1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In the first week of August, convertible bonds rebounded strongly, recovering losses from the end of July and reaching new highs. High - priced bonds performed strongly, while low - priced bonds were mediocre. Tech and cyclical sectors led the gains, and the pharmaceutical sector declined. The industry theme showed high rotation. The strong performance of convertible bonds was supported by three factors: the resilience of the equity market, high bullish sentiment and continuous inflow of funds into the convertible bond market, and a high forced - redemption rate leading to an imbalance in supply - demand. The positive sentiment in the convertible bond market is expected to continue. It is recommended to pay attention to dividend - low - volatility convertible bonds such as bank convertible bonds and bottom - up opportunities of high - elasticity varieties [1][5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Week's Viewpoint and Outlook - In the first week of August, convertible bonds rebounded strongly. Structurally, high - priced bonds were strong and low - priced bonds were mediocre. Tech and cyclical sectors led the gains, and the pharmaceutical sector declined. The industry theme had high rotation. The strong performance was due to the resilience of the equity market, high bullish sentiment and fund inflow, and a high forced - redemption rate. There are no obvious short - term negative factors, and the positive sentiment in the convertible bond market is expected to last. Attention should be paid to the cost - performance switch between pure bonds and convertible bonds, especially bank convertible bonds, and bottom - up opportunities of high - elasticity varieties. The future will shift from position - winning to structure - winning [1][5]. 3.2 Convertible Bond Valuation - This week, convertible bonds and underlying stocks rebounded, with valuations rising strongly and convertible bonds having strong follow - up ability. The 100 - yuan premium rate of the whole - market convertible bonds was 33%, up 1.68% week - on - week, and the latest quantile was at the 91.10% percentile since 2017. The valuation increase of high - and low - rated convertible bonds was similar this week, and the valuation quantile of high - rated convertible bonds was higher than that of low - rated ones. - This week, convertible bonds rose strongly following the underlying stocks, and the yield to maturity hit a new low since 2017, reporting - 5.60%. As of now, the conversion premium rate index, pure bond premium rate index, and yield to maturity were 42.35%, 39.35%, and - 5.60% respectively, changing + 0.29%, + 3.87%, and - 0.86% from last week, and their current quantile levels were at the 62.60, 68.90, and 0.00 percentiles since 2017 [4][6][9]. 3.3 Clause Tracking 3.3.1 Redemption - This week, Youzu, Baidian, Haopeng, Dongcai, Xince, and Longhua Convertible Bonds issued early - redemption announcements. Currently, there are 24 convertible bonds that have issued forced - redemption or maturity - redemption announcements and have not delisted, with a potential conversion or maturity balance of 5.1 billion yuan. There are 45 convertible bonds currently in the redemption process, and 10 are expected to meet the redemption conditions next week. Three convertible bonds issued non - redemption announcements this week [4][14][18]. 3.3.2 Downgrade - This week, Ou22 Convertible Bond proposed a downgrade, and Zhongzhuangzhuan 2 announced a downgrade to the bottom. As of now, 139 convertible bonds are in the non - downgrade period, 24 cannot be downgraded due to net - asset constraints, 1 has triggered the condition but the stock price is still below the downgrade trigger price without an announcement, 31 are accumulating downgrade days, and 4 have issued board - of - directors' plans for downgrades but have not gone to the general meeting of shareholders [4][21]. 3.3.3 Put - back - This week, Tianchuang Convertible Bond issued a put - back announcement. As of now, 2 convertible bonds have issued put - back announcements, 4 are accumulating put - back trigger days, 3 of which are in the non - downgrade period and 1 has proposed a downgrade [4][24]. 3.4 Primary Issuance - This week, Weidao Convertible Bond issued an issuance announcement. According to the latest announcement, there are no bonds to be listed next week. As of now, there are 6 convertible bonds in the approval - registration process, with a to - be - issued scale of 5.7 billion yuan, and 4 in the listing - committee - approval process, with a to - be - issued scale of 9 billion yuan [4][26][28].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Wantushi AI Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The Wantushi AI model evaluates indices based on their potential upward probability and selects ETFs with favorable characteristics for investment[6] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. The model assigns a score to indices based on their upward probability. Indices with scores above 0.8 are selected[6] 2. For each selected index, the corresponding ETFs are identified[6] 3. Among these ETFs, those with a 30-day average daily trading volume exceeding 30 million RMB are retained[6] 4. Finally, the ETF with the lowest IOPV premium rate for each index is chosen[6] - **Model Evaluation**: The model systematically filters ETFs based on liquidity and valuation metrics, ensuring a focus on high-quality investment options[6] --- Backtesting Results of Models 1. Wantushi AI Model - **Index Code: 932000 (CSI)** - Upward Probability: 93.52% - Selected ETF: 159552 (CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399006 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 93.37% - Selected ETF: 159977 (Tianhong ChiNext ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399673 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 92.49% - Selected ETF: 159682 (ChiNext 50 ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399850 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 90.15% - Selected ETF: 159350 (Shenzhen 50 ETF by Fuguo)[7] - **Index Code: 000852 (SH)** - Upward Probability: 85.86% - Selected ETF: 159680 (1000 Enhanced ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399303 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 85.82% - Selected ETF: 159628 (Guozheng 2000 ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399293 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 85.03% - Selected ETF: 159814 (ChiNext Large Cap ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399330 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 84.81% - Selected ETF: 159901 (Shenzhen 100 ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 399296 (SZ)** - Upward Probability: 84.46% - Selected ETF: 159967 (ChiNext Growth ETF)[7] - **Index Code: 000905 (SH)** - Upward Probability: 83.23% - Selected ETF: 510580 (CSI 500 ETF by E Fund)[7] - **Index Code: 000906 (SH)** - Upward Probability: 81.05% - Selected ETF: 515800 (800 ETF)[7]

融券方面，当日融券卖出0.08万股，净卖出0.08万股。 最近三个交易日，6日-8日，长城军工分别获融资买入1.66亿元、4.69亿元、4.23亿元。 8月8日，沪深两融数据显示，长城军工获融资买入额4.23亿元，居两市第20位，当日融资偿还额5.38亿 元，净卖出11476.37万元。 ...

沪深300今日主力资金净流出73.22亿元，创业板净流出200.99亿元，科创板净流出6.92亿元。 8月8日，A股市场整体下跌。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3635.13点，下跌0.12%，深证成指收报11128.67点，下跌0.26%，创业板指收报2333.96点，下跌0.38%，北证50指数下跌1.22%。A股市 场合计成交17365.31亿元，较上一交易日减少1162.09亿元。 1.A股市场全天资金净流出349.21亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出152.42亿元，尾盘净流出33.84亿元，A股市场全天资金净流出349.21亿元。 | | | 沪深两市近五日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 一人提供雄市 露出人娱地 | | 尾盘净流入 超大单净买入 | | 2025-8-8 | -349. 21 | -152. 42 | -33. 84 | -129.28 | | 2025-8-7 | -267.48 | -86.00 | 17.71 | -93.72 | | 2025-8-6 | -110. 49 | -45.9 ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a slight consolidation with major indices fluctuating around the water surface, and the Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high for the stage [1] - The total trading volume in the two markets was 1.71 trillion yuan, with over 2400 stocks rising [1] - The non-ferrous metals sector showed strong performance, while technology stocks, particularly in artificial intelligence, faced significant declines [1][14] Sector Performance - The defense and military sector demonstrated resilience, with the National Defense and Military ETF (512810) experiencing a slight decline of 0.14% but showing high popularity [1][5] - The National Defense and Military ETF recorded a weekly trading volume of 6.56 billion yuan, setting a new record since its launch in 2016 [5][8] - The brokerage sector has been relatively subdued, with the top brokerage ETF (512000) seeing a net inflow of over 4.2 billion yuan in the past five days, indicating continued investor interest despite its underperformance compared to the broader market [2][11][13] AI Sector Analysis - The AI sector faced a notable pullback, with the AI-focused ETF (589520) dropping 2.57% amid market corrections and profit-taking [14][16] - Concerns were raised regarding the performance of OpenAI's latest model, GPT-5, which did not meet high expectations, contributing to the sector's decline [17][18] - Despite short-term volatility, analysts suggest that the AI sector may still present investment opportunities due to ongoing developments in domestic AI technologies [18] Investment Sentiment - The overall sentiment in the A-share market appears to be bullish, with a consensus forming around a slow bull market supported by policy benefits, new capital inflows, and industrial upgrades [1][11] - The brokerage sector is expected to benefit from the recent policy initiatives aimed at enhancing the quality of public fund development, potentially attracting more capital [12][13] - Historical patterns suggest that the defense and military sector may see increased activity leading up to significant events, such as military parades, which could catalyze further investment interest [8]

Group 1 - The defense and military industry sector experienced a volatile trading day on August 8, with the high-profile defense military ETF (512810) showing mixed performance, ultimately closing down 0.14% with a trading volume of 92.26 million yuan [1] - Despite a slight short-term adjustment in the defense military sector, trading activity remained robust, indicating sustained interest and activity within the market [4] - The defense military ETF (512810) saw a significant weekly increase of 5.78%, outperforming the broader market and reaching its highest trading volume since its inception in August 2016, with a total of 656 million yuan traded [3] Group 2 - Historical data suggests that the defense military sector tends to experience a surge in activity around significant events such as military parades, with the current period being critical ahead of an upcoming parade [2][4] - The fundamental outlook for the defense military sector is optimistic, driven by the 14th Five-Year Plan and the opening of military trade, which is expected to create a favorable supply-demand dynamic [5] - The defense military ETF (512810) is positioned as an efficient investment tool, covering a range of themes including commercial aerospace, low-altitude economy, large aircraft, deep-sea technology, military AI, and controllable nuclear fusion [5]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.12% on August 8, with 17 out of the 28 sectors rising, led by the comprehensive and building materials sectors, which increased by 1.56% and 1.16% respectively [1] - The power equipment sector rose by 0.62%, while the computer and electronics sectors experienced declines of 2.38% and 1.15% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The main capital outflow from the two markets totaled 41.085 billion yuan, with 8 sectors seeing net inflows [1] - The power equipment sector had the highest net inflow of 2.024 billion yuan, followed by the public utilities sector with a 0.67% increase and a net inflow of 1.132 billion yuan [1] Power Equipment Sector Performance - In the power equipment sector, 195 out of 359 stocks rose, with 5 hitting the daily limit up, while 157 stocks fell, including 1 hitting the daily limit down [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net inflow in the power equipment sector were Zhongchao Holdings (5.68 billion yuan), Sunshine Power (4.33 billion yuan), and Shanshan Shares (2.87 billion yuan) [2] - The stocks with the highest net outflow included Shanghai Electric (3.99 billion yuan), Wolong Electric Drive (3.93 billion yuan), and Xiangdian Shares (1.18 billion yuan) [2][4] Top Gainers in Power Equipment Sector - The top gainers in the power equipment sector included: - Zhongchao Holdings: +9.96% with a turnover rate of 20.00% and a main capital flow of 567.62 million yuan - Sunshine Power: +9.08% with a turnover rate of 7.49% and a main capital flow of 433.29 million yuan - Shanshan Shares: +6.93% with a turnover rate of 8.23% and a main capital flow of 287.14 million yuan [2] Top Losers in Power Equipment Sector - The top losers in the power equipment sector included: - Shanghai Electric: -1.80% with a turnover rate of 2.66% and a main capital flow of -398.61 million yuan - Wolong Electric Drive: -2.84% with a turnover rate of 7.28% and a main capital flow of -393.35 million yuan - Xiangdian Shares: -3.09% with a turnover rate of 3.03% and a main capital flow of -117.92 million yuan [4]

Market Overview - The market experienced narrow fluctuations throughout the day, with all three major indices slightly declining. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.12%, the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.26%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 0.38% [1] Sector Performance - Local stocks in Xinjiang saw a surge in the afternoon, with over 10 stocks, including Bayi Steel, hitting the daily limit [2] - Super water power concept stocks rebounded, with Shanhe Intelligent reaching the daily limit [2] - High-speed rail concept stocks showed strong fluctuations, with Jinying Heavy Industry hitting a 20% limit up [2] Individual Stock Performance - AI application stocks collectively plummeted, with companies like Dingjie Zhizhi seeing declines of over 10% [3] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.71 trillion yuan, a decrease of 115.3 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [4] - Notable individual stock performances included: - Northern Rare Earth with a trading volume exceeding 10.8 billion yuan, leading the market - Sunshine Power, Shenghe Resources, and Great Wall Military Industry also had significant trading volumes [5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing fluctuations, with changes in capital flow observed as of September 21, 2023, indicating potential investment opportunities in certain sectors [1] Market Overview - As of September 21, the margin balance in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1,500.612 billion yuan, an increase of 1.959 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The financing balance amounted to 1,418.016 billion yuan, rising by 1.236 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Sector Performance - Among the 28 sectors classified by Shenwan, 18 sectors saw net purchases by margin traders on September 21 [1] - The top four sectors with significant net purchases were: - Pharmaceutical and Biological: 387 million yuan - Computer: 330 million yuan - National Defense and Military Industry: 260 million yuan - Media: 230 million yuan - The total net purchase amount for these four sectors reached 1,207 million yuan [1] Future Market Outlook - Despite index adjustments, individual stocks remain active, with 27 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 14 stocks hitting the limit down [1] - The market correction is viewed as a good opportunity for investors to position themselves [1] - The medium to long-term outlook is positive, driven by improving economic conditions and expectations of reforms, which are expected to support the large financial sector [1] - Additionally, sectors such as technology and consumer goods, which previously led the market, are anticipated to rebound after valuation adjustments, benefiting from ongoing economic recovery [1]

截至8月7日，市场最新融资余额为19989.18亿元，较上个交易日环比增加35.85亿元，分行业统计，申万 所属一级行业有19个行业融资余额增加，电子行业融资余额增加最多，较上一日增加18.13亿元；融资 余额增加居前的行业还有有色金属、国防军工、机械设备等，融资余额分别增加14.76亿元、10.82亿 元、9.12亿元；融资余额减少的行业有12个，银行、煤炭、食品饮料等行业融资余额减少较多，分别减 少5.35亿元、2.85亿元、1.91亿元。 | 交通运输 | 358.1 1 | -0.88 | -0.25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 农林牧渔 | 253.39 | -1.03 | -0.40 | | 通信 | 705.71 | -1.22 | -0.17 | | 公用事业 | 470.51 | -1.82 | -0.39 | | 食品饮料 | 528.12 | -1.91 | -0.36 | | 煤炭 | 155.82 | -2.85 | -1.79 | | 银行 | 613.91 | -5.35 | -0.86 | （文章来源：证券时报网） 以幅度进行统计，纺织服饰行业融 ...