Core Viewpoint - Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) has shown a strong financial performance with significant revenue and profit growth, indicating potential investment opportunities in the mining sector [1] Financial Performance - As of March 31, 2025, Silvercorp Metals reported total revenue of $299 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 38.9% [1] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached $58.19 million, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 60.28% [1] Stock Performance - On August 1, SVM opened with a 2.29% increase, trading at $4.47 per share, with a total transaction volume of $466,200 and a market capitalization of $974 million [1] Upcoming Events - Silvercorp Metals is scheduled to release its Q1 fiscal year 2025 earnings report on August 7, after the market closes [1] Company Overview - Silvercorp Metals is a low-cost silver producer based in Canada, with multiple mining operations in China [1] - The company's vision focuses on creating shareholder value through the acquisition of projects with resource potential and development opportunities [1]

Core Viewpoint - The Federal Reserve decided to maintain the federal funds rate target range at 4.25% to 4.50%, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change, which aligns with market expectations [2][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve Decision - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9 to 2 to keep the interest rates unchanged [3]. - The dissenting votes came from two members appointed by former President Trump, who favored a 25 basis point cut, marking the first time since 1993 that two members voted against a decision [4]. - The FOMC noted that while the unemployment rate remains low and the job market is stable, inflation is still slightly elevated [4]. Group 2: Economic Outlook - The FOMC acknowledged a slowdown in economic growth during the first half of the year, suggesting that continued trends could provide grounds for future rate cuts [4]. - Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell emphasized the high level of uncertainty regarding the economic outlook and stated that the Fed's inflation and employment targets still face risks [4]. Group 3: Political Pressure and Future Guidance - There has been significant political pressure from the White House for the Fed to lower interest rates, with Trump recently visiting the Fed's renovation site to exert influence [4]. - Powell did not provide guidance on a potential rate cut in September, indicating that the Fed would consider upcoming employment and inflation data before making any decisions [5]. Group 4: Market Reactions - U.S. stock indices showed mixed results, with the Dow Jones down 0.38%, S&P 500 down 0.12%, and Nasdaq up 0.15% [7]. - Major tech stocks experienced varied performance, with Meta reporting strong Q2 earnings, leading to a nearly 12% increase in its stock price post-announcement [8]. - The copper market reacted negatively to Trump's announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper products, resulting in an 18% drop in copper prices [9].

Silver Market Insights - Silver has recently reached a price of $39.06 per ounce, marking a 20% increase since early May, while gold has only increased by less than 5% during the same period [2] - The gold-to-silver ratio, which averaged around 60:1 from 2000 to 2020, is currently at 86 and falling, indicating a bullish outlook for silver [4][3] - The global silver market is experiencing a deficit of approximately 117 million ounces in 2024, continuing a trend of undersupply for five consecutive years [7] - Silver's role in the clean energy transition, particularly in solar panel production and electrification, is driving demand, while its price remains historically low [8] - Technically, silver has achieved a 14-year high with strong trading volume, suggesting potential for further gains towards the 2012 peak of $48, representing a 23% increase from current levels [9] The Metals Company (TMC) - TMC has seen a significant stock increase of 268% in less than two months, driven by its focus on polymetallic nodules rich in critical metals essential for clean energy [12][14] - TMC benefits from government backing and has a first-mover advantage with its fully filed ISA exploitation application and U.S. permit request [15] - The strategic investment of $85.2 million from Korea Zinc Co. enhances TMC's operational capabilities and reduces risks associated with downstream operations [18] Amazon's Market Position - Amazon is facing challenges due to its reliance on Chinese goods, with up to 70% of its products sourced from China, making it vulnerable to tariffs [23] - The cloud service division of Amazon has missed analyst expectations for three consecutive quarters, prompting significant capital investment from CEO Jeff Bezos [24] - A recommendation has been made to sell Amazon and consider investing in a lesser-known online retailer projected to be significantly more profitable by 2027 [25]

Group 1 - The London Metal Exchange (LME) reported an increase in copper inventory to 121,000 tons, up by 10,525 tons, marking the highest level since February [1] - Aluminum inventory rose to 423,525 tons, increasing by 6,550 tons [1] - Nickel inventory increased to 207,288 tons, with a rise of 708 tons [1] - Zinc inventory reached 121,350 tons, up by 2,750 tons [1] - Lead inventory decreased to 269,225 tons, down by 1,850 tons [1] - Tin inventory saw a slight increase to 2,035 tons, up by 55 tons [1]

Group 1 - The strategic partnership between Saudi Arabia and China is deepening, focusing on enhancing bilateral economic relations amidst complex global geopolitical and trade dynamics [2][5] - The chairman of the Saudi-Chinese Business Council emphasizes the importance of cooperation in mining, manufacturing, and advanced technology sectors, aligning with Saudi Arabia's industrialization goals [3][8] - The need for multilateral cooperation is highlighted as a response to rising protectionism and globalization challenges, with both countries committed to a win-win development approach [5][8] Group 2 - Saudi Arabia's Vision 2030 aims to diversify its economy away from oil dependency, promoting sustainable development and encouraging private sector investment in renewable energy [9] - The potential for collaboration in clean energy is significant, leveraging Saudi Arabia's renewable resources and China's advanced technology in the sector [9] - Financial technology development is seen as a key area for enhancing bilateral trade and investment, with both countries recognizing the importance of digital solutions and payment systems [9]

Group 1 - Australian Prime Minister Albanese is set to visit China from July 12 to 18, aiming to strengthen bilateral relations with Australia's largest trading partner [1][3] - The visit will include a 14-member business delegation from major companies such as Macquarie Group and Rio Tinto, indicating a focus on expanding economic ties [3] - China is willing to enhance cooperation in traditional sectors like agriculture and mining, while also exploring new areas such as AI, healthcare, and green energy [3] Group 2 - German Chancellor Merz is also planning a visit to China later this year, accompanied by a delegation of top corporate executives, to stabilize relations with China amid rising tensions [5] - The German government aims to deepen economic cooperation with China to mitigate the negative impacts of the trade tensions initiated by the Trump administration [5] - The U.S. government plans to prohibit foreign entities, including Chinese investors, from purchasing American farmland, citing national security concerns [5][7]

1. Investment Ratings - There is no information about the industry investment rating in the provided reports. 2. Core Views Metal and New Energy Materials Sector - **Copper**: The short - term price range is expected to be between 77,300 and 79,000, and the medium - term range is 60,000 - 90,000. A volatile trading strategy is recommended. Trump's proposed 50% tariff on US copper imports, supply changes in Chile and Indonesia, weak growth in Chinese home air - conditioner exports, and inventory increases are the main influencing factors. The high tariff may negatively impact real demand in the US [1][2]. Livestock and Soft Commodities Sector - **Protein Meal**: In the short term, the fluctuation of soybean meal is smaller than that of soybean oil. The soybean meal 2509 contract is expected to find a bottom in the range of [2,875, 3,100]. It is recommended to continue holding the short position of the out - of - the - money put option of soybean meal 2508 - P - 2850. The weather during the growing season of US soybeans and Canadian rapeseeds, trade policies, and the results of relevant hearings are the key factors affecting the market [3][5]. Petroleum Asphalt - In the short term, asphalt is expected to fluctuate and strengthen following the cost of crude oil. In the long term, the supply is on the rise, and factors such as typhoon weather in summer and insufficient project funds may affect the release of rigid demand. Attention should be paid to the marginal improvement of asphalt demand in August [6][7]. 3. Summary by Variety Copper - **Supply**: In June, Chile's copper export value was $4.67 billion, a 17.5% year - on - year increase. Indonesia may relax the copper concentrate export ban on Amman Mineral International due to local economic impacts [1]. - **Demand**: In May 2025, China's home air - conditioner exports were 9.695 million units, a slight 0.1% year - on - year increase, affected by the high base last year and "rush - to - export" behavior [1]. - **Inventory**: On July 9, LME copper inventory increased by 4,625 tons, and SHFE copper warrants increased by 2,227 tons to 21,336 tons [2]. Protein Meal - **Soybean**: From late May to now, the soil moisture of US soybeans and Canadian rapeseeds has been good. As of July 6, the good - to - excellent rate of 25/26 US soybeans was 66%, the flowering rate was 32%, and the pod - setting rate was 8%. Anec expects sufficient soybean arrivals in South America in July and August, and the trend of imported soybean inventory accumulation is gradually ending [3][4]. - **Rapeseed**: The drought in Canadian new - crop rapeseeds in late June has recently improved. As of June 30, the good - to - excellent rate of rapeseeds in Alberta has recovered from 45% to 58%. The development progress of oilseed crops and annual forage crops in Saskatchewan is still slower than normal but earlier than last year [4]. Petroleum Asphalt - **Supply**: As of July 8, the production profit of asphalt in Shandong independent refineries was - 543.66 yuan/ton, a weekly decline of 95.61 yuan/ton. The domestic asphalt refinery operating rate was 32.7%, a weekly increase of 1.0 percentage point. The domestic weekly asphalt production was 566,000 tons, a weekly increase of 13,000 tons. In the first six months of this year, China's cumulative asphalt production was 13.781 million tons, a 5.2% year - on - year increase [6]. - **Demand**: The terminal demand for asphalt is weak, mainly restricted by capital shortages and heavy rainfall in the South. The demand in the North is relatively stable. After the plum - rain season in East and South China in July, it theoretically enters the peak demand season, but some northern regions are still affected by rainfall. The social inventory depletion has slowed down [7]. - **Cost**: The extension of the US tariff negotiation period and Houthi attacks on Red Sea vessels have provided upward momentum for oil prices. In summer, the peak driving season arrives, refinery operating rates in major oil - consuming countries return to normal, and US shale oil production has declined for ten consecutive weeks, providing some support for oil prices [7].

Group 1 - The announcement of a 50% tariff on imported copper by Trump has led to a sharp increase in copper prices in the U.S., creating a significant price disparity with other regions [1][2] - Nearly half of the copper used in the U.S. is imported, and it is essential for various sectors including machinery, electronics, appliances, housing, and infrastructure projects [1] - Analysts warn that the tariff will have a substantial impact on businesses and the overall U.S. economy, with potential increases in consumer prices for goods like refrigerators and air conditioners [2][3] Group 2 - The price of copper in the U.S. surged over 13% to a historical high of $5.69 per pound, marking the largest single-day increase since 1989, while the London Metal Exchange (LME) price only rose by 0.3% [1] - The Comex-LME price spread has fluctuated between $500 and $1500 since February, with a recent spike of 138% to over $2600 per ton [2] - If the 50% tariff takes effect, U.S. consumers may face prices around $15,000 per ton for copper, compared to approximately $10,000 in other global markets [2] Group 3 - There are significant barriers to increasing domestic copper production, including long permitting delays for mining projects and high costs for developing new facilities [2] - The potential shift to using cheaper aluminum instead of copper in some projects could arise, despite aluminum's higher long-term maintenance costs [2] - Analysts suggest that the upcoming tariffs could mark a pivotal moment for the copper market, potentially closing the window for U.S. copper imports until late 2025 [3]

Core Viewpoint - Platinum has emerged as a significant investment opportunity in 2025, with prices rising over 40% in the first half of the year, driven by increased demand from China and supply constraints from South Africa [1][4]. Group 1: Factors Driving Platinum Prices - The surge in platinum prices is attributed to multiple factors, including a significant increase in imports from China and a 24% year-on-year decline in South African production in April [4][5]. - In June, platinum prices soared by 28%, marking the strongest monthly performance since 1986, reaching an 11-year high of $1432.6 per ounce [3][4]. - The World Platinum Investment Council reported a 26% increase in China's platinum jewelry processing in Q1, further supporting demand [5][6]. Group 2: Potential Challenges Ahead - Analysts express concerns about the sustainability of platinum's price increase, citing expected slowdowns in Chinese imports and a recovery in South African production [3][8]. - Metals Focus predicts a supply shortage of 52,900 ounces in the global platinum market this year, but inventory levels are expected to remain high at 9.2 million ounces, equivalent to 14 months of demand [8]. - The recent spike in platinum prices may dampen demand, with expectations of a decline in Chinese imports following a strong performance in the previous months [9][10]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The automotive sector, a major consumer of platinum for catalytic converters, faces challenges due to the rise of electric vehicles and reduced production forecasts, which could weaken platinum demand [11]. - Nornickel, the largest palladium producer, indicated that further increases in platinum prices could lead to a shift towards palladium as a substitute when the price difference exceeds 30% [11][12]. - Despite cautious outlooks from analysts, there is no expectation of a significant price correction, with many believing that platinum prices will stabilize above previous levels, supporting miner profitability [13].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The global economy and financial markets are being significantly influenced by geopolitical tensions, central bank policies, and macroeconomic data [2][13][18] - The commodity market, especially the energy and metal sectors, is experiencing price fluctuations due to geopolitical risks and supply - demand dynamics [2][3] - The bond market shows a complex situation with different trends in yields and prices, affected by factors like credit supply - demand and central bank operations [21][26] - The stock market has seen declines in both A - shares and Hong Kong stocks, with individual stocks and sectors performing differently [29][30] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Macro Data - GDP in Q1 2025 grew at a 5.4% year - on - year rate, unchanged from the previous quarter but up from 5.3% in the same period last year [1] - In May 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.5%, up from 49.0% in the previous month, while the non - manufacturing PMI for business activities was 50.3%, down from 50.4% [1] - Social financing scale in May 2025 was 22871.00 billion yuan, up from 11591.00 billion yuan in the previous month [1] - CPI in May 2025 was - 0.1% year - on - year, unchanged from the previous month but down from 0.3% in the same period last year; PPI was - 3.3% year - on - year, down from - 2.7% [1] 3.2 Commodity Investment 3.2.1 Comprehensive - Trump criticized Fed Chair Powell, believing that the Fed should have cut interest rates by 2.5 percentage points, which could save billions on short - term debt [2] - Due to the tense situation in the Middle East, Brent crude futures have an implied geopolitical risk premium of about $8/barrel, which may expand if the US intervenes [2] 3.2.2 Metals - China is accelerating the review of rare - earth export license applications and has approved a certain number of compliant applications [3] - 95% of respondents expect global central banks to increase their gold reserves in the next 12 months, and UBS expects the gold price to reach about $3500/ounce by the end of this year [3] - Silver prices have risen by over 11% since June, breaking a 13 - year high, driven by industrial demand recovery [3] 3.2.3 Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - Canada will take additional tariff measures to address overcapacity and unfair trade in the steel and aluminum industries [6] - First Quantum is preparing to ship copper from its Panama mine [6] - Indonesia is strengthening its steel industry by focusing on stainless - steel production in the oil and gas field [6] 3.2.4 Energy and Chemicals - OPEC Secretary - General said that global oil demand remains resilient and will be an important part of the energy structure in the next two decades [7] - Different institutions have different forecasts for oil prices under different scenarios of Iranian oil supply disruptions [9] 3.2.5 Agricultural Products - The global cotton market may see a large - scale increase in production, which may put pressure on cotton prices when new flowers are listed in October [10] - The large - scale wheat harvest in China's "Three Summers" is basically over, with a 96% harvest progress as of June 18 [10] 3.3 Financial News 3.3.1 Open Market - On June 19, the central bank conducted 2035 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with a net investment of 842 billion yuan [12] 3.3.2 Key News - China's President Xi Jinping proposed four points on the Middle East situation during a call with Russia's President Putin [13] - Trump has approved an attack plan on Iran but has not issued a final order yet [13] - The central bank of some European countries cut interest rates, while the US and UK maintained their rates [18] 3.3.3 Bond Market - Bank - to - bank main interest - rate bonds' yields mostly rose, and treasury - bond futures showed a differentiated trend [21] - Exchange - traded bonds had different price movements, with some rising and some falling [21] 3.3.4 Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB against the US dollar closed down 14 points, while the central parity rate was up 32 points [25] - The US dollar index fell 0.12%, and non - US currencies showed mixed performance [25] 3.3.5 Research Report Highlights - CITIC Securities believes that the credit - bond market has a prominent performance, and short - end coupon assets are preferred [26] - Huatai Securities suggests a "high - odds + left - hand + trading - oriented" allocation strategy [27] 3.4 Stock Market - On Thursday, A - shares fell unilaterally, with over 4600 stocks declining, while oil and gas stocks and solid - state battery concepts rose [29] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index fell 1.99%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell 2.42% [30] - Bubble Mart's stock price fell over 5% on June 19 due to a slump in the secondary market of its Labubu series [31]