1. Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Multiple factors lead to early capital allocation, and the gold price has medium - to - long - term upward potential. In the context of continuous upward revisions of precious metal price forecasts by global mainstream institutions, some investors choose to pre - allocate precious metals, reflected in the continuous increase in ETF holdings and rising derivative positions. Without clear negative factors, the short - term market will remain in a relatively strong oscillation. Unilateral long positions should follow the idea of buying on dips [1]. - In the short term, as the COMEX silver approaches the last trading day, the physical delivery demand decreases, weakening its driving force on the market. Coupled with the increase in domestic inventories, it may ease the bullish sentiment. During the sharp rise of silver, attention should be paid to changes in the number of open interest contracts and warehouse receipt inventories, as well as the implementation of regulatory risk - control measures to prevent the risk of speculative long positions taking profits at high levels. However, high volatility continues to provide upward momentum to the price. The strategy suggests continuing to hold long positions, paying attention to the restoration of the domestic premium, and reducing positions or locking positions on rallies before the Spring Festival [1]. - Platinum and palladium are strong in terms of macro and supply - demand fundamentals, and their prices are still undervalued compared to gold. Capital promotes value re - evaluation, and they are expected to continue to oscillate upward in the medium to long term. In the short term, in the domestic market, since the Guangzhou Futures Exchange's palladium futures are in the early stage of listing, the overall position liquidity needs to be improved, and the domestic market shows a premium compared to the overseas market. With strengthened regulatory risk - control measures, platinum and palladium still face short - term correction risks. Palladium may continue to correct under weak fundamentals, while platinum is relatively strong. One can buy the platinum - palladium ratio on dips [1]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs Domestic Futures Closing Prices - AU2602 contract closed at 1008.76 yuan/gram on December 25, down 5.92 yuan or 0.58% from the previous day [1]. - AG2602 contract closed at 17397 yuan/ten grams on December 25, down 212 yuan or 1.20% from the previous day [1]. - PT2606 contract closed at 686.05 yuan/gram on December 25, up 29.30 yuan or 4.46% from the previous day [1]. - PD2606 contract closed at 529.05 yuan/gram on December 25, down 49.40 yuan or 8.54% from the previous day [1]. Overseas Futures Closing Prices - COMEX gold's main contract closed at 4505.40 on December 24, down 9.60 or 0.21% from the previous day [1]. - COMEX silver's main contract closed at 71.88 on December 24, up 0.27 or 0.37% from the previous day [1]. - NYMEX platinum's main contract closed at 2272.90 dollars/ounce on December 24, down 47.20 or - 2.03% from the previous day [1]. - NYMEX palladium's main contract closed at 1821.00 on December 24, down 143.00 or 7.28% from the previous day [1]. Spot Prices - London gold was at 4479.39 on December 25, down 5.49 or 0.12% from the previous day [1]. - London silver was at 71.81 on December 25, up 0.40 or 0.56% from the previous day [1]. - Spot palladium remained unchanged at 2208.00 on December 25 compared to the previous day [1]. - Spot palladium remained unchanged at 1837.00 on December 25 compared to the previous day [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's gold TD was at 1003.01 yuan/gram on December 25, down 4.21 yuan or - 0.42% from the previous day [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's silver TD was at 17414 yuan/kilogram on December 25, down 300 yuan or - 1.69% from the previous day [1]. - Shanghai Gold Exchange's platinum 9995 was at 591 yuan/gram on December 25, down 16 yuan or - 2.59% from the previous day [1]. Basis - The basis of gold TD - Shanghai gold's main contract was - 5.75, up 1.71 from the previous day, with a one - year historical quantile of 6.80% [1]. - The basis of silver TD - Shanghai silver's main contract was 17, down 88 from the previous day, with a one - year historical quantile of 95.90% [1]. - The basis of London gold - COMEX gold was - 26.01, up 4.11 from the previous day, with a one - year historical quantile of 30.20% [1]. - The basis of London silver - COMEX silver was - 0.06, up 0.14 from the previous day, with a one - year historical quantile of 70.10% [1]. Price Ratios - The ratio of COMEX gold to silver was 62.68, down 0.37 or - 0.58% from the previous day [1]. - The ratio of Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold to silver was 57.98, up 0.36 or 0.63% from the previous day [1]. - The ratio of NYMEX palladium to palladium was 1.25, up 0.07 or 5.66% from the previous day [1]. - The ratio of Guangzhou Futures Exchange's platinum to palladium was 1.30, up 0.16 or 14.21% from the previous day [1]. Interest Rates and Exchange Rates - The 10 - year US Treasury yield was 4.15%, down 0.03 or - 0.7% from the previous day [1]. - The 2 - year US Treasury yield was 3.47%, down 0.01 or - 0.3% from the previous day [1]. - The 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield was 1.91%, down 0.03 or - 1.5% from the previous day [1]. - The US dollar index was 97.91, down 0.05 or - 0.05% from the previous day [1]. - The on - shore RMB exchange rate was 7.0010, down 0.0066 or - 0.09% from the previous day [1]. Inventories and Positions - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's gold inventory was 93,711 kilograms, unchanged from the previous day [1]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's silver inventory was 852,417 kilograms, down 29,532 kilograms or - 3.35% from the previous day [1]. - The COMEX gold inventory was 36,159,361 ounces, unchanged from the previous day [1]. - The COMEX silver inventory was 451,352,686 ounces, up 472,620 ounces or 0.10% from the previous day [1]. - The COMEX gold registered warehouse receipts were 19,361,515 ounces, up 39,612 ounces or 0.21% from the previous day [1]. - The COMEX silver registered warehouse receipts were 126,355,549 ounces, down 858,733 ounces or - 0.68% from the previous day [1]. - The SPDR gold ETF position was 1,068 tons, up 3.71 tons or 0.35% from the previous day [1]. - The SLV silver ETF position was 16,447 tons, down 56.40 tons or - 0.34% from the previous day [1].

12月26日，国际现货金、银价格再创历史新高。 自12月25日夜盘时段起，贵金属价格再度强势走高，并一直延续到12月26日亚洲时段开盘。现货黄金（伦敦金现）一度触及每盎司4531.284美元 的创纪录高位。现货白银（伦敦银现）连续突破每盎司73美元、74美元和75美元关口，最高触及75.142美元/盎司。 截至发稿，现货黄金冲高回落至每盎司4502.44美元，涨0.51%；现货白银最新价格为每盎司74.584美元，涨3.86%。 | 黄金 広 | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 伦敦金(人民币/克) | 伦敦金现 | SHFE黄金 | | 1014.3247 | 4502.440 | 1016.70 | | +5.1928 | +23.050 | +7.94 +0.79% | | COMEX黄金 | 上海等 | SGE黄金T+D | | 4534.1 | 1010.21 | 1009.06 | | +31.3 +0.70% | +7.38 | +6.55 +0.65% | | 自銀 | | | | 伦敦银(人民币/千 16802.5318 | 伦敦银现 | SHFE自银 | | | 74. ...

Report Summary 1. Overnight Night Market Trends - Most domestic futures main contracts rose at the 23:00 close, with fuel oil and rapeseed meal up nearly 2%, and PX and PTA up over 1.5%. Jiao coal, coke, LPG, and glass fell over 1% [5]. - At the 1:00 close, Shanghai copper, aluminum, zinc, nickel, tin, and international copper main contracts rose, while the alumina main contract fell [5]. - At the 2:30 close, Shanghai gold, silver, and SC crude oil main contracts rose [6]. 2. Important News Macro News - China has lodged solemn representations with the US over its plan to impose 301 tariffs on some Chinese semiconductor products [9]. - Ukrainian President Zelensky had a good call with US representatives, emphasizing efforts to end the conflict [9]. Energy and Chemical Futures - As of December 25, 2025, the total inventory of national float glass sample enterprises increased slightly, while domestic soda ash manufacturers' inventory decreased [11]. - Russia's plan to produce 100 million tons of LNG annually has been postponed due to sanctions [11]. - Iraq has lost power - generation capacity due to the interruption of Iranian natural - gas supply [11]. - China will take measures to ensure the supply and price stability of fertilizers [13]. Metal Futures - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange has adjusted trading rules for platinum, palladium, and polysilicon futures contracts [15][16]. - Tianqi Lithium will change its spot - trading settlement price starting from January 1, 2026 [16]. - Wanrun New Energy will conduct production - line maintenance, reducing its lithium iron phosphate output [16]. - Four leading silicon - wafer companies have significantly raised their quotes [17][35]. - CSPT decided not to set a reference price for spot copper concentrate processing fees in Q1 2026 [17]. Black - Series Futures - The Dalian Commodity Exchange will adjust the daily price limit for coke and coking coal futures contracts [19]. - China will strengthen the construction of infrastructure and energy reserves [19]. - The average profit per ton of independent coking plants varies by region [19]. - The output, inventory, and demand of rebar have changed in the week of December 25 [20]. - Coal - mine production in Zhaotong, Yunnan, has been temporarily suspended [22]. Agricultural Futures - Malaysia's palm - oil exports from December 1 - 25 increased by 1.6% compared to the same period last month [24]. - Sugar - mill operations and inventory in Guangxi have changed [24]. - Argentina's 2025/26 corn production is expected to be slightly lower due to drought risks [24]. 3. Financial Markets Financial - A - shares continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.47% and achieving a 7 - day winning streak [26]. - A - share listed companies' private placements have been active this year [28]. - The net inflow of the CSI A500ETF in December has been significant [29]. - Most private multi - asset strategy products have achieved positive returns this year [29]. - Analysts are optimistic about the A - share market in 2026 [29]. - The IPO application of Dapu Micro has been approved [31]. Industry - China has cracked down on financial "black - gray industries" [32]. - New regulations have been issued for the information disclosure of bank and insurance asset - management products [32]. - China will regulate the e - cigarette market [32]. - The government will strengthen the supervision of entrusted food production [32]. - Many game version numbers have been approved in December [33]. - Silicon - wafer prices have increased [35]. - China has made a breakthrough in the super - high - speed maglev field [35]. - Mobile phone shipments in China have increased [35]. - Shanghai will support the construction of the G60 Science and Technology Innovation Corridor [35]. Overseas - Israel may have another military conflict with Iran [36]. - Hungary's Prime Minister believes the root of the Russia - Ukraine conflict lies in the decline of Western Europe [36]. - Japan's 2026 fiscal - year initial budget has reached a record high [36]. - Japan has raised its economic forecast for the 2025 fiscal year [38]. - The Bank of Japan may raise interest rates [39]. - The Bank of Korea may cut interest rates in 2026 [40]. International Stock Markets - Japanese stocks rose slightly, while Vietnamese stocks tumbled [41]. - Morgan Stanley warns of three potential "surprises" in the US stock market in 2026 [41]. Commodities - Most domestic commodity futures closed higher, with new - energy materials leading the gains [42]. - The trading rules of platinum, palladium, and polysilicon futures on the Guangzhou Futures Exchange will be adjusted [42]. - Russia's oil production is expected to increase slightly in 2026 [42]. Bonds - China's bond market continued to fluctuate narrowly, and Japanese 2 - year bond auctions were weak [43]. Foreign Exchange - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar rose on Thursday [45]. 4. Upcoming Events - The People's Bank of China has 562 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing at 09:20 [47]. - The National Development and Reform Commission will hold a press conference at 10:30 [47]. - The 2025 Embodied Intelligence Development Frontier Conference and the 2025 Greater Bay Area Digital Chain Ecosystem Conference will be held on December 26 [47].

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-12-26甲醇早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号：Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 多空关注 3 基本面数据 4 检修状况 甲醇2605： 1、基本面：驱动因素不同预计本周国内甲醇延续区域性走势。内地方面，考虑到冬季雨雪天气对运输造成影响，上游 甲醇工厂仍以低库存操作为主，且据悉产区部分甲醇企业有一定库存压力，出货需求下不排除进一步降价让利运费可能。 销区来看，近期产区甲醇价格回落且局部跌幅明显较大，对鲁北地区或有一定冲击，但同时运费坚挺对到货价格有一定 支撑，而烯烃需求增量明确对鲁南地区形成有力支撑，预计销区本周行情窄幅震荡。港口方面，海外开工和发货量下降 和国内卸货拉垮下港口去库支撑市场情绪，但不可忽略的因素是，12月港口到港排期量宏大，在浙江主力烯烃企 ...

1、基本面：受到即期供应充足和下游需求疲软的拖累，亚洲低硫燃料油市场结构和炼油利润率有所放缓。同时， 因现货交易窗口内交易活动清淡，含硫0.5%船用燃料油的现货贴水在当日保持稳定；受安装脱硫塔的船舶数量增 加的推动，下游船用油销售持续走强，亚洲高硫燃料油市场预计在2026年将继续获得一些支撑。但来自清洁的替 代燃料的竞争以及受制裁船货的充足供应将继续给市场基本面带来压力；中性 2、基差：新加坡高硫燃料油342.74美元/吨，基差为6元/吨，新加坡低硫燃料油为420.5美元/吨，基差为17元/吨， 现货平水期货；中性 3、库存：新加坡燃料油12月17日当周库存为2255.9万桶，增加14万桶；中性 4、盘面：价格在20日线上方，20日线偏平；中性 5、主力持仓：高硫主力持仓多单，多减，偏多；低硫主力持仓多单，多增，偏多 6、预期：近期俄乌谈判仍在进行但双方对能源设施的打击未有停息，仍对原油系价格有所支撑，燃油现货外盘 节假日无价格，低硫燃料油市场结构维持在当前水平，高硫燃料油市场则仍有支撑，短期震荡运行。FU2603： 2500-2550区间运行，LU2603：3010-3050区间运行 交易咨询业务资格：证监 ...

the first 1）行情回顾： 12月25日，沪金期货主力合约收跌0.39%至1008.76元/克，沪银期货主力合约收涨2.64%至17397元/千克。 行情殊词_2）影响因素分析：澳外进入圣诞假期，外盘休市，市场消息面嘉淡，黄金价格整体维持高位运行，自银则受到资金情绪助推，价格弹性进一步释放，沪银主力突 戏玩作品 i r800元/千克关口，再创历史新高。展望后市，贵金属价格短期科维持高位偏强运行，但目前白银呈现较为显著的加速上涨态势，场内杠杆风险继续累积，后续 群《个人 散火000元》中范文目，何创办奖机构》次至唐书，灵宝热分相组组的演绎风险。综合，背略：单边短期建现双形基 l3）中长期观点：中长期来看、美联储仍处于宽松周期、大国博弈加剧和逆全球化趋势将令全球地缘不确定性持续、美国巨额债务承美联储独立性削弱将进一步墙 加美元信用风险，全球央行/机构/居民的配置需求有望延续、故金价中长期重心大概率继续上移，建议长线投资者以逢低做多配置为主。 本我告中的信息均源于公天可获得的谈科。国资新货力求准确可靠，但不对上达德息的准辟性及完整性收任何保证、本报告不构成个人投资建议，也未针对个别投资者特殊的设资目标、仅务 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 2025-12-26原油早报 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 CONTENTS 目 录 1 每日提示 2 近期要闻 3 多空关注 4 基本面数据 5 持仓数据 原油2602： 1.基本面：美官员和知情人士称，美国海岸警卫队因专业人手有限，暂时无法对一艘与委内瑞拉有关 的、拒绝接受登船检查的油轮实施扣押行动；俄罗斯外交部发言人表示，俄罗斯认为与美国就乌克兰 问题进行的和平谈判取得了缓慢但稳定的进展；乌克兰扩大了对俄罗斯能源资产的攻击范围，不仅针 对原油炼油厂，还针对管道，以及越来越多的海运石油出口码头和运送俄罗斯供应的影子船队油轮； 中性 2.基差：12月24日，阿曼原油现货价为62.77美元/桶，卡塔尔海洋原油现货价为61.95美元/桶，基差 16.98元/桶，现货升水期货；偏 ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监证可【2012】31号 | | 国贸期货研究院 宏观金融研究中心 郑雨婷 | | 期货执业证号:F3074875; 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 | | | 2025/12/26 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动(bp) | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 (bp) | | | DRO01 | 1.26 | -0.24 | DR007 | 1.48 | 10.14 | | | GC001 | 1.35 | -41.50 | GC007 | 1.87 | -1.00 | | S | SHBOR 3M | 1.60 | 0.00 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | 1 | 1年期国债 | 1.28 | -0.70 | 5年期国债 | 1.58 | -0.20 | | 1 | 10年期国债 | 1.81 | -3.90 | 10年期美债 | 4.13 | 0.00 | | 2 | | | | | | | 回顾: 央行昨日开展了1771亿元7天期逆回购操作,操作利率1.40 ...

证券代码：839979 油脂早报 2025-12-26投资咨询部 分析师: 王明伟 从业资格号： F0283029 投资咨询号： Z0010442 TEL: 0575-85226759 每日观点 豆油 1.基本面：MPOB报告显示，MPOB月报显示马棕8月产量环比减少9.8%至162万吨，出口环比减少14.74%至 149万吨，月末库存环比减少2.6%至183万吨。报告中性，减产不及预期。目前船调机构显示本月目前马 棕出口数据环比增加4%，后续进入减产季，棕榈油供应上压力减小。中性 2.基差：豆油现货8202，基差374，现货升水期货。偏多 3.库存：9月22日豆油商业库存118万吨，前116万吨，环比+2万吨，同比+11.7% 。偏空 4.盘面：期价运行在20日均线下，20日均线朝下。偏空 5.主力持仓：豆油主力多增。偏多 6.预期：油脂价格震荡整理，国内基本面宽松，国内油脂供应稳定。中美关系僵持，美豆新豆出口受挫， 价格承压。马棕库存偏中性，需求有所好转，印尼B40促进国内消费，26年预计实施B50计划。国内油脂 基本面偏中性，进口库存稳定。豆油Y2605：7800-8200附近区间震荡 每日观点 棕榈油 ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号： F03105325 投资咨询证号： Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 螺卷早报（2025-12-26） 利空： 下游地产行业下行周期延续，终端需求继续弱势运行低于同期。 每日观点 螺纹： 1、基本面：需求不见起色，库存低位回升，贸易商采购意愿仍不强，地产行业继续处下行周期；偏空 2、基差：螺纹现货价3310，基差183；偏多 3、库存：全国35个主要城市库存294.19万吨，环比减少，同比增加；偏多 4、盘面：价格在20日线上方，20日线走平；偏多 5、主力持仓：螺纹主力持仓净空，空增；偏空 6、预期：房地产市场依旧偏弱，需求降温，国内有去产能的计划冲击市场，震荡偏空思路对待 利多： 产量维持低位，现货升水，促进国内消费。 每日观点 热卷： 1、基本面：供需都有所走弱，库存继续减少，出口受阻，国内政策或发力；中性 ...