Core Insights - The collaboration between Liangpinpuzi and brands like Qianjiang Shrimp King and Xiaofeige has led to the launch of an innovative snack, the crispy shrimp tail hot pot set, at the 2025 Hubei "Qianjiang Lobster" Industry Expo, emphasizing the craftsmanship of "5 pounds of live shrimp yields 1 pound of shrimp tails" and traceability technology [1][3] Group 1 - Qianjiang lobster is renowned for its quality, with 3 out of every 10 small lobsters in China produced in Qianjiang, and the regional public brand value of "Qianjiang Lobster" is projected to reach 52.72 billion yuan by 2025, maintaining its national leadership for seven consecutive years [3] - The new crispy shrimp tail product adheres to a strict 5:1 shelling standard, ensuring the integrity and crispiness of the shrimp meat while incorporating the classic flavor of Qianjiang's oil-braised shrimp, delivering a spicy and sweet taste experience [3][7] - Liangpinpuzi employs digital technology to provide traceability for its products, allowing consumers to scan QR codes to access information about the origin of the shrimp, enhancing food safety and creating an emotional connection between consumers and the production area [5] Group 2 - The brand utilizes innovative techniques such as liquid nitrogen freezing to transform seasonal delicacies into convenient year-round offerings, and plans to continue developing core raw material bases in collaboration with Qianjiang, promoting an ecological model of "shrimp-rice co-cultivation" [7] - Industry experts note that Liangpinpuzi's combination of "extreme craftsmanship and traceability technology" addresses the challenge of regional delicacies gaining wider recognition, with the success of the crispy shrimp tail opening new consumption scenarios for the Qianjiang lobster industry [7] - The story of "3 out of 10 Chinese shrimp are produced in Qianjiang" is being further developed in the snack sector, as Liangpinpuzi aims to bring the essence of Qianjiang's fresh and spicy flavors to consumers nationwide this summer [7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the successful launch of new products by Liuliu Mei, focusing on health, innovation, and market expansion in the snack industry [1][2] - Liuliu Mei has established a comprehensive distribution network covering 34 provinces in China, with 1,396 distributors and a strong online presence [2] - The company emphasizes research and development, collaborating with universities and industry associations to innovate and improve product offerings [2][3] Group 2 - Liuliu Mei's market share in the Chinese fruit snack industry is projected to reach 4.9% in 2024, ranking first, while its share in the plum product sector is 7.0% [1] - The company has successfully diversified its product matrix, including various plum-based snacks and innovative jelly products, capturing consumer interest [1][3] - The brand's commitment to quality and safety is evident in its production processes, which include automated production lines and a focus on maintaining raw material freshness [4] Group 3 - Liuliu Mei is expanding its product line to include regional specialties, such as Guizhou spicy plums, which have received positive consumer feedback and high sales [3] - The company has built a robust supply chain, sourcing high-quality raw materials both domestically and internationally, ensuring competitive pricing and quality [3][4] - Future plans include enhancing the brand's global market presence and promoting sustainable practices in sourcing and production [4]

Group 1 - The new consumption sector in A-shares is gaining significant attention, with multiple brokerages hosting themed strategy meetings, indicating strong market interest [1] - Recent trends show a rise in popularity for industries such as pet products, snacks, health supplements, and beauty care, attracting analysts from other sectors like new energy and technology [1] - The increasing focus on the new consumption trend is likely to influence stock price volatility and enhance overall market activity in the consumption sector [1] Group 2 - The North Exchange 50 Index has reached a historical high, reflecting strong market confidence, with several thematic funds achieving returns exceeding 70% this year [2] - The performance of North Exchange funds has been bolstered by individual stock selection strategies, with many funds successfully identifying stocks that have doubled in value [2] - Industry experts suggest that the weight stocks and new stocks on the North Exchange still hold investment value, indicating potential mid- to long-term investment opportunities [2] Group 3 - Public funds have invested nearly 10 billion yuan in private placements this year, demonstrating confidence in certain A-share companies [3] - Among the stocks favored by public funds, Haohua Technology received significant attention, with multiple funds participating in its private placement, totaling over 1.6 billion yuan [3] - Other companies like Guolian Minsheng, Dizhe Pharmaceutical, and Anning Co. also attracted substantial investment from public funds, each exceeding 500 million yuan [3] Group 4 - In a low-interest-rate environment, private equity strategies are shifting towards equity assets, with a preference for Hong Kong internet and dividend-paying stocks [4] - The difficulty of bond investments has increased, making equity assets more attractive, especially with ongoing policy support and increased stock buybacks [4] - Companies benefiting from AI development and those with high dividend yields are highlighted as worthy of attention, potentially driving capital inflows into these sectors [4]

Group 1 - The new consumption sector in A-shares is gaining momentum, with various themes such as pets, snacks, health products, trendy toys, and beauty care emerging as hot topics [1][8] - In the past 10 days, multiple securities firms, including Huafu Securities, CITIC Securities, and Guojin Securities, have held consumption industry strategy meetings, indicating a shift in focus from technology to consumption [2][10] - The enthusiasm for consumption-themed events contrasts sharply with two years ago when such events saw minimal attendance, highlighting the current interest in the sector [5][11] Group 2 - The performance of the consumption sector has outpaced that of the technology sector this year, with significant gains in sub-sectors such as personal care products (up 33.65%), animal health (up 26.55%), and cosmetics (up 21.3%) [7][11] - New consumption trends are leading the market, with a focus on keywords like pets, snacks, and health products, rather than traditional sectors like liquor [8][10] - Recent strategy reports from various securities firms indicate a strong interest in new consumption, with nearly 30 reports published recently, compared to only about 10 related to technology [11]

E-commerce Industry Overview - The report highlights significant growth in the lingerie, snack, and health supplement industries in Q1 2025, driven by node marketing, category innovation, and consumption upgrades [1][3]. Lingerie Industry - The lingerie sector experienced a steady GMV growth, with a notable spike in sales during the March 8 promotion, achieving monthly sales exceeding 7.5 billion yuan [1][10]. - Women's lingerie remains the core category, generating sales between 5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan, with an average transaction price of 85.87 yuan, capturing 28% market share [1][15]. - Other categories such as sleepwear, underwear, and socks also performed well, each generating sales between 2.5 billion to 5 billion yuan, with socks being a necessity item due to its low price and high volume [1][15]. Snack Industry - The snack industry saw growth primarily driven by the January New Year festival, with core categories like nuts, jerky, and pastries each achieving sales between 2.5 billion to 5 billion yuan [2][18]. - The average transaction price for these snacks ranged from 10 to 50 yuan, benefiting from holiday stocking demands [2][21]. - Local specialties experienced the fastest growth, with a year-on-year increase of 129.16%, while chocolate sales declined by 12.35% due to a shift towards low-sugar health trends [2][23]. Health Supplement Industry - The health supplement sector showed strong year-on-year growth, with March promotions significantly boosting monthly sales, reaching between 5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan for ordinary dietary nutrition products and 5 billion to 7.5 billion yuan for overseas dietary supplements [2][26]. - The average transaction price for domestic products was 131.84 yuan, while overseas products commanded a higher average price of 236.32 yuan, indicating a clear premium positioning [2][30]. - New brands entering the market have driven category innovation, particularly in functional and convenient products [2][26]. Overall Market Trends - Each industry exhibits a trend of "head category concentration and diversified niche tracks," with Douyin's interest e-commerce attributes amplifying trends towards health, scenario-based, and quality consumption [3].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the IPO attempt of Liu Liu Guo Yuan (Liu Liu Mei) and highlights its financial performance, market positioning, and the reasons behind its timing for going public [4][5][14]. Financial Performance - Liu Liu Guo Yuan's revenue increased from 873 million RMB in 2018 to 1.616 billion RMB in 2024, with net profit rising from 56 million RMB to 148 million RMB during the same period [4]. - The company achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 17.32% in revenue from 2022 to 2024, with specific product lines showing significant growth: dried plum snacks at 9.79%, western plum products at 35.5%, and plum jelly at 33.51% [7][8]. Product and Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, the revenue breakdown was as follows: dried plum snacks contributed 974 million RMB, western plum products 224 million RMB, and plum jelly 410 million RMB [7]. - The sales channels have shifted significantly, with direct sales increasing from 14% of total revenue in 2018 to 59.2% in 2024, while distribution channels decreased from 74.5% to 40.8% [10]. Customer Base and Market Strategy - The top five customers accounted for 33.1% of revenue in 2024, up from 12.7% in 2022, indicating a growing reliance on major retail partners [11]. - The company has strategically aligned itself with rapidly expanding offline snack retail stores, which has contributed to its revenue growth [13][14]. Profitability Metrics - Liu Liu Guo Yuan's gross margin fluctuated from 38.6% in 2022 to 36% in 2024, influenced by the changing customer structure and the pricing strategies of large clients [16][18]. - Net profit margins improved from 5.83% in 2022 to 9.14% in 2024, attributed to economies of scale and reduced operating expenses [19]. Capital Structure and Funding Needs - As of 2024, the company had total assets of 1.671 billion RMB and total liabilities of 1.053 billion RMB, resulting in a debt-to-asset ratio of 63% [21]. - Liu Liu Guo Yuan faces potential liquidity issues due to a low inventory turnover rate of 2.18, significantly below industry averages [22]. - The company is under pressure to secure funding through its IPO to address its capital structure and meet short-term liabilities [27][28]. Market Valuation - The expected compound annual growth rate for the Chinese dried plum snack market is 13.65%, with Liu Liu Guo Yuan projected to grow at a CAGR of approximately 21% from 2024 to 2029 [30]. - The estimated valuation for Liu Liu Guo Yuan could reach around 2.768 billion RMB based on a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.7, which is higher than its last funding round valuation of 2.2 billion RMB [30].

Group 1: Company Developments - Proya is considering overseas acquisitions to fill gaps in its product lines, including baby care, perfumes, and men's skincare, with plans to introduce new brands to the domestic market [1] - Warner Bros. has appointed Sirena Liu as the General Manager of its China Film Division, indicating a potential increase in content investment in China and exploration of new collaboration models [2] - Good Products has undergone significant management changes, with Cheng Hong taking over as Chairman and Yang Hongchun as Manager, signaling a shift towards a professional management structure amid increasing competition in the snack industry [4] Group 2: Industry Trends - The construction of a new Spider-Man themed area at Shanghai Disneyland marks a significant milestone in the park's expansion, aimed at attracting younger families and enhancing visitor engagement through diverse offerings [3] - The expansion reflects ongoing optimism in the Chinese market and suggests a new growth cycle driven by content in the cultural tourism industry [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [1][4][72]. Core Views - The food and beverage sector has shown a slight increase of 0.53% in the week from May 12 to May 16, 2025, but underperformed the Shanghai Composite Index by 0.23 percentage points [1][20]. - The report highlights three investment themes: 1) Leading companies with proven risk resilience such as Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye; 2) Companies like Luzhou Laojiao that are showing positive feedback from digital initiatives and are undervalued; 3) Brands like Jinsiyuan and Yingjia Gongjiu that have potential for market share growth [1][12][13]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Insights - The report notes that the white liquor market is currently in a low demand season, while beer and beverage sectors are entering a peak season [1][10]. - White liquor prices have shown a year-on-year decrease of 2% and a month-on-month stability, indicating ongoing pressure on consumption demand [1][10]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a 7.22% year-on-year decline in white liquor production, with sales revenue of 196.3 billion yuan, down 0.38% year-on-year [1][10]. 2. Key Data Tracking - The food and beverage sector's performance in the week of May 12-16, 2025, was characterized by a 0.53% increase, which lagged behind the Shanghai Composite Index [20]. - The report provides insights into the performance of various segments, including a 3.7% year-on-year revenue growth in the beer sector for Q1 2025, driven by stable dining demand and inventory replenishment [13][14]. 3. Company Earnings Forecasts and Investment Ratings - Kweichow Moutai is rated "Outperform the Market" with an expected EPS of 68.64 yuan for 2025 and a PE ratio of 23.5 [3]. - Luzhou Laojiao is also rated "Outperform the Market" with an expected EPS of 9.02 yuan for 2025 and a PE ratio of 14.0 [3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on leading companies with strong market positions and growth potential in the food and beverage sector [1][12].

证券研究报告：食品饮料|行业周报 发布时间：2025-05-19 研究所 分析师:蔡雪昱 SAC 登记编号:S1340522070001 Email:caixueyu@cnpsec.com 分析师:杨逸文 SAC 登记编号:S1340522120002 Email:yangyiwen@cnpsec.com 分析师:张子健 SAC 登记编号:S1340524050001 Email:zhangzijian@cnpsec.com 近期研究报告 《白酒主动降速减压、提高分红率，大 众品关注新渠道/新品类机会》 - 2025.05.12 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 | 行业基本情况 | | | --- | --- | | 收盘点位 | 18105.47 | | 52 周最高 | 19832.49 | | 52 周最低 | 14118.56 | 行业相对指数表现 -29% -25% -21% -17% -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 2024-05 2024-07 2024-10 2024-12 2025-03 2025-05 食品饮料 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 食品饮 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform the Market" rating for the food and beverage sector [1][4][3]. Core Views - The report highlights the distinct off-season characteristics of the liquor market, while beer and beverages are entering their peak season [1][10]. - The liquor market is experiencing continued pressure on consumption demand, with a notable decline in production and sales figures for the first quarter of 2025 [1][10]. - The beer industry is showing signs of recovery, with a focus on inventory replenishment and stable demand, particularly in the 8-10 yuan price range [2][13][14]. - The snack food sector is experiencing mixed performance, with some companies showing significant revenue growth despite overall challenges [2][15]. - The report suggests a structural configuration opportunity in the beverage sector, with expectations of continued growth in demand for products like no-sugar tea and energy drinks [2][19]. Summary by Sections Liquor Market - The liquor market is under pressure, with April prices showing a year-on-year decline of 2% and a production drop of 7.22% in Q1 2025 [1][10]. - Key companies like Kweichow Moutai are expanding their consumer reach through new policies and channel strategies, with online sales showing over 30% growth [1][10]. - Investment recommendations focus on resilient leaders such as Kweichow Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Wuliangye, as well as companies like Luzhou Laojiao that are showing signs of recovery [1][12]. Beer Market - The beer sector is entering a phase of inventory replenishment and demand stabilization, with Q1 2025 showing a revenue increase of 3.7% year-on-year [2][13]. - Leading brands like Yanjing and Zhujiang are experiencing significant growth due to effective cost management and product strategy adjustments [2][14]. - The report anticipates a favorable outlook for the beer sector in Q2 2025, recommending continued investment in quality beer leaders [2][14]. Snack Food Sector - The snack food sector's revenue growth in Q1 2025 was impacted by the timing of the Spring Festival, with a year-on-year increase of 31% [2][15]. - Companies like Wanchen Group and Youyou Food are leading in revenue growth, driven by channel expansion and product innovation [2][15]. - The report suggests focusing on companies with competitive advantages and those that are likely to benefit from new product categories [2][15]. Other Food and Beverage Segments - The condiment sector is performing steadily, with a focus on inventory replenishment and strong cash flow among leading companies [2][16]. - The frozen food market is facing challenges due to weak restaurant demand, with Q1 2025 revenue showing a slight decline [2][17]. - The dairy sector is expected to see improvements in supply and demand dynamics, with potential policy catalysts supporting growth [2][19]. - The beverage sector is entering a peak consumption period, with leading companies increasing their market presence through strategic investments [2][19].