中共中央政治局7月30日召开会议，会议指出，要持续防范化解重点领域风险。落实好中央城市工作会 议精神，高质量开展城市更新。积极稳妥化解地方政府债务风险，严禁新增隐性债务，有力有序有效推 进地方融资平台出清。增强国内资本市场的吸引力和包容性，巩固资本市场回稳向好势头。 要扩大高水平对外开放 稳住外贸外资基本盘 宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力 会议指出，宏观政策要持续发力、适时加力。要落实落细更加积极的财政政策和适度宽松的货币政策， 充分释放政策效应。加快政府债券发行使用，提高资金使用效率。兜牢基层"三保"底线。货币政策要保 持流动性充裕，促进社会综合融资成本下行。用好各项结构性货币政策工具，加力支持科技创新、提振 消费、小微企业、稳定外贸等。支持经济大省发挥挑大梁作用。强化宏观政策取向一致性。 依法依规治理企业无序竞争 推进重点行业产能治理 会议指出，要持续防范化解重点领域风险。落实好中央城市工作会议精神，高质量开展城市更新。积极 稳妥化解地方政府债务风险，严禁新增隐性债务，有力有序有效推进地方融资平台出清。增强国内资本 市场的吸引力和包容性，巩固资本市场回稳向好势头。 会议强调，要扩大高水平对外开放，稳住外贸外 ...

Economic Performance - China's GDP exceeded 66 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, growing by 5.3% year-on-year, laying a solid foundation for the annual target of around 5% [1][3] - The economy maintained stable growth in Q2 with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%, supported by a rebound in exports, which grew by 7.2% compared to Q1 [1][4] Investment Trends - Investment growth has slowed down, with declines in infrastructure and manufacturing investments, while real estate investment continues to decrease [1][6] - The need for policies to support investment is emphasized, as industrial profits and profit margins have decreased compared to the previous year [6][9] Export and Trade - Exports in the first half of the year increased by 5.9% year-on-year in USD terms, showing resilience despite high tariffs from the US [5][6] - The competitiveness of Chinese products is improving, transitioning from a traditional extensive development model to an intensive, innovative, and large-scale development model [5][6] Consumer Market - Consumer spending is expected to maintain steady growth, supported by policies such as the "old-for-new" subsidy program, which has 138 billion yuan available [6][10] - Long-term strategies to boost consumption include increasing residents' income and improving the social security system [11] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is facing downward pressure, with sales and investment declining; policies are needed to stabilize the market [10][12] - Measures to improve liquidity for real estate developers and promote debt restructuring are essential for market recovery [12][13] Fiscal and Monetary Policy - A more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy are necessary to stimulate demand and support economic growth [7][9] - The government is expected to issue special bonds and introduce policy financial tools to enhance support for key sectors [9][12] Market Competition - The need to address "involution" in competition is highlighted, focusing on restoring market regulation and promoting fair competition [14][15] - Regulatory measures are required to prevent irrational pricing behaviors and ensure a healthy competitive environment [14][15]

Economic Overview - China's GDP exceeded 66 trillion yuan in the first half of the year, growing by 5.3% year-on-year, laying a solid foundation for the annual target of around 5% [1][4] - The economy showed resilience with a 5.2% growth in Q2, supported by unexpected export performance and a series of incremental policies that boosted consumption [1][4] Export Performance - Exports grew by 5.9% year-on-year in the first half, outperforming expectations despite pressures from U.S. tariffs, indicating a shift towards a more competitive and innovative export structure [6][4] - The export sector is expected to face challenges in the second half due to uncertainties in U.S.-China trade negotiations, but the overall impact may be less severe than anticipated [6][4] Investment Trends - Investment growth has slowed, with declines in real estate and infrastructure investments, necessitating stronger policy support to stabilize investment levels [7][4] - Industrial profits and profit margins have decreased compared to the previous year, indicating a need for enhanced investment policies [7][4] Consumption Outlook - Consumption is projected to maintain steady growth, supported by policies such as the 1.38 billion yuan "old-for-new" subsidy and potential increases in social security and income [7][4] - The long-term strategy for boosting consumption involves addressing supply bottlenecks and improving income distribution [15][4] Fiscal and Monetary Policy - A more proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy are essential to stimulate demand and support economic recovery [10][4] - The broad fiscal expenditure increased by 8.9% year-on-year in the first half, contributing significantly to economic growth [10][4] Real Estate Market - The real estate market is experiencing increased sales area and sales volume declines, necessitating stronger measures to stabilize the market [16][4] - Policies aimed at improving liquidity for real estate developers and addressing debt issues are expected to be introduced in the second half [17][4] Anti-"Involution" Measures - Efforts to combat "involution" in competitive sectors are crucial for restoring market equilibrium and improving investment returns [18][4] - Regulatory measures are needed to prevent irrational pricing behaviors and ensure fair competition in the market [19][4]

Group 1 - The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has raised China's economic growth forecast for 2025 by 0.8 percentage points to 4.8% [1] - The revision reflects stronger-than-expected economic activity in the first half of 2025 and a significant reduction in US-China tariffs [2] - China's economic growth is primarily driven by exports, with a decline in exports to the US being offset by strong sales to other global regions [2] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, China's GDP grew by 5.3% year-on-year, an increase of 0.3 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] - Final consumption expenditure contributed 52% to China's economic growth in the first half of 2025, with retail sales of consumer goods reaching 24.55 trillion yuan, a 5% increase year-on-year [2] - The Chinese government plans to allocate 300 billion yuan to expand the "trade-in" program for vehicles and electronics to encourage consumer purchases [2] Group 3 - The IMF noted that the stability of China's foreign trade scale is evident, with imports and exports reaching a historical high of 20 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025 [3] - China's trade with countries involved in the Belt and Road Initiative reached 11.29 trillion yuan, growing by 4.7% and accounting for 51.8% of total trade [4] - The IMF anticipates that if trade negotiations yield breakthroughs, effective tariff rates may further decline, reducing trade barriers and promoting investment [4] Group 4 - The IMF has also raised its economic growth forecast for China in 2026 by 0.2 percentage points to 4.2%, reflecting the impact of lower effective tariff rates [4]

Core Viewpoint - The establishment of the Shanghai Qiyuan State-owned Assets Innovation Fund marks a significant step in diversifying funding sources for basic research in Shanghai, addressing the current reliance on government funding [1][2]. Group 1: Fund Establishment - The Qiyuan Fund is the first public foundation in China initiated by local state-owned enterprises to support basic research [1]. - The fund will provide financial support through donations for forward-looking and disruptive basic research and its results transformation [1]. Group 2: Current Challenges - Shanghai's basic research funding has seen rapid growth, but it remains heavily reliant on government sources, with 90% coming from fiscal funds, lacking a diversified funding mechanism [2]. - The focus of local enterprises has primarily been on applied research due to the long cycles and high risks associated with basic research [2]. Group 3: Fund Composition - The fund is managed by the Shanghai State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission and involves 16 state-owned enterprises from various sectors, including finance, manufacturing, and energy [3]. - The aim is to leverage state-owned capital to fill the investment gap in basic research and reduce the risk costs associated with technological breakthroughs [3]. Group 4: Target Areas - The fund will focus on four key areas: tackling "bottleneck" technologies, exploring "unmanned" frontiers, connecting the "transformation chain," and supporting young scientists [4][5]. - Specific sectors of interest include integrated circuits, biomedicine, artificial intelligence, quantum technology, and deep-sea exploration [4][5]. Group 5: Collaboration and Future Plans - The fund plans to collaborate with Fudan University and Shanghai Jiao Tong University to enhance support for basic and applied research [5]. - There are intentions to mobilize more social forces to join the technology public welfare initiative, promoting a shift from "single-point breakthroughs" to "ecological co-construction" in Shanghai's tech philanthropy [5].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the performance of various indices related to the Hong Kong stock market, with the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical and Health Comprehensive Index rising by 4.0% [1] - The Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy Index increased by 0.5%, while the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Internet Index and the Hang Seng Technology Index decreased by 0.2% and 0.4% respectively [1] - According to Guangfa Securities, the rise of China's innovative drugs from a global perspective is catalyzed by the overseas expansion of BD, leading to a revaluation of new drug value [1] Group 2 - The Hang Seng New Economy ETF tracks the Hang Seng Hong Kong Stock Connect New Economy Index, which consists of the 50 largest stocks in the "new economy" sector within the Hong Kong Stock Connect range [2] - The rolling price-to-earnings ratio of the Hang Seng New Economy Index is 23.6 times, with a valuation percentile of 47.4% since its inception in 2018 [2] - The Hang Seng Technology ETF tracks the Hang Seng Technology Index, which includes the 30 largest stocks related to technology, with a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 21.6 times and a valuation percentile of 20.5% since its launch in 2020 [2] Group 3 - The China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Pharmaceutical and Health Comprehensive Index consists of 50 highly liquid and large-cap stocks in the healthcare sector, with a weight of over 90% in the industry [3] - This index has a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 32.5 times and a valuation percentile of 50.0% since its inception in 2017 [3] - The China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index is composed of 50 large-cap consumer stocks, with nearly 60% in discretionary consumption, and has a rolling price-to-earnings ratio of 21.0 times and a valuation percentile of 17.1% since its launch in 2020 [3]

智通财经7月29日讯（编辑 冯轶）据Wind数据显示，南向资金今日成交约1554.92亿港元，短线交投连续收缩后重新放量，约为今日恒指成交总额的 58.23%，占比也较前几日明显抬升。 个股方面，交易所数据显示，今日南向资金 大幅净买入：小米集团-W(01810.HK)16.59亿港元；腾讯控股(0700.HK)8.33亿港元；阿里巴巴-W(09988.HK)7.53亿港元；石药集团(01093.HK)6.52 亿港元；信达生物(01801.HK)5.14亿港元；国泰君安国际(01788.HK)4.31亿港元；中芯国际(00981.HK)3.67亿港元； 大幅净流出：泡泡玛特(09992.HK)3.51亿港元；美团-W(03690.HK)2.88亿港元。 恒指今日弱势震荡，午后有所走强。全天南向资金净流入约127.20亿港元，其中沪港股通净流入约58.78亿港元，深港股通净流入约68.42亿港元。 | 令日 | 58.78 | 68.42 | 127.20 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 近一月 | 573.94 | 534.16 | 1108.10 | 投资要点 小米集团-W今日 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the significant changes in investment strategies among fund managers in response to the evolving dynamics of the Chinese stock market and the emergence of new economic sectors, leading to a shift in stock selection preferences and styles [2][5][7]. Group 1: Changes in Fund Managers' Strategies - Fund managers are increasingly abandoning their traditional preferences and styles, adapting to the new market conditions and the performance disparities between old and new sectors [2][5]. - Notable fund managers, such as Liu Gesong and Jiao Wei, have shifted their investment focus towards Hong Kong stocks and new economy sectors, indicating a departure from their previous investment styles [3][4]. - The trend of reallocating investments from traditional sectors to new economy sectors, such as innovative pharmaceuticals and consumer brands, is becoming prevalent among fund managers [5][6]. Group 2: Impact of Market Dynamics - The rapid increase in the attractiveness of the Chinese stock market and the global success of new economic sectors have prompted fund managers to reassess their traditional investment beliefs [5][6]. - The innovative pharmaceutical sector in China is highlighted as a key area of growth, with fund managers recognizing significant technological advancements and opportunities for investment [5][7]. - The changing narrative around Chinese consumption and technology is seen as a catalyst for new investment opportunities, with a focus on cultural exports and advancements in sectors like autonomous driving [7]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The recognition of China's technological capabilities and the evolving market logic are expected to influence major investment decisions in the stock market by 2025 [6][7]. - The re-evaluation of the value of Chinese innovation by international capital is driving a systematic correction in the allocation of foreign investments towards Chinese stocks [7].

Core Viewpoint - The second quarter reports of 66 REITs indicate a mixed performance across different sectors, with varying levels of operational pressure and resilience observed in different segments [3][4]. Group 1: Sector Performance Overview - Industrial parks are still under pressure due to new supply and demand contraction, with a need for time to reach a new balance in rental levels and occupancy rates. The revenue for this sector decreased by 1.9% quarter-on-quarter [3][5]. - Logistics and warehousing projects maintained a high occupancy rate of 94.3% in Q2, showing better resilience than expected despite rental pressures, with an average rental decline of only 2% [3][10]. - Affordable rental housing exhibited the least revenue fluctuation in Q2, maintaining stable occupancy and rental levels, while national rental prices continued to decline [3][4]. - Traditional retail faced a 5.5% quarter-on-quarter revenue decline due to seasonal factors, necessitating cautious long-term growth assessments [3][4]. - Highway projects showed significant performance differentiation, with freight traffic performing better than passenger traffic [3][4]. - The municipal environmental sector remained stable, with wastewater treatment fundamentals holding steady and seasonal characteristics in heating demand becoming evident [3][4]. - Energy projects showed improvement in wind resources, particularly offshore wind, outperforming gas and hydropower [3][4]. Group 2: Financial Metrics and Market Trends - The total distributable amount for REITs decreased both year-on-year (down 3.1%) and quarter-on-quarter (down 5.4%), reflecting operational changes across projects [4]. - The market valuation has adjusted, presenting opportunities for quality project allocations, focusing on stable cash flow and potential turnaround opportunities [4][5]. - The logistics sector is expected to see significant new supply in the second half of 2025, with approximately 2.5 million square meters expected, primarily in key urban areas [10][11]. - Demand in the logistics sector is primarily driven by e-commerce and third-party logistics, with significant contributions from seasonal events like the 618 shopping festival [10][11]. Group 3: Regional Insights - In Beijing, the business park market saw no new projects in Q2, with a net absorption of 95,000 square meters, indicating a recovery in demand [6]. - Shanghai's business park market experienced a moderate recovery in demand, particularly from the TMT sector, which accounted for 41% of the total demand [7]. - The vacancy rate in key urban areas varies significantly, with the Pearl River Delta showing a low vacancy rate of 6.15%, while the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region has a higher rate of 27.1% [11][15].

Group 1 - The overall fiscal operation in the first half of 2025 is stable, with general public budget expenditure reaching 14.13 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [1][3] - National general public budget revenue is 11.56 trillion yuan, showing a slight decline of 0.3% year-on-year [1] - The issuance of new local government general and special bonds amounts to 2.6 trillion yuan, aimed at supporting major projects in key areas [1][3] Group 2 - Tax revenue for the first half of 2025 is 9.29 trillion yuan, down 1.2% year-on-year, but has shown a recovery with three consecutive months of growth starting from April [2] - Major tax categories such as domestic value-added tax, domestic consumption tax, and individual income tax have seen increases of 2.8%, 1.7%, and 8% respectively [2] - Non-tax revenue for the first half of 2025 is 2.27 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 3.7%, although the growth rate has decreased compared to the first quarter [2] Group 3 - Significant increases in spending on social security and employment (9.2%), education (5.9%), and scientific technology (9.1%) have been noted [3] - The issuance and utilization of bond funds have accelerated, with 2.43 trillion yuan spent from government fund budgets, leading to a 30% increase in government fund budget expenditure [3] - Central government transfer payments to local governments have reached 9.29 trillion yuan, accounting for 89.8% of the annual budget, which is an increase of 1.7 percentage points compared to the previous year [3] Group 4 - The issuance of national bonds has reached a historical high of 7.88 trillion yuan in the first half of 2025, an increase of 20.55 billion yuan or 35.28% year-on-year [4] - The special bond issuance has progressed well, with 555 billion yuan of ultra-long-term special bonds issued, accelerating by 18 percentage points compared to the previous year [4] - The "old-for-new" consumption initiative has resulted in sales of 1.6 trillion yuan in various consumer goods, contributing to a 5% year-on-year increase in total retail sales of consumer goods [4] Group 5 - The Ministry of Finance plans to arrange 2 trillion yuan in local government debt limits annually from 2024 to 2026 to support the replacement of existing hidden debts [5] - By the end of June 2025, 1.8 trillion yuan of the 2 trillion yuan replacement bonds for 2025 had been issued, with 1.44 trillion yuan already utilized [5] - The implementation of the replacement policy has alleviated liquidity pressure and facilitated the reform and transformation of financing platforms [5]