Core Viewpoint - The development of rural industries and the improvement of living environments are interrelated, with policies implemented to enhance rural living conditions and promote local industries, leading to increased farmer income and better infrastructure [1][2][3][4] Group 1: Rural Industry Development - Various industries such as planting, breeding, and manufacturing are flourishing in regions like Heze, Shandong, and Tongbai, Henan, focusing on modern agricultural parks and technology demonstration gardens [1] - The integration of primary, secondary, and tertiary industries is accelerating, with an increase in the proportion of villages engaging in leisure agriculture and rural tourism, contributing to villagers' income [1][4] Group 2: Environmental Improvement - Significant improvements have been made in living environments, including better infrastructure, public services, and overall comfort levels [1][2] - Ongoing efforts are needed to address issues such as inadequate basic living facilities and the need for a standardized system for local industries [2] Group 3: Public Services Enhancement - Enhancing the accessibility and quality of basic public services in rural areas is crucial for improving the quality of life for farmers, including better education and innovative elderly care models [3] - There is a notable gap in infrastructure quality and density between rural and urban areas, necessitating a focus on improving rural infrastructure systems [3] Group 4: Industry Optimization - The aesthetic appeal of rural areas can drive high-value industries, necessitating the optimization of industrial spatial layouts and the deep integration of various sectors [4] - The establishment of a data system for agriculture and the promotion of smart agriculture through digital technologies are essential for modernizing rural production and enhancing market access [4]

天眼查App显示，近日，贵溪市四季建材有限公司成立，法定代表人为黄炳洪，注册资本10万人民币， 经营范围为许可项目：建设工程施工，电气安装服务，家禽饲养，牲畜饲养，水产养殖（依法须经批准 的项目，经相关部门批准后在许可有效期内方可开展经营活动，具体经营项目和许可期限以相关部门批 准文件或许可证件为准）一般项目：建筑材料销售，五金产品零售，涂料销售（不含危险化学品），劳 务服务（不含劳务派遣），室内木门窗安装服务，门窗销售，初级农产品收购，食用农产品零售，水果 种植，谷物种植，含油果种植（除依法须经批准的项目外，凭营业执照依法自主开展经营活动）。 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of supply-demand dynamics in the livestock sector following the drop in temperatures in northern regions. It highlights the potential for price recovery in the pork market as winter demand approaches [5] - The report notes that the central economic work conference has prioritized food security, leading to an optimistic outlook for the recovery of planting sector sentiment, particularly for corn prices [3] - In the pet food sector, the concentration of brands is high, with significant growth expected for leading domestic brands in the market [4] Summary by Sections Livestock Sector - The report discusses the ongoing supply-demand battle in the livestock sector, particularly in the context of lower pork prices. It notes that the average price of live pigs has been fluctuating at low levels, with a recent average price of 11.27 yuan/kg, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 26.79% [11][12] - The report indicates that the utilization rate of pig farms has returned to levels seen at the beginning of October, suggesting a potential increase in supply. However, demand has shown signs of recovery, which may lead to price stabilization [5] Planting Sector - The report highlights that corn prices have been on an upward trend, reaching 2357 yuan/ton, with a monthly increase of 4.5%. The central economic work conference's focus on maintaining reasonable prices for key agricultural products is expected to support corn price stability [3] Pet Sector - The report outlines that the sales proportions of pet food, supplies, and healthcare products are 43%, 28%, and 9% respectively. The concentration ratio for pet food has increased significantly, with the top 10 brands' market share rising from 30% to 40% within the year [4] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the livestock sector include Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group. For the post-cycle sector, Kexin Biotechnology and Haida Group are suggested. In the agricultural products chain, stocks like Morning Light Bio and Noposion are recommended. In the pet sector, stocks such as Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Co. are highlighted [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on leading agricultural companies, suggesting investment opportunities in the sector [5]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector has shown resilience, with the industry index outperforming the broader market by 0.4 percentage points during the week of December 8-12, 2025 [13]. - The report highlights significant growth in the pet food segment, with online sales increasing by 27.9% year-on-year during October and November 2025, driven by new consumer brands [34][36]. - The livestock industry is facing challenges, with a 5.5% decrease in the number of pigs marketed in November compared to the previous month, raising concerns about animal disease outbreaks [30]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.3%, outperforming the market [13]. - Key stocks such as Zhengbang Technology, Biological Shares, and Luoniushan saw significant gains of 19%, 17%, and 14% respectively [18]. Livestock Industry - In November, the number of pigs marketed decreased by 5.5% month-on-month, with a year-on-year increase of 16.7% [30]. - Prices for live pigs increased by 2.1% week-on-week, while the average weight of marketed pigs decreased by 0.2% [30]. - The utilization rate of fattening barns in 17 provinces dropped by 6.5 percentage points [30]. Poultry Industry - Prices for chicken chicks and broilers increased by 1.4% and 0.8% respectively, amid ongoing global avian influenza outbreaks [37][38]. - The price of chicken products rose by 0.6%, driven by supply constraints and increased export orders [37]. Pet Food Industry - Online sales of pet food reached 8.45 billion yuan, with significant growth from brands like Maifudi and Fresh Lang, which saw increases of 36% and 112.6% respectively [34]. - Chewy reported a 30.9% increase in EBITDA, with active customer numbers growing by 4.9% [35]. Feed Industry - Feed raw material prices showed mixed trends, with soybean meal prices increasing by 1.5% while corn prices slightly decreased [41]. - The price of South American white shrimp increased by 4.3% week-on-week [41]. Animal Health - The veterinary drug price index decreased by 0.2%, with a year-on-year increase of 2.4% [43]. - Merck's imported pet antibiotics were launched on JD Health, marking a significant development in the pet healthcare sector [43].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agriculture industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing capacity reduction in the pig farming sector, driven by recent policies and market conditions, which is expected to enhance long-term performance in the sector [3][9] - The report identifies several investment opportunities across different segments of the agriculture industry, including pig farming, feed, planting, and pet food sectors [3][43] Summary by Sections Pig Farming Sector - The pig farming industry is experiencing accelerated capacity reduction, with current pig prices and expectations both weak, leading to a significant decline in profitability [9] - In November, 14 listed pig companies collectively slaughtered 16.82 million pigs, a decrease of 2.21% month-on-month but an increase of 22.48% year-on-year [13] - The average selling price of pigs showed a slight recovery, with prices ranging from 11.1 to 12.53 yuan/kg, although still down approximately 30% year-on-year [15] Feed Sector - The report notes that raw material prices for feed are stabilizing at the bottom, with corn prices slightly down and soybean meal prices up [28] - As of December 12, corn prices averaged 2,356.67 yuan/ton, down 0.08%, while soybean meal prices rose by 1.54% to 3,159.43 yuan/ton [28] Planting Sector - The report indicates a confirmed upward trend in grain prices, suggesting favorable fundamentals for planting and seed industries, with significant investment opportunities [3][43] Pet Food Sector - The pet food industry is in a growth phase, with increasing domestic brand recognition and continuous growth among leading companies [3][43]

湖南蓝山：猪粪变身"金肥料" 循环农业拓宽致富路 "1吨猪粪处理成有机肥成本约百元，而同等肥效的商品化肥市场价高达每吨3750元，仅此一项就大幅降 低了种植成本。"唐喜波介绍，更省心的是，红薯秸秆、薯片等加工剩余物还能作为生猪饲料补充。 一条"以养带种、以种促养"的生态循环链在农场内部高效运转，真正实现"污染物"不出场、"废弃物"再 利用。 唐喜波的成功并非个例。在蓝山县，政策扶持正为循环农业发展保驾护航。目前，全县已有167家农户 加入种养结合行列，其中52家成为种、养兼备的"双料大户"。有机肥的施用范围也从红薯扩展到水稻、 水果、茶叶等多种作物，形成区域性的生态小循环。 农户的探索实践，离不开政策的精准滴灌。蓝山县通过"技术服务＋资金引导"双轮驱动，为产业转型注 入动力：一方面，每年组织4次以上集中培训，送技术下乡；另一方面，对环保设施按造价补贴40%， 对关键设备补贴30%，真金白银降低转型门槛。目前，该县正着手建设1至3个县级示范基地，旨在形成 一套可量化、易推广的"蓝山模式"。 从单个农户的"生态经济账"，到种养结合户的规模化实践，蓝山县以生态为纽带，串联起养殖、种植、 加工等多个环节，既守护了绿水 ...

宠物食品 行业增长动力发生根本性转变——从单纯依赖宠物数量增长，转向以"宠均消费提升"为核心驱动力。海 外市场增量不断，国产品牌认可度持续提升，龙头企业成长持续兑现。 投资建议与投资标的 投资建议：（1）生猪养殖板块，优质公司持续盈利和分红率提升依然是推动板块长期业绩和估值提升 的核心驱动；近期政策与市场合力推动生猪养殖行业产能去化，助力未来板块业绩长期提升，相关标 的：牧原股份、新希望、温氏股份、神农集团、巨星农牧等。（2）禽板块：产能缓增，价格有望维持 低波动，关注品种间节奏差异。中期黄鸡价格仍可观，远端引种受阻影响下，白鸡苗与肉鸡价格有望上 行，相关标的：圣农发展、益生股份、立华股份。（3）后周期板块，生猪存栏量回升提振饲料、动保 需求，若本轮生猪去产能顺畅，产业链利润有望逐步向下游传导，驱动动保板块上行，相关标的：海大 集团、瑞普生物等。（4）种植链，当前粮价上行趋势已确立，种植与种业基本面向好，大种植投资机 会凸显，相关标的：苏垦农发、北大荒、海南橡胶、隆平高科、荃银高科等。（5）宠物板块，宠食行 业正处于增量、提价逻辑持续落地的阶段，海外市场增量不断，国产品牌认可度持续提升，龙头企业成 长持续兑现 ...

Group 1 - The Indonesian government is revising regulations on foreign exchange earnings from natural resource exports, requiring exporters to deposit all foreign exchange earnings in state-owned banks for at least one year [1] - Exporters will only be allowed to convert up to 50% of their earnings into Indonesian rupiah, aimed at retaining more US dollars domestically to support the weakening currency [1] - The core objective of the new regulations is to ensure effectiveness in increasing the domestic supply of US dollars and to close regulatory loopholes [1] Group 2 - The Indonesian rupiah has depreciated over 3% in the past year, with the USD/IDR exchange rate around 16,668 on December 8 [3] - Indonesia's foreign exchange reserves increased slightly to $150.1 billion as of November 2025, but are down from $156.1 billion in January [3] - Commodity exporters in Indonesia may face cash flow issues due to the tightening of foreign exchange controls, potentially leading to increased borrowing costs [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The swine industry is entering an accelerated phase of capacity reduction, presenting opportunities for investment at the bottom of the market [3][4] - The poultry sector's fundamentals are expected to improve, with a focus on marginal changes in the cycle [4][5] - The animal health sector is closely monitoring the progress of African swine fever vaccine clinical trials, which could enhance the industry's competitive landscape [6][7] - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands rapidly emerging and improving profitability [9][10] Summary by Sections Swine Industry - The average price of live pigs in November was 11.69 yuan/kg, with a month-on-month change of 0 yuan/kg [15] - The number of breeding sows as of the end of October was 39.9 million, a decrease of 1.1% month-on-month and 2.1% year-on-year [15][16] - Investment suggestions include leading companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, with a focus on low-cost performance and dividend increases [16] Poultry Industry - The price of white feather broiler parent stock chicks was 41 yuan/set, down 6 yuan from the previous week [31] - The poultry sector is seeing a gradual recovery, with a recommendation for companies like Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [32] Animal Health - The profitability of self-breeding pigs has been negative for over two months, impacting the animal health sector [40] - Companies like Bio-Pharmaceuticals and Keqian Bio are recommended due to their strong business layouts and customer resources [6][40] Planting Industry - The price of corn was 2229 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 0.5% and a year-on-year increase of 8% [45] - Companies with early reserves in genetically modified seeds are recommended, including Suqian Agricultural Development and Longping High-Tech [50] Feed Industry - The price of feed for fattening pigs was 3.32 yuan/kg, with a month-on-month decrease of 20 yuan/ton [51] - The feed industry is expected to see increased concentration, with recommendations for Haida Group and He Feng Stock [52] Pet Industry - The pet consumption market in urban China is projected to reach 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5% [58] - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guibao Pet and Zhongchong Stock, with a focus on the pet medical sector as well [59]

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月07日 2025年12月08日 农林牧渔 2025 年 12 月投资策略 优于大市 牧业大周期反转预计在即，核心推荐港股奶牛养殖标的 月度重点推荐组合：优然牧业（牧业大周期受益龙头），现代牧业（国内牧 业龙头企业）、牧原股份（生猪养殖龙头）。 各细分板块推荐逻辑：1）肉牛及原奶：牧业大周期反转预计在即，看好国 内肉奶景气共振上行，牧业公司业绩有望迎来高弹性修复。2）生猪：头部 企业现金流快速好转，并有望转型为红利标的，在全行业产能收缩的背景下， 龙头的成本优势有望明显提高，强者恒强。3）宠物：宠物作为新消费优质 赛道，长期景气受益人口趋势，且国内自主品牌正快速崛起，头部宠食标的 中期业绩增长确定性仍较强。4）饲料：畜禽养殖工业化加深，产业分工明 确，饲料龙头凭借技术和服务优势，有望进一步拉大竞争优势。5）禽：供 给波动幅度有限，行情有望随需求复苏，龙头企业凭借单位超额收益优势有 望实现更高现金流分红回报。 农产品价格跟踪：1）生猪：11 月末生猪 11.25 元/公斤，月环比-10%，7kg 仔猪价格约 216 元/头，月环比+18%。2）禽：11 月末白鸡毛鸡价格 7.10 ...