Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the growing application and demand for biodiesel, particularly in transportation and aviation sectors, driven by environmental policies and technological advancements [2][3]. Group 1: Biodiesel Development - Biodiesel is recognized for its environmental benefits, good engine performance, and renewable nature, making it crucial for sustainable economic development and energy transition [2]. - The application of biodiesel is expanding beyond road transport to include maritime and aviation sectors, with significant potential for growth [2]. - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) predicts that by 2050, 65% of emissions reductions in aviation will come from the use of sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) [2]. Group 2: Policy and Market Dynamics - The Chinese government is promoting the development of non-grain biomass liquid fuels, including biodiesel and biojet fuel, as part of its "3060" carbon neutrality strategy [2]. - The EU mandates that by 2025, at least 2% of aviation fuel supplied at EU airports must be SAF, increasing to 6% by 2030 and 70% by 2050, which is expected to drive demand for SAF [3]. - The export volume of kitchen waste oil in China is projected to grow from 730,000 tons in 2019 to 2.78 million tons by 2024, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 23% [3]. Group 3: Industry Developments - The approval of a "white list" for biojet fuel exports in Jiangsu province marks a significant step for China's biojet fuel industry, allowing for international market access [4]. - The company Jiangsu Jiaao has the capacity to produce 372,400 tons of biojet fuel annually, which can now be exported under the new regulations [4]. - The establishment of export channels is expected to create competitive advantages for leading technology firms in the biojet fuel sector [4].

势银研究： 势银产业研究服务 势银数据： 势银数据产品服务 势银咨询： 势银咨询顾问服务 重要会议： 2025势银绿氢产业大会（7月16-17日，江苏·无锡） 点此报名 重要会议： 2025势银（银川）长时储能产业大会（7月2日-3日，宁夏·银川） 点此报名 添加文末微信，加 绿氢 群 中国可持续航空燃料（SAF）行业正通过推进试点政策、完善标准体系以及产业生态协同，实现快速发展。中航油自去年启动SAF加注计划：第一阶 段（2024年9月-12月），国航、东航、南航从北京大兴、成都双流、郑州新郑、宁波栎社机场起飞的12个航班常态化加注SAF，加注量约0.4万吨。第 二阶段（2025年3月19日-6月30日），上述四个机场所有国内航班均加注掺混1%的SAF混合燃料，预计加注量达0.8万吨。第三阶段（7月起）扩展至 全国8个机场，预计加注量约3万吨。 从"示范航班"到"常态化加注"的跨越显著拉动中国SAF产业发展。据势银（TrendBank）统计，截止2025年3月31日，中国SAF项目已累计达64项（含 签约、规划、在建和建成项目），潜在产能合计达994万吨/年。 SAF潜在产能主要集中在广东、江苏、河南、四川 ...

【DT新材料】 获悉， 6月3日， 中新能化多伦煤化工 大唐多伦高端新材料一体化项目 总体院、技术拿总、部分基础设计服务招标公告 。 项目核心建设内容包括 210万吨/年的甲醇进料DMTP装置，以及配套的5万吨/年a-烯烃装置和24万吨/年聚烯烃弹性体装置 。工程总投资额为58亿元， 建设期限从2026年1月持续至2028年9月。 大唐内蒙古多伦煤化工有限责任公司 原有煤制甲醇装置产能为168万吨/年甲醇 ，采用 壳牌（现AP）干煤粉气化技术 生产甲醇合成原料气体，鲁奇低 压法甲醇合成技术生产甲醇。煤气化装置、变换装置均为三系列，低温甲醇洗、甲醇装置、硫回收装置等为单系列。 本次煤制甲醇脱瓶颈技改项目须在原甲醇区域装置基础上实现脱瓶颈改造，对煤气化装置、空分装置、变换装置、低温甲醇洗装置、甲醇合成装置、甲 醇精馏装置、硫回收装置及配套公辅（水、电、气、汽、冷量等）进行脱瓶颈技改。 | 09:00 | | | --- | --- | | 10:30 | 高温尼龙树脂的特性及改性对应 | | | 1. 高温尼龙的分类定义 2. 高温尼龙树脂特点 3. 高温尼龙树脂的特性表征 | | | 4. 高温尼龙树脂的改性对 ...

| > 國投期货 Mar | | 能源 日报 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 操作评级 | 2025年06月04日 | | 原油 | な女女 | 高明宇 首席分析师 | | 燃料油 | ★☆☆ | F0302201 Z0012038 | | 低硫燃料油 文文文 | | 李祖智 中级分析师 | | 沥青 | ☆☆☆ | F3063857 Z0016599 | | 液化石油气 ☆☆☆ | | 王盈敏 中级分析师 | | | | F3066912 Z0016785 | | | | 010-58747784 gtaxinstitute@essence.com.cn | 【原油】 隔夜国际油价涨势延续,SC07合约日内上涨0.69%。近期原油月差、现货升贴水较单边价格表现偏强，便是旺季临近 实货端偏紧的表征,且俄乌、伊核地缘风险被再度定价。二季度以来全球石油累库28已超过一季度整体的累座幅度, 上周美国API原油库存超预期下降330万桶，关注今晚DOE库存结果。短期市场震荡偏强，但OPEC+抢占市场份额策略下 的快速增产行为亦令源自季节性及地缘犹动的供需偏紧难以持续，关注旺季预期、地缘优动被充分交易 ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant content provided. Core Views - Crude oil: After OPEC's production increase in July, the previous negative factors were exhausted. With the threat of wildfires in Canada and rising geopolitical risks, combined with short - term macro - stability, oil prices are strong in the short - term. However, in the long - term, due to relatively weak demand and continuous supply growth, the upside space is limited. The short - term Brent price is expected to oscillate at a high level, with the operating range moving up to $65 - 68 per barrel, and the medium - term range is expected to be $63 - 70 per barrel [1][2]. - Asphalt: The overall supply - demand pattern is loose. Although the cost of crude oil has increased, the market's acceptance of high - priced resources is poor. In the short - term, the terminal demand is limited, and the mainstream transaction price is concentrated at the lower end. However, due to the maintenance plan of some refineries and low inventory levels, the price has a certain upward trend [3][4]. - Liquefied gas: In the international market, the CP price has increased, while the FEI has decreased. In the domestic market, supply is increasing, and the summer off - season has increased the pressure on the market, with the fundamentals running weakly [8]. - Fuel oil: High - sulfur fuel oil has high near - month cracking and month - to - month spreads, and the spot premium has rebounded. The supply from Russia, Mexico, and the Middle East is expected to decline, while the demand for seasonal power generation is supportive. Low - sulfur fuel oil has a stable supply increase and weak downstream demand [9][11]. - Natural gas: In the US, due to increased demand, the price is expected to rebound. In Europe, supply restrictions and geopolitical tensions offset weak demand, and the price has returned above 35 euros. Europe still faces challenges in refilling gas storage [12][13]. - PX: As the efficiency of PX improves, the operating rate is expected to increase in June, and the supply - demand situation is expected to improve, with the spot shortage situation expected to ease [14][16]. - PTA: The supply is expected to increase, while the polyester industry plans to reduce production, and the supply - demand relationship is expected to weaken, and the processing fee may be compressed [17][18]. - Ethylene glycol: The inventory is expected to decline in the short - term, but the supply will increase in June due to some restarted maintenance. The downstream polyester operating rate is weakening, and the supply - demand gap is expected to narrow, maintaining a tight balance [20][21]. - Short - fiber: The operating rate is stable, and the terminal demand is mainly for fulfilling previous orders. There are still production reduction plans in June, but the supply loss is limited. The processing fee is expected to be strongly supported [22][23]. - Bottle - chip: The operating rate has decreased, and the processing fee fluctuates within a narrow range. In June, the downstream soft - drink industry will enter the production peak, and the supply - demand situation is expected to be strong, with the processing fee having strong support [24][26]. - Styrene: The supply is expected to increase, and the port inventory is expected to increase from a low level, with the supply - demand relationship weakening [26][27]. - PVC: The supply - demand situation is expected to be weak in the medium - to - long - term, with supply increasing and demand affected by real estate and export uncertainties [29][30]. - Caustic soda: The 09 - contract is expected to be weak, with the medium - term trend being bearish. Although there is still some support in the short - term, the upward driving force for the spot price is weakening [30][31]. - Plastic and PP: The new production capacity is being realized, and the downstream demand is weak. The 09 - contract's supply - demand situation is expected to be weak [32][34]. - Glass: The supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is affected by the real estate cycle. The short - term price is expected to oscillate weakly, and the medium - term focus is on cost reduction and factory cold - repair [34][37]. - Soda ash: The supply is increasing, the cost is weakening, and the demand is stable in the short - term but worrying in the medium - term. The price is expected to decline gradually [38][40]. - Urea: The daily output is at a high level, and the demand is affected by factors such as international price changes, compound fertilizer production, and export policies. The short - term price is expected to oscillate [41][42]. - Methanol: The international supply is still high, the domestic supply is loose, and the port is starting to accumulate inventory. The price is still recommended to be shorted on rebounds [43][45]. - Log: The downstream market is still sluggish, and the long - term market faces challenges from weak real - estate demand and increased port inventory. However, the large scale difference in delivery has a certain supporting effect on the current price [45][48]. - Double - offset paper: The market was weak in May, and in June, short - term technical rebounds may occur, but long - term risks from over - capacity and weak demand need to be vigilant [48][49]. - Corrugated paper: In May, the demand showed structural improvement, but in June, attention should be paid to factors such as the implementation of price - increase policies, export order sustainability, and waste - paper price fluctuations [50]. - Natural rubber: The domestic inventory is still at a high level, and the production index of French rubber machinery has decreased. The short - term trading strategy is to hold short positions [51][54]. - Pulp: The domestic and foreign paper - making industries have shown signs of production reduction, which is negative for the SP single - side. The short - term trading strategy is to try to go long on a small scale [54][56]. - Butadiene rubber: The short - term supply contraction has led to price increases, and in the medium - term, attention should be paid to the expansion of downstream ABS capacity. The short - term trading strategy is to hold short positions [58][60]. Summary by Related Catalogs Crude Oil - Market Review: WTI2507 contract settled at $63.41, up $0.89 per barrel, a month - on - month increase of 1.42%; Brent2508 contract settled at $65.63, up $1.00 per barrel, a month - on - month increase of 1.55%. SC main contract 2507 rose 12.4 to 465 yuan per barrel, and in the night session, it rose 4.0 to 469 yuan per barrel [1]. - Related News: The US has asked countries to submit their best trade negotiation plans by Wednesday. The US labor market is showing signs of softening, with an increase in job vacancies but also a large increase in layoffs [1]. - Logic Analysis: After OPEC's production increase, the previous negative factors were exhausted. Geopolitical risks have risen, and the macro - situation is stable in the short - term. However, in the long - term, due to weak demand and continuous supply growth, the upside space is limited [2]. - Trading Strategy: Short - term high - level oscillation, medium - term wide - range oscillation; gasoline and diesel cracking spreads are expected to weaken; options are on hold [2]. Asphalt - Market Review: BU2507 closed at 3524 points (+1.21%) in the night session, and BU2509 closed at 3495 points (+1.13%) in the night session. The spot price in Shandong on June 3 was 3470 - 3870 yuan, in the East China region was 3550 - 3620 yuan, and in the South China region was 3360 - 3450 yuan [3]. - Related News: The mainstream transaction price in Shandong rose by 25 yuan per ton. The demand is weak, and the acceptance of high - priced resources is poor. However, due to the maintenance plan of some refineries and low inventory levels, the price has increased [3][4]. - Logic Analysis: The supply - demand pattern is loose, and the price is mainly stable. In the short - term, the terminal demand is limited, and the mainstream transaction price is concentrated at the lower end [3][4]. - Trading Strategy: Oscillation; asphalt - crude oil spread oscillates at a high level; options are on hold [6]. Liquefied Gas - Market Review: PG2507 closed at 4075 (+0.27%) in the night session, and PG2508 closed at 4004 (+0.18%) in the night session. The spot price in South China, East China, and Shandong is given [6]. - Related News: The market in South China is generally stable, with some hidden discounts. The market in Shandong is stable with some small increases, and the ether - post - carbon - four market is expected to rise steadily [7]. - Logic Analysis: Internationally, the CP price has increased, and the FEI has decreased. Domestically, supply is increasing, and the summer off - season has increased market pressure, with the fundamentals running weakly [8]. Fuel Oil - Market Review: FU07 contract closed at 2943 (-0.03%) in the night session, and LU07 closed at 3535 (+1.61%) in the night session. The Singapore paper - futures market's month - to - month spreads are given [9]. - Related News: Russia's exports of some oil products are expected to change in June, and Nigeria's Dangote refinery will import a large amount of US WTI crude oil in July [9]. - Logic Analysis: High - sulfur fuel oil has high near - month cracking and month - to - month spreads, and the spot premium has rebounded. Low - sulfur fuel oil has a stable supply increase and weak downstream demand [11]. - Trading Strategy: On hold for single - side trading; go long on the FU9 - 1 positive spread when the price is low [12]. Natural Gas - Market Review: HH contract closed at 3.7 (+0.76%), TTF closed at 35.848 (+2.38%), and JKM closed at 12.345 (+1.69%) [12]. - Logic Analysis: In the US, due to increased demand, the price is expected to rebound. In Europe, supply restrictions and geopolitical tensions offset weak demand, and the price has returned above 35 euros. Europe still faces challenges in refilling gas storage [12][13]. - Trading Strategy: Go long on HH on dips; TTF is expected to oscillate strongly [14]. PX - Market Review: PX2509 main contract closed at 6524 (-1.42%) during the day and 6618 (+1.44%) in the night session. The spot price, MOPJ valuation, and PXN spread are given [14]. - Related News: The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are light [15]. - Logic Analysis: As the efficiency of PX improves, the operating rate is expected to increase in June, and the supply - demand situation is expected to improve, with the spot shortage situation expected to ease [16]. - Trading Strategy: High - level oscillation; go long on PX and short PTA; sell both call and put options [16]. PTA - Market Review: TA509 main contract closed at 4628 (-1.53%) during the day and 4706 (+1.69%) in the night session. The spot price and basis are given [17]. - Related News: The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are light, and a PTA device has restarted [15][18]. - Logic Analysis: The supply is expected to increase, while the polyester industry plans to reduce production, and the supply - demand relationship is expected to weaken, and the processing fee may be compressed [18]. - Trading Strategy: High - level oscillation; go long on PX and short PTA; sell both call and put options [18]. Ethylene Glycol - Market Review: EG2509 main contract closed at 4306 (-0.99%) during the day and 4319 (+0.30%) in the night session. The spot price and basis are given [18][19]. - Related News: The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are light, and some EG devices have restarted or are under maintenance [20]. - Logic Analysis: The inventory is expected to decline in the short - term, but the supply will increase in June due to some restarted maintenance. The downstream polyester operating rate is weakening, and the supply - demand gap is expected to narrow, maintaining a tight balance [21]. - Trading Strategy: High - level oscillation; basis positive spread; sell call options [22]. Short - fiber - Market Review: PF2507 main contract closed at 6338 (-0.72%) during the day and 6426 (+1.39%) in the night session. The spot price in different regions is given [22]. - Related News: The sales of polyester yarn in Jiangsu and Zhejiang are light [23]. - Logic Analysis: The operating rate is stable, and the terminal demand is mainly for fulfilling previous orders. There are still production reduction plans in June, but the supply loss is limited. The processing fee is expected to be strongly supported [23]. - Trading Strategy: High - level oscillation; short PTA and long PF; options are on hold [24]. Bottle - chip - Market Review: PR2507 main contract closed at 5912 (-1.17%) during the day and 5958 (+0.78%) in the night session. The spot price of polyester bottle - chips is given [24]. - Related News: The export quotes of polyester bottle - chip factories are mostly stable [25]. - Logic Analysis: The operating rate has decreased, and the processing fee fluctuates within a narrow range. In June, the downstream soft - drink industry will enter the production peak, and the supply - demand situation is expected to be strong, with the processing fee having strong support [26]. - Trading Strategy: Oscillation consolidation; options are on hold; sell call options [26]. Styrene - Market Review: EB2507 main contract closed at 7018 (-1.71%) during the day and 7133 (+1.64%) in the night session. The spot price and basis in different periods are given [26]. - Related News: The inventory in the East China main port of styrene has increased, and the upstream pure - benzene port inventory has also increased [26]. - Logic Analysis: The supply is expected to increase, and the port inventory is expected to increase from a low level, with the supply - demand relationship weakening [27]. - Trading Strategy: Oscillation weakly; options are on hold; sell call options [28]. PVC and Caustic Soda - Market Review: The spot price of PVC has slightly decreased, and the spot price of caustic soda in different regions has changed [29]. - Related News: The price of caustic soda in some factories has changed, and the Indian BIS hearing has no news yet [30]. - Logic Analysis: PVC's supply - demand situation is expected to be weak in the medium - to - long - term, and caustic soda's 09 - contract is expected to be weak, with the medium - term trend being bearish [30][31]. - Trading Strategy: For single - side trading, go short on caustic soda at high prices and hold short positions on PVC; for arbitrage, arrange a 7 - 9 reverse spread when the spot weakens; options are on hold [32]. Plastic and PP - Market Review: The spot price of LLDPE in different regions has changed, and the spot price of PP in different regions has decreased [32]. - Related News: The maintenance ratio of PE and PP has decreased [33]. - Logic Analysis: The new production capacity is being realized, and the downstream demand is weak. The 09 - contract's supply - demand situation is expected to be weak [34]. - Trading Strategy: Short - and medium - term weakness, hold short positions; options are on hold; arbitrage is on hold [34]. Glass - Market Review: The glass futures 09 - contract closed at 954 (-2.85%) during the day and 965 (+1.15%) in the night session. The spot price in different regions has changed [34][35]. - Related News: The China May Caixin Manufacturing PMI has contracted, and the price of the domestic float - glass market has decreased slightly. A glass production line has restarted [36]. - Logic Analysis: The supply pressure is increasing, and the demand is affected by the real estate cycle. The short - term price is expected to oscillate weakly, and the medium - term focus is on cost reduction and factory cold - repair [37]. - Trading Strategy: Price oscillates weakly [38]. Soda Ash - Market Review: The soda - ash futures 09 - contract closed at 1185 (-1.2%) during the day and 1213 (+2.4%) in the night session. The spot price in different regions has changed [38]. - Related News: A soda - ash device has resumed operation, and the domestic soda - ash market is adjusting weakly [39][40]. - Logic Analysis: The supply is increasing, the cost is weakening, and the demand is stable in the short - term but worrying in the medium - term. The price is expected to decline gradually [40]. - Trading Strategy: Bearish judgment, gradual

"宁波膜智信息科技有限公司"为势银（TrendBank）唯一工商注册实体及收款账户 势银研究： 势银产业研究服务 势银数据： 势银数据产品服务 重要会议： 2025势银（银川）长时储能产业大会（7月2日-3日，宁夏·银川） 点此报名 添加文末微信，加 燃料电池 群 访问戈尔专家，一同探讨交通运输行业的无碳化 到2050年，年度货运卡车里程数预期还会大幅增长，这使得其它低碳能源的开发及商业化应用刻不 容缓。 燃料电池电堆制造商面临的挑战 氢燃料能够以更小的重量储存更多的能量，因而非常适合大型运输。燃料电池电堆的功率可通过增 加额外的燃料电池来提高，而重量却不会增加太多，从而可进一步提升商业氢能车队的运载能力。 氢能卡车已经展现出一定的竞争优势，其燃料加注速度甚至比传统内燃机更快。 2025年，交通运输体系的绿色低碳转型成为政策焦点之一，是推动高质量发展的重要抓手。在"双 碳"目标与国七排放标准升级的双重驱动下，氢燃料电池技术被列为重型车辆零碳转型的重要路 径。 美国戈尔的GORE-SELECT ® 质子交换膜 凭借其高效能、耐久性等特性，将推动氢燃料电池的应 用发展，成为重型车辆行业绿色转型的"核心引擎"。 重 ...

. 燃料油产业周报 2025/6/2 咨询业务资格：沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者：许亮 Z0002220 审核：唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制，但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观 点、结论和建议。在不同时期，本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在 不发出通知的情形下做出修改， 交易者（您）应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正，但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考，交易者（您）并不 能依靠本报告以取代行使独立判断。对交易者（您）依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果，本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许 可，任何机构或个人不得以翻版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的，需在允许的范围内使用，并注明出处为"东 亚期货"，且不得对本报告进行任何有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相 ...

Core Insights - The rapid advancement of China's new energy vehicle industry is driving a transformation in vehicle power systems, particularly in battery technologies such as lithium-ion and fuel cells [1] Group 1: Battery Technology Innovations - The demand for longer range in electric vehicles necessitates an increase in battery energy density, with lithium-ion batteries nearing their theoretical limits. Lithium-rich manganese-based cathode materials are emerging as a promising solution, potentially achieving energy densities of 600-700 Wh/kg in solid-state batteries [3][5] - Sodium-ion batteries are highlighted for their long lifespan, wide temperature range, and cost-effectiveness, with the potential to enhance cargo capacity by 15% in heavy-duty applications. A new company has been established to scale up production of sodium-ion battery materials and cells [8] - Solid-state batteries are transitioning from laboratory to industrial applications, offering improved energy density and safety. Hybrid solid-liquid batteries are seen as a viable interim solution before full solid-state technology becomes mainstream [10] Group 2: Safety and Standards - The new national standards for battery safety emphasize a "zero tolerance" approach, mandating that batteries must not catch fire or explode. This includes rigorous testing protocols to ensure safety under various conditions [12][14] - Innovations in battery management systems are crucial for enhancing safety, utilizing real-time monitoring to predict and mitigate potential hazards [14] Group 3: Fuel Cell Developments - Fuel cells are recognized for their efficiency and environmental benefits, but high production costs hinder commercialization. Efforts are underway to reduce costs through domestic production of key components [20][22] - The integration and smart control of fuel cell systems are advancing, leveraging big data and AI for improved performance and reliability [22] Group 4: Market Applications and Synergies - Fuel cells are expanding into diverse applications beyond transportation, including distributed power generation and military uses, with significant advantages in energy density [24] - The complementary nature of battery and fuel cell technologies allows for innovative hybrid solutions, catering to different travel needs and enhancing overall system efficiency [25]

Group 1 - The International Air Transport Association (IATA) announced that sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production is expected to reach 2 million tons (25 billion liters) by 2025, accounting for 0.7% of total airline fuel consumption [2] - IATA's Director General Willie Walsh highlighted that while the doubling of SAF production to 2 million tons is encouraging, it will still lead to an increase in global aviation fuel costs by $4.4 billion [2] - The current SAF market faces significant regional imbalances and cost issues, with most SAF directed towards Europe due to mandatory quota policies effective from January 1, 2025, which have not met expectations [2] Group 2 - The cost of purchasing SAF in Europe has doubled due to compliance fees, with an example showing that meeting the 1 million tons SAF quota would cost $1.2 billion, plus an additional $1.7 billion in compliance fees, making SAF five times more expensive than traditional aviation fuel [2] - IATA is taking steps to promote the global SAF market by launching a SAF registry managed by the Civil Aviation Decarbonization Organization (CADO) to create a transparent tracking system for SAF purchases and emissions reductions [3] - IATA urges governments to eliminate the disadvantages faced by renewable energy producers compared to large oil companies and suggests reallocating up to $1 trillion in fossil fuel subsidies annually to invigorate SAF production [3]

鹏鹞环保：公司已经在对现有生物柴油项目升级改造，投产之后，将是民营上市公司里第一家实现SAF 量产的企业。 据智通财经报道，国际航空运输协会（IATA）周日表示，预计2025年可持续航空燃料（SAF）产量将 翻倍至200万吨，占航空公司燃料消耗量的0.7%。 国信证券指出，在政策引导和扶持下，已制定阶段性目标的欧盟2050年强制规定SAF混掺比例需超过 70%，预计远端需求空间超过4000万吨，而根据国际民航组织（ICAO）主办的第三届航空替代燃料会 议（CAAF/3）显示，截至2023年超过50家航空公司已承诺到2030年将SAF使用比例提升至燃料总用量 的5-30%，其中大多数公司保证这一比例不低于10%。 基于以上需求测算以及IATA第77届年会批准全球航空运输业于2050年实现净零碳排放的决议，预计到 2050年，航空领域65%的减排将通过使用生物航煤来实现，则SAF需求量将从2023年的5万吨阶段性大 幅提升至2030年的1800万吨，占总燃料需求的5.2%，在长远目标中，2050年达到3.50亿吨，占总燃料需 求的65.0%。 开源证券认为，2025年，欧盟和英国推行2%的SAF掺混政策，预计将增 ...