Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a rebound with the Shanghai Composite Index, CSI 300, CSI 500, and ChiNext Index rising by 1.13%, 0.88%, 1.60%, and 2.32% respectively during the week of June 2-6[5] - The PE (TTM) for CSI 300 is currently at 12.56 times, with a risk premium of 6.31%, which is above one standard deviation[5] - The PE (TTM) for ChiNext is at 30.92, below one negative standard deviation[5] Economic Indicators - The OECD has downgraded the U.S. economic growth forecast for 2025 from 2.2% to 1.6% and for 2026 to 1.5% due to tariff policies and increased uncertainty[5] - The global growth forecast for 2025 has been reduced from 3.10% to 2.9%[5] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000 in May, above the market expectation of 130,000, while the unemployment rate remained at 4.2% for the third consecutive month[5] Policy Developments - The People's Bank of China conducted a 100 billion yuan reverse repo operation to maintain liquidity in the banking system[5] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange plans to encourage listed companies to increase dividend payouts and enhance market value management tools[5] Investment Strategy - The report suggests focusing on value dividend sectors and domestically supported technology industries such as AI, semiconductors, and defense[5] - The market is expected to maintain a wide fluctuation and structural trend, with short-term upward momentum lacking due to weak domestic economic fundamentals[5]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery due to increased risk appetite, with the ChiNext index leading the gains at 2.3% while the Shanghai 50 index saw the smallest increase of 0.4% [3] Market Performance - The overall A-share market experienced a divergence this week, with major indices generally rising. The valuation of the entire A-share market is currently at a medium level historically since 2010 [3] - The communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics sectors performed relatively well, with respective increases of 5.3%, 3.7%, and 3.6%. In contrast, the household appliances, food and beverage, and transportation sectors saw declines of 1.8%, 1.1%, and 0.5% [3] Domestic and External Factors - Recent domestic events include the launch of the "Service Consumption Season" by the Ministry of Commerce and the deployment of policies for the 2025 New Energy Vehicles initiative. Externally, significant events include a phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump, and the SEC tightening regulations on foreign companies listed in the U.S. [4] - The domestic economy remains stable, supported by growth policies, which are expected to provide a cushion for the market. Despite potential market fluctuations, supportive funds are likely to flow into the stock market to stabilize it [4] Market Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a consolidation phase, with external risks potentially limiting further upward movement. The current level of the Shanghai index is near the points seen in early April, making upward breakthroughs challenging [5] - Short-term external risks may have peaked, but vigilance regarding Trump's policy changes is necessary. Domestic policies are expected to continue to be implemented, with consumption remaining a key driver of economic recovery [5] Investment Focus - Attention should be given to three main lines of investment: 1. Domestic consumption, with a focus on home goods, food processing, professional services, and leisure foods, as policies to expand domestic demand are expected to catalyze growth [6] 2. Domestic substitution, focusing on industries with high import ratios from the U.S. and strong domestic supply capabilities, such as publishing and building materials, as well as sectors like aerospace equipment and medical devices that are expected to improve domestic supply [6] Fund Allocation - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" may have a profound impact on fund allocation, with sectors currently underweight by funds, such as banking, non-bank financials, public utilities, and transportation, being worth attention in the medium to long term [7]

Group 1 - The report highlights a positive outlook for the consumption service industry, technology, and cyclical leaders, driven by macroeconomic expectations and microeconomic improvements. Key indicators show a slight recovery in manufacturing PMI and industrial output growth, suggesting potential for cost reductions in midstream manufacturing leaders and value in undervalued sectors like petrochemicals and new consumption [9][10][11] - In the domestic equity market, growth stocks outperformed financials, cyclicals, and consumer sectors, with an average daily trading volume of 1.1857 trillion yuan, indicating increased market activity and risk appetite [12][20] - The report notes that 25 out of 31 sectors in the Shenwan classification saw gains, with telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, and electronics leading the way, while household appliances and food and beverage sectors experienced declines [20][23] Group 2 - The report discusses the liquidity management strategy of the central bank, which is focused on maintaining stability by "shortening and lengthening" liquidity provisions. This includes net withdrawals through OMO and reverse repos, indicating a balanced approach to short and long-term liquidity [10][21][22] - It mentions that the yields on government bonds have slightly decreased due to ample liquidity, with 1-year and 10-year government bond yields at 1.41% and 1.65%, respectively, reflecting a stable interest rate environment [12][25] - The report also highlights the fluctuations in U.S. Treasury yields, which are influenced by contrasting employment data, with 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields rising to 4.04% and 4.51%, respectively, indicating market sensitivity to economic indicators [28][29] Group 3 - The report provides insights into the performance of major commodities, noting that crude oil, gold, copper, and aluminum prices have increased, driven by easing trade relations and OPEC+ production adjustments [12][13][32] - It highlights the significant rebound in crude oil prices, which reached $64.58 per barrel, and the increase in U.S. crude oil production to 13.41 million barrels per day, reflecting a robust energy sector [32][39] - The report also discusses the dynamics of the gold market, with the People's Bank of China increasing its gold reserves for seven consecutive months, impacting gold prices amid expectations of U.S. interest rate cuts [12][13][32]

以下文章来源于36氪财经 ，作者丁卯 郑怀舟 36氪财经 . 36氪旗下官方账号。洞见市场，比99%的投资者更聪明。 A股估值重塑有望延续。 文 ｜ 丁卯 编辑 ｜ 郑怀舟 来源｜ 36氪财经（ID： krfinance） 封面来源 ｜ 视觉中国 本周，受端午节假期影响，周内仅4个交易日。市场在内外部因素共振下，情绪有所回暖，展现出弱反弹态走势，盘中大盘指数向3400点发起冲击，但受量 能偏弱影响未能如愿。全周来看，各宽基指数均迎来反弹，以创业板和中证1000指数为代表成长和中小盘表现最为亮眼。具体来看，上证指数收于3385.36 点，涨幅1.13%；深证成指收于10183.7点，涨幅1.42%；沪深300指数收于3873.98点，涨幅0.88%；创业板指数收于2039.44点，涨幅2.32%；中证1000指数 收于6152.84点，涨幅2.10%；科创50指数收于991.64点，涨幅1.5%。 行业方面，31个申万一级行业中25个上涨，仅6个下跌。表现较好的为通信（5.27%）、有色金属（3.74%）和电子（3.6%）；表现较差的为家用电器 （-1.79%）、食品饮料（-1.06%）、交通运输（-0.54% ...

Market Performance - The A-share market showed signs of recovery this week, with the ChiNext Index rising by 2.3%, while the Shanghai 50 Index had the smallest increase of 0.4%[1] - The overall valuation of the Wind All A Index is currently at a historical average level since 2010[1] - Among sectors, telecommunications, non-ferrous metals, and electronics performed well, with increases of 5.3%, 3.7%, and 3.6% respectively[1] Economic Factors - Domestic policies aimed at stabilizing growth, such as the launch of the 2025 "Service Consumption Season" and the promotion of new energy vehicles, are being implemented[2] - External factors include a recent phone call between Chinese President Xi Jinping and U.S. President Trump, and the SEC tightening regulations on foreign companies listed in the U.S.[2] - The overall domestic economy remains stable, with a projected resilient economic performance in Q2 due to supportive policies and reduced tariffs between China and the U.S.[2] Investment Strategies - Focus on three main investment lines: - Domestic consumption, which is expected to receive policy support and has shown resilience in earnings[4] - Domestic substitution, targeting industries with high import ratios from the U.S. and strong domestic supply capabilities[4] - Sectors currently underweighted by funds, such as banking and public utilities, which may present long-term investment opportunities[4] Risk Analysis - Potential risks include policy measures falling short of expectations, continued weak consumption data, and significant declines in market sentiment[4] - Concerns over external disturbances, particularly from U.S. policy changes, may hinder market upward movement, especially as the Shanghai Index approaches levels seen in early April[2][3]

2025 年 6 月 8 日 策略研究 内外因素交织，市场或维持整固状态 ——策略周专题（2025 年 6 月第 1 期） 要点 本周 A 股市场出现分化 受风险偏好抬升等因素的影响，本周 A 股市场出现回暖。主要宽基指数普遍上 涨，在主要宽基指数中，本周创业板指涨幅最大，涨幅为 2.3%，而上证 50 涨 幅最小，涨幅为 0.4%。目前万得全 A 估值处于 2010 年以来历史中等位置。 行业方面，通信、有色金属、电子表现相对较好。分行业来看，本周申万一级行 业大多出现上涨。通信、有色金属、电子等行业本周表现相对较好，涨幅分别为 5.3%、3.7%及 3.6%；相比之下，家用电器、食品饮料、交通运输等行业的跌 幅则较大，本周分别下跌 1.8%、1.1%及 0.5%。 内外因素交织，市场或维持整固状态 近期国内外都有哪些重要事件发生？国内事件主要为部分稳增长政策落地，如商 务部启动 2025 年"服务消费季"活动、五部门近期部署 2025 年新能源汽车下 乡活动等。从外部来看，近期发生的重要事件主要包括 6 月 5 日晚国家主席习 近平应约同美国总统特朗普通电话、美国证券交易委员会（SEC）周三进一步收 紧对 ...

——可转债周报（2025 年 6 月 3 日至 2025 年 6 月 6 日） 要点 1、市场行情 本周（2025 年 6 月 3 日至 6 月 6 日，共 4 个交易日）转债市场继续回暖；本周 中证转债指数涨跌幅为+1.1%（上一交易周为+0.2%），本周中证全指变动为 +1.5%。2025 年开年以来，中证转债涨跌幅为+4.7%，中证全指数涨跌幅为 +1.8%，转债市场表现好于权益市场。 2025 年 6 月 6 日 总量研究 持续回暖 分评级来看，高评级券（评级为 AA+及以上）、中评级券（评级为 AA）、低评 级券（评级为 AA-及以下）本周涨跌幅分别为+0.93%、+1.34%、+1.82%，低 评级券本周涨幅最大。分转债规模看，大规模转债（债券余额大于 50 亿元）、 中规模转债（余额在 5 至 50 亿元之间）、小规模转债（余额小于 5 亿元）本周 涨跌幅分别为+0.68%、+1.30%和+1.96%，小规模转债涨幅最大。分平价来看， 超高平价券（转股价值大于 130 元）、高平价券（转股价值在 110 至 130 元之 间）、中平价券（转股价值在 90 至 110 元之间）、低平价券（转股价值 ...

单一资产管理合同 合同编号：鑫众海尔智家 11 号 兴证资管鑫众海尔智家 11 号员工持股 单一资产管理计划 资产管理合同 投资者：海尔智家股份有限公司（代海尔智家股份 有限公司 2025 年度 H 股核心员工持股计划） 管理人：兴证证券资产管理有限公司 托管人：兴业银行股份有限公司上海分行 第 1页 单一资产管理合同 附件六：《兴证资管鑫众海尔智家 11 号员工持股单一资产管理计划成立通知书》（样本） ...94 第 2页 单一资产管理合同 重要提示 本《兴证资管鑫众海尔智家 11 号员工持股单一资产管理计划资产管理合同》仅 作为"海尔智家股份有限公司 2025 年度 H 股核心员工持股计划"项目披露材料，不代 表各方已实际按照本合同建立法律权利义务关系，合同各方的权利义务需以各方正 式签订的《兴证资管鑫众海尔智家 11 号员工持股单一资产管理计划资产管理合同》 及相关法律文本为准。 前言 为规范单一资产管理业务的运作，明确单一资产管理合同当事人的权利与义务， 根据《中华人民共和国民法典》《中华人民共和国证券法》（以下简称《证券法》） 《中华人民共和国证券投资基金法》（以下简称《基金法》）《关于规范金融机构 ...

Core Viewpoint - The China Securities Index for Home Appliances has shown a slight increase of 0.3% recently, with a current value of 11,215.49 points, while the index has experienced a 1.25% increase over the past month, a 3.37% decrease over the past three months, and a 0.80% decline year-to-date [1] Group 1: Index Performance - The China Securities Index for Home Appliances opened high and fluctuated, with a trading volume of 19.674 billion yuan [1] - The index is categorized into various industry levels, including 11 primary industries, 35 secondary industries, over 90 tertiary industries, and more than 200 quaternary industries [1] Group 2: Index Composition - The top ten weighted companies in the index are Gree Electric Appliances (16.07%), Midea Group (15.58%), Haier Smart Home (12.57%), Sanhua Intelligent Control (8.23%), Sichuan Changhong (5.1%), Roborock Technology (4.44%), Megmeet (2.8%), Hisense Visual Technology (2.46%), Bull Group (1.92%), and Hisense Home Appliances (1.74%) [1] - The market share of the index's holdings is 65.47% from the Shenzhen Stock Exchange and 34.53% from the Shanghai Stock Exchange [1] Group 3: Sample Adjustments - The index samples are adjusted biannually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with temporary adjustments made in response to changes in the index samples [2] Group 4: Related Funds - Public funds tracking the home appliance index include: Harvest CSI Home Appliance Index C, Fortune CSI Home Appliance Linked A, Guotai CSI Home Appliance ETF Linked A, and several others [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights an upcoming event in Qingdao focused on deep industry and capital dialogue, featuring visits to benchmark companies and showcasing their innovative strategies in the context of the IoT era and consumer engagement. Group 1: Event Details - The "Qingdao Listed Companies Deep Research" event is scheduled for June 10-12, lasting three days and two nights, organized by Nanfang Financial Education Base in collaboration with Stock Market Broadcasting and Investment Express [1][6]. Group 2: Company Insights - The first company is recognized as a global leader in smart home ecosystems and a benchmark for transformation in the IoT era, having led global retail sales of large home appliances for 14 consecutive years [2]. - The second company, a century-old brand, is exploring youth marketing strategies to engage Generation Z, evolving from traditional products like "calcium milk biscuits" to trendy items [3]. - The third company is noted for its 120-year brewing legacy, ranking as the fifth largest beer brand globally and leading the high-end beer market in China [4]. Group 3: Research Highlights - The event will include a visit to the "Ecological Interconnected Factory" to experience comprehensive smart home solutions and observe the transformation of traditional manufacturing into an open ecological platform [3]. - Participants will analyze the global layout of the brands "Haier + Casarte + Candy," which operate in nearly 200 countries, focusing on localized operational innovations [3]. - The event will feature a tour of the Qingdao Beer Museum, showcasing the transition from traditional brewing methods to intelligent production, along with a tasting of high-end product lines to understand the brand matrix and scene marketing strategies [5].