance the deployment of low Earth orbit satellite constellations [5][6] Group 2: Industry Analysis - The non-bank financial sector is experiencing a positive trend, with 26 listed brokerages reporting a net profit growth rate exceeding 40% for the first half of the year, driven by increased trading activity and investment banking services [7] - The new materials sector has shown a mixed performance, with the new materials index rising by 1.37%, while specific sub-sectors like synthetic biology and industrial gases have seen notable increases [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of regulatory measures in the new energy vehicle industry to curb irrational competition, which is expected to improve profitability across the supply chain [8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown significant bullish momentum, with major indices collectively rising and the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3600 points, indicating a potential new bull market cycle [1][6][10]. Group 1: Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a collective rise in major indices, with nearly 4400 stocks gaining, reflecting strong market sentiment [1][6]. - The total trading volume in the two markets reached 1.84 trillion yuan, with sectors such as brokerage, new energy, and healthcare leading the gains [4][5]. Group 2: Policy and Economic Signals - Recent policy announcements, including the full closure of Hainan Free Trade Port and the expansion of cross-border asset management trials, have positively impacted the brokerage sector, contributing to the market's upward movement [8][9]. - Analysts suggest that the upcoming Politburo meeting will provide further guidance on future investment opportunities [5]. Group 3: Long-term Market Outlook - Historical analysis indicates that the A-share market is currently in a new bull market cycle, with comparisons drawn to previous bull markets in 2005 and 2015 [10][12]. - The current financing balance has exceeded 1.9 trillion yuan, suggesting that there is still room for growth compared to previous peaks [18]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to focus on sectors with stable performance and high dividend yields, such as banking, insurance, and consumer goods, while also considering technology and healthcare for long-term growth potential [22][23]. - A balanced investment approach, including both undervalued blue-chip stocks and growth-oriented technology sectors, is recommended to navigate the current market conditions [24].

新闻解读评级说明：五星重磅，四星重要，三星级以下大家选择听。 1、大宗商品涨停潮，交易所风险提示会管用吗？ 本篇评级为★★★，主要围绕以下内容展开： 如有疑问请以音频内容为准，添加妙妙子微信huxiuvip302，入群有机会与董小姐进一步交流。 须知，期货这一金融工具，本质是为实体经济服务，帮助工厂、企业锁定原材料价格、规避大幅波动风 险。然而，眼下期货独自急涨急跌，反而给实体套保带来巨大风险——原本用来避险的工具，如今成 了"挖坑"制造风险。时间一久，必然引起监管注意。 本文为妙投付费内容，上述仅为摘要，购买本专栏即可解锁完整内容。新用户可免费领本专栏7天阅读 体验机会，在妙投APP-我的-权益兑换 输入"妙投888"即可领取。 今天的 A 股市场依旧红通通，我们一起梳理盘面，看看继续向上的潜力有多大，以及可能遇到的风 险。 1、大宗商品涨停潮，交易所风险提示会管用吗？ 2、券商板块透支了吗？从资金层面看两条线索 3、芯片稍稍启动，背后的推动力有多大？ 到目前为止，市场的主线之一仍在横向扩展，这条主线便是去产能赛道。前几日，煤炭、钢铁涨幅巨 大，这两天出现收缩；而横向扩展的结果是又有新主角登场——今天，热点 ...

作者 | 哥吉拉 数据支持 | 勾股大数 据（www.gogudata.com） 今天 A股震荡反弹，沪指涨0.65%报3605.73点，三年半以来首次收于3600点上方 。 助力 A股站上3600的题材真不少， 近期在"反内卷"主旋律催化下， 很多期货品种开始了大幅反弹，情绪面蔓延到 了股票市场。 今天又轮到了碳酸锂。 国内碳酸锂期货主力合约今天涨势强劲，盘中一度触及涨停（ 8%），关联个股如赣锋锂 业、天齐锂业相继涨停，港股涨幅也一度超过15%。 发生了什么？ 涨停！ 01 板块方面，钢铁、地产、券商、多元金融等板块涨幅居前，锂矿、小金属、水利水电等概念股跟 ，盘面热点杂乱， 海南自贸区、免税店、雅下水电概念涨幅居前。 | Wind中国行业指数 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 林木 | 机场 | 基本金属 | 生物科技 | 券商 | 餐饮旅游 | 3.07% | 2.59% | 2.39% | 4.18% | 3.26% | 2.50% | ...

见习记者 储是 7月24日，恒生指数上涨0.51%，报收于25667.18点；恒生科技指数下跌0.05%，报收于5743点；恒生国企指数上涨0.18%，报收于9257.62点。市场成交额 为2948.11亿港元，南向资金净买入37.19亿港元。 【导读】今日，港股三大指数涨跌不一，有色金属、非银金融和半导体板块表现较优 | HSI | 恒生指数 | 25667.18c | 129.11 | 0.51% | 2948亿 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | HSTECH | 恒生科技 | 5743.00c | -2.74 | -0.05% | 765亿 | | HSCEI | 恒生中国企业指数 | 9257.62c | 16.42 | 0.18% | 951亿 | 盘面上，有色金属、非银金融继续上涨，半导体股拉升，大型科网股涨跌不一。 泡泡玛特创始人王宁今日接受央视新闻专访，预告了下一季新款Labubu，泡泡玛特午后拉升。 中金报告显示，年内南向净流入规模已达到7974.5亿港元，接近去年全年水平。中金公司最新分析了港股资金面和未来演变。 非银金融板块上涨 中资券商 ...

Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.51% to close at 25,667.18 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.05% to 5,743 points, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 0.18% to 9,257.62 points [2][3] - The market turnover was HKD 2,948.11 million, with net inflows from southbound funds amounting to HKD 37.19 million [2][3] Sector Performance - The non-bank financial sector continued to rise, with notable gains in Chinese brokerage stocks such as Guolian Minsheng, Dongfang Securities, and Everbright Securities [7][8] - The insurance sector saw increases, with China Life and Ping An rising by 3.23% and 2.03% respectively [10] - The metals sector experienced significant gains, particularly in lithium stocks, with Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium rising over 10% [12] - The semiconductor sector showed active trading, with leading companies Huahong Semiconductor and SMIC increasing by 6.99% and 3.08% respectively [14] Notable Company News - Pop Mart's founder Wang Ning announced new Labubu products in a CCTV interview, leading to a 4.37% increase in the company's stock price [20] - Wang highlighted the overwhelming demand for Labubu, stating that supply chain optimization is ongoing due to the complexity of the product [20] Fund Flow Analysis - According to a report by CICC, the net inflow of southbound funds has reached HKD 797.45 billion this year, nearing last year's total of HKD 807.87 billion [6][21] - Southbound trading now accounts for 35% of total transactions, indicating its growing importance in the market [21] - CICC suggests shifting focus from short-term overstretched banks to insurance stocks and from new consumption to AI applications and innovative pharmaceuticals for growth opportunities [21]

Core Viewpoint - The capital market has been recovering since September 2024, leading to increased trading activity and a significant rise in the brokerage sector, supported by improved liquidity from interest rate cuts and favorable financial policies [1][8]. Group 1: Industry Performance Recovery - The total assets of 42 listed brokerages reached 13.11 trillion yuan, with net assets of 2.72 trillion yuan. The combined operating income was 125.93 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25%, and net profit attributable to shareholders was 52.18 billion yuan, up 83.5% year-on-year [2]. - Over 80% of brokerages reported year-on-year net profit growth, with an average ROE of 1.6%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - Proprietary trading and brokerage services have become the main growth drivers, with proprietary business revenue increasing from 32.74% to 40.53% of total revenue, and brokerage revenue rising from 21.61% to 26.00% [2][3]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - The recovery in proprietary and brokerage businesses is attributed to increased retail investor participation and a rise in the issuance of equity funds, leading to higher daily trading volumes [4]. - The average daily trading volume of equity funds increased by 71% year-on-year, significantly boosting brokerage income [3][4]. Group 3: Internationalization Trends - The internationalization of Chinese brokerages has accelerated, driven by policy incentives and market demand, with a focus on expanding licenses and capital investments [6]. - In 2024, the contribution of international revenue to CICC reached 47%, with significant involvement in cross-border mergers and global IPOs, ranking first in the market [6][7]. - CICC has established an international network covering major financial centers, enhancing its cross-border service capabilities [7]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The brokerage sector is expected to maintain a positive growth trajectory in 2025, with 29 listed brokerages forecasting profit increases, and CICC projecting a net profit growth of 55% to 78% year-on-year [8][9]. - The ongoing recovery in the capital market, combined with supportive policies, is anticipated to enhance the profitability and valuation of the brokerage sector, entering a new upward cycle [9].

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Jinlong Co., Ltd. plans to acquire a 29.3151% stake in Shenzhen BMT Technology Co., Ltd., which will position Jinlong as the second-largest shareholder of Shenzhen BMT if the transaction is completed [1][2] - This acquisition is expected to facilitate Jinlong's business transformation towards the digital economy infrastructure sector, particularly focusing on intelligent computing centers and computing power services [2] - Following the announcement, Jinlong's stock surged and reached a market capitalization of 13.31 billion yuan [2] Group 2 - Shenzhen BMT has total assets of 1.978 billion yuan and net assets of 485 million yuan as of the end of 2024, with projected revenue of 869 million yuan and net profit of 53.62 million yuan for the same year, indicating a solid asset scale and profitability [3] - Jinlong has faced continuous losses from 2021 to 2024, with net profits of -131 million yuan, -392 million yuan, -384 million yuan, and -89 million yuan respectively, and an increasing debt ratio from 74.86% in 2021 to 81.09% in 2024 [3] - After selling 300 million shares of Dongguan Securities, Jinlong expects to achieve profitability in the first half of 2025, with projected net profit ranging from 105 million yuan to 153 million yuan, although the net profit after deducting non-recurring items is still expected to be a loss of 112 million yuan to 95 million yuan [3]

Market Overview - The market showed strong fluctuations throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3600 points and the ChiNext Index rising by 1.5% [1] - The Hainan Free Trade Zone sector experienced a surge, with nearly 20 stocks, including Hainan Airport and Hainan Expressway, hitting the daily limit [1] - Financial stocks also performed well, with Jinlong Co. hitting the limit and Zhinanceng rising over 7% to reach a new high [1] - Lithium mining stocks saw another rally, with Shengxin Lithium and Tianqi Lithium hitting the limit [1] - The rare earth permanent magnet sector was strong, with Baogang Co. and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals also hitting the limit [1] - The Yajiang Hydropower Station concept stocks remained active, with China Power Construction and Poly United achieving four consecutive limits [1] - Overall, nearly 4400 stocks in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets were in the green, with a total transaction volume of 1.87 trillion [1] Hot Topics Hainan Free Trade Port - The Hainan Free Trade Port concept saw significant gains, with stocks like Caesar Travel, Haixia Co., and Kangzhi Pharmaceutical hitting the limit [4] - The catalyst for this surge was a press conference held on July 23, introducing the construction of the Hainan Free Trade Port, which is set to officially start customs closure on December 18, 2025 [4] Yajiang Hydropower Station Concept Stocks - Yajiang Hydropower Station concept stocks continued to rise, with China Railway Industry and Tibet Tianlu hitting the limit, and others like Xining Special Steel and Shanhe Intelligent achieving four consecutive limits [7] - The total investment for the "Yajiang" project is approximately 705.6 billion, with an estimated annual construction investment of about 47 billion, accounting for 43% of the national hydropower basic construction investment in 2024 [9] Rare Earth Magnetic Materials - The rare earth magnetic materials sector saw a significant increase, with stocks like Zhongke Sanhuan, Baogang Co., and Guangsheng Nonferrous Metals hitting the limit [11] - The domestic rare earth price index has shown a clear upward trend, breaking through 192 points, marking a new high since early 2024 [11] - The tightening of supply and the integration of the entire rare earth industry chain are expected to lead to price increases in the medium to long term [12] Other Notable Sectors - The mosquito repellent concept, lithium batteries, pharmaceuticals, and consumer sectors also showed positive performance [13] - The Yajiang Hydropower Station high-level elimination stocks experienced the largest declines [13]