2月13日，节前最后一个交易日，市场震荡调整，消费板块相对抗跌，截至14:30，中证消费50指数下跌 0.3%，中证港股通消费主题指数下跌0.8%。Wind数据显示，截至昨日，港股通消费ETF易方达 （513070）已连续7个交易日获资金净流入，合计超12亿元。 消息面上，国家统计局数据显示，1月份，居民消费需求持续恢复，居民消费价格指数（CPI）环比上 涨0.2%，同比上涨0.2%；全国工业生产者出厂价格（PPI）同比下降1.4%，降幅比上月收窄0.5个百分 点；环比上涨0.4%，涨幅比上月扩大0.2个百分点。 市场上有消费ETF易方达（159798）、港股通消费ETF易方达（513070）分别跟踪以上指数，可助力投 资者把握消费需求复苏投资机遇。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） 国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟表示，1月CPI同比涨幅有所回落，主要有以下两方面原因：一是 春节错月影响。上年1月份为春节月份，食品和部分服务价格上涨较多，导致上年同期对比基数较高， 带动本月同比涨幅回落较多。二是国际油价变动导致能源价格降幅扩大，1月份能源价格下降5.0%。居 民消费需求持续恢复，核心CPI温和上涨的态势没有改变。 ...

截至午间收盘，中证港股通医药卫生综合指数下跌0.5%，中证港股通消费主题指数下跌0.8%，恒生港 股通新经济指数下跌1.5%，恒生科技指数下跌1.7%，中证港股通互联网指数下跌2.2%。相关ETF受资 金青睐，截至昨日，恒生科技ETF易方达（513010）和港股通互联网ETF（513040）近一月资金净流入 分别达33亿元和15亿元。 23.7倍 中国银河证券表示，展望2026年，中国宏观政策将保持连续性和稳定性，经济增长保持韧性，通胀有望 自低位回升，港股市场基本面依赖于国内宏观经济。指数方面，根据彭博一致预期，预计2026年恒生指 数、恒生科技指数、恒生中国企业指数每股盈利分别同比增长9.64%、34.63%、9.90%，建议关注科技 创新、周期、消费等主题的投资机会。 联网龙头公司的股票组成,主 要包括信息技术、可选消费行 AF 以值效,拟以 滚动币盆举 友布以来估值分位 | 港股通消费ETF易方达 低费率 | | | 513070 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数 | | | | | 该指数由港股通范围内流动性 | 截至午间收盘 | 该指数 | 该 ...

中国银河证券研报认为，科技板块仍是中长期投资主线，经历近期的回调后，估值压力下降，相关板块 有望反弹回升，预计春节前后港股市场震荡上行。 港股通科技ETF海富通(513860)，紧密跟踪中证港股通科技指数，从港股通范围内选取50只市值较大、 研发投入较高且营收增速较好的科技龙头上市公司证券作为指数样本，截至最新，指数前五大中证一级 行业为：可选消费（37.02%）、信息技术（27.98%）、医药卫生（17.17%）、通信服务（16.31%）、 工业（1.52%）。场外联接(A类：021464；C类：021465) 风险提示：以上信息仅供参考，不构成投资建议。基金有风险，投资需谨慎。 截至2026年2月13日9:50，港股通科技ETF海富通(513860)小幅回调，成分股方面，九方智投控股涨超 5%，再鼎医药、联想集团、国药控股等涨超1%，信达生物、中芯国际、华虹半导体等跟涨。 资金净流入方面，Choice数据统计，截至2026年2月12日，港股通科技ETF海富通(513860)近3个月净流 入额增长 3.21亿元，近6个月净流入额增长18.26亿元，长期看增长显著。 从估值层面来看，港股通科技ETF海富通跟踪 ...

Core Viewpoint - The consumer sector is experiencing a decline, with the CSI Consumer 50 Index down by 1.0% and the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index down by 1.1% as of midday close [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI Consumer 50 Index, which tracks 50 leading companies in the consumer sector, has seen a decrease of 1.0% [2]. - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index has also declined by 1.1% [1]. - The rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the CSI Consumer 50 Index is currently at 17.0 times, with a valuation percentile of 8.2% since its inception in 2019 [2]. Group 2: Fund Flows - The E Fund Consumer ETF (513070) has recorded net inflows for six consecutive trading days, totaling over 1.1 billion yuan [1]. - The E Fund Consumer ETF tracks the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index, which consists of 50 liquid and large-cap consumer stocks, with over 65% in discretionary consumption [2]. - The rolling P/E ratio for the CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index stands at 18.6 times, with a valuation percentile of 4.4% since its launch in 2020 [2].

速2) 银行. 互联网平台等给天得售机构提供可近外投资的ETP联盟基金。 | 跟踪中证港股通消费主题指数 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 该指数由港股通范围内流动性 | 今日 | 该指数 | 该指数自2020年 | | 较好、市值较大的50只消费主 | 该指数涨跌 | 滚动市盈率 | 发布以来估值分位 | | 题股票组成,可选消费占比超 65% | -0. 5% | 18.6倍 | 4. 6% | 21)。"国语教"报告上达签会严语具体面积的领图。数据第四8000、份家建建和崛起》2004年2月11日收盘。国际资讯率：站值分位最近2000年7月10日，面积所退军公进做了正因个中度又属着尘动现象的变形 %、媒体值得在淘山企业具体漏客启关。进行于品特创动动放工工业局用影响较小的行业。组组分立刻信任做正史上海决推進事委于以前面动改属军的利润石烂。体强分位数表示和力管家、植性分位签同力质量发布 BI/4安倍借款量配足球33282920042月10日，借生用登通新处济南散发布分为2018年/月2日,可更滑值值之限分立707年41月21日起，但生科比假面直表任为7000年7月7日: ...

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market shows resilience with various indices experiencing gains, indicating a stabilization in earnings expectations despite previous downward adjustments in EPS forecasts for the Hang Seng Technology Index [1]. Group 1: Index Performance - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Healthcare Index rose by 2.4% [1] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index increased by 1.1% [1] - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy Index gained 0.8% [1] - The Hang Seng Technology Index saw a rise of 0.6% [1] - The CSI Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index experienced a slight increase of 0.1% [1] Group 2: Fund Inflows - The E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF (513010) has recorded over 3 billion yuan in net inflows for six consecutive trading days, totaling more than 20 billion yuan [1]. Group 3: Earnings Expectations - According to China Merchants Securities, the fundamentals of the Hong Kong stock market remain solid, with earnings expectations stabilizing [1]. - The EPS forecast for the Hang Seng Technology Index has been continuously adjusted downward since September but has now stabilized, suggesting that current stock prices reflect the market's phase of earnings revision [1].

港股市场策略周报 港股市场策略周报 - 投资要点 l 港股市场表现回顾： n 除中小盘外，本周港股主要指数普遍下跌。本周恒生综指/恒生指数/恒生科技分别-3.22%/-3.02%/-6.51%。本周市 场一级行业板块中4个行业上涨、8个行业下跌，资讯科技业、原材料业、非必需性消费跌幅居前，分别下跌7.8%、 6.22%、4.55%。本周整体情况为：中小盘表现占优，其余风格的股指均有不同程度的下跌，其中恒生科技跌幅最深。 n 截至本周末，恒生综指的5年PE（TTM）估值分位点为88.51%，估值水平接近5年均值向上两个标准差。 l 港股市场宏观环境： 2 2026.02.02-2026.02.08 | 分析师： | 刘景锋 | | --- | --- | | 中央编号： | BXJ117 | | 联系电话： | 852-6222 4563 | | 邮箱： | liujingfeng@cnzsqh.hk | 1 n 基本面：2026年中央一号文件公布，强调确保国家粮食安全，发展农业新质生产力，实施"常态化精准帮扶"机制。 n 资金面：美联储3月维持利率不变的概率超8成；美国ISM PMI重返扩张区间；南向资金净流 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report provides an overview of various ETFs tracking different indices, highlighting their composition, performance, and sector allocations. Group 1: Index Overview - The Hongli ETF tracks the China Securities Dividend Index, composed of 100 stocks with high and stable cash dividend yields, primarily from the banking, coal, and transportation sectors, which together account for over 50% of the index [1]. - The Value ETF tracks the National Value 100 Index, consisting of 100 stocks with prominent value characteristics, with over 65% of the index made up of consumer discretionary, financial, and industrial sectors [1]. - The Free Cash Flow ETF follows the National Free Cash Flow Index, which includes 100 stocks with high free cash flow levels, with over 70% from industrial, materials, and consumer discretionary sectors, combining high dividends with growth potential [1]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The annualized return for the China Securities Dividend Index from 2013 to 2026 is 11.2%, with notable fluctuations in individual years, including a peak of 58% in 2014 and a decline of 16% in 2019 [2]. - The National Value 100 Index shows an annualized return of 18%, with significant highs of 64% in both 2014 and 2015, and a low of -16% in 2019 [2]. - The National Free Cash Flow Index has an annualized return of -18.7%, with a peak of 57% in 2014 and a low of -49% in 2022 [2].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is at a critical turning point entering 2026, transitioning from a valuation recovery phase to a profit-driven new cycle, supported by policy efforts, improved corporate earnings expectations, and increased household savings entering the market [1] Market Outlook - If the "anti-involution" measures yield substantial results, a "slow bull" market is expected in 2026, driven by continuous improvement in corporate profitability, which will support sustainable asset returns and valuations [1] - The target for the CSI 300 index in 2026 is set at 5200 points, with a core logic based on expected earnings growth of 15% year-on-year [3] Sector Focus - Key sectors of interest include real estate, materials, and information technology (IT). A stronger stabilization signal in real estate, particularly in first-tier cities, could surprise the market positively [2][3] - The materials sector is closely tied to global macroeconomic trends, with a focus on precious metals outside the dollar and important metals related to new energy [4] - The IT sector is viewed with caution due to high current valuations and elevated expectations for Q4 2025, suggesting a need for a correction before new investment opportunities arise [5] Profitability and Investment Strategy - The "anti-involution" theme is expected to create long-term opportunities, particularly in the solar and battery sectors, as companies focus on core business quality and stable pricing [6] - The current profit margins in the Chinese market are the lowest in the Asia-Pacific region, with potential for significant returns if industry concentration improves [7] Consumer Sector Insights - The upcoming Chinese New Year is seen as an important window for observing consumer trends, with a focus on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the food and beverage sector, which is expected to benefit from a shift towards healthier food options [7][8] Foreign Capital Flow - The return of foreign capital is expected to be gradual and structurally differentiated, with passive funds actively participating while active funds remain underweight in China [9] - The low allocation of international funds, particularly those excluding the U.S., is expected to correct as they gain a better understanding of Chinese assets through their experience with similar sectors in the U.S. [9] Hong Kong Market Outlook - The Hong Kong market is anticipated to perform well in 2026, with a target for the MSCI China index set at 100, indicating significant upside potential [10][11] - The average earnings revision for Hong Kong stocks since May 2025 has approached 40%, marking the best performance since 2020 [11]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the recent performance of the China Securities Consumption Index and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index, with increases of 3.2% and 4.1% respectively, indicating a positive trend in consumer stocks [1][3] - The E Fund Consumption ETF (513070) attracted 260 million yuan in the past week, reflecting strong investor interest in consumption-related ETFs [1][3] - The report from Galaxy Securities suggests that the technology sector remains a long-term investment focus, driven by multiple favorable factors such as price increases in the supply chain, domestic production trends, and accelerated AI applications [1][3] Group 2 - The rolling price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the China Securities Consumption 50 Index is 17.3 times, while the Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumption Theme Index has a rolling P/E ratio of 18.2 times, indicating a relatively low valuation for the consumption sector [3][4] - The consumption sector is expected to benefit from policy support, with current valuations at relatively low levels, suggesting significant medium to long-term upside potential [1][3] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the implementation of policies and improvements in consumption data for future performance [1]