Market Overview - The market is experiencing volatility with both Hong Kong and mainland markets declining, with Hong Kong stocks dropping by 1.28% [1] - International negotiations between the US and Russia are ongoing but have not yielded positive results, impacting market sentiment [1] Industry Insights - The copper market is facing a significant supply shortage due to the suspension of operations at the Grasberg mine, which is one of the largest copper-gold mines globally, expected to resume production only in mid-2026 [3] - The demand for copper is increasing due to the construction of data centers and the growth of the renewable energy sector, with projections for a refined copper shortfall of 300,000 to 400,000 tons by 2026 [3] - The aluminum industry is showing resilience with domestic production capacity nearing 45 million tons, and demand is expected to remain strong despite seasonal slowdowns [6] Company Developments - Longpan Technology signed a long-term procurement agreement for lithium iron phosphate cathode materials worth approximately 45-55 billion yuan, securing a significant supply chain commitment from 2026 to 2030 [4] - Meidi Group's stock is being positively influenced by BlackRock's increased stake, which rose from 5.08% to 6.80%, alongside the company's active share buyback program [7] - Meidi Group reported a 13.85% year-on-year increase in total revenue for the first three quarters, with a notable growth in its B2B business segment, which contributed 22% of total revenue [8]

Core Insights - COMEX gold, silver, and copper prices experienced a decline, while aluminum prices rose over 3%, indicating strong performance in aluminum-related stocks [1] - As of the end of November, COMEX gold has appreciated over 52% this year, but the volatility has increased significantly, leading to a widening divergence in market sentiment [1] - Central bank activities regarding gold purchases or sales are identified as the primary explanatory variable for current gold prices, with recent sales by the Philippine and Russian central banks raising concerns about overvaluation [1] Group 1 - COMEX gold prices have seen a significant increase of over 52% year-to-date as of November [1] - The volatility in gold prices has intensified, with a notable increase in market divergence [1] - Central banks' gold purchasing and selling activities are crucial factors influencing gold price movements, with recent sales by the Philippine and Russian central banks indicating potential overvaluation [1] Group 2 - The outlook for central bank gold purchases and increased investment demand is expected to support higher precious metal prices in the medium to long term [2] - Short-term factors such as low inventory levels and potential demand release are likely to increase price elasticity, with silver recently reaching new highs [2] - Key resistance levels for London gold are identified at 4250 and 4400, with support at 4000 [2]

新能源及有色金属日报 | 2025-12-03 几内亚GIC矿业恢复运营预期提高 重要数据 铝现货方面：SMM数据，华东A00铝价21710元/吨，较上一交易日变化-20元/吨，华东铝现货升贴水-50元/吨， 较上一交易日变化0元/吨；中原A00铝价21580元/吨，现货升贴水较上一交易日变化0元/吨至-180元/吨；佛山 A00铝价录21610元/吨，较上一交易日变化-30元/吨，铝现货升贴水较上一交易日变化-10元/吨至-145元/吨。 铝期货方面：2025-12-02日沪铝主力合约开于21870元/吨，收于21910元/吨，较上一交易日变化130元/吨，最 高价达21940元/吨，最低价达到21755元/吨。全天交易日成交177992手，全天交易日持仓258440手。 库存方面，截止2025-12-02，SMM统计国内电解铝锭社会库存59.6万吨，较上一期变化0.0万吨，仓单库存66833 吨，较上一交易日变化0吨，LME铝库存535900吨，较上一交易日变化-2000吨。 氧化铝现货价格：2025-12-02SMM氧化铝山西价格录得2825元/吨，山东价格录得2760元/吨，河南价格录得 2850元/ ...

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.97%, down 252 points, closing at 25,842 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.3% [1] - China Aluminum (02600) rose by 5.66% as it plans to acquire stakes in three subsidiaries, enhancing its control [1] - CGN Mining (01164) increased by over 3% due to two major uranium suppliers lowering their 2026 production guidance, tightening supply and supporting uranium prices [1] - Longpan Technology (02465) surged over 10% after its subsidiary signed a nearly 5 billion yuan long-term contract with Sunwoda [1] - Yunji (02670) rose over 5%, reaching a new high since its listing, up 70% from its IPO price, leading in the smart hotel robot application competition [1] - Yijun Group Holdings (02442) resumed trading and skyrocketed by 66% after a change in controlling stake, receiving a buyout offer at over 80% discount [1] Group 2 - Lemo Technology (02539) debuted with a 68% increase, recognized as a leader in shared massage equipment [2] - Jinyan Gaoling New Materials (02693) also debuted, rising by 3%, being the largest producer of precision casting mullite materials in China [2] - Yidu International Holdings (00259) increased by over 7%, with its subsidiary, Canfeng Information, being a core client and shareholder of the domestic AI chip star company, Muxi, which will start its Sci-Tech Innovation Board subscription on December 5 [2] Group 3 - Capital界金控 (00204) plummeted over 50%, with mid-term losses expanding 3.73 times to 50.13 million HKD [3] Group 4 - XPeng Motors-W (09868) fell over 4%, with November sales declining by 12% month-on-month, failing to meet the target of 40,000 units [4]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index fell by 0.97%, down 252 points, closing at 25,842 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index dropped by 1.3% [1] - China Aluminum (02600) rose by 5.66% as it plans to acquire stakes in three subsidiaries, enhancing its control [1] - CGN Mining (01164) increased by over 3% due to two major uranium suppliers lowering their 2026 production guidance, tightening supply and supporting uranium prices [1] - Longpan Technology (02465) surged over 10% after its subsidiary signed a nearly 5 billion yuan long-term contract with Sunwoda [1] - Yunji (02670) rose over 5%, reaching a new high since its listing, now 70% above its IPO price, leading in the smart hotel robot application competition [1] Group 2 - Yijun Group Holdings (02442) resumed trading and skyrocketed by 66% after a change in controlling interest, receiving a buyout offer at over 80% discount [2] Group 3 - Lemo Technology (02539) debuted with a 68% increase, recognized as a leader in shared massage equipment [3] - Jinyan High-Alumina New Materials (02693) also debuted, rising by 3%, being the largest producer of precision casting mullite materials in China [3] - Yidu International Holdings (00259) increased by over 7%, with its subsidiary, Sanfeng Information, being a core client and shareholder of domestic AI chip star company Muxi, which will start its Sci-Tech Innovation Board subscription on December 5 [3] Group 4 - Capital界金控 (00204) plummeted over 50%, with mid-term losses expanding 3.73 times to 50.13 million HKD [4] Group 5 - XPeng Motors-W (09868) fell over 4% as November sales decreased by 12% month-on-month, failing to meet the target of 40,000 units [5]

港股上午盘三大指数低开低走，盘中均跌超1.1%以上，恒生指数午间收跌0.97%再失26000点，国企指 数、恒生科技指数分别下跌1.26%及1.3%。作为市场风向标的大型科技股集体弱势拖累大市走低，银行 股、保险股、中资券商股等权重集体低迷。另外，市场等待美联储政策指引，有色金属股再度活跃，黄 金股、铝业股方向涨幅明显，其中，中国铝业涨超5%，家电股、军工股、煤炭股部分上涨。(格隆汇) ...

汇丰发布研报称，展望明年中国铝行业基本面转强，下游需求持续增长，潜在供应短缺会成为市场关注 重点，预期中国产能维持4,500万吨上限，全球新增产能则依然有限，在电动车行业发展及电网投资的 支持下，中国需求维持稳固，来自建筑行业的拖累预期减弱，预料2026年铝价将按年增长6%，并存在 上行风险，继续列铝业股为中国材料板块的首选。 本文源自：智通财经网 消息面上，中国铝业近日宣布，云铝股份拟向云南冶金收购云铝涌鑫、云铝润鑫及云铝泓鑫股权。这三 家公司均为云铝股份的控股子公司。本次收购完成后，云南冶金不再持有三家公司股权，有利于云铝股 份优化所属企业股权结构，实现铝资产专业化归集，提高权益电解铝产能，符合云铝股份做优做强核心 主业的战略目标。 智通财经获悉，中国铝业(02600)早盘涨超4%，截至发稿，涨3.34%，报11.13港元，成交额2.25亿港 元。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - In the short - to - medium term, positive macro expectations and supply disruption concerns have led to an upward drive in the non - ferrous metals market. Opportunities to go long on copper, aluminum, and tin can be continuously monitored. In the long term, with the expectation of potential incremental stimulus policies in China and ongoing supply disruption issues for copper, aluminum, and tin, there are expectations of tightening supply - demand, and the price trends of copper, aluminum, and tin are optimistic [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1行情观点 3.1.1 Copper - **View**: CSPT's agreement on joint production cuts will cause copper prices to fluctuate strongly. - **Information Analysis**: Codelco is raising the annual premium for refined copper sold to Chinese customers. CSPT has reached a consensus to reduce the capacity utilization of ore - copper by over 10% in 2026. In November, SMM China's electrolytic copper production increased both month - on - month and year - on - year. On December 2, the spot price of 1 electrolytic copper showed a premium, and copper inventory decreased [7][8]. - **Main Logic**: The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut is rising. There are continuous supply disruptions in copper mines, and CSPT's production cut plan strengthens the expectation of supply contraction. Although demand is in the off - season, the market expects a tight supply - demand situation for refined copper next year [8]. 3.1.2 Alumina - **View**: The oversupply situation has not improved significantly, and alumina prices will continue to be under pressure. - **Information Analysis**: Alumina spot prices remained stable in most regions on December 2. The willingness of futures - cash merchants to sell warehouse receipts is strong. On December 2, the alumina warehouse receipts remained unchanged [9][10]. - **Main Logic**: Macroeconomic sentiment amplifies price fluctuations. High - cost production capacity has some fluctuations, but the actual supply contraction needs to be observed. The domestic market is still in a strong inventory - building trend, and raw material prices are weak, so the alumina price is under pressure [11]. 3.1.3 Aluminum - **View**: Macroeconomic sentiment is volatile, and aluminum prices will fluctuate and rise. - **Information Analysis**: On December 2, the average price of SMM AOO aluminum decreased slightly, and the premium remained unchanged. Aluminum rod and electrolytic aluminum ingot inventories decreased. An Australian rescue plan aims to prevent a smelter from closing, and new Indonesian aluminum plants are in operation [12]. - **Main Logic**: The expectation of interest rate cuts has increased, and the dollar index is under pressure. The domestic economy is weakly stable. The supply side has high domestic operating capacity and overseas power shortages. The demand side is stable, and inventory is decreasing. Overall, aluminum prices are expected to fluctuate strongly in the short term and may rise in the medium term [13]. 3.1.4 Aluminum Alloy - **View**: With strong cost support, the market will fluctuate and rise. - **Information Analysis**: On December 2, the price of ADC12 remained unchanged. The price difference between ADC12 and AOO aluminum changed. The registered warehouse receipts decreased. In October, the import volume of scrap aluminum increased year - on - year [14][15][16]. - **Main Logic**: The supply of scrap aluminum is tight, providing strong cost support. The weekly operating rate has increased, but some alloy plants face production cut risks. Demand is marginally improving, and inventory is rising. In the short and medium terms, prices are expected to fluctuate strongly [15]. 3.1.5 Zinc - **View**: With the export window open, zinc prices will fluctuate at a high level. - **Information Analysis**: On December 2, the spot premiums of zinc in different regions varied. As of December 2, zinc ingot inventory decreased. A mine in Australia postponed high - grade zinc ore mining due to an earthquake [18]. - **Main Logic**: The expectation of the Fed's interest rate cut in December is rising. In the short term, zinc ore supply has loosened, and smelters' profitability is good. The export window has opened, but demand is in the off - season. In the short term, zinc prices will fluctuate at a high level, and there is a risk of decline in the long term [18]. 3.1.6 Lead - **View**: With the reduction of social inventory, lead prices may continue to rebound in the short term. - **Information Analysis**: On December 2, the price of scrap electric vehicle batteries and the price difference between primary and secondary lead remained unchanged. The price of lead ingots increased, and the premium was stable. Lead ingot inventory decreased, and some smelters were under maintenance [19]. - **Main Logic**: The spot premium and price difference are stable, and warehouse receipts are decreasing. Production has decreased due to smelter maintenance, and demand from battery enterprises is improving. Lead prices are expected to fluctuate [20]. 3.1.7 Nickel - **View**: With the easing of the supply side in Indonesia, nickel prices will fluctuate. - **Information Analysis**: On December 2, LME and Shanghai nickel inventories decreased. An Indonesian company plans to focus on three HPAL projects next year. GreenMeiBang's nickel project is in normal production [21][22]. - **Main Logic**: Market sentiment dominates the market, and the static valuation is stable. The supply of nickel ore is relatively loose, and the production of intermediate products has recovered. Nickel salt prices are slightly weaker, and inventory has accumulated significantly. Nickel prices will fluctuate [23]. 3.1.8 Stainless Steel - **View**: With the stable price of nickel - iron, the stainless - steel market will fluctuate. - **Information Analysis**: The stainless - steel futures warehouse receipts decreased. On December 2, the spot premium of stainless steel in Foshan was positive. The average price of high - nickel pig iron remained unchanged. GreenMeiBang's nickel project is in normal production [24]. - **Main Logic**: The prices of nickel - iron and chromium have declined, weakening cost support. After the peak season, production and demand have decreased, and inventory is accumulating. Stainless - steel prices are expected to fluctuate within a range [25][26]. 3.1.9 Tin - **View**: With continuous supply concerns, tin prices will fluctuate at a high level. - **Information Analysis**: On December 2, LME tin warehouse receipts remained unchanged, and Shanghai tin warehouse receipts increased. The average price of 1 tin ingots decreased [26]. - **Main Logic**: The supply of tin is a core concern. The resumption of production in the Wa State's mining area is slow, and Indonesian exports are restricted. The supply of tin ore is tight, and demand from semiconductor, photovoltaic, and new - energy vehicle industries is increasing. Tin prices are expected to fluctuate strongly [26]. 3.2行情监测 3.2.1 Commodity Index - On December 2, 2025, the comprehensive index, commodity 20 index, and industrial product index of CITICS Futures all showed slight declines, with changes of - 0.01%, - 0.00%, and - 0.03% respectively [151]. 3.2.2 Special Index No relevant content provided. 3.2.3 Sector Index - On December 2, 2025, the non - ferrous metals index was 2512.54, with a daily decline of - 0.07%, a 5 - day increase of + 1.84%, a 1 - month increase of + 1.86%, and a year - to - date increase of + 8.85% [153].

每经AI快讯，中国铝业(02600.HK)早盘涨超3%，截至发稿，涨3.34%，报11.13港元，成交额2.25亿港 元。 （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

消息面上，中国铝业近日宣布，云铝股份拟向云南冶金收购云铝涌鑫、云铝润鑫及云铝泓鑫股权。这三 家公司均为云铝股份的控股子公司。本次收购完成后，云南冶金不再持有三家公司股权，有利于云铝股 份优化所属企业股权结构，实现铝资产专业化归集，提高权益电解铝产能，符合云铝股份做优做强核心 主业的战略目标。 汇丰发布研报称，展望明年中国铝行业基本面转强，下游需求持续增长，潜在供应短缺会成为市场关注 重点，预期中国产能维持4,500万吨上限，全球新增产能则依然有限，在电动车行业发展及电网投资的 支持下，中国需求维持稳固，来自建筑行业的拖累预期减弱，预料2026年铝价将按年增长6%，并存在 上行风险，继续列铝业股为中国材料板块的首选。 智通财经APP获悉，中国铝业(02600)早盘涨超4%，截至发稿，涨3.34%，报11.13港元，成交额2.25亿港 元。 ...