财报季，社保基金持股动向曝光！三季度末社保基金共现身264只个股前十大流通股东榜，新进79只， 增持67只。 证券时报·数据宝统计显示，社保基金最新出现在264只个股前十大流通股东名单中，合计持股量41.27亿 股，期末持股市值合计860.18亿元。持股变动显示，不变35只，减持83只，新进79只，增持67只。 社保基金重仓股中，从前十大流通股东名单中社保基金家数来看，共有12只股获3家社保基金集中现 身，持股量居前的是太阳纸业、广信股份、晋控煤业，持股量分别是有10883.73万股、4709.10万股、 4467.88万股。 从持股比例看，社保基金持有比例最多的是佰奥智能，持股量占流通股比例为7.23%，其次是儒竞科 技，社保基金持股比例为6.79%，持股比例居前的还有伟隆股份、我武生物、扬农化工等。持股数量方 面，社保基金持股数量在5000万股以上的共有16只，社保基金持股量最多的是钒钛股份，共持有1.70亿 股，云铝股份、中国铝业等紧随其后，持股量分别为1.56亿股、1.26亿股。 | | | 牧 | | | | | 渔 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | - ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - No relevant information provided 3. Summary by Related Catalog SP Main Contract Closing Price - On October 27, 2025, the SP main contract closing price was 5258.00, with a 0.34351% increase from the previous day [3]. - The closing prices from October 21 - 27, 2025, showed fluctuations, with increases on some days and a decrease on October 24 [3]. Import Profit Calculation - With a 13% VAT calculation, the import profit for Canadian Golden Lion was -145.57, for Canadian Lion was -593.29, and for Chilean Silver Star was -41.01 [4]. Pulp Price and Index - From October 21 - 27, 2025, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, natural pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged, as did the average prices in Shandong [4]. - The cultural paper, packaging paper, and living paper indices also remained unchanged during this period [4]. Profit Margin Estimation - From October 22 - 27, 2025, the estimated profit margins of offset paper, copperplate paper, white cardboard, and living paper changed, with increases in offset paper, copperplate paper, and white cardboard, and a decrease in living paper [4]. Price Spreads - From October 21 - 27, 2025, the price spreads between softwood and hardwood, softwood and natural, softwood and chemimechanical, and softwood and waste paper showed certain changes [4].

Macroeconomic Insights - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates in October due to weaker-than-expected inflation data, with the September CPI rising to 3.0% year-on-year, slightly below the 3.1% forecast[5][12] - The 10-year U.S. Treasury yield remains stable at 4.02%, while the domestic 10Y government bond futures price decreased by 0.3%[6] Market Performance - Major stock indices showed positive performance, with the Hang Seng Index and Nikkei 225 both up by 3.6%, and the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 2.9%[6] - The S&P 500 Index increased by 1.9%, while emerging market stocks outperformed developed markets with a 2.2% rise[6] Commodity Trends - IPE Brent crude futures rose by 7.1% due to supply concerns from sanctions on Russia, while the S&P-Goldman Commodity Index increased by 3.7%[5] - COMEX copper prices saw a 2.4% increase, contrasting with a 3.3% decline in London gold prices[5] Investment and Consumption Trends - Consumer spending shows a divergence, with strong performance in goods like automobiles and textiles, while services such as urban travel and movie ticket sales are declining[10] - Investment in infrastructure is improving, with special bond issuance exceeding 90% completion and cement shipment rates increasing[10] Foreign Investment Activity - Northbound capital saw a net inflow of approximately 10 billion CNY in the last week, reversing a previous outflow of 11.3 billion CNY[35] - In Hong Kong, foreign capital inflow reached 9.5 billion HKD, with significant investments in software services and ETFs[36] Policy and Economic Outlook - The Chinese government emphasizes the importance of domestic demand and plans to enhance consumer spending and investment in social welfare sectors[30] - The upcoming economic stimulus plan from Japan's new Prime Minister is expected to exceed 13.9 trillion JPY, aimed at supporting economic recovery[7]

Industry Insights - The appreciation of the RMB is expected to lead to a revaluation of Chinese assets, with the stock market likely to maintain a bullish atmosphere due to marginal economic stabilization and relatively loose liquidity [1] - Industries such as transportation, non-ferrous metals, petrochemicals, machinery, home appliances, electronics, and power equipment are anticipated to benefit from the appreciation of the RMB, considering factors like exchange gains and losses, foreign currency liabilities, northbound holdings, and raw material imports [1] - For industries like aviation and papermaking, where many products are settled in foreign currencies, the appreciation of the RMB will reduce costs and enhance profits [1] Company Highlights - Shanying International is recognized for its leading position in the paper and packaging printing sectors in China [1] - Huaxia Airlines is identified as an independent private airline company that focuses on regional transportation [1]

Core Viewpoint - Qingshan Paper Industry (600103.SH) reported a decline in both revenue and net profit for Q3 2025, indicating potential challenges in its financial performance [1] Financial Performance - The company's operating revenue for Q3 2025 was 558 million yuan, representing a year-on-year decrease of 3.46% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders of the listed company was 8.91 million yuan, down 71.82% year-on-year [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 3.79 million yuan, reflecting a significant decline of 82.40% year-on-year [1]

Core Viewpoint - The industrial enterprises in September showed a significant improvement in both revenue and profit, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 2.7% and profit growth of 21.6%, indicating a positive trend in the industrial sector despite previous fluctuations in earlier months [1][8][9]. Revenue and Profit Growth - In September, the revenue of industrial enterprises increased by 2.7% year-on-year, accelerating by 0.8 percentage points compared to August. The cumulative revenue growth for the first three quarters reached 2.4%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from the previous value [1][7][8]. - The profit for September saw a year-on-year increase of 21.6%, which is 1.2 percentage points higher than the previous month, marking the second consecutive month of over 20% profit growth. The cumulative profit growth for the first three quarters was 3.2% [1][9][8]. Profit Contribution Analysis - The profit contribution can be broken down into several factors: 1. The industrial added value jumped to a year-on-year growth of 6.5%, driven by export delivery rhythms and policy adjustments [2][11]. 2. The Producer Price Index (PPI) shifted from negative growth to zero growth in August and September, with a narrowing year-on-year decline [2][11]. 3. The profit margin improved, with the revenue profit margin for January to September at 5.26%, a year-on-year increase of 0.04 percentage points, marking the first positive change in profit margin this year [2][11][12]. 4. The improvement in profit margins in August was primarily due to alleviated cost pressures, while in September, it was attributed to a decrease in expenses [2][15]. Industry Performance - The industries leading in profit growth for the first three quarters included non-ferrous metals, essential consumer goods, midstream equipment manufacturing, and public utilities. All eight sectors within equipment manufacturing achieved positive growth [3][18]. - High-growth sub-sectors included smart consumer device manufacturing, electronic component manufacturing, and specialized equipment manufacturing [3][18]. - The industries with the largest profit declines were concentrated in energy and mining, as well as durable and semi-durable consumer goods [3][20]. Marginal Changes in September - The profit improvement in September was influenced by low base effects in sectors like computer communication electronics and automotive, while price recovery in coal, construction materials, and electrical machinery also contributed positively [4][23]. - The nominal inventory of industrial enterprises increased by 2.8% year-on-year by the end of September, while actual inventory growth was slightly lower at 5.1% [5][25][27]. Financial Stability - The asset-liability ratio for industrial enterprises remained stable at 58% as of the end of September, with a slight year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points [5][29][30]. - Owner's equity grew by 4.7% year-on-year, reflecting a corresponding increase in profit growth, while liabilities increased by 5.2%, indicating a trend of slowing growth in liabilities since March [5][29][30]. Overall Outlook - The industrial sector's profits have maintained a high year-on-year growth rate of over 20% for two consecutive months, largely supported by base effects and price improvements. The cumulative profit growth for the first three quarters was 3.2%, suggesting a potential end to three consecutive years of negative profit growth [6][30].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The pulp market shows a complex situation with supply and demand factors interacting. Supply - side factors include changes in domestic production and imports, while demand - side factors involve downstream production and consumption. The market is also affected by inventory levels, price trends, and cost - profit relationships. In the short - term, the market is expected to remain volatile, and long - term trends are influenced by factors such as future supply projections and terminal demand capabilities [6][8][10] 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents Part 1: Pulp Overview 1.1 Supply - side - Domestic production: In the week of 2025/10/24, domestic broadleaf pulp production was 23.50 million tons, up 0.30 million tons from the previous week, and chemimechanical pulp production was 23.60 million tons, up 0.80 million tons. Huanggang Chenming's softwood pulp line planned a one - month shutdown starting on September 29, with an annual capacity of 550,000 tons and an expected impact of 45,000 tons [6][7] - Imports: In September 2025, China's pulp imports were 2.952 billion tons, a 11.3% month - on - month increase and a 10.3% year - on - year increase. The cumulative imports for the year were 27.061 billion tons, a 5.6% year - on - year increase. Softwood pulp imports were 691,000 tons, and broadleaf pulp imports were 1.356 billion tons. Overseas shipments of softwood and broadleaf pulp showed different trends, with softwood shipments expected to be stable to slightly lower in October and broadleaf shipments expected to remain sufficient in November [7] 1.2 Demand and Inventory - side - Demand: Downstream production of various paper products showed a slight increase in the week of 2025/10/23 compared to the previous week. The total pulp demand was 902,600 tons, a 25,800 - ton increase. New production capacities were being put into operation, but terminal demand was limited, resulting in stable production but decreasing operating rates [8] - Inventory: Port inventories were in a state of oscillating accumulation, with Qingdao Port's inventory at 1.39 billion tons, down 12,000 tons from the previous week. Warehouse receipt inventories were in a state of slightly decreasing, suppressing the 11 and 12 contracts. Downstream finished - product inventories were in a state of oscillating accumulation [8] 1.3 Price and Spread - Prices: Foreign offers for softwood pulp decreased, while spot prices showed a polarization between softwood and broadleaf, with broadleaf being relatively firm and softwood being relatively weak. Futures prices were in a state of oscillation, with the 01 contract having less pressure due to fewer new warehouse receipts, but the fundamentals remained weak [10] - Spreads: The spread between softwood and broadleaf pulp remained high and stable, and the futures spread widened as some short - positions moved to the far - month 01 contract. The basis was stable [10] 1.4 Cost and Profit - Costs: Domestic pulp costs were stable, and imported pulp costs had different trends. Foreign offers were rising, causing the profit margin of imported pulp to shrink [12] - Profits: Domestic pulp profits were expected to slightly recover, and imported pulp profits were stable. The profits of finished paper products were generally stable [12] 1.5 Strategy Recommendation - In the short - term, it is recommended to observe whether port de - stocking continues and the situation of spot transactions. If the spot is stable, long positions in the far - month 01 contract can be appropriately established, but risk prevention is necessary. If the warehouse receipt problem of the 11 contract is not resolved, short positions in the 11 contract can be considered [15] Part 2: Pulp Balance Sheet - The balance sheet shows the supply, demand, and inventory data of pulp from January 2024 to November 2025. Supply includes imports and domestic production, demand includes pulp consumption and other needs, and inventory includes warehouse receipt inventory and port inventory. The data shows the cumulative and year - on - year changes of each item, and the supply - demand gap and inventory - consumption ratio are also calculated [17] Part 3: Pulp Supply and Demand Analysis 3.1 Global Pulp Supply and Demand Analysis - No detailed data or analysis provided in the content 3.2 Domestic Pulp Supply and Demand Analysis 3.2.1 Supply - side - Pulp imports: The report provides data on the imports of various types of pulp, including softwood pulp, broadleaf pulp, chemimechanical pulp, and wood chips, from 2022 to 2025, showing the monthly and cumulative import volumes and year - on - year changes [33][37][41] - Seasonal and cumulative imports: The seasonal and cumulative import data of softwood pulp from different countries are presented, as well as the import data of chemimechanical pulp, unbleached pulp, and wood chips [45][50][62] 3.2.2 Demand - side - Pulp demand: The report shows the demand for pulp in the downstream paper products industry, including the production of various paper products and the total pulp demand [8] - Finished paper products: The production, import, export, and demand of various finished paper products such as toilet paper, offset paper, coated paper, and white cardboard are analyzed, and the planned production capacity and production progress of some products are also mentioned [82][96][114] 3.2.3 Inventory - side - Total pulp inventory: The total pulp inventory, including warehouse receipt inventory and port inventory, is presented, showing the weekly data from 2022 to 2025 [142] - Inventory by port: The weekly inventory data of pulp in different ports such as Qingdao Port, Tianjin Port, Changshu Port, and Gaolan Port from 2022 to 2025 are provided [150] Part 4: Cost and Profit - Pulp import cost and profit: The cost and profit of imported pulp are analyzed, with the cost being affected by foreign offers and the profit margin shrinking [162] - Domestic pulp production cost and profit: The production cost and profit of domestic pulp are analyzed, with the profit expected to slightly recover [165] Part 5: Pulp Price and Spread Analysis 5.1 Pulp Foreign Offers - The seasonal price data of various types of pulp such as Silver Star, Russian Needle, and Goldfish from 2022 to 2025 are presented [174] 5.2 Price Spread - The seasonal spread data between different types of pulp such as Silver Star - Goldfish, Russian Needle - Goldfish, and Silver Star - Russian Needle from 2022 to 2025 are presented [177] 5.3 Basis - The basis data between Silver Star, Russian Needle, and the main contract from 2022 to 2025 are presented [180] 5.4 SP Main Contract Seasonal Chart and Inter - month Spread - No detailed data or analysis provided in the content

Group 1 - The core point of the articles highlights the significant growth in the import of wood chips at Beihai Port, driven by the development of the high-end paper industry in the region [1][2] - Beihai Port has seen a steady increase in wood chip imports from countries such as Vietnam, Thailand, Australia, and South Africa, with over 2.65 million tons handled in the first three quarters of the year, marking a 6.9% year-on-year increase [1] - The arrival of the "Cedar" vessel, carrying 59,561 tons of wood chips, represents the largest shipment since the port's opening, showcasing the port's enhanced logistics and service capabilities [1] Group 2 - The container throughput for paper and pulp from Beihai Port reached 145,500 TEUs in the first three quarters, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth, indicating robust logistics and trade activity [2] - Beihai Port is increasingly recognized as a key hub for the high-end paper industry, facilitating the integration of port and industry while enhancing connectivity with ASEAN [1][2] - The local government is focused on optimizing the business environment and expanding high-level openness to stimulate the synergy between land and sea, as well as port and industry [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the light industry manufacturing sector [3] Core Insights - Pop Mart's Q3 revenue performance exceeded market expectations, with a year-on-year growth of 245%-250% for Q3 2025, driven by strong performance in both domestic and overseas markets [5][6] - The report emphasizes the importance of new consumption valuation switching logic and highlights the stable operational performance of sports brands in Q3 [3] - The report suggests that the overseas market is a key growth engine for Pop Mart, with significant growth potential in regions like the Americas and Asia-Pacific [5][6] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The light industry manufacturing index increased by 2.62%, ranking 12th among 28 industries, while the textile and apparel index rose by 0.37%, ranking 25th [11] - Key sub-sectors within light industry manufacturing showed positive growth, including packaging and printing (3.27%) and paper (2.65%) [11] Company Performance - Pop Mart's Q3 revenue growth was driven by a 185%-190% increase in domestic revenue and a 365%-370% increase in overseas revenue [5] - The report highlights the strong demand for Pop Mart's IP products, which are currently in a supply-demand imbalance [5][6] Industry Trends - The report notes a shift in consumer behavior towards "emotional consumption," which is expected to drive demand for collectible toys and related products [5] - The report identifies several companies within the sector that are expected to perform well, including Sun Paper, Baiya, and Huali Group, with recommendations to buy or hold based on their growth potential [3][6] Financial Metrics - The report provides financial forecasts for key companies, including earnings per share (EPS) and price-to-earnings (PE) ratios, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [3][6]

Market Overview - The paper sector increased by 0.04% on October 27, with Qingshan Paper leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3996.94, up 1.18%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13489.4, up 1.51% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Qingshan Paper (600103) closed at 3.71, up 2.20%, with a trading volume of 2.19 million shares and a turnover of 810 million yuan [1] - Hengda New Material (301469) closed at 29.26, up 2.13%, with a trading volume of 14,300 shares and a turnover of 41.68 million yuan [1] - Songwu Resources (603863) closed at 20.51, up 1.28%, with a trading volume of 100,400 shares and a turnover of 205 million yuan [1] - Other notable stocks include Huatai Co. (600308) at 3.73 (+0.54%) and Xianhe Co. (603733) at 22.45 (+0.54%) [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The paper sector experienced a net outflow of 49.9 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of 56.9 million yuan [2] - Conversely, speculative funds recorded a net inflow of 106 million yuan [2] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Stocks - Sun Paper (002078) had a net outflow of 23.42 million yuan from institutional investors, with a net inflow of 13.19 million yuan from speculative funds [3] - Yueyang Forest Paper (600963) saw a net inflow of 22.82 million yuan from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 34.79 million yuan from retail investors [3] - Qingshan Paper (600103) had a net inflow of 16.87 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 69.10 million yuan [3]