2025年四季度，全国规模以上工业产能利用率为74.9%，比三季度上升0.3个百分点，比上年同期下降1.3个百分点。2025年全国规模以上工业产能利用率为 74.4%。 分三大门类看，2025年四季度，采矿业产能利用率为71.7%；制造业产能利用率为75.2%；电力、热力、燃气及水生产和供应业产能利用率为74.0%。 分主要行业看，2025年四季度，煤炭开采和洗选业产能利用率为69.1%，食品制造业为68.5%，纺织业为77.1%，化学原料和化学制品制造业为74.1%，非金 属矿物制品业为61.1%，黑色金属冶炼和压延加工业为78.5%，有色金属冶炼和压延加工业为75.8%，通用设备制造业为78.7%，专用设备制造业为76.4%，汽 车制造业为76.0%，电气机械和器材制造业为75.0%，计算机、通信和其他电子设备制造业为79.7%。 2025年四季度规模以上工业产能利用率 | | 行业 | 四季度 | | 全年 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 产能利用率 | 比上年同期增 | 产能利用 | 比上年同期增 | | | | （%） | 减（百分点） ...

Core Insights - In 2025, China's fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 48,518.6 billion yuan, a decrease of 3.8% compared to the previous year, with private fixed asset investment declining by 6.4% [1][6] Investment by Industry - Investment in the primary industry was 957 billion yuan, showing a growth of 2.3% year-on-year [3] - Investment in the secondary industry totaled 177,368 billion yuan, with a growth of 2.5% [3] - The tertiary industry saw a decline in investment, amounting to 298,248 billion yuan, down by 7.4% [3] Secondary Industry Breakdown - Within the secondary industry, industrial investment grew by 2.6% year-on-year [4] - Mining investment increased by 2.5%, while manufacturing investment grew by 0.6% [4] - Investment in the electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply industry rose significantly by 9.1% [4] Infrastructure and Regional Investment - Infrastructure investment (excluding electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply) decreased by 2.2% [4] - Investment in pipeline transportation surged by 36.0%, while multimodal transport and logistics saw a growth of 22.9% [4] - Investment trends varied by region, with the eastern region experiencing an 8.4% decline, the central region down by 2.7%, the western region down by 1.3%, and the northeastern region down by 15.5% [4] Investment by Registration Type - Domestic enterprises' fixed asset investment fell by 3.8%, while investment from Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan enterprises decreased by 2.2% [5] - Foreign enterprises saw a significant decline in fixed asset investment, down by 13.8% [5]

一年来，太仓抢抓重大战略机遇，持续推进改革开放，不断提升城市发展能级。沪苏锡常城际铁路 太仓先导段启动盾构施工，海太通道开启穿江掘进；启动江苏美妆港湾建设，设立省药监局化妆品备案 一站式服务窗口；完善"1+7+N"海外联络体系，"中外（中德）职业技能（职业资格）比照认定""外商 独资职业培训机构试点"纳入国家服务业扩大开放综合试点，获评中欧ESG最佳案例、县域国际传播创 新案例；入选全国100个乡村全面振兴工作联系点，获评全省推进乡村全面振兴争先进位县，"探索金融 支持农业生产低碳转型实践"获批全国农村改革试验任务。 过去五年，太仓地区生产总值年均增长5.8%，新增"四上"企业637家，经营主体超15.6万家；累计 实施省重大项目27个、苏州重点项目199个，工业投资年均增长11.6%，规上工业总产值迈上3000亿元 台阶，稳居全国综合实力百强县前十位，入选国家创新型县市建设名单，连续五年位列全国科技创新百 强县第二位。 2026年是"十五五"开局之年，太仓将聚焦"3+3+X"产业方向，加快智能化、绿色化、融合化发展； 坚持项目为王、产业为基，实施加强招商引资、推动重大项目突破攻坚行动；实施加快产创融合、培育 ...

Group 1 - The concept of "bottomless top" suggests that the market experiences a gradual upward trend with periodic highs and lows, which is characteristic of a slow bull market [3][75] - A-shares have shown a slow upward trend since September 2024, with the overall increase slope being the lowest compared to previous bull markets [4][76] - There are differing opinions among investors regarding the long-term outlook for A-shares, with some believing that recent reforms may lead to a sustained slow bull market, while others remain skeptical [3][75] Group 2 - The "bottomless top" slow bull market is crucial for enhancing China's international status, improving economic growth quality, and facilitating industrial upgrades [6][76] - Strengthening the renminbi's "functional anchor" is essential for establishing a strong financial nation, with a focus on improving the attractiveness and supply of renminbi assets [6][76] - A healthy capital market that provides sustainable returns through a slow bull market is key to attracting global capital allocation and reinforcing the renminbi's role [6][76] Group 3 - A-shares have historically struggled to establish a slow bull market due to frequent bull-bear cycles and high volatility, with only 51% of months showing gains compared to 66% for the S&P 500 [11][19] - The A-share market has experienced a higher frequency of significant monthly gains, indicating a tendency for rapid increases that can deplete future expectations [11][19] - The structural characteristics of China's economy, including reliance on capital formation and the real estate sector, contribute to the "pulse-like" nature of A-share earnings [19][20] Group 4 - Recent reforms, including the "New National Nine Articles," aim to address the imbalance in investment and financing, which has historically exacerbated market volatility [46][70] - The focus on improving dividend policies and enhancing regulatory oversight is expected to stabilize the market and increase the attractiveness of A-shares to long-term investors [47][70] - The gradual establishment of mechanisms for long-term capital entry into the A-share market is supported by policy initiatives and the current economic environment [54][55] Group 5 - The current economic transformation and the rise of new productive forces are expected to create a more sustainable growth model, reducing the reliance on high-leverage growth patterns [37][45] - The manufacturing sector's scale economy and the expansion of overseas operations are becoming significant growth drivers for Chinese companies [38][45] - The shift towards a more market-oriented and sustainable growth model is anticipated to enhance the stability and sustainability of earnings in the A-share market [45][72]

Core Insights - The article discusses the transformative impact of AI on various industries, emphasizing the shift towards native AI infrastructure and the revival of American manufacturing by 2026 [2][3][16]. Group 1: AI Infrastructure and Industry Transformation - The rise of native AI and software-first industry infrastructure is reshaping sectors like energy, manufacturing, logistics, and infrastructure, creating significant opportunities [2]. - Companies are moving away from modernizing past systems to building future-oriented solutions, particularly in advanced energy systems and autonomous operations [2]. - The integration of AI into manufacturing processes will lead to a new era of industrial strength, characterized by modular deployment of AI and automation technologies [3]. Group 2: Observability and Data Utilization - The concept of physical observability is becoming crucial, with over a billion connected cameras and sensors deployed across the U.S., enabling real-time insights into urban and infrastructure dynamics [5]. - The demand for data in key industries is increasing, with companies leveraging existing physical infrastructure to collect vast amounts of operational data at minimal costs [9][10]. Group 3: AI in Financial Services - Financial institutions are expected to modernize their foundational infrastructure to fully leverage AI, moving away from outdated vendor contracts to more integrated native AI solutions [16]. - The simplification and parallelization of workflows in financial services will lead to the emergence of new market leaders that can scale significantly beyond traditional firms [16]. Group 4: New Roles and Organizational Structures - The rise of multi-agent systems will necessitate a rethinking of organizational structures and workflows, leading to the creation of new roles such as AI workflow designers and agent supervisors [19]. - Companies will need to develop coordination systems to manage interactions among multiple AI agents, enhancing decision-making and operational efficiency [19]. Group 5: Consumer AI Evolution - By 2026, consumer AI products are expected to shift from productivity tools to enhancing personal connections and self-awareness, creating a more integrated part of daily life [20][21]. - The emergence of new companies driven by advanced reasoning and multi-modal capabilities will unlock previously impossible business models and applications [22]. Group 6: Startup Ecosystem and Growth Strategies - Startups are positioned to capitalize on the current AI product cycle by targeting new companies and growing alongside them, following a "greenfield" approach [23]. - The year 2026 is anticipated to witness a significant scaling of startups that adopt this strategy, focusing on underserved markets and innovative solutions [23].

在经历数年调整后，2025年的权益市场虽不乏亮点，但投资者"获得感"仍不明显，市场表现与真实感受 之间为何依然存在错位？ （原标题：泉果基金刚登峰—— A股港股仍处宝贵布局时期 投资主战场聚焦三大领域） 证券时报记者 王小芊 科技、新能源与周期 近日，泉果基金董事总经理、研究部总经理刚登峰接受证券时报记者采访时表示，这种错位更多源于市 场所处阶段的特殊性。"尽管仍需要时间积蓄共识，但长期来看，现在的A股、港股，都是一个非常好 的投资时期。"他认为，无论从经济基本面还是资本市场结构来看，过去几年压制权益市场的核心因 素，正在逐步进入调整的中后段。 经济修复叠加制度变化 权益基础正在夯实 刚登峰对当前市场的乐观，首先来自对经济层面的系统观察。在他看来，市场过去几年最为担忧的几个 核心变量，已经走过了最剧烈的阶段。 首先是房地产。自2021年以来，房地产行业经历了时间与幅度都相对充分的调整，对居民财富效应和消 费倾向的拖累，正在逐步减弱。 其次是外贸结构的变化。近几年中国对单一市场的依赖程度明显下降，出口结构趋于多元化，高附加值 产品占比持续提升，电动载人汽车、锂电池和太阳能电池三类产品"新三样"等领域的拓展，使整 ...

Emerging Fields - The release of 4 national standards for industrial internet platforms supports the scalable development and application of industrial internet platforms [1] - 4 national standards for digital supply chains are aimed at enhancing the resilience of industrial chains through digitalization [1] - 5 national standards for smart factory safety integration promote high-quality and sustainable development in manufacturing through data-driven management [1] - National standards for the classification and comprehensive utilization of recyclable rare earth secondary resources support the recycling of rare earth resources [1] Transportation and Green Low-Carbon - 23 national standards related to railway freight transport, intelligent transport, and aviation services facilitate efficient development in transportation [1] - 7 national standards for explosion-proof industrial vehicles and off-road forklifts promote the standardized development of the industrial vehicle sector [1] - 3 logistics national standards for multimodal transport service quality assessment and the integration of logistics and manufacturing industries guide the integration of transport modes [1] - 17 national standards for carbon capture, green factory evaluation, and greenhouse gas emission accounting assist in achieving carbon neutrality goals [1] Safety Production - 13 mandatory national standards for production safety accident investigation and economic loss statistics enhance safety emergency capabilities in hazardous chemical enterprises [2] - 4 mandatory national standards in the fire safety sector improve the fire performance and quality of building insulation materials and rescue equipment [2] - 28 national standards related to feed, pesticides, plant quarantine, and animal husbandry provide a technical foundation for agricultural production safety [2] Daily Life - 6 national standards for children's products, including portable baby sleep baskets and VOC emission measurement, aim to enhance product quality and safety [2] - 3 national standards for elderly care institutions standardize care practices and improve the quality of life services [2] - 5 national standards for traditional Chinese medicine better protect public health through classification and assessment [2] - 5 national standards for musical instruments, including pianos and electric instruments, cater to the cultural and spiritual needs of the public [2] - 2 mandatory national standards for sports venues, including climbing and fencing, ensure safety in fitness activities [2] Additional Standards - The market regulatory authority has also released national standards in areas such as government services, wind power generation systems, water conservation, and agricultural products [2]

证券时报记者 王小芊 在经历数年调整后，2025年的权益市场虽不乏亮点，但投资者"获得感"仍不明显，市场表现与真实感受之间为何 依然存在错位？ 在经济层面逐步企稳的同时，资本市场自身的制度环境也在发生变化。融资节奏趋于克制，上市公司对分红与回 购的重视程度显著提升，市场对投资者回报的关注度明显提高。刚登峰认为，这意味着优质企业依然有能力通过 治理改善与股东回报，为投资者提供基础收益。 产业趋势主战场： 科技、新能源与周期 在刚登峰的投资框架中，科技、新能源与周期并非彼此割裂的三条赛道，而是产业逻辑在不同阶段的体现。"我更 关注产业所处的周期位置。"他说。 近日，泉果基金董事总经理、研究部总经理刚登峰接受证券时报记者采访时表示，这种错位更多源于市场所处阶 段的特殊性。"尽管仍需要时间积蓄共识，但长期来看，现在的A股、港股，都是一个非常好的投资时期。"他认 为，无论从经济基本面还是资本市场结构来看，过去几年压制权益市场的核心因素，正在逐步进入调整的中后 段。 经济修复叠加制度变化 权益基础正在夯实 刚登峰对当前市场的乐观，首先来自对经济层面的系统观察。在他看来，市场过去几年最为担忧的几个核心变 量，已经走过了最剧 ...

在经历数年调整后，2025年的权益市场虽不乏亮点，但投资者"获得感"仍不明显，市场表现与真实感受 之间为何依然存在错位？ 在刚登峰的投资框架中，科技、新能源与周期并非彼此割裂的三条赛道，而是产业逻辑在不同阶段的体 现。"我更关注产业所处的周期位置。"他说。 近日，泉果基金董事总经理、研究部总经理刚登峰接受证券时报记者采访时表示，这种错位更多源于市 场所处阶段的特殊性。"尽管仍需要时间积蓄共识，但长期来看，现在的A股、港股，都是一个非常好 的投资时期。"他认为，无论从经济基本面还是资本市场结构来看，过去几年压制权益市场的核心因 素，正在逐步进入调整的中后段。 经济修复叠加制度变化 权益基础正在夯实 刚登峰对当前市场的乐观，首先来自对经济层面的系统观察。在他看来，市场过去几年最为担忧的几个 核心变量，已经走过了最剧烈的阶段。 首先是房地产。自2021年以来，房地产行业经历了时间与幅度都相对充分的调整，对居民财富效应和消 费倾向的拖累，正在逐步减弱。 其次是外贸结构的变化。近几年中国对单一市场的依赖程度明显下降，出口结构趋于多元化，高附加值 产品占比持续提升，电动载人汽车、锂电池和太阳能电池三类产品"新三样"等领域 ...

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market in 2026 is experiencing significant activity, with insurance funds acting as a stabilizing force and booster in the rising equity market [2][3] Investment Strategy - The company plans to focus on sectors such as AI, semiconductor autonomy, robotics, and new energy, while also considering financial, cyclical, and consumer sectors for investment [3] - The use of ETFs and other investment tools will be leveraged to enhance asset allocation [3] Market Dynamics - The strong performance of the equity market in early 2026 is attributed to three main factors: macroeconomic recovery, policy expectations, and the influx of new capital [3][4] - The macroeconomic environment is improving, with a positive outlook for policies supporting technological innovation and new productive forces [4] Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI returned to the expansion zone at 50.1% in December 2025, indicating a recovery in manufacturing activity [4] - High-tech manufacturing PMI reached 52.5%, with production and new order indices also showing positive trends, supporting the stock market's upward movement [4] Liquidity and Capital Inflow - Reasonable liquidity and expected inflow of new capital are contributing to market growth, with potential new capital exceeding 70 billion yuan due to regulatory adjustments [4] - The strengthening of the RMB is enhancing the attractiveness of Chinese assets, with increased participation from ordinary residents through various investment channels [4] Market Outlook - The equity market is expected to experience a steady increase in overall index levels compared to 2025, reflecting a process of core function optimization and market value reassessment [5] - The improvement in corporate earnings, ongoing policy support, and the recognition of Chinese asset value are identified as the three core drivers of market strength [5][6] Corporate Earnings and Policy Support - A turning point in corporate earnings is anticipated, transitioning from valuation recovery to fundamental improvement, supported by favorable policies and the global AI technology cycle [5] - The "14th Five-Year Plan" is expected to drive significant investments in sectors like AI and commercial aerospace, with long-term capital entering the market [5][6] International Perspective - China's manufacturing industry has developed a robust competitive edge, with global recognition of high-quality Chinese assets increasing [6]