来源：环球网 在春节这一关键的保供"大考"前夕，中国石化销售上海石油分公司（以下简称"上海石油"）的"新春走 基层"活动，深入闵行油库的管线巡检一线与位于市中心的第十加能站，实地探访这座能源央企如何在 传统能源与新能源的双赛道上，保障城市运行的安全底记与绿色转型的活力。 地下"生命线"的守护者：日行万步丈量安全 位于上海西南的闵行油库始建于1968年，是保障上海市西南地区成品油市场供应的重要枢纽。而在油库 之外，全长约110公里的两条输油管道则如同隐秘的"大动脉"，将成品油源源不断地从上海石化输送至 此。 对闵行油库管道技术管理人员邓师傅和他的团队来说，春节并不意味着休息，而是"提级管理"的开 始。"管道埋在地下，地面上每隔约100米设有一个标志桩。我们的工作，就是确保这100多公里管廊不 仅在图纸上清晰，更在现实中无恙。"邓师傅介绍道。 据了解，为了满足日益增长的市场保供需求，设计年输量300万吨的新成品油管道已于2025年底投入试 生产，目前正处于首个迎峰度冬的关键期，巡检压力随之倍增。 "我们有9位专职徒步巡线员，加上车辆巡检作为补充。"邓师傅指着墙上的地图解释说，这支队伍无论 寒暑，每天都要在这条线路 ...

Market Overview - The A-share and stock index futures market are exhibiting distinct "pre-holiday characteristics" as the Spring Festival approaches, aligning with historical patterns of risk aversion and market sentiment contraction [1] - Trading volume has significantly shrunk, with the average daily trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets dropping to around 2.5 trillion yuan in February, down from 3 trillion yuan in January [1] - The market is experiencing a cautious sentiment, with traders preferring short-term speculative trades rather than long-term holdings, reflecting increased uncertainty [1] Trading Behavior - The last week before the holiday is expected to see a continued decline in average daily trading volume due to traders' inclination to secure profits and a lack of willingness for new capital to enter the market [2] - The margin financing scale has also decreased, indicating a decline in risk appetite and cautious trading sentiment ahead of the holiday [2] - The current margin financing balance accounts for only 2.62% of the A-share market's circulating market value, suggesting a healthy market structure [2] Industry Performance - In the first week of February, there was a notable divergence in industry performance, with food and beverage, beauty care, transportation, and banking sectors showing gains, while sectors like non-ferrous metals, telecommunications, electronics, and petrochemicals faced declines [3] - Defensive sectors such as food and beverage and banking are performing better, aligning with the trend of risk-averse capital seeking stable returns [3] - The market sentiment has shifted from previous exuberance to a more rational phase, with long-term investors focusing on valuation and earnings certainty [3] Futures Market Dynamics - The significant divergence in performance among stock index futures is attributed to the varying styles in the spot market, with the price spread between IC and IH narrowing after reaching a historical high [4] - The price spread is expected to continue contracting in February, aligning with the mean reversion logic of stock index futures [4] - Post-holiday, there is a strong likelihood of a "New Year rally," driven by the return of previously withdrawn funds and positive market sentiment [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the rising tensions in the Middle East, particularly between the US and Iran, which could lead to significant impacts on global energy and chemical markets, especially in oil and methanol prices [1][2] - As of February 6, 2023, the oil futures market attracted nearly 3.4 billion yuan in investments, while the chemical futures sector saw over 1.4 billion yuan inflow, indicating a strong interest despite overall cautious market sentiment [1] - The geopolitical risks have led to a noticeable increase in international oil prices by approximately 10.89% and methanol prices by about 1.26% since January 2023, reflecting the market's sensitivity to Middle Eastern developments [2] Group 2 - In the context of the chemical sector, 207 out of 319 tracked products experienced price increases, with significant gains in liquid chlorine (71.43%), lithium hydroxide (44.10%), and acetonitrile (32.86%), indicating a recovery in basic chemical prices [3] - The A-share basic chemical sector showed resilience, with notable gains in fluorine chemicals and chemical fibers, as the China Petroleum and Chemical Industry Index rose by 2% on February 6, 2023 [3] - Fund managers have shown increased interest in the chemical sector, with a reported active allocation increase of 1.13% in the basic chemical industry, reflecting a growing confidence in the sector's long-term prospects [4]

截至2月9日13：20，石化ETF（159731）涨0.69%，持仓股浙江龙盛、彤程新材、华峰化学涨幅居前。 从资金净流入方面来看，石化ETF（159731）近20个交易日资金净流入总计14.47亿元，最新份额达 17.30亿份，最新规模达17.48亿元，均创成立以来新高。 据国家发展改革委2月5日消息，为保障2026年春耕及全年农业生产用肥需求，国家发展改革委近日发布 通知，从保障化肥生产原料供应，稳定化肥生产；促进化肥顺畅流通；加强化肥储备管理；加强化肥进 出口服务管理；加强化肥市场监管；推进科学施肥等六方面，全面部署做好2026年春耕及全年化肥保供 稳价工作。 光大证券认为确保国家粮食安全始终是头等大事，化肥及农药行业的稳健发展不仅是化工产业的重要组 成部分，更是落实乡村振兴战略、提升农业综合生产能力的核心物质基础。上述政策文件的发布体现了 政府部门对于农业发展的高度重视，将为化肥、农药行业提供长期稳定的发展环境和转型升级的动力。 华福证券认为，随着海内外经济回暖，主要化工品价格与需求均步入修复通道。化工行业龙头企业历经 多年竞争和扩张，具有显著规模优势，且通过研发投入持续夯实成本护城河，核心竞争力显著 ...

Market Performance - The three major A-share indices collectively rose in early trading on February 9, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.17%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 2.07%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.11% [1] - The North Stock 50 index rose by 1.42% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached approximately 1,490.98 billion yuan, an increase of about 106.78 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Stock Movement - A total of 4,442 stocks in the market rose, while 903 stocks declined, with 84 stocks hitting the daily limit up and 6 stocks hitting the daily limit down [1] Sector Performance - Industries such as CPO, AI corpus, short dramas, film and television, cultural media, and communications saw significant gains [1] - Conversely, sectors including sugar substitutes/sweeteners, dairy products, iron ore, energy metals, and petroleum and petrochemicals experienced notable declines [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the positive performance of the petrochemical industry index, with a notable increase of approximately 0.85% and significant inflows into related ETFs, indicating investor confidence in the sector [1] - The petrochemical ETF (159731) has seen a net inflow of 1.447 billion yuan over the past 20 trading days, suggesting a strategic accumulation by investors [1] - Citic Securities identifies chemical, non-ferrous, and electric new industries as sectors with competitive advantages in China, emphasizing their potential for profit recovery and improved return on equity (ROE) in the long term [1] Group 2 - The basic chemical industry accounts for 60.02% and the oil and petrochemical industry for 32.43% of the petrochemical ETF, indicating a strong alignment with downstream chemical profit recovery [1] - The article suggests that the recent volatility in commodity prices does not affect the underlying logic of these industries, and a certain level of market correction could benefit the clearing of short-term speculative funds [1] - The long-term narrative for the industry is expected to improve due to structural adjustments in supply and demand, alongside an optimization of the industry landscape [1]

Market Overview - A-shares opened higher on February 9, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 4100 points, showing a broad-based increase in individual stocks [2] - By midday, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.17% to 4113.28 points, the ChiNext Index increased by 3.11% to 3337.03 points, and the Shenzhen Component Index climbed by 2.07% to 14194.23 points [2] Sector Performance - The computing hardware industry chain experienced a surge, with CPO and memory sectors leading the gains [3] - Notable stocks such as Tianfu Communication, Guangke Technology, and Taicheng Light saw significant increases, with some stocks hitting the daily limit or rising over 10% [3] - Media stocks also performed well, with companies like Zhongwen Online and Rongxin Culture seeing similar gains [3] Declining Sectors - The oil and petrochemical sector faced declines, with companies like Qianeng Hengxin and Tongyuan Petroleum dropping over 2% [4] Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - CITIC Securities noted a shift in overseas market risk appetite and liquidity, emphasizing a growing urgency for "de-virtualization" in the U.S. and Europe [6] - The report highlighted that the Chinese capital market has already completed the "de-virtualization" pricing process and is currently validating and pricing for "quality improvement and efficiency enhancement" [6] - Financial analysts predict that the A-share market will continue to experience a bullish trend, driven by a dual easing policy and increased market participation from household savings [7]

市 场 研 究 [Table_Title] 万联晨会 [Table_MeetReportDate] 2026 年 02 月 09 日 星期一 [Table_Summary] 概览 3096 核心观点 【市场回顾】 上周五，A 股低开后震荡上行，尾盘有所回落，截至收盘，上证指数 收跌 0.25%，报 4065.58 点，深证成指跌 0.33%，创业板指跌 0.73%。 沪深两市 A 股成交额约 2.15 万亿元人民币，超 2500 股上涨。申万行 业方面，石油石化、基础化工行业领涨，食品饮料行业领跌；概念板 块方面，氟化工概念、染料概念涨幅居前。港股方面，香港恒生指数 收跌 1.21%，恒生科技指数跌 1.11%。美国三大股指全线收涨，道指 涨 2.47%，报 50115.67 点，创历史新高，标普 500 指数涨 1.97%，纳 指涨 2.18%。欧洲股市全线上涨，亚太股市多数下跌。 【重要新闻】 【李强主持召开国务院第十次全体会议，讨论政府工作报告稿和"十 五五"规划纲要草案稿】国务院总理李强 2 月 6 日主持召开国务院第 十次全体会议，讨论拟提请十四届全国人大四次会议审议的政府工作 报告稿和"十五五"规 ...

截至2月6日，市场最新融资余额为26470.46亿元，较上个交易日环比减少170.21亿元，分行业统计，申 万所属一级行业融资余额全部呈减少态势，有色金属、电力设备、通信等行业融资余额减少较多，分别 减少20.52亿元、20.46亿元、15.94亿元。 以幅度进行统计，融资余额环比降幅居前的行业有石油石化、煤炭、有色金属等，最新融资余额分别有 228.49亿元、151.77亿元、1474.51亿元，分别下降2.00%、1.77%、1.37%。（数据宝） 2月6日各行业融资余额环比变动 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 最新融资 | 代码 | | 较上一日增减（亿元） | 环比增幅（%） | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 余额（亿元） | | | | 美容护理 | 68.62 | -0.13 | -0.20 | | 综合 | 50.02 | -0.25 | -0.49 | | 纺织服饰 | 87.75 | -0.66 | -0.74 | | 社会服务 | 133.08 | -0.66 | -0.49 | | 钢铁 | 173.02 | -0.87 | - ...

电网设备：板块在国内外强劲需求与政策驱动下前景明朗。国内方面，部分变压器企业订单已排产至 2027年，国家电网"十五五"期间计划投资大幅增长；海外新能源转型亦带来持续需求。行业在"订单饱 满、投资加码、出海可期"的多重利好下，业绩具备支撑。投资者可持续关注电网ETF（561380）。 风险提示：提及个股仅用于行业事件分析，不构成任何个股推荐或投资建议。指数等短期涨跌仅供参 考，不代表其未来表现，亦不构成对基金业绩的承诺或保证。观点可能随市场环境变化而调整，不构成 投资建议或承诺。提及基金风险收益特征各不相同，敬请投资者仔细阅读基金法律文件，充分了解产品 要素、风险等级及收益分配原则，选择与自身风险承受能力匹配的产品，谨慎投资。 每日经济新闻 市场概览：2月6日A股低开后震荡上行，尾盘有所回落。截至当日收盘，上证指数跌0.25%，深证成指 跌0.33%，创业板指跌0.73%。沪深两市成交额2.16万亿元，略低于上一个交易日。化工、石油石化、中 药等表现强势，白酒股表现走弱，AI应用及光模块概念延续调整。港股市场，恒生指数收跌1.21%，恒 生科技指数跌1.11%。 化工：行业在供需两端共同驱动下延续强劲势头。一 ...