在社会责任方面，《财经新康养》注意到，锦江酒店在2025年半年报中表示，境内有限服务酒店板块形 成"轻改造、重体验"适老化路径，围绕贴心服务、安心守护、健康餐饮三大维度，在住前、住中、住后 全流程，重塑适老化产品服务标准，落地适老化产品服务标准，开启规模化试点推广。 此外，在视障友好建设方面，锦江酒店表示，境内有限服务酒店板块在华南区开启"视障友好"服务试 点，合作专业视障设计团队，基于住客入住全流程，在保障安全、快速响应、尊重尊严与隐私的基本要 求下，发布《"视障友好"服务标准（试行版）》，并经实地调研及视障客群痛点剖析，研发上线"视障 友好"贴纸产品。此外，境内有限服务酒店板块发布《导盲犬接待提示》，重申不可拒绝导盲犬入住要 求。 近日，锦江酒店在互动平台向投资者表示，2025年三季度，公司加速推进度假酒店细分市场布局，在云 南、海南、四川等地发布4条适老化度假产品，并深化庭冉云居、非繁云居等品牌建设。通过精准匹配 银发经济与亲子游需求，提升品牌差异化竞争力。2025年1至9月，锦江酒店实现营收102.41亿元，同比 下降5.09%；实现归母净利润7.46亿元，同比下降32.52%。 锦江酒店阐述，202 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the social services industry, indicating an expectation of returns exceeding the market benchmark by over 5% [5]. Core Insights - The social services sector is showing resilience during the off-peak season, supported by fundamental data and a shift in funding styles, creating conditions for relative returns across industries [4]. - Key areas of focus include mid-cap blue-chip characteristics, growth potential, and recovery prospects in performance, particularly in OTA, hotels, human resources, and select dining and scenic spots [4]. Summary by Sections Hotels - The hotel sector demonstrates strong fundamentals with a recovery in performance. Huazhu reported a revenue of 7 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, surpassing previous growth guidance [8]. - The national hotel RevPAR turned positive in October 2025, showing a year-on-year increase of 2.2%, indicating a stable volume and rising prices [8]. Scenic Spots - The demand for scenic spots remains robust due to the autumn holiday and the upcoming winter season, with double-digit growth in visitor numbers reported [8]. - For instance, the Jianmen Pass scenic area saw a 30% increase in visitors during the autumn holiday, and hotel bookings in Zhejiang rose by 68% [8]. Duty-Free - The duty-free shopping scene in Hainan is recovering, with sales reaching 506 million yuan from November 1-7, 2025, a year-on-year increase of 34.86% [8]. - This recovery is attributed to low base effects, new policies, and promotional activities, alongside a shift in consumer behavior due to international travel restrictions [8]. OTA (Online Travel Agencies) - Ctrip's Q3 2025 report showed a net operating income of 18.3 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of approximately 16% [8]. - The international OTA orders grew by about 60%, with inbound travel orders doubling, indicating a strong recovery in domestic travel demand [8].

Market Overview - On November 24, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.05%, while the total margin balance in the market decreased by 2.78 billion yuan to 24,586.69 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] - The margin balance in the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 12,499.83 billion yuan, down by 0.62 billion yuan; in the Shenzhen Stock Exchange, it was 12,011.43 billion yuan, down by 2.08 billion yuan; and in the Beijing Stock Exchange, it was 75.43 billion yuan, down by 0.08 billion yuan [1] Industry Analysis - Among the industries classified by Shenwan, 14 industries saw an increase in margin balance, with the media industry leading with an increase of 0.847 billion yuan, followed by the defense and military industry and transportation industry with increases of 0.543 billion yuan and 0.283 billion yuan, respectively [1] Individual Stock Performance - A total of 1,745 stocks experienced an increase in margin balance, accounting for 46.56% of the total, with 199 stocks seeing an increase of over 5% [1] - The stock with the largest increase in margin balance was 吉祥航空 (Jixiang Airlines), which had a margin balance of 126.28 million yuan, reflecting a 59.63% increase, despite a 3.55% decline in its stock price on the same day [1] - Other notable stocks with significant increases in margin balance included 泰鹏智能 (Taipeng Intelligent) and 中诚咨询 (Zhongcheng Consulting), with increases of 48.25% and 44.02%, respectively [1] Top Gainers and Losers - Among the top 20 stocks with the largest increase in margin balance, the average stock price rose by 1.83%, with 光云科技 (Guangyun Technology), 晨曦航空 (Chenxi Airlines), and 君亭酒店 (Junting Hotel) leading with increases of 20.00%, 14.13%, and 13.27%, respectively [2] - Conversely, the stocks with the largest declines included 平潭发展 (Pingtan Development), 九牧王 (Jiumuwang), and 国城矿业 (Guocheng Mining), with declines of 10.03%, 10.02%, and 10.00%, respectively [2] Margin Balance Declines - A total of 2,003 stocks saw a decrease in margin balance, with 164 stocks experiencing a decline of over 5% [3] - The stock with the largest decrease in margin balance was 保丽洁 (Baolijie), which saw a decline of 42.65% to 2.6643 million yuan [5] - Other stocks with significant declines included 四川路桥 (Sichuan Road and Bridge) and 铁拓机械 (Tietuo Machinery), with decreases of 38.47% and 26.62%, respectively [5]

据了解，金茂（三亚）旅业有限公司主要持有金茂三亚亚龙湾丽思卡尔顿酒店。该酒店为一家五星级酒店，于2008年开业，拥有446间客房及套房，其中设 有51间行政客房与套房，专属450平方米行政酒廊以及33栋私密别墅。 该酒店也是丽思卡尔顿品牌在中国较早布局的度假奢华酒店之一。 北京产权交易所官网显示，截至今年8月31日，金茂（三亚）旅业有限公司的营业收入约2.36亿元，净利润3777.99万元。 产权转让行为经过转让方股东会决议，决议文件为"关于同意发行三亚丽思卡尔顿酒店类REITs的批复"。 智通财经记者 | 王婷婷 继三亚希尔顿酒店之后，中国金茂（00817.HK）又将三亚丽思卡尔顿酒店摆上货架。 11月24日，智通财经从北京产权交易所官网查询发现，金茂（三亚）旅业有限公司100%股权正在挂牌转让，挂牌底价约22.65亿元，转让方为上海金茂投资 管理集团有限公司，出售目的为资产证券化。 知情人士告诉智通财经，"本次产权转让实际并非对酒店进行出售，而是对三亚丽思卡尔顿酒店进行类REITs资产证券化，主要基于公司整体战略安排，旨在 进一步优化资产负债结构、持续压降有息负债规模，并非出于现金流层面的考虑。" | 智 ...

Macro and Strategy - The macroeconomic review highlights that the U.S. non-farm payrolls increased by 119,000 in September, significantly above the expected 50,000, with the unemployment rate slightly rising to 4.4% [7] Industry and Company - In the restaurant industry, the report recommends leading companies in the hot pot sector, noting that in October 2025, the A-share, H-share, and U.S. stock markets saw significant gains for several chain restaurants, particularly Guoquan, which projected a revenue increase of 13.6%-25.8% for Q3 2025 [3][8] - The report indicates that the overall restaurant revenue in China increased by 3.8% year-on-year in October, with the CPI showing a slight increase due to holiday effects and domestic demand policies [8] - The report tracks the expansion of coffee brands, with notable growth in the coffee sector, particularly for brands like Nuo Wa, which saw significant store openings [9] - For the home appliance industry, October sales were under pressure, with a 15% decline in retail sales of home appliances, and a 13% drop in export value [13][14] - The report notes that in October, air conditioning sales fell by 20.1%, with expectations of continued pressure on production in December [15] - In the automotive sector, XPeng Motors reported a 149% year-on-year increase in sales for Q3 2025, with total revenue reaching 20.4 billion yuan, marking a 102% increase [19][20] - The report highlights that NVIDIA's revenue for Q3 reached $57 billion, a 62% year-on-year increase, driven by strong demand in data centers and gaming [25][26] - NetEase's revenue for Q3 increased by 8% year-on-year, with deferred revenue growing by 25%, indicating strong long-term operational capabilities [28][30] - Huazhu Group's Q3 revenue grew by 17.5% year-on-year, with a focus on expanding its membership base and improving revenue management [31][32] - Ctrip's Q3 revenue increased by 15.5% year-on-year, with a significant contribution from the sale of Makemytrip, indicating strong performance in the travel sector [34]

Macro Strategy - The economic total faces increasing downward pressure, with weak consumer and export performance continuing due to base effects [1][18] - The Federal Reserve's hawkish signals and the delay in the release of November non-farm data have led to a significant reduction in market expectations for a rate cut in December [19][20] - It is anticipated that the Fed will likely pause rate cuts in December, but this pause is seen as a "skip" rather than a cancellation, with a high probability of a rate cut in January [20][21] Financial Products - The A-share market is expected to experience a short-term adjustment in November, with limited adjustment space, while small-cap stocks may perform relatively better [2][22] - The overall market sentiment has been negatively impacted by the suspension of high-profile stocks, leading to an increase in daily limit-down stocks [2] - There are several sectors to watch during the market adjustment, including the computing power sector, which has shown signs of rebound [2][22] Fixed Income - The yield on the 10-year government bond rose from 1.8050% to 1.8125% during the week, indicating a slight upward trend in interest rates [5][22] - The issuance of green bonds decreased significantly, with 26 new green bonds issued totaling approximately 24.619 billion yuan, down 44.489 billion yuan from the previous week [5] - The market is currently in a cautious state regarding the potential for year-end allocation opportunities in the bond market [22] Company Analysis - Baidu Group is expected to benefit from AI business commercialization, with adjusted non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 lowered to 19.4 billion, 21.7 billion, and 24.7 billion yuan, respectively [7] - Wangfujing's revenue decline has narrowed, and the company is expected to benefit from the duty-free policy, with adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 1.80 billion, 4.28 billion, and 6.03 billion yuan [8] - Lenovo Group's FY2026-2028 net profit forecasts have been raised to 1.87 billion, 2.09 billion, and 2.33 billion USD, driven by AI-related business growth [9] - Ctrip Group is expected to see an increase in international business share and profit margins as it continues to expand overseas [9] - Kuaishou's Q3 performance exceeded expectations, with adjusted non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 adjusted to 20.6 billion, 22.9 billion, and 25.2 billion yuan [14] - JD Group maintains strong competitive advantages in the e-commerce sector, with non-GAAP EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 9.0, 12.8, and 15.7 yuan [15] - Pinduoduo's performance exceeded expectations, with non-GAAP net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 set at 100.4 billion, 126.5 billion, and 152.4 billion yuan [16]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 6.961 billion yuan in Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, exceeding the guidance of 2%-6% [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - The company's revenue from direct hotels was 3.487 billion yuan, down 5.5% year-on-year, accounting for 50.1% of total revenue [1] - Revenue from franchise and managed hotels reached 3.309 billion yuan, up 27.2% year-on-year, making up 47.5% of total revenue, with growth exceeding the guidance of 20%-24% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.469 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 15.4% [1] Group 2: RevPAR and Occupancy Rates - Domestic hotel RevPAR was 256 yuan, a slight decrease of 0.1% year-on-year, with ADR at 304 yuan (up 0.9%) and OCC at 84.1% (down 0.8 percentage points) [1] - International hotel RevPAR was 87 euros, an increase of 6.4% year-on-year, with ADR at 117 euros (down 0.2%) and OCC at 74.4% (up 4.6 percentage points) [1] Group 3: Cost Management and Profitability - Hotel operating costs were 4.1 billion yuan, up 6.9% year-on-year, but the operating cost ratio decreased by 0.6 percentage points due to a light-asset strategy [2] - SG&A expenses were 884 million yuan, down 9.3% year-on-year, partly due to a one-time restructuring cost of 81 million yuan in Q3 2024 [2] - The overall operating profit margin improved to 29.4%, up 2.7 percentage points year-on-year, driven by increased contributions from managed and franchise business revenues [2] Group 4: Expansion and New Brand Launch - As of Q3 2025, the company operated 12,702 hotels globally, with 1.246 million rooms, having opened 749 new hotels domestically and 1 internationally in Q3 [2] - The company plans to launch a new mid-to-high-end brand "All Seasons Grand View" in Q4, aimed at attracting travelers with Eastern culture [2] Group 5: Future Outlook - The company expects total revenue growth of 2%-6% year-on-year for Q4, with managed and franchise revenue projected to grow by 17%-21% [2] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 25.28 billion, 26.70 billion, and 28.23 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 5.8%, 5.6%, and 5.7% respectively [3] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 4.54 billion, 5.11 billion, and 5.80 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 49.1%, 12.5%, and 13.4% respectively [3]

Core Insights - Q3 revenue exceeded guidance with 7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.1%, surpassing the upper limit of the guidance by 2% to 6% [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders reached 1.47 billion yuan, up 15.4%, driven by asset-light strategies that improved gross margin by 0.6 percentage points, along with reduced one-time expenses and increased foreign exchange gains [1] - The company anticipates Q4 revenue growth of 2% to 6%, with RevPAR expected to stabilize or slightly increase [2] Financial Performance - Q3 adjusted EBITDA was 2.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.9%, with the DH segment contributing 70 million yuan, up 179% [1] - Management franchise and licensing revenue was 3.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 27.2%, exceeding the guidance growth rate of 20% to 24% [1] - Revenue from mainland operations was 5.7 billion yuan, up 10.8%, while DH segment revenue was 1.2 billion yuan, down 3.0% [1] Business Expansion - As of Q3 2025, the number of stores in mainland China reached 12,580, a year-on-year increase of 17.5%, with franchise stores accounting for 95.8% [1] - A total of 749 new stores were opened in Q3, a decrease of 3.2%, with a net increase of 452 stores, up 6.0% [2] - The company aims to open 2,300 new stores and achieve a net increase of 1,700 stores for the full year [2] Market Outlook - The company expects RevPAR in Q4 to turn positive, with Q3 mainland RevPAR at 256 yuan, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.1% [2] - Occupancy rate (OCC) decreased by 0.8 percentage points to 84.1%, while average daily rate (ADR) increased by 0.9% to 304 yuan [2] - The company has revised its profit forecast for 2025-2027, with net profits projected at 4.62 billion, 4.90 billion, and 5.40 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 21, 20, and 18 times [2]

Market Performance - The US hotel sector increased by 2.8%, with Marriott and Hilton rising by 3.8% and 1.83% respectively, demonstrating resilience under pressure[6] - The overseas sportswear sector decreased by 0.2%, with Amer Sports surging by 12.2% due to strong Q3 performance, leading to a revenue increase of 30%[14] - The jewelry sector fell by 2.1%, influenced by AI bubble concerns and reduced expectations for a December rate cut, strengthening the dollar[14] Sector Analysis - The domestic sportswear sector dropped by 2.4%, with major OEMs like Shenzhou International and Crystal International declining by 6.7% and 2.6% respectively due to geopolitical tensions[14] - The retail sector saw a decline of 4.0%, with China Duty Free falling by 10.5% as investors took profits amid uncertain policy outlooks[14] - The pet sector decreased by 5.7%, with concerns over sustainability as sales expenses outpaced revenue growth[14] Valuation Insights - The expected PE for the overseas sportswear sector in 2025 is 29.0x, which is 54% of the past 5-year average[15] - The expected PE for the domestic cosmetics sector is 27.6x, representing 52% of the past 5-year average[15] - Most sectors are valued below their historical 5-year averages, indicating potential investment opportunities[15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the hotel and duty-free industries, indicating a positive outlook for operational improvements in these sectors [1]. Core Viewpoints - Despite the overall pressure on consumption in the current macro environment, a structural recovery trend in certain consumer service sectors is becoming increasingly evident. Operational improvements are being observed, suggesting a gradual exit from the bottom range [4]. - The hotel industry is experiencing an optimization in supply-demand dynamics, with core operational data showing marginal improvements, indicating a mild upward trend in industry prosperity supported by sustained travel demand [4]. - The duty-free industry is expected to benefit from policy incentives, particularly with the upcoming operational phase in Hainan and the continued rollout of related policies, which are anticipated to catalyze new growth opportunities [4]. Industry Basic Data - The consumer services industry comprises 55 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 498.804 billion yuan and a circulating market capitalization of 457.081 billion yuan [1]. Market Performance - The consumer services sector experienced a decline of 4.86% this week, while the overall A-share market fell by 5.14%. The CSI 300 index decreased by 3.77% [7][23]. - Notable stocks in the consumer services sector that performed well include Dalian Shengya, Chuangye Heima, and Shangri-La (Asia) [4]. Important Announcements - Huazhu Group reported a 17.5% year-on-year increase in hotel revenue for Q3 2025, reaching 30.6 billion yuan, with net profit of 1.5 billion yuan [30]. - Ctrip Group's Q3 net operating revenue was approximately 18.3 billion yuan, reflecting a 16% year-on-year growth, with a net profit increase of 192.6% [30]. - Wanwu Xingsheng achieved a total revenue of 5.15 billion yuan in Q3 2025, marking a 27.1% year-on-year increase [30]. Upcoming Shareholder Meetings - Several companies in the consumer services sector have scheduled shareholder meetings in the coming month, including Bubu Gao on December 11, Guilin Tourism on December 5, and Guangzhou Restaurant on November 28 [31].