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11月制造业PMI回升至49.2%
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-30 14:53
市场需求有所修复 11月,制造业PMI小幅回升。体现市场需求的制造业新订单指数回升0.4个百分点至49.2%,表明市场需求有所修复。 从需求结构上看,新订单指数与新出口订单指数差值在10月份出现跳升后,回落1.3个百分点至1.6个百分点。新出口订单指数回升1.7 个百分点至47.6%,是11月制造业新订单指数上升的重要推动因素。 东方金诚首席宏观分析师王青在接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时表示,10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果,对11月出口形成一 定拉动。 王青指出,9月末至10月初推出"两个5000亿"稳增长政策,其中5000亿元新型政策性金融工具已在10月投放完毕,会在11月对基建投资 和制造业投资形成拉动;财政部10月份明确中央财政从地方政府债务结存限额中安排5000亿元下达地方,这将补充地方财力,其中为 项目建设提供2000亿元新增资金。这些都会拉动国内市场需求。 11月30日,国家统计局公布11月中国采购经理指数(PMI)运行情况。 数据显示,11月,中国制造业PMI为49.2%,比10月回升0.2个百分点,景气水平有所改善。其中,生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0% 和49.2%,分别比上月上升 ...
产需两端均有改善 11月制造业PMI回升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 13:56
随着稳增长政策不断落地见效,以及10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果,国家统计局11月30日发布的11月份中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)亦呈改善趋 势,49.2%的数值比10月提升0.2个百分点,但已连续8个月位于荣枯线之下。 (图表来源:国家统计局) 其中,11月份生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点,其中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改善。而高技 术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群表示,11月份制造业PMI指数小幅回升,表明市场信心有所改善。"十五五"发展目标鼓舞人心,对市场信心产生积 极影响。同时也要注意到制造业PMI指数仍处于荣枯线之下,市场引导的需求收缩仍比较突出,经济仍有下行压力。 张立群认为,要围绕"十五五"良好开局进一步加强宏观经济政策逆周期调节力度,显著加大政府公共产品、公共服务投资规模,有效有力带动企业订单增 加,尽快扭转市场引导的需求收缩发展趋势。 制造业稳中有升 11月份,生产经营活动预期指数为53.1%,比10月上升0.3个百分点,制造业企业对近期市 ...
产需两端均有改善,11月制造业PMI回升
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 13:40
高技术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上。 随着稳增长政策不断落地见效,以及10月末中美经贸会谈取得积极成果,国家统计局11月30日发布的11月份中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)亦呈改善趋 势,49.2%的数值比10月提升0.2个百分点,但已连续8个月位于荣枯线之下。 (图表来源:国家统计局) 其中,11月份生产指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点,其中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改善。而高技 术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。 中国物流与采购联合会特约分析师张立群表示,11月份制造业PMI指数小幅回升,表明市场信心有所改善。"十五五"发展目标鼓舞人心,对市场信心产生积 极影响。同时也要注意到制造业PMI指数仍处于荣枯线之下,市场引导的需求收缩仍比较突出,经济仍有下行压力。 张立群认为,要围绕"十五五"良好开局进一步加强宏观经济政策逆周期调节力度,显著加大政府公共产品、公共服务投资规模,有效有力带动企业订单增 加,尽快扭转市场引导的需求收缩发展趋势。 制造业稳中有升 11月份,生产经营活动预期指 ...
中采PMI点评(25.11):PMI修复的“短期掣肘”?
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2025-11-30 13:13
Manufacturing PMI Insights - November Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 49.2%, up 0.2 percentage points from October's 49%[2] - Production index rose marginally by 0.3 percentage points to 50%, indicating weak production performance[8] - New orders index improved by 0.4 percentage points to 49.2%, slightly better than the same period last year[2] Inventory and Production Constraints - High inventory levels from previous months continue to constrain current production, with finished goods inventory index at 47.3%, down 0.8 percentage points[3] - The purchasing quantity index rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.5%, but this increase is weaker compared to the previous month's decline of 2.6 percentage points[3] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing PMI fell to 50.1%, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods sectors dropped into contraction territory at 49.8% and 49.4% respectively[3] - High-energy consumption industries saw a PMI increase of 1.1 percentage points to 48.4%, reflecting some improvement in investment dynamics[3] Non-Manufacturing PMI Trends - Non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points, entering contraction territory primarily due to high base effects and holiday impact[4] - Service sector indices for shopping, accommodation, transportation, and tourism all showed declines, with real estate and residential services below critical levels[4] Economic Outlook - Despite short-term disruptions from high inventory, the economy is expected to maintain resilience due to supportive fiscal policies and sustained external demand[4] - The construction sector's PMI rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, indicating potential for continued improvement in business activity[22]
11月中国制造业采购经理指数总体向好
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-30 12:40
央视网消息(新闻联播):国家统计局、中国物流与采购联合会11月30日公布,11月份中国制造业采购经理指数为49.2%,较上月上升0.2个百分点,大部分 分项指数较上月有所上升。 制造业产需两端有所改善,生产指数和新订单指数双回升。新出口订单指数为47.6%,较上月上升1.7个百分点,指数升幅较为明显。高技术制造业新出口订 单指数较上月上升超过3个百分点。 11月生产指数为50%,较上月上升0.3个百分点。装备制造业、高技术制造业和消费品制造业生产指数都保持在扩张区间。 ...
——2025年11月PMI点评:出口改善推动制造业PMI回稳
EBSCN· 2025-11-30 12:18
Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November 2025 is 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, but still below the seasonal level[2][5] - New export orders index rose significantly by 1.7 percentage points to 47.6%, driven by the easing of US-China tariffs and improved trade conditions[5][19] - Small enterprise PMI increased by 2.0 percentage points to 49.1%, marking a six-month high, indicating a recovery in the external trade environment[5][12] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing PMI decreased to 49.5%, down 0.7 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a decline in service-related activities post-holiday[2][28] - The construction PMI rose by 0.5 percentage points to 49.6%, indicating a low-level recovery in building activities, supported by ongoing infrastructure projects[32][34] Price and Inventory Dynamics - Raw material purchase prices and factory gate prices indices increased to 53.6% and 48.2%, respectively, showing an improvement in the supply-demand relationship[24][25] - The finished goods inventory index fell by 0.8 percentage points to 47.3%, indicating a faster reduction in inventory levels, which may support future price increases[24][27]
11月制造业PMI回升至49.2%:高技术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-11-30 12:07
每经记者|张宏 每经编辑|贾运可 11月30日,国家统计局公布11月中国采购经理指数(PMI)运行情况。 数据显示,11月,中国制造业PMI为49.2%,比10月回升0.2个百分点,景气水平有所改善。其中,生产 指数和新订单指数分别为50.0%和49.2%,分别比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点。高技术制造业PMI为 50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上。 中泰证券研究所政策组首席分析师杨畅在接受《每日经济新闻》记者微信采访时表示,11月主要原材料 购进价格指数为53.6%,较前值提高1.1个百分点,仍在景气线上方,表明上游价格仍在上行,并且出现 提速;出厂价格指数为48.2%,较前值回升0.7个百分点,仍在景气线下方,出现一定改善。主要原材料 购进价格指数与出厂价格指数的差值为5.4个百分点,较前值扩大0.4个百分点,指向利润向上游转移。 市场需求有所修复 11月,制造业PMI小幅回升。体现市场需求的制造业新订单指数回升0.4个百分点至49.2%,表明市场需 求有所修复。 从需求结构上看,新订单指数与新出口订单指数差值在10月份出现跳升后,回落1.3个百分点至1.6个百 分点。新出口订单指数回升1.7个百 ...
2025年11月PMI数据解读:11月PMI:供需弱修复,蓄势待春归
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-11-30 09:16
Economic Indicators - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is at 49.2%, a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating economic improvement[1] - The composite PMI output index is at 49.7%, suggesting overall stability in production and business activities[1] - The production index stands at 50.0%, reflecting stability in manufacturing production[2] Sector Performance - High-tech manufacturing PMI is at 50.1%, indicating expansion, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods PMIs are at 49.8% and 49.4%, respectively, both in contraction territory[1] - New orders index is at 49.2%, showing a low-level recovery in market demand, but still weaker than production levels[3] - New export orders index increased to 47.6%, a rise of 1.7 percentage points, with significant improvements across various sectors[3] Price Trends - The purchasing price index for raw materials is at 53.6%, up 1.1 percentage points, indicating rising input costs[7] - The factory price index is at 48.2%, reflecting a narrowing decline in output prices[7] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 49.5%, a drop of 0.6 percentage points, indicating a slowdown in non-manufacturing activities[8] - The construction business activity index improved to 49.6%, showing low-level recovery in the construction sector[8] Overall Outlook - The overall economic activity is stabilizing, with expectations for continued upward momentum into December, supporting the annual GDP growth target of around 5%[1][9] - The report highlights the resilience of exports, with a 10.0% year-on-year increase in container throughput at ports in November[4]
11月份制造业采购经理指数回升
新华网财经· 2025-11-30 05:19
Core Viewpoint - The overall economic climate in China remains stable, with slight improvements in manufacturing and construction sectors, while non-manufacturing activities show signs of decline [1][9]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) rose to 49.2% in November, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slight improvement in economic conditions [1][3]. - The production index and new orders index were reported at 50.0% and 49.2%, respectively, with increases of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points, suggesting recovery in both production and demand [6]. - Small enterprises showed significant recovery with a PMI of 49.1%, up 2.0 percentage points, marking a six-month high [2][6]. - High-tech manufacturing PMI remained above the critical point at 50.1%, continuing its growth trend for ten consecutive months [6]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index fell to 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in the sector [9][12]. - The service sector's business activity index decreased to 49.5%, a drop of 0.7 percentage points, influenced by the end of holiday effects [13]. - The construction business activity index improved to 49.6%, up 0.5 percentage points, reflecting a recovery in construction activities [8][13]. Market Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index rose to 53.1%, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market developments [7]. - The construction sector's business activity expectation index increased to 57.9%, suggesting a positive outlook for upcoming industry developments [13].
11月制造业PMI回升至49.2%,制造业出口趋稳
第一财经· 2025-11-30 04:34
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's manufacturing and non-manufacturing sectors, highlighting improvements in manufacturing PMI and challenges in the non-manufacturing sector due to seasonal factors and economic pressures [3][10]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November is reported at 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a modest recovery in market confidence [3][4]. - New export orders index rose to 47.6%, up by 1.7 percentage points, reflecting a stabilization in manufacturing exports across various industries, including high-tech and consumer goods [5]. - The production index for manufacturing stands at 50%, indicating a return to the expansion zone after a brief contraction, with equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods all showing positive growth [4][5]. - Finished goods inventory index decreased to 47.3%, suggesting smoother sales activities for enterprises [6]. - Raw material prices are on the rise, with the purchasing price index at 53.6%, indicating upward pressure on production costs [8]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index fell to 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points, primarily due to the seasonal decline in consumer-related services following the holiday peak [10][11]. - The construction industry showed improvement with a business activity index of 49.6%, indicating a slight recovery in construction activities [11]. - Despite the slowdown in non-manufacturing activities, there are positive indicators such as sustained financial activities and optimism in the construction sector, which may support economic stability towards year-end [11].