Market Overview - On November 26, the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.15%, while the CSI 300 increased by 0.61%, the STAR Market 50 rose by 0.99%, the CSI 1000 fell by 0.02%, and the ChiNext Index increased by 2.14%. The Hang Seng Index rose by 0.13% [4][6] - The best-performing sectors on November 26 were telecommunications (+4.64%), comprehensive (+1.79%), electronics (+1.58%), retail (+1.11%), and home appliances (+0.96%). The worst-performing sectors were defense and military (-2.25%), social services (-0.97%), media (-0.82%), oil and petrochemicals (-0.8%), and banking (-0.79%) [4][6] - The total trading volume for the A-share market on November 26 was 17,971.9 billion yuan, with a net outflow of 3.952 billion Hong Kong dollars from southbound funds [4][6] Important Recommendations - The report recommends Chengda Biological (688739) due to the synergistic effects of shareholder involvement and continuous innovation. The company is expected to see accelerated transformation and revenue growth driven by mergers and acquisitions and new vaccine commercialization [7] - Revenue forecasts for Chengda Biological from 2025 to 2027 are 1,347.93 million yuan, 1,418.37 million yuan, and 1,530.02 million yuan, with growth rates of -19.59%, 5.23%, and 7.87% respectively. Net profit is projected to be 200.23 million yuan, 222.63 million yuan, and 253.73 million yuan, with growth rates of 41.59%, 11.19%, and 13.97% respectively [7] Industry Insights Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery - The core viewpoint emphasizes deepening value in the agricultural sector and positioning for new cyclical opportunities. The market outlook indicates continued pressure on pig prices, uncertainty in beef prices, and persistent low prices for poultry, with intensified competition in feed and animal health sectors [8][9] - The report suggests that leading pig enterprises can maintain profitability through cost advantages and structural optimization despite production capacity constraints. The feed sector is expected to see growth potential for companies with cost control and integrated supply chains, while the animal health sector may benefit from pet care and international expansion [9][12] Non-Banking Financial Sector - The non-banking financial sector is anticipated to experience a rebound in 2026, characterized by a combination of high probability and favorable odds. The market outlook for this sector is cautious due to the high base in 2025, but a potential recovery is expected amid a long-term "slow bull" market for equities [10][13] - The report highlights that the asset and liability sides of the financial sector are expected to resonate positively, supporting the overall growth of the sector [13]

估值有支撑，关注"更高阶"低估 证券研究报告 固收定期报告 / 2025.11.26 核心观点 相关报告 1. 《城投 2026，风偏分化？》 2025- 11-25 2. 《2026 年度策略：经济 K 型复苏，股债 K 型交易》 2025-11-24 3. 《信用 | 年末或有一定波动 》 2025- 11-23 请阅读最后一页的重要声明！ 分析师 孙彬彬 SAC 证书编号：S0160525020001 sunbb@ctsec.com 分析师 隋修平 SAC 证书编号：S0160525020003 suixp@ctsec.com 分析师 李浩时 SAC 证书编号：S0160525080002 lihs@ctsec.com 联系人 郑惠文 zhenghw01@ctsec.com 联系人 柳婧舒 liujs@ctsec.com ❖ 2026 推动转债走强的"固收资产荒"以及"权益高景气"或延续。一 方面，转债整体股性处于历史高点。基于我们 2026 年年度策略的观点，我们 认为 2026 年股债双牛依然可以期待，权益有较大的想象空间，强权益或成为 2026 年转债表现最重要的支撑。另一方面，结合长端利率保持低 ...

Group 1: Vanke Debt Situation - Vanke's debt situation is under scrutiny as a report suggests that the local government is considering a "market-oriented" approach to handle its debt [1][2] - A working group previously estimated a funding gap of approximately 150 billion RMB (about 21.1 billion USD) for Vanke, with total interest-bearing liabilities reported at around 362.9 billion RMB (51.1 billion USD) as of September 30 [3] - Vanke faces imminent challenges with two domestic bonds maturing in December, totaling 2 billion RMB and 3.7 billion RMB, respectively [4] Group 2: Market Reactions and Implications - The market is reacting to rumors that Shenzhen has sought assistance from Beijing regarding Vanke's debt situation, leading to speculation about potential outcomes [4] - The report indicates that the Shenzhen government can no longer support Vanke independently, suggesting a need for intervention from higher authorities [2] Group 3: Industry Trends and Stock Performance - The TMT sector has experienced significant fluctuations, with the rolling 40-day excess return narrowing to a historical low of around -7.5%, indicating a potential bottoming out [10] - Recent reports highlight a strong performance in the optical communication sector, driven by rumors of Google placing a substantial order, which has positively impacted related stocks [14][22]

Group 1 - The A-share market showed mixed performance on November 26, with major indices fluctuating, while sectors like pharmaceuticals and semiconductors saw gains, whereas shipbuilding and aerospace sectors faced declines [1] - The net outflow of main funds in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 11.01 billion yuan, with 15 sectors experiencing net inflows, particularly automotive, textile and apparel, and comprehensive industries, each exceeding 300 million yuan [1] - The basic chemical industry led the net outflow with 1.13 billion yuan, followed by social services, real estate, and non-bank financial sectors, each exceeding 600 million yuan [1] Group 2 - Five stocks recorded net inflows exceeding 1 billion yuan, with a total of 63 stocks seeing net inflows above 100 million yuan [2] - The CPO concept stocks continued to strengthen, with New Yisheng and Zhongji Xuchuang attracting net inflows of 1.646 billion yuan and 1.306 billion yuan, respectively [3] - Yangguang Power saw a net inflow of 1.243 billion yuan, while Inspur Information reported a net inflow of 1.128 billion yuan, with the company announcing a share buyback of 2.25 billion yuan [4] Group 3 - At the market close, the main funds experienced a net outflow of 1.541 billion yuan, with retail and food and beverage sectors leading in net inflows [5] - Three stocks, including Yaowang Technology and Dongxin Co., saw net inflows exceeding 100 million yuan at the close, with Dongxin Co. hitting the daily limit [6]

深证国企ESGR（470055）指数十大成份股详情如下： 证券之星消息，11月26日，深证国企ESGR（470055）指数报收于1552.92点，涨0.31%，成交275.22亿 元，换手率0.83%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨的有16家，泰达股份以10.07%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有31 家，中来股份以4.21%的跌幅领跌。 | 证券代码 | 股票简称 | 权重 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值(亿元) | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | sz002415 | 海康威视 | 10.20% | 29.90 | -0.30% | 2740.30 | 计算机 | | sz000725 | 京东方A | 9.22% | 3.86 | 0.26% | 1444.18 | ● 电子 | | sz000858 | 五粮液 | 8.57% | 118.26 | -0.21% | 4590.39 | 食品饮料 | | sz000338 | 潍柴动力 | 7.34% | 16.90 | 0.18% | 1472.60 | 汽车 | | sz000977 | ...

Group 1 - The core concept of "Southbound Capital" refers to mainland investors using the Stock Connect mechanisms to invest in stocks listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, serving as a key source of liquidity for the Hong Kong market [1] Group 2 - As of November 20, 2023, the cumulative net inflow of Southbound capital has exceeded HKD 1.36 trillion, representing a growth of over 68% compared to the total inflow of HKD 807.8 billion for the entire year of 2024, and is 1.7 times the net buying amount for 2024 [2] - The cumulative trading volume of Southbound capital has surpassed HKD 26.37 trillion, which is an increase of over 135% compared to the cumulative trading volume of HKD 11.22 billion for the entire year of 2024, making it 2.35 times the total for 2024 [2] - Since the launch of the Stock Connect, the cumulative net inflow has exceeded HKD 5 trillion, setting a historical record since the mechanism's inception [2] Group 3 - As of November 19, 2023, the top five sectors for Southbound capital holdings are: banking, retail, non-bank financials, pharmaceuticals, and media, with the banking sector receiving the most significant net buying across various time frames [3] - The monthly frequency of net buying in the banking sector accounts for 1.54% of the total market capitalization, indicating a substantial increase in investment in this sector [3] - Other sectors that have seen significant increases in investment over the past month include non-bank financials, real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation [3] Group 4 - The primary drivers for the recent Southbound capital flows are institutional funds such as insurance capital and public funds, attracted by the high dividend yield of Hong Kong stocks (average yield of 5.57%) in a low-interest-rate environment [5] - The banking, non-bank financials, real estate, oil and petrochemicals, and transportation sectors have seen increased investment due to their valuation advantages, particularly in the context of Hong Kong's market being perceived as undervalued globally [6] - The price-to-book ratio (PB) of the Hong Kong banking sector is currently at 0.52, representing a discount of over 40% compared to similar sectors in A-shares, which attracts funds seeking value [6] Group 5 - For individual investors, participating directly in Hong Kong stocks may involve risks such as exchange rate fluctuations and differences in trading rules, making ETFs a preferable option for exposure [6] - Recent trends indicate that Southbound capital is increasingly focused on high-dividend, low-volatility ETFs, which cater to investors with moderate risk preferences [6] - The Hong Kong Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF and other similar products allow investors to benefit from the inflow of Southbound capital while diversifying their investment risks [6]

Core Points - The Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index (970064) closed at 1612.77 points, up 0.73%, with a trading volume of 20.124 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 0.78% [1] - Among the index constituents, 33 stocks rose, with China National Materials Technology leading at a 10.01% increase, while 12 stocks fell, with CITIC Special Steel leading the decline at 2.97% [1] Index Constituents Summary - The top ten constituents of the Shenzhen State-Owned Enterprises Shareholder Return Index include: - BOE Technology Group (sz000725) with a weight of 9.31%, latest price at 3.85, and a market cap of 144.043 billion yuan [1] - Hikvision (sz002415) with a weight of 7.97%, latest price at 29.99, and a market cap of 274.855 billion yuan [1] - Wuliangye Yibin (sz000858) with a weight of 7.71%, latest price at 118.51, and a market cap of 460.009 billion yuan [1] - Luzhou Laojiao (sz000568) with a weight of 6.59%, latest price at 133.59, and a market cap of 196.637 billion yuan [1] - XCMG Machinery (sz000425) with a weight of 5.75%, latest price at 10.30, and a market cap of 121.056 billion yuan [1] - Changan Automobile (sz000625) with a weight of 3.88%, latest price at 11.91, and a market cap of 118.077 billion yuan [1] - Shenwan Hongyuan (sz000166) with a weight of 3.84%, latest price at 5.14, and a market cap of 128.705 billion yuan [1] - Yunnan Aluminum (sz000807) with a weight of 3.81%, latest price at 23.54, and a market cap of 81.636 billion yuan [1] - Yanghe Brewery (sz002304) with a weight of 3.37%, latest price at 65.71, and a market cap of 68.686 billion yuan [1] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (sz000630) with a weight of 3.18%, latest price at 6.67, and a market cap of 66.913 billion yuan [1] Capital Flow Summary - The net inflow of main funds into the index constituents totaled 425 million yuan, while retail funds saw a net outflow of 319 million yuan [3] - Key stocks with significant capital flow include: - China National Materials Technology with a net inflow of 210 million yuan from main funds [3] - Luzhou Laojiao with a net inflow of 91.542 million yuan from main funds [3] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals with a net inflow of 60.685 million yuan from main funds [3]

数字经济（399262）指数十大成份股详情如下： | 证券代码 | 股票简称 | 权重 | 最新价 | 涨跌幅 | 总市值(亿元) | 所属行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | sz300308 | 中际旭创 | 12.21% | 479.66 | 5.00% | | 5329.59 ) 通信 | | sz300059 | 东方财富 | 9.53% | 23.42 | -0.04% | | 3701.31 非银金融 | | sz300502 | 新易盛 | 9.05% | 304.72 | 4.00% | | 3028.83 通信 | | sz002371 | 北方华创 | 4.64% | 418.00 | 0.42% | S | 3028.31 申子 | | sz300124 | 汇川技术 | 4.57% | 69.81 | 0.00% | | 1889.52 机械设备 | | sz000063 | 中兴通讯 | 4.14% | 39.86 | 3.13% | | 1906.72 通信 | | sz002415 | 海康威视 | 3.63% | ...

证券之星消息，11月25日，上证F200（000098）指数报收于5460.31点，涨0.79%，成交1643.15亿元，换手率0.44%。当日该指数成份股中，上涨 的有126家，中金黄金以4.15%的涨幅领涨，下跌的有59家，南钢股份以2.86%的跌幅领跌。 上证F200（000098）指数十大成份股详情如下： | 代码 | 名称 | 主力净流入(元) | 主力净占比 游资净流入 (元) | | 游资净占比 散户净流入(元) | | 散户净占比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 603799 | 华友钻业 | 3.00 Z | 6.98% | -4634.49万 | -1.08% | -2.54 Z- | -5.90% | | 601988 | 中国银行 | 2.18亿 | 8.09% | -1.16 Z | -4.31% | -1.02 Z | -3.79% | | 601600 中国铝业 | | 2.08亿 | 7.71% | -7064.11万 | -2.62% | -1.37 Z | -5.08% | | 601398 | 工 ...

Market Overview and Key Insights - The Hong Kong dividend sector experienced a decline last week, but with a smaller drop compared to the overall market: the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect China Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Total Return Index fell by 4.07%, while the Hang Seng Index dropped by 5.09% and the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 7.18% [1] - In Q3 2025, insurance capital continued to increase its allocation to equity assets, with the proportion of equity investments rising significantly to 15.5%, nearing the historical high of 16.1% recorded in mid-2015 [1] - The increase in equity allocation by insurance capital reflects the policy requirement for "long money, long investment," with an optimized assessment mechanism encouraging better alignment of asset-liability structures [1] Insurance Capital Trends - Insurance capital's funding characteristics align well with the low volatility and high dividend nature of the dividend sector, making it a primary focus for increased allocation [1] - In Q3 2025, insurance capital's net purchases in the banking sector amounted to approximately 57.35 billion [1] - The pace of insurance capital's stake acquisitions in listed companies has accelerated, with 30 instances this year, surpassing the total for 2020 and 2024, and 25 of these being in Hong Kong stocks [1] Future Outlook - Insurance capital is expected to be a significant source of incremental funds in the stock market, particularly favoring the dividend sector due to the low interest rate environment and weak economic recovery [2] - The dividend yield of the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect China Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index stands at 5.81%, compared to 4.32% for the CSI Dividend Index, with a price-to-book ratio of 0.64 and a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.23 [2] - The total return index has achieved a cumulative return of 146% since early 2021, outperforming the Hang Seng Total Return Index by 136% [2] ETF Overview - The Huaan Hong Kong Stock Connect China Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF (code: 513920) tracks the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect China Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend Index, reflecting the performance of high-dividend securities listed in Hong Kong with state-owned enterprises as the largest shareholders [3] - This ETF is the first in the market to combine the attributes of Hong Kong stocks, state-owned enterprises, and dividends [3] Recent ETF Performance - The Huaan Hong Kong Stock Connect China Central State-Owned Enterprises Dividend ETF had a net asset value of 1.6320 billion and a scale of 5.51 billion, with a weekly trading volume of 1.462 billion [4] - The top ten weighted stocks in the index have shown varying performance, with notable declines in several stocks over the past week [5]