FICC日报 | 2025-06-04 股指低开高走，金融板块表现强势 市场分析 特朗普提高关税。国内方面，美方称中方违反日内瓦会谈共识，对此，外交部发言人林剑表示，商务部发言人此 前已就此阐明中方严正立场。日内瓦共识是中美双方在相互尊重、平等协商的原则下达成的。美方在毫无事实根 据的情况下，对中方抹黑指责，出台对华芯片出口管制、暂停对华芯片设计软件销售、宣布撤销中国留学生签证 等极端打压措施，严重破坏日内瓦共识，也损害了中方正当权益。中方对此坚决反对，已提出严正交涉。林剑强 调，施压和胁迫不是同中方打交道的正确方式。我们督促美方尊重事实，停止散布虚假信息，纠正有关错误做法， 以实际行动维护双方达成的共识。海外方面，特朗普宣布将进口钢铁和铝及其衍生制品的关税从25%提高至50%， 该关税政策自美国东部时间2025年6月4日凌晨00时01分起生效。美国从英国进口的钢铝关税仍将维持在25%。 股指上涨。现货市场，A股三大指数低开高走，上证指数涨0.43%收于33631.98点，创业板指涨0.48%。行业方面， 板块指数涨多跌少，美容护理、纺织服饰、银行行业领涨，家用电器、钢铁、煤炭行业跌幅居前。当日沪深两市 成交 ...

Market Overview - The market experienced a slight rebound with all three major indices closing higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index at 3361.98, up 0.43% [1] - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.14 trillion, an increase of 22.3 billion compared to the previous trading day [4] Sector Performance - The top-performing sectors included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), and Banking (up 1.98%) [1] - Conversely, the sectors that underperformed were Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), and Coal (down 0.84%) [1] Concept Indices - Notable concept indices that performed well included the China-South Korea Free Trade Zone (up 4.23%), Cell Immunotherapy (up 3.87%), and Football Concept (up 3.56%) [2] - Underperforming concept indices included Special Steel Concept (down 0.93%) and Medical Waste Treatment (down 0.51%) [2] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a range-bound and consolidating trend, with a focus on sectors such as Finance, Pharmaceutical Biology, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and Non-ferrous Metals [4] - The upcoming mid-year performance expectations are anticipated to drive structural market trends, with fundamentals becoming a key factor [4]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a rebound on June 3, with broad-based gains across indices, indicating a positive market response to domestic demand and policy support despite external trade tensions [2][7]. Market Dynamics - The market is characterized by "domestic demand-driven and policy-supported" dynamics, with financials, pharmaceuticals, and new consumption sectors attracting significant capital [2][10]. - Recent developments in U.S. tariff issues have heightened market risk aversion, leading to a surge in gold prices and declines in Hong Kong stocks, but the A-share market showed resilience by recovering losses [2][3]. Sector Performance - The consumer sector, particularly in beauty care, maternal and infant care, and pet products, has become a safe haven for funds due to policy support and consumption recovery [3][9]. - The banking sector is favored for its "high dividend and low volatility" characteristics, with several banks reaching historical highs amid increased institutional investment [7][10]. - The precious metals sector is gaining traction as a hedge against geopolitical conflicts and U.S. debt risks, becoming a core tool for mitigating uncertainty [3][9]. Structural Trends - The innovation drug sector is witnessing a fundamental reversal, driven by significant advancements showcased at international conferences, boosting industry confidence [4][9]. - Conversely, sectors like home appliances and steel are experiencing declines due to tariff impacts and reduced earnings certainty, reflecting a market strategy of "avoiding external demand and protecting internal demand" [5][10]. Outlook - Looking ahead to June, the marginal impact of tariff issues is expected to weaken, with domestic policies and industry fundamentals remaining focal points [6]. - In the absence of major catalysts, broad indices are likely to maintain a sideways trend, with structural opportunities emerging in new consumption, defensive sectors, and performance reversals in pharmaceuticals and beauty care [6][9].

主力资金净流出的行业有19个，计算机行业主力资金净流出规模居首，全天净流出资金24.79亿元，其 次是汽车行业，净流出资金为19.59亿元，净流出资金较多的还有电子、机械设备、国防军工等行业。 纺织服饰行业今日上涨2.53%，全天主力资金净流入5.25亿元，该行业所属的个股共105只，今日上涨的 有88只，涨停的有6只；下跌的有14只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有56只， 其中，净流入资金超5000万元的有6只，净流入资金居首的是朗姿股份，今日净流入资金1.09亿元，紧 随其后的是曼卡龙、潮宏基，净流入资金分别为7505.80万元、5858.77万元。纺织服饰行业资金净流出 个股中，净流出资金居前的有酷特智能、ST金一、华孚时尚，净流出资金分别为1917.99万元、1713.59 万元、1559.23万元。（数据宝） 纺织服饰行业资金流入榜 沪指6月3日上涨0.43%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有20个，涨幅居前的行业为美容护理、纺织服 饰，涨幅分别为3.86%、2.53%。纺织服饰行业位居今日涨幅榜第二。跌幅居前的行业为家用电器、钢 铁，跌幅分别为2.10%、1.37%。 资金面上看，两 ...

118只股公布截至5月31日最新股东户数，相比上期股东户数下降的有68只，降幅居前的是南山智尚、中 航成飞、天孚通信等。 最新筹码集中股排行榜 3股最新股东户数降逾一成 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，共有118只个股公布了5月31日股东户数，与上期（5月20日）相比，股东户 数下降的有68只。其中股东户数降幅超一成的有3只。 股东户数降幅最多的是南山智尚，截至5月31日最新股东户数为28153户，较5月20日下降18.69%，筹码 集中以来该股累计下跌12.33%，累计换手率为37.89%，其间主力资金净流出2.76亿元。 其次是中航成飞，截至5月31日最新股东户数为88366户，较5月20日下降16.14%，筹码集中以来该股累 计下跌3.41%，累计换手率为43.90%，其间主力资金净流出9.13亿元。 市场表现方面，最新一期筹码集中股5月21日以来平均下跌0.34%，涨幅居前的有恒通股份、广信材 料、保税科技等，分别上涨21.96%、12.87%、12.47%。所属行业来看，筹码集中股中机械设备、国防 军工、电子等行业最为集中，分别有14只、7只、6只个股上榜。（数据宝） 投资者除了在定期报告中获得股东信息数 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market saw all major indices rise today, with the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.43% closing at 3361.98 points, the Shenzhen Component Index up by 0.16% at 10057.17 points, the ChiNext Index up by 0.48% at 2002.70 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index up by 0.48% at 981.71 points [1][12] - Overall, 3390 stocks rose while 1782 stocks fell, with a total trading volume of 1141.4 billion yuan, an increase of 2.2 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Industry Performance - Among the Shenwan first-level industries, the sectors that saw gains included Beauty Care (up 3.86%), Textile and Apparel (up 2.53%), Comprehensive (up 2.02%), Banking (up 1.98%), and Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (up 1.80%) [1][12] - The sectors that experienced declines included Household Appliances (down 2.10%), Steel (down 1.37%), Coal (down 0.84%), Building Materials (down 0.52%), and Environmental Protection (down 0.40%) [1][12] Concept Sectors - The top-performing concept sectors today included Gold and Jewelry, Medical Beauty, Dairy Industry, Gene Testing, CRO, Anti-Cancer, Rare Earth, Biological Vaccines, Innovative Drugs, and Medical Supplies Export [2][11] - Conversely, sectors such as Automotive Complete Vehicles, Wireless Charging, and Excavators experienced pullbacks [11]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index increased by 0.36% as of 13:58, with a trading volume of 779.15 million shares and a turnover of 936.02 billion yuan, representing a 0.34% increase compared to the previous trading day [1]. Industry Performance - The top-performing sectors included: - Beauty Care: Increased by 4.10% with a transaction amount of 10.36 billion yuan, led by Shuiyang Co., which rose by 15.15% [1]. - Comprehensive: Increased by 2.16% with a transaction amount of 2.24 billion yuan, led by Nanjing Xinbai, which rose by 6.23% [1]. - Textile and Apparel: Increased by 2.03% with a transaction amount of 13.61 billion yuan, led by Mankalon, which rose by 19.98% [1]. - The sectors with the largest declines included: - Household Appliances: Decreased by 1.87% with a transaction amount of 15.38 billion yuan, led by Midea Group, which fell by 4.17% [2]. - Steel: Decreased by 1.37% with a transaction amount of 4.86 billion yuan, led by Benxi Steel, which fell by 6.75% [2]. - Coal: Decreased by 1.09% with a transaction amount of 5.21 billion yuan, led by Anyuan Coal Industry, which fell by 4.32% [2]. Detailed Industry Data - The following table summarizes the performance of various industries: | Industry | Change (%) | Transaction Amount (billion yuan) | Change from Previous Day (%) | Leading Stock | Change (%) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Beauty Care | 4.10 | 10.36 | 34.48 | Shuiyang Co. | 15.15 | | Comprehensive | 2.16 | 2.24 | 12.95 | Nanjing Xinbai | 6.23 | | Textile and Apparel | 2.03 | 13.61 | 15.61 | Mankalon | 19.98 | | Household Appliances | -1.87 | 15.38 | 17.34 | Midea Group | -4.17 | | Steel | -1.37 | 4.86 | 31.69 | Benxi Steel | -6.75 | | Coal | -1.09 | 5.21 | 45.64 | Anyuan Coal Industry | -4.32 | [1][2]

（原标题：今日68只A股封板 美容护理行业涨幅最大） 证券时报•数据宝统计，截至上午收盘，今日沪指涨0.48%，A股成交量636.80亿股，成交金额7638.85亿元，比上一个交易日减少0.93%。个股方 面，3437只个股上涨，其中涨停68只，1735只个股下跌，其中跌停5只。从申万行业来看，美容护理、综合、纺织服饰等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为 3.61%、2.25%、1.73%；钢铁、家用电器、煤炭等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为1.50%、1.48%、0.88%。（数据宝） 今日各行业表现（截至上午收盘） | 申万行业 | 行业 | 成交额 | 比上日 | | 涨跌幅 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 涨跌 | （亿元） | （%） | 领涨（跌）股 | （%） | | | （%） | | | | | | 美容护理 | 3.61 | 81.35 24.94 | | 水羊股份 | 12.61 | | 综合 | 2.25 | 17.50 | 5.79 | 特力A | 4.95 | | 纺织服饰 | 1.73 | 109.34 | 9.09 | 曼卡龙 | 19.98 | ...

Group 1: Dividend Performance Analysis - Historically, the China Securities Dividend Index significantly underperformed in June and October since 2010, with excess return rates against the CSI 300 and the entire A-share market around 33%[16] - In June 2015 and 2018, dividends showed excess returns relative to the CSI 300 and the entire A-share market, benefiting from high volatility environments[8] - The Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index has consistently outperformed the CSI 300 Total Return Index and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Index, with monthly winning rates of 30% in January and October, which are the lowest for the year[27] Group 2: Seasonal Effects and Industry Performance - The months of March to May and August to December are favorable periods for the Hong Kong Stock Connect High Dividend Index to outperform the CSI 300 and the Hong Kong Stock Connect Index[28] - Most industries, except for consumer sectors like automobiles and home appliances, showed no excess returns in June and October since 2010, with utilities performing relatively better in June[22] - The banking and transportation sectors, along with high-weight industries like construction materials and real estate, experienced significant drawdowns in June[22] Group 3: Reasons for Seasonal Effects - The low winning rates for dividends in June and October are linked to the completion of annual and semi-annual reports, leading to a rise in market risk appetite post-reporting periods[30] - The phenomenon of "抢权行情" (right grabbing market) occurs around the ex-dividend dates, where stock prices may decline post-ex-dividend due to preemptive buying behavior[31] - The market's risk appetite tends to recover after the financial reporting periods, which negatively impacts the overall performance of dividend stocks[40]

Group 1 - The essential viewpoint is that the essential consumer sector shows superior valuation cost-effectiveness, with the average valuation percentile for food and beverage, as well as agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery over three and five years being only 15.13%/9.09% and 12.67%/9.24%, indicating potential for valuation recovery [1] - The midstream materials and manufacturing sectors, represented by automotive and machinery equipment, as well as the large financial sector represented by banks, are at historical high valuation levels, suggesting limited upward space amid volume contraction and structural adjustment [1] - Attention should be paid to certain sectors experiencing rapid short-term valuation increases, with textiles, apparel, and beauty care having current one-year average valuation percentiles exceeding 92%, indicating a significant convergence of valuation cost-effectiveness advantages [1] Group 2 - Most primary industries experienced declines this week, with TMT and large financial sectors leading the drop, particularly in computer, communication, electronics, and non-bank financials [1] - Emerging industries overall declined, with the digital economy facing the largest drop, as cloud computing and IDC fell by 3.63% and 3.5% respectively; high-end equipment manufacturing also weakened across the board, with industrial mother machines and integrated circuits dropping by 3.87% and 2.25% respectively [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index ETF (510760) tracks the Shanghai Composite Index (000001), which is compiled by the Shanghai Stock Exchange and encompasses all A-shares and B-shares listed on the exchange, effectively reflecting the overall performance of the Shanghai securities market [1]