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交易情绪依然处于阶段性低位;关注啤酒旺季改善持续性
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-06-03 00:40
|2025年6月3日星期二| NO.1天风证券:市场交易情绪依然处于阶段性低位 天风证券(601162)研报表示,5月交易类指标环比持续下滑,表明市场交易情绪依然处于阶段性低 位,同时资产联动指标、市场配置指标指向市场向上的潜在空间依然较大,另外在投资者行为方面,回 购规模环比持续大幅上升,产业资本净减持幅度则大幅走阔,资金主体指标整体出现小幅回落迹象。 NO.2中金:综合内外部因素,市场或维持震荡格局 中金公司(601995)研报称,综合内外部因素,市场或维持震荡格局。风格层面,得益于流动性充裕与 科技叙事催化,中小盘成长股表现相对占优;利率下行背景下高股息资产吸引力相对提升但配置仍偏结 构性。配置层面:1.持续关注并购重组、破净修复等政策支持领域。2.景气回升并且受关税影响不大的 领域,例如AI产业链中的云计算、算力等基础设施环节,再到机器人、智能驾驶等应用环节,我们认 为仍是重要主线。此外,部分对美敞口不高的出口链,如工程机械、电网设备、商用车等也值得关注。 3.现金流优质、与外需关联度不高的红利板块,例如水电、电信运营商、食品饮料、银行等行业的龙头 公司。 NO.3中信建投:啤酒销量反弹,关注旺季改善 ...
第一开批零食店的人,赚够离场
投资界· 2025-06-02 07:25
以下文章来源于表外表里 ,作者洞见数据研究院 表外表里 . 洞见数据研究院 作者 | 陈梓洁 来源 | 表里表外 (ID: excel-ers) "没有零食店业务撑着,我早就转行了。"商铺转让中介李曦,万分感谢零食店老板。 这 两 年 , 他 的 生 意 肉 眼 可 见 地 难 做 , 求 转 让 的 餐 馆 、 奶 茶 店 商 家 一 月 比 一 月 多 , 但 某 音 、 某 书 一 通 推 广 猛 如 虎 , 一 看 评 论 全 是 " 奸 商" "别想割我韭菜"的清醒发言。 幸好有零食集合店,能让他躺着赚钱:江浙乡镇店,53万打包,1天之内转让成功;10 0万整转的二线城市店,客户连夜打高铁去考 察…… 在加盟被祛魅、击鼓传花玩不动的年代里,持续创造着"年流水600W" "赚人生第一个千万"造富神话的量贩零食行业,仍吸引无数开店 人前赴后继。 2022- 2024年,量贩零食两大巨头鸣鸣很忙和万辰集团(好想来母公司),以近200%的营收年复合增长率,向市场演绎"暴力崛起"。 即将登陆港股的前者,去年更是血赚8亿,同比大增284%。 哪怕"转让潮"已经来袭,李曦不少客户也没放在心上,甚至反向抄底:"上一 ...
2025年零食饮料趋势白皮书-Flywheel飞未
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-02 03:51
今天分享的是:2025年零食饮料趋势白皮书-Flywheel飞未 零食饮料从"饱腹"转向"悦己",社交属性与情感寄托成为卖点。联名款(如六神花露水味产品)通过话题营销引发关注,谐音梗、人格化包装(如"一整 根"概念)契合年轻群体情绪表达需求,社媒互动量同比增长72%。 3. 场景多元化 报告共计:90页 《2025年零食饮料趋势白皮书》由Flywheel发布,聚焦零食饮料行业趋势、市场洞察及创新解决方案,核心内容如下: 一、行业趋势解析:四大核心方向凸显 1. 全效健康化 健康成为核心诉求,消费者关注成分天然与功能属性。例如,A2-β酪蛋白、冻干果茶等成分因营养价值受青睐;无添加、低糖概念产品增长显著,2024年 健康概念相关零食销售额同比提升,消费者愿为"轻负担"产品买单。 2. 情绪价值驱动 产品适配多场景需求:野餐、办公室场景推动便携包装零食增长,2024年相关品类销售额同比提升;即饮饮料向"健康餐替"延伸,满足"无需烹饪、随时随 地"的便捷需求。 4. 文化融合创新 国潮元素与地域特色成为创新亮点。鲁菜经典口味、天津特色风味被融入零食饮料,结合传统文化营销(如节日限定包装),推动社媒总浏览量同比增长 ...
食饮行业周报(2025年5月第4期):新消费掘金低位股,白酒待筑底拐点
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-06-02 02:20
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the food and beverage industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The new consumption trend continues, focusing on low-priced/undervalued stocks with potential catalysts, particularly in the food sector, new retail channels, and health products [2][29]. - The report highlights the need to pay attention to the white liquor sector, which may face pressure in the second quarter, suggesting a focus on leading brands with strong market positions [16][29]. Summary by Sections White Liquor Sector - The white liquor sector is currently under pressure, with a recommendation to prioritize leading brands such as Guizhou Moutai, Wuliangye, and Shanxi Fenjiu for mid-term investments [16][29]. - Recent policies regarding public receptions may impact white liquor consumption, but the overall effect is expected to be limited due to a shift from government to business consumption since 2016 [7][16]. - The report notes that the white liquor sector is still in a bottoming phase, with opportunities for mid-term positioning in leading brands [4][16]. Consumer Goods Sector - The consumer goods sector shows a continuation of the new consumption trend, with a focus on potential catalysts in food categories, new retail channels, and health products [2][29]. - Recommended stocks in this sector include Jin Zai Foods, New Dairy, Anji Foods, and others, with a focus on companies that can leverage new retail opportunities [2][29]. Market Performance - From May 26 to May 30, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.08%, while non-dairy beverages and other liquor categories saw gains of 8.96% and 7.93%, respectively, with white liquor declining by 2.80% [2][35]. - Specific stocks such as Tianyoude Liquor and Huazhi Liquor showed positive performance, while others like Luzhou Laojiao and Shanxi Fenjiu experienced declines [3][39]. Price Trends - The report provides insights into the pricing trends of key white liquor brands, indicating stable prices for Guizhou Moutai and Wuliangye, with slight fluctuations noted [15][55].
旺旺集团首个咖啡店在上海开业
Ge Long Hui· 2025-06-02 01:52
Group 1 - Wangwang's sub-brand Bond Coffee opened its first offline store in Shanghai on August 8, 2023, located near the Guilin Road subway station [2] - The store design incorporates green from coffee beans as the brand color, and the product features a unique coffee made from discarded coffee fruit peels, which is low in caffeine and suitable for caffeine-sensitive consumers [2] - Bond Coffee, established in 1998, has seen steady sales growth for six consecutive years since being acquired by Wangwang in 2018, with plans to open 100 stores in three years [2] Group 2 - Many luxury brands, including MIKIMOTO, Dior, and Louis Vuitton, have entered the coffee industry, primarily for brand exposure and customer engagement [3] - Wangwang's recent financial performance shows positive growth, but it has not yet returned to the revenue and profit levels of its peak in 2013, indicating a need for new growth avenues [3] - The coffee industry has shown signs of fatigue in 2023, with a decline in the number of new store openings among chain coffee brands, reflecting a downward trend in the market [3][4] Group 3 - The coffee market is experiencing a "survival of the fittest" scenario, with several chain coffee brands closing numerous stores, indicating increased competition and challenges for new entrants like Wangwang [4]
新股消息 | 三只松鼠拟港股IPO 中国证监会要求说明发行上市前后是否持续符合外商投资准入政策要求
智通财经网· 2025-05-30 12:31
同时,说明公司控股股东或者受控股股东、实际控制人支配的股东持有公司的股份存在质押的具体情 况,及其对公司控制权和业务经营的影响,是否构成《境内企业境外发行证券和上市管理试行办法》第 八条规定的境外上市禁止性情形。 智通财经APP获悉,5月30日,中国证监会公布境外发行上市备案补充材料要求公示(2025年5月23日— 2025年5月29日)。证监会要求三只松鼠补充说明公司及下属公司经营范围涉及出版物零售、广告设计及 代理、酒类经营的具体情况,是否实际开展并取得必要的资质许可,经营范围及实际业务经营是否涉及 限制或禁止外商投资领域,本次发行上市前后是否持续符合外商投资准入政策要求。据港交所4月25日 披露,三只松鼠递表港交所,中信证券为其独家保荐人。 说明公司及下属公司是否涉及开发、运营网站、小程序、APP、公众号等产品,是否涉及向第三方提供 信息内容,提供信息内容的类型以及信息内容安全保护措施;同时说明收集及储存的用户信息规模、数 据收集使用情况,上市前后个人信息保护和数据安全的安排或措施。 财务方面,于2022年度、2023年度、2024年度,三只松鼠收入分别约为72.93亿元、71.15亿元、106.22 ...
溜溜果园冲刺港交所IPO 两大主要产品售价下降
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-05-29 14:28
Core Viewpoint - Liuliu Guoyuan Group Co., Ltd. is preparing for an IPO on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, driven by a shift towards bulk snack channels, but faces challenges including declining product prices and significant debt obligations [1][4][6]. Company Performance - Revenue for Liuliu Guoyuan is projected to grow from 11.74 billion yuan in 2022 to 16.16 billion yuan in 2024, with net profit increasing from 0.68 billion yuan to 1.48 billion yuan during the same period [2]. - The company holds a 7.0% market share in China's plum product industry, ranking first by retail sales in 2024 [1][2]. Channel Strategy - The transition from a distribution model to a bulk snack model has resulted in 28.8% of sales coming from major chain snack stores in 2024, with the top two clients suspected to be Mingming Hen Mang and Wancheng Group [2]. - The shift to bulk snacks has led to a significant increase in sales volume but has also resulted in price reductions for key products [3]. Pricing and Cost Challenges - The average selling price of plum snacks has decreased from 39.4 yuan/kg in 2022 to 35.2 yuan/kg in 2024, while the price of plum jelly has dropped from 25.8 yuan/kg to 18.6 yuan/kg [3]. - Raw material costs have increased, with prices for green plums rising by approximately 8.33% and imported plums by 27.78% from 2020 to 2024, contributing to a decline in gross margin from 39.6% in 2022 to 32.1% in 2024 [3]. Capital and Debt Obligations - Beijing Sequoia, an early investor, is exiting the company, requiring repayment of 1.35 billion yuan in principal and 1.26 billion yuan in interest, which is about 85% of the company's projected net profit for 2024 [5][6]. - The company has a cash balance of only 78.04 million yuan as of the end of 2024, insufficient to cover the interest payment, leading to further financing needs [6]. Future Outlook - Liuliu Guoyuan must complete its IPO by December 31, 2025, to avoid potential redemption requests from new investors, which could exacerbate its financial difficulties [6].
零食界的“蜜雪冰城”,不能只做“薄利生意”
新消费智库· 2025-05-28 12:31
以下文章来源于伯虎财经 ,作者伯虎团队 伯虎财经 . 超100万人关注的财经媒体。伯虎团队聚焦消费互联网,以深度原创为特色,为你发掘精彩的商业价值。 这是新消费智库第 2 6 4 2 期文章 新消费导读 规模之后的故事怎么讲? 作者 : 楷楷 编辑:竺天 审核: Single 来源: 伯虎财经 近日, 鸣鸣很忙带着一份亮眼的成绩单叩响港交所大门 。 招股书显示 , 鸣鸣很忙 2024年门店零售 额达555亿元人民币 ,全年营收 393亿元, 门店突破 14394家。 其中,鸣鸣很忙仅在 2024年就新开出加盟店 8083家 , 相当于每一天就有近 22 家新店在全国某个 角落开张。 值得一提的是,鸣鸣很忙 由 两大零食巨头 " 零食很忙 " 与 " 赵一鸣零食 "于2023年 合并而成, 不 仅在规模上遥遥领先其他竞争对手,在资本层面也实现了 "1+1>2"。 双方合并之前, 零食很忙与赵一鸣零食 均已收获了多轮融资,前者身后 站着红杉中国、高榕创投、 五源资本等知名 VC, 后者 也一举拿下黑蚁资本、良品铺子 等投资者。 双方合并成为 "鸣鸣很忙"后,更是获得了资本的加倍宠爱,拿下了超10亿元的 投资 。因 ...
新消费企业抢滩港股IPO,能否再造“泡泡玛特式神话”?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-05-28 11:58
新消费迎来港股IPO热潮 在政策支持、流动性改善与估值修复的三重驱动下,新消费企业掀起赴港上市热潮。 据Wind统计,截至5月28日,年内排队港股IPO的企业159家(申请状态为处理中、聆讯通过),其中消费类企业25家,占比约16%。 例如潮玩盲盒行业的卡游、52TOYS,茶饮赛道有八马茶业,黄金珠宝饰品领域有周六福、铜师傅,食品领域更加集中,包括牧原食品股份、三只松鼠、溜 溜果园等。 "情绪消费"浪潮下,盲盒、潮玩、医美、新茶饮等新消费势力正重塑商业格局,港股市场悄然成为现象级品牌的资本主场。 2025年以来,港股迎来新消费企业上市潮,蜜雪集团(02097.HK)、老铺黄金(06181.HK)、毛戈平(01318.HK)等多家新消费公司上市,并在市场上有 不错的表现。 供给端也热情高涨,近日潮玩公司乐自天成(下称"52TOYS")、餐饮品牌绿茶集团接连向港交所递交招股书,老乡鸡、八马茶业、鸣鸣很忙等企业亦在排 队序列中。 二级市场上,中证港股通消费主题指数年内涨幅超20%,新消费板块继续逆势上涨,泡泡玛特(09992.HK)股价续创历史新高,总市值一度突破3100亿港 元,5月以来的累计涨幅达11.76%; ...
第一批开零食店的人,赚够千万离场了
创业邦· 2025-05-28 09:37
以下文章来源于表外表里 ,作者洞见数据研究院 表外表里 . 洞见数据研究院 这两年,他的生意肉眼可见地难做,求转让的餐馆、奶茶店商家一月比一月多,但某音、某书一通推 广猛如虎,一看评论全是"奸商""别想割我韭菜"的清醒发言。 幸好有零食集合店,能让他躺着赚钱:江浙乡镇店,53万打包,1天之内转让成功;100万整转的二 线城市店,客户连夜打高铁去考察…… 在加盟被祛魅、击鼓传花玩不动的年代里,持续创造着"年流水600W""赚人生第一个千万"造富神话 的量贩零食行业,仍吸引无数开店人前赴后继。 2022-2024年,量贩零食两大巨头鸣鸣很忙和万辰集团(好想来母公司),以近200%的营收年复合 增长率,向市场演绎"暴力崛起"。即将登陆港股的前者,去年更是血赚8亿,同比大增284%。 哪怕"转让潮"已经来袭,李曦不少客户也没放在心上,甚至反向抄底:"上一家不会做生意,没找准门 道,我开肯定能挣钱。" 今年一季度,GeoQ Data收录的典型连锁零食品牌中,有1094家门店轰然倒下;然而,更多的1400 家新店,落地开张。 来源丨 表外表里(ID:excel-ers) 作者丨 陈梓洁 编辑丨曹宾玲 付晓玲 图源丨Mid ...