证券之星消息，12月18日能源金属板块较上一交易日上涨0.23%，博迁新材领涨。当日上证指数报收于 3876.37，上涨0.16%。深证成指报收于13053.98，下跌1.29%。能源金属板块个股涨跌见下表： 从资金流向上来看，当日能源金属板块主力资金净流入4535.17万元，游资资金净流出1.22亿元，散户资 金净流入7638.43万元。能源金属板块个股资金流向见下表： 以上内容为证券之星据公开信息整理，由AI算法生成（网信算备310104345710301240019号），不构成投资建议。 ...

今年以来永兴材料已经2次登上龙虎榜，最近一次登上龙虎榜为10月31日。 资料显示，永兴特种材料科技股份有限公司位于浙江省湖州市霅水桥路618号，成立日期2000年7月19 日，上市日期2015年5月15日，公司主营业务涉及不锈钢及特殊合金材料等特种金属材料棒线材的研 发、生产和销售。主营业务收入构成为：棒材47.71%，线材24.66%，碳酸锂20.10%，其他7.53%。 12月18日，永兴材料盘中下跌2.01%，截至14:00，报47.20元/股，成交5.83亿元，换手率3.13%，总市值 254.46亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出3939.98万元，特大单买入1972.35万元，占比3.38%，卖出4693.75万 元，占比8.05%；大单买入9972.11万元，占比17.11%，卖出1.12亿元，占比19.20%。 永兴材料今年以来股价涨27.79%，近5个交易日涨2.41%，近20日跌13.79%，近60日涨35.38%。 截至9月30日，永兴材料股东户数5.25万，较上期减少2.28%；人均流通股7401股，较上期增加2.33%。 2025年1月-9月，永兴材料实现营业收入55.47亿元，同 ...

Core Viewpoint - Ganfeng Lithium has shown significant stock performance with an 84.34% increase year-to-date, despite a recent decline of 9.84% over the past 20 days [2] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 18, Ganfeng Lithium's stock price increased by 2.02%, reaching 64.26 CNY per share, with a trading volume of 12.14 billion CNY and a turnover rate of 1.60% [1] - The company has appeared on the stock market's "龙虎榜" (top trading list) four times this year, with the most recent instance on October 13, where it recorded a net buy of -1.65 billion CNY [2] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Ganfeng Lithium reported a revenue of 14.625 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.02%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 255.2 million CNY, which is a 103.99% increase [2] - The company has distributed a total of 6.162 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 3.933 billion CNY distributed over the last three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, Ganfeng Lithium had 372,500 shareholders, an increase of 31.18% from the previous period, with an average of 3,243 circulating shares per shareholder, down by 23.77% [2] - Major shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, which holds 69.1199 million shares, and several ETFs, with some experiencing reductions in holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - The market is currently experiencing consolidation, with A-shares showing a downward trend, while the non-ferrous metal sector, particularly the non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876), is performing well, indicating strong technical momentum [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876) has seen an intraday high increase of 0.77% and is currently up 0.44%, remaining above all moving averages, suggesting strong technical momentum [1] - Major stocks in the non-ferrous sector include Huayou Cobalt, which rose over 4%, and several others like Baotai Co., Huaxi Nonferrous, and Xiyang Co. that increased by more than 3% [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The macroeconomic environment is expected to influence the commodity market, with three main lines projected to drive the rise in non-ferrous metal prices: "green inflation" related to basic metals, "anti-involution" policies affecting lithium and other new energy metals, and a potential "interest rate cut wave" benefiting precious metals like gold [2][3] - The "green inflation" narrative suggests that demand for copper and aluminum will continue to rise due to the growth of new industries such as AI and renewable energy, with expectations of price increases driven by supply shortages [2] - The "anti-involution" aspect indicates that lithium prices may rise as excess capacity is cleared and costs increase, with projections for lithium carbonate prices to reach 90,000-100,000, potentially rising to 120,000 by 2026 [3] - The anticipated acceleration of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts could enhance gold's appeal as a non-replaceable monetary asset, providing opportunities for investment in precious metals [3] Group 3: Investment Strategy - The non-ferrous metal sector is expected to continue its bullish trend, with various institutions expressing optimism about the ongoing bull market [4] - A diversified investment approach through the non-ferrous metal leader ETF (159876) is recommended, as it covers a wide range of metals including copper, aluminum, gold, rare earths, and lithium, thus mitigating risks associated with investing in single metal sectors [5] - As of December 16, the non-ferrous leader ETF (159876) has a total scale of 840 million, making it the largest ETF tracking the same index in the market [7]

Core Insights - The energy metal sector is experiencing a surge in demand driven by the explosive growth in energy storage needs and a tightening supply from major resource countries [1][2] - Key metals such as lithium, cobalt, and nickel are at the beginning of a new cycle, with supply management policies from resource-rich countries reshaping the global supply landscape [1][2] Supply Dynamics - Major resource countries like the Democratic Republic of Congo (for cobalt) and Indonesia (for nickel) are actively managing supply through quotas and licensing, aiming to gain control over resource pricing [1][2] - The tightening of supply is a strategic focus for countries amid a backdrop of de-globalization, with the DRC limiting cobalt supply and Indonesia adjusting nickel production quotas [1][2] Demand Trends - Energy storage demand is set to redefine the long-term demand curve for energy metals, with projections indicating that lithium carbonate demand in the energy storage sector could reach approximately 345,000 tons by 2025 and exceed 500,000 tons by 2026, a tenfold increase from 2021 [2][3] - The shift in demand dynamics, coupled with supply constraints, is expected to lead to a pivotal supply-demand balance in the energy metal sector by 2026 [2] Investment Opportunities - Lithium: The sector is poised for a recovery in supply-demand balance by 2026, with companies like Ganfeng Lithium, Tianqi Lithium, and others expected to benefit due to their resource and cost advantages [2][3] - Cobalt/Nickel: Cobalt prices are on an upward trajectory due to supply management, while nickel prices are positioned for recovery as they have reached a low point in the cost curve [2][3] - Rare Earth Materials: Supply constraints from domestic production controls are supporting strong prices, with companies like Ningbo Yunsheng and Jinchuan Group positioned to benefit [2][3]

早盘提示 Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 12 月 18 日 星期四 联系方式：yujunli@greendh.com | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 周三两市主要指数早盘震荡整理，午后快速拉升，技术形态明显修复。两市成交额 1.81 万亿元，稍有放大。沪深 300 指数收 4579 点，涨 82 点，涨幅 1.83%；上证 50 | | | | | 指数收 2991 点，涨 36 点，涨幅 1.25%；中证 500 指数收 7137 点，涨 136 点，涨幅 | | | | | 1.95%；中证 1000 指数收 7288 点，涨 107 点，涨幅 1.49%。行业与主题 ETF 中涨幅 | | | | | 居前的是通信 ETF、创业板人工智能 ETF 南方、通信设备 ETF、5G ETF、稀有金属 | | | | | ETF，跌幅居前的是航空航天 ETF、通用航空 ETF、卫星 ETF ...

12月17日，A股三大指数强势拉升，其中深证成指涨2.4%，创业板指涨3.39%。板块上，能源金属大爆 发，盛新锂能涨停，永杉锂业、融捷股份、西藏矿业等多只个股涨超5%跟涨。 光大期货认为，碳酸锂方面近期供给资源扰动，复产预期转弱带动价格走强，在中期视角下，即便淡季 价格有概率转弱，届时下游备货意愿或也将表现相对较强，且有正极产能规划带动需求预期，价格易涨 难跌，关注复产节奏和淡季排产环降幅度。 （文章来源：21世纪经济报道） 基本面上，锂价近期持续反弹，向上突破动能强劲。12月17日，广期所碳酸锂主力合约涨幅一度冲高至 7.75%，报10.88万元/吨，价格创下自2024年5月份以来的新高，年内累计涨幅超40%。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The non-ferrous metal sector showed strong performance on December 17, with the leading non-ferrous metal ETF (159876) rising over 3.8% during the day and closing up 3.27%, indicating positive market sentiment towards the sector [1][10]. Fund Flows - The non-ferrous metal ETF attracted significant capital, with a single-day inflow of 10.13 million yuan and a total of 198 million yuan over the past 20 days, reflecting investor confidence in the sector's future performance [1][10]. Stock Performance - Lithium stocks surged, with Shengxin Lithium Energy hitting the daily limit, Zhongmin Resources rising over 8%, Tianqi Lithium increasing by 6%, and Ganfeng Lithium up nearly 5%. In the lead zinc sector, Guocheng Mining also hit the daily limit, while Xingye Silver Tin rose over 6%. In the aluminum sector, Zhongfu Industrial increased by over 5%, Huafeng Aluminum by over 4%, and China Aluminum by over 3% [3][12]. Macro Factors - In the macroeconomic context, the U.S. added 64,000 non-farm jobs in November, with the unemployment rate unexpectedly rising to 4.6%, the highest in four years. This weak job market increases the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, which could support non-ferrous metal prices [4][13]. Industry Insights - Lithium carbonate futures saw a significant spike, rising over 8% to reach 109,860 yuan/ton. The cancellation of 27 mining licenses may impact the supply-demand dynamics of lithium, potentially driving prices higher. CITIC Securities expressed optimism about copper, aluminum, and gold as key investment options, citing limited new copper capacity and increasing demand from renewable energy and AI data centers [5][14]. Investment Strategy - Given the current market conditions and geopolitical tensions, non-ferrous metals are viewed as core assets for medium to long-term investment. The non-ferrous metal ETF (159876) and its linked funds provide comprehensive exposure to various metals, allowing for risk diversification compared to investing in single metal sectors [6][14].

那么，是谁导演了这场逆转？在我看来，这并非单一力量所为，而是市场内在动能与外部催化剂共振的 结果。一方面，以能源金属和CPO为代表的板块，本身已经调整了一段时间，技术上存在反弹需求，这 是"内因"；另一方面，可能有一些积极的宏观信号或产业消息（比如关于AI算力投入、新能源需求预期 的边际变化）在午后被市场捕捉并放大，点燃了做多情绪，这是"外因"。两者结合，最终促成了这场酣 畅淋漓的反攻。 我的核心观点是：今天的放量普涨，很可能标志着市场短期调整压力的充分释放和情绪的低点修复。 它最大的意义，不在于一天涨了多少，而在于重新凝聚了场内外的信心，为后续行情的发展打开了更积 极的空间。创业板指的强势领涨，尤其对提振成长股的风险偏好至关重要。 基于此，我给大家的明日操作策略，可以围绕 "积极但不冒进，聚焦主线顺势而为" 来展开。 朋友们，收盘了！今天这行情，上午和下午简直是两副面孔。如果说上午的市场还在小心翼翼地试探水 温，那么午后创业板指那根"旱地拔葱"般的直线拉升，就是资金用真金白银投出的最直白一票。3.39% 的涨幅，超过3600只个股上涨，再配上明显放大的成交量，这一系列组合拳，让市场情绪从早盘的分 化，直接切 ...

Group 1 - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded to reports of the Thai military seizing Chinese-made anti-tank missiles in Cambodia, emphasizing that China's defense cooperation with Thailand and Cambodia does not target any third party and is unrelated to the conflict at the border [1] - The Central Economic Work Conference highlighted that expanding domestic demand is the top priority for the coming year, with domestic demand contributing 71% to economic growth in the first three quarters of the year [2] Group 2 - Dongxing Securities announced that it plans to be absorbed by China International Capital Corporation (CICC) and Xinda Securities through a share swap, with trading resuming on December 18, 2025 [2] - CICC's share swap price is set at 36.91 yuan per share, with each share of Dongxing Securities being exchangeable for 0.5188 shares of CICC [9] Group 3 - The price of tungsten powder has surged to 1 million yuan per ton, marking a 216.5% increase since the beginning of the year, while ammonium paratungstate (APT) has also seen significant price increases [8]