Core Viewpoint - The control of Cangge Mining has shifted to Zijin Mining Group, which now holds 26.18% of the shares and has achieved financial consolidation despite not owning a majority stake [1][3][4]. Group 1: Control Transfer and Shareholding Changes - Zijin Mining completed the acquisition of Cangge Mining's control within four months, spending 137.29 billion yuan to acquire approximately 392 million shares at 35 yuan per share, representing 24.98% of Cangge Mining's total equity [3][4]. - Following the transfer, the shareholding of the original controller, Xiao Yongming, decreased to 20.13%, with voting rights at 15.1%, while Zijin Mining's voting rights increased to 26.18% [4]. - The board of directors of Cangge Mining underwent significant changes, with most seats now held by Zijin Mining personnel, indicating a complete shift in governance [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Market Context - Cangge Mining, a key player in the lithium mining sector, reported a total revenue of 32.51 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 37.79% year-on-year, and a net profit of 25.80 billion yuan, down 24.56% [7]. - The decline in revenue was attributed to falling prices of potassium chloride and lithium carbonate, with the average market price for lithium carbonate dropping by 67.04% to 90,100 yuan per ton in 2024 [7][8]. - Despite the downturn, analysts project steady growth for Cangge Mining, with expected revenues of 33.39 billion yuan, 39.88 billion yuan, and 48.63 billion yuan from 2025 to 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate [7].

方正证券发布研报称，供给的市场化出清总是需要通过价格深度下跌挤压来实现的。近期锂盐价格快速 下跌，该行认为是行业加速出清的必经阶段。随着澳矿价格的下压，经营压力将传导至最上游矿企。目 前锂矿板块多家企业PB已跌至1.5倍以下，少数企业已跌至1倍附近，行业整体已在底部投资区间内。关 注天齐锂业（002466）、赣锋锂业（002460）、中矿资源（002738）、永兴材料（002756）。 事件：近期碳酸锂价格快速下跌。截至5月8日，广期所碳酸锂主力合约2507收盘价64280元/吨，4月以 来下跌14%。现货价格65250元/吨，4月以来价格下跌12%。 方正证券主要观点如下： 成本：部分澳矿25Q1成本显著下降，引发澳矿价格下跌 截至4月30日，SMM统计中国碳酸锂库存达到9.6万吨，为21年以来最高水平。其中冶炼厂持有5.1万 吨，下游持有4.5万吨，为21年以来最高水平。25年2月起，国内碳酸锂库存持续上行，也反应了现货市 场供给仍较为宽松。 供给：成本倒挂，锂盐产量出现下降态势 由于锂盐价格在4月后快速下跌，锂盐冶炼企业已陷入成本倒挂状态。以外购锂辉石原料为例，当前的 生产现金成本高达7万元，已低于锂盐 ...

富宝资讯：碳酸锂现货价格较上一交易日环比持平，富宝电池级碳酸锂报63950元/吨 金十期货5月9日讯，富宝锂电网发布数据显示，电碳现货基差指数为510元/吨（持平）；电池级碳酸锂 报63950元/吨（持平）；工业级碳酸锂（综合）报62700元/吨（持平）；电池级碳酸锂长协均价65250 元/吨（-250元/吨）；氢氧化锂指数报60500元/吨（持平）；锂辉石（非洲 SC 5%）报385美元/吨（-20 美元/吨）；锂辉石（中国 CIF 6%）报725美元/吨（-15美元/吨）；锂辉石指数（5%≤ Li2O <6%）报 5435元/吨（-50元/吨）；锂云母指数（2%≤ Li2O <4%）报1894元/吨（-42元/吨）；磷锂铝石（7%≤ Li2O <8%）报7565元/吨（-75元/吨）；富锂铝电解质指数报1821元/吨（-15元/吨）；富宝卤水（硫酸 锂）折扣系数报71.5%（持平）。 ...

Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 13.1 billion in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 68%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of -7.9 billion, a year-on-year decline of 208% [1] - In Q4 2024, the revenue was 3 billion, down 58% quarter-on-quarter and 18% year-on-year, with a net profit of -2.2 billion, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decline of 175% and a year-on-year decline of 345% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 2.584 billion, a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.02%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 104 million, a year-on-year increase of 102.68% [1] Operational Developments - The company has expanded its lithium chemical product capacity to over 120,000 tons, with Greenbushes currently having a total lithium concentrate capacity of approximately 1.62 million tons per year [2] - In 2024, the company produced 1.41 million tons of lithium concentrate, including 1.353 million tons of chemical-grade lithium concentrate and 57,000 tons of technical-grade lithium concentrate [2] - The construction of key projects is progressing steadily, with the chemical-grade plant No. 3's dry processing facility completed, and the wet processing facility construction is set to advance in the first half of 2025 [2] Investment Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 1.768 billion, 3.176 billion, and 5.150 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 27, 15, and 9 times [3]

天齐锂业（ [Table_StockNameRptType] 002466） 公司点评 一季度盈利改善，资源端持续扩张 [Table_Rank] 投资评级：买入（维持） 主要观点： ⚫[Table_Summary] 业绩 ⚫ 风险提示 新建产能不及预期；下游需求不及预期；新技术出现；不可控的全球地 缘风险。 | ⚫[Tab重要财务指标 le_Profit] | | | | 单位:百万元 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主要财务指标 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 营业收入 | 13063 | 15788 | 20900 | 27426 | | 收入同比（%） | -67.7% | 20.9% | 32.4% | 31.2% | | 归属母公司净利润 | -7905 | 1768 | 3176 | 5150 | | 净利润同比（%） | -208.3% | 122.4% | 79.6% | 62.2% | | 毛利率（%） | 46.1% | 47.2% | 50.1% | 50.2% | | ROE（%） | -18.9% | 4 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - The downstream raw material inventory in the lithium industry is at a high level, with sufficient warehouse receipt inventory. In the short term, downstream demand is mainly for rigid procurement, and the willingness to stock up has not increased. The social inventory continues to accumulate, resulting in a supply surplus situation [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compounds - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 66,650 yuan/ton, a decrease of 450 yuan/ton [1] - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate has an average price of 65,000 yuan/ton, a decrease of 400 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Futures Contracts - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2505 is 64,120 yuan/ton, with a decline of 2.55% [1] - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2506 is 64,200 yuan/ton, with a decline of 1.92% [1] - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2507 is 64,160 yuan/ton, with a decline of 1.99% [1] - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2508 is 65,320 yuan/ton, with a decline of 1.77% [1] - The closing price of lithium carbonate 2509 is 65,520 yuan/ton, with a decline of 1.86% [1] Lithium Ore - The average price of lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) is 750 yuan/ton, a decrease of 17 yuan/ton [1] - The average price of lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) is 840 yuan/ton, a decrease of 25 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) is 1470 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) is 6500 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of phospho - lithium - aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) is 7600 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton [2] Cathode Materials - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 31,875 yuan/ton, a decrease of 105 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 146,420 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 116,885 yuan/ton, a decrease of 130 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 123,665 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton [2] Price Differences - The difference between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1650 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton [2] - The difference between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is 2490 yuan/ton, an increase of 650 yuan/ton [2] - The difference between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 40 yuan/ton, an increase of 20 yuan/ton [2] - The difference between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is - 1120 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 132,033 tons, an increase of 169 tons [2] - The smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 51,033 tons, a decrease of 1367 tons [2] - The downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 45,169 tons, an increase of 2346 tons [2] - The other inventory (weekly, tons) is 35,831 tons, a decrease of 810 tons [2] - The registered warehouse receipt inventory (daily, tons) is 36,244 tons, an increase of 1008 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate externally is 70,422 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 4684 yuan/ton [3] - The cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate externally is 71,805 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 7653 yuan/ton [3] Downstream Sales - According to the comprehensive estimate of Passenger Federation data, the wholesale sales volume of new - energy passenger vehicle manufacturers in China in April was 1.14 million, with a year - on - year increase of 42% and a month - on - month increase of 1%. The cumulative sales volume from January to April this year is estimated [3]

阿根廷采矿商会Caem：阿根廷2025年锂产量预计同比增长 77%，达到1.318亿吨LCE。 ...

天齐锂业 20250507 摘要 • 公司一季度归母扣非净利润 4,442 万元，经营活动现金流净额 9.52 亿元， 现金流稳健，经营具韧性。受益于优化供应链管理和缩短锂矿定价周期， 降低了定价机制错配的影响，有效改善了公司业绩。 • 国内新购锂辉石入库及库存锂精矿消化后，国内生产基地化学级锂精矿成 本已接近最新采购价。自产工厂产能爬坡和技术改造也推动了 2025 年一 季度锂化合物及衍生品产销量同比增长。 • SQM 税务争议裁决的影响已在 2024 年度确认，彭博社预测 SQM 2025 年一季度业绩预计同比增长，公司确认的对 SQM 投资收益较上年同期有 所增长，对公司利润产生积极影响。 • 公司从泰利森采购锂矿价格约为 700 至 750 元，定价机制基于亚洲金属 网等四家机构上月数据加权平均，并给予股东折扣。库存均价已降至当前 采购成本水平，有效控制了成本。 • 尽管近期锂矿价格有所下降，但泰利森矿山成本优势明显，现金成本变化 不大。公司销售策略以长单为主，定价参考 SCM 价格并随市场调整折扣， 与下游客户保持良好关系。 Q&A 请介绍一下公司在 2025 年第一季度的业绩情况。 2025 年第 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a decline in revenue and profit due to lower iron ore prices, while accelerating the development of lithium mining projects which are expected to gradually contribute to profits in the future [1][2]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.843 billion yuan, a slight decrease of 4.01% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 751 million yuan, down 34.17% year-on-year [2]. - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders of 925 million yuan and 225 million yuan, respectively, showing a year-on-year increase of 0.52% and a decrease of 6.96% [2]. - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2026 has been revised down to 1.034 billion yuan and 1.088 billion yuan, respectively, from the previous estimates of 1.184 billion yuan and 1.317 billion yuan [2]. Iron Ore Production - In 2024, the company produced 3.7666 million tons of iron concentrate, a year-on-year increase of 0.07%, while iron ore sales decreased by 20.86% to 2.8571 million tons [3]. - The average selling price of iron concentrate in 2024 is estimated at 880 yuan per ton, reflecting a year-on-year decrease of 13 yuan per ton, leading to a gross profit per ton of 509 yuan, down 18 yuan per ton [3]. - The company has increased its iron ore resource reserves by 161 million tons and 13 million tons for two mining projects, which will extend the service life of the mines or expand production capacity [3]. Lithium Mining Development - The company is accelerating the exploration of lithium mining projects in Hunan and Sichuan, with significant progress reported [2]. - The Hunan lithium project has received approval for resource reserves, with identified ore reserves of 490 million tons and an average grade of 0.268%, equivalent to approximately 3.2443 million tons of lithium carbonate [2]. - The Sichuan lithium project has completed exploration work and will focus on transitioning to production in 2025, with plans to sell by-products [2].

（原标题：今日看点｜国新办将举行"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况新闻发布会） 经济观察网讯 5月7日重点关注的财经要闻与资本市场大事： 1、国新办将举行"一揽子金融政策支持稳市场稳预期"有关情况新闻发布会 5月7日，190家公司共发布192个股票回购相关进展。其中，3家公司首次披露股票回购预案，5家公司回 购方案获股东大会通过，178家公司披露股票回购实施进展，5家公司回购方案已实施完毕。 从首次披露回购预案来看，当日共3家公司股票回购预案金额超千万。东方证券、道通科技、银轮股份 回购预案金额最高，分别拟回购不超5.0亿元、2.0亿元、1.0亿元。从股东大会通过回购预案来看，当日 共3家公司回购预案超千万。嘉益股份、中伟股份、永杉锂业回购金额最高，分别拟回购不超1.6亿元、 8632.98万元、2879.88万元。 4、今日有5308亿元7天期逆回购到期 4月30日，央行开展5308亿元7天期逆回购操作，操作利率1.50%，今日到期。 5、美国当周EIA原油库存、欧元区3月零售销售月率等数据将公布。 5月7日上午9时，国新办将举行新闻发布会，中国人民银行、国家金融监督管理总局、中国证券监督管 理委员 ...