Group 1: Diplomatic and Security Policies - President Lee Jae-myung emphasizes a practical diplomacy centered on national interests, aiming to strengthen the Korea-U.S. alliance while improving relations with China and Russia [1][10] - Lee's administration has taken measures to ease tensions on the Korean Peninsula, including stopping the illegal distribution of leaflets to North Korea and halting loudspeaker broadcasts [3][4] - The importance of restoring summit diplomacy with China is highlighted, as it has been over 11 years since a Chinese president visited South Korea [11] Group 2: Economic Challenges - The South Korean economy is facing significant challenges, including the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and trade wars, leading to a decline in the economic conditions of ordinary citizens [6] - Lee's government plans to issue universal subsidies to stimulate consumption and address structural economic issues [6] - There is a concern that South Korea is losing competitiveness in key industries such as semiconductors, shipbuilding, and automotive, which are crucial for its economy [6] Group 3: Domestic Political Landscape - The political landscape in South Korea is still recovering from the previous administration's controversies, with ongoing investigations into former President Yoon Suk-yeol and his associates [4][5] - Lee Jae-myung's administration is expected to push for constitutional reforms, including changes to presidential terms and power-sharing arrangements [5] - The process of constitutional reform is anticipated to be lengthy and requires consensus between the ruling and opposition parties [5]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that China Shipbuilding Industry Co., Ltd. has successfully obtained approval from the Shanghai Stock Exchange for the merger and acquisition of China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, which will lead to the termination of the latter's listing and the transfer of all assets, liabilities, and rights to the former [1] - Following the merger, China Shipbuilding is expected to become the largest publicly listed shipbuilding company globally, with a projected market value exceeding 250 billion yuan and total assets surpassing 400 billion yuan [1] - As of July 4, the market capitalization of China Shipbuilding was 146.7 billion yuan, while that of China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation was 105.6 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The merger process began with China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation announcing a major asset restructuring on September 2, 2024, which involved a share swap to absorb China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation [2] - The confirmed share swap ratio was 1:0.1339, with the adjusted share prices being 37.59 yuan per share for China Shipbuilding and 5.032 yuan per share for China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation, resulting in a total transaction value of 115.15 billion yuan [2]

今日导读 1. 7月7日起，沪深北交易所《程序化交易管理实施细则》正式施行。 2. 7月7日，富国中证AAA科技创新公司债ETF、华夏中证AAA科技创新公司债ETF、招 商中证AAA科技创新公司债ETF等首批10只科创债ETF将发行，多只科创债ETF的发售期 仅有7月7日一天。 1、 国务院国资委7月4日消息，近日，国务院国资委印发的《关于新时代中央企业高质量推进品牌建 设的意见》提出，加强品牌保护管理。建立健全品牌授权准入、动态审核、清查退出机制，加大对擅 用、滥用品牌行为的监测、识别和处罚力度，加强违规挂靠、假冒国企问题的梳理排查和证据收集， 确保品牌使用规范。注重战略性新兴产业、未来产业自有品牌商标注册，预防恶意商标抢注行为。常 态化开展商标侵权监测，完善商标维权与争端解决机制，综合运用协商沟通、舆论维权、法律诉讼等 打击侵权行为。 2、 住房城乡建设部调研组近日赴广东、浙江两省调研。调研组表示，促进房地产市场平稳、健康、 高质量发展具有重要意义。各地要切实扛起责任，充分用好房地产调控政策自主权，因城施策、精准 施策，提升政策实施的系统性有效性，持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势。 调 研组要求，要加快建设安 ...

Core Viewpoint - The major asset restructuring in China's shipbuilding industry, involving the merger of China Shipbuilding (600150.SH) and China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation (601989.SH), is nearing completion, marking a significant step towards the establishment of a "Chinese Ship" era in global shipbuilding [1][3][8] Company Overview - The merger involves a transaction amount of 115.15 billion yuan and total assets exceeding 400 billion yuan, positioning the new entity as a dominant player in the global shipbuilding market [1][4] - The restructuring is seen as a continuation of the "South-North Ship" merger initiated in 2017, aimed at resolving internal competition issues within the industry [1][5] Financial Performance - As of the end of Q1 2024, both companies reported robust financial performance, with a combined contract liability exceeding 130 billion yuan [2][8] - China Shipbuilding's net profit for 2024 was 3.614 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 22.21%, while China Shipbuilding Industry Corporation reported a net profit of 1.311 billion yuan, up 266.60% [8] Market Position - The merger is expected to enhance operational efficiency and reduce costs, with potential improvements in capacity utilization from 72% and 53% to over 85%, and an estimated annual savings of over 2 billion yuan in operational expenses [7][8] - The combined entity will integrate key assets from both companies, creating a comprehensive shipbuilding industry chain across major regions in China [7] Strategic Implications - The restructuring is viewed as a systematic reshaping of the industry, leveraging national strategy and market mechanisms to enhance competitiveness and break international monopolies [8] - The merger is anticipated to facilitate technological collaboration, particularly in high-value civilian vessels and defense technology, accelerating the commercialization of advanced technologies [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Views - The major asset restructuring of China Shipbuilding has been approved by the Shanghai Stock Exchange, indicating that the regulatory review process is nearly complete and the transaction is moving towards implementation [6] - Post-merger, the combined capacity could reach 18-33% of global capacity, with the potential to control 40% of global DWT capacity if all shipbuilding assets are merged [6] - The estimated market capitalization post-merger ranges from 250.4 billion to 411 billion CNY, based on current order values and P/O ratios [6] - The impact of the U.S. 301 plan on shipyards has significantly weakened, leading to a gradual recovery of market sentiment and a potential increase in ship prices and order volumes [6] - Ship prices have shown signs of stabilization, with new ship orders increasing significantly in June [6] - The current P/O ratio is at a historical low of 0.68, supporting the maintained profit forecast and "Buy" rating [6] Financial Data and Profit Forecast - Total revenue is projected to grow from 78.584 billion CNY in 2024 to 115.08 billion CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of 25.9% [2] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 3.614 billion CNY in 2024 to 14.615 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a significant growth rate [2] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to increase from 0.81 CNY in 2024 to 3.27 CNY in 2027 [2] - The gross margin is anticipated to improve from 10.2% in 2024 to 20.5% in 2027 [2] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 7.1% in 2024 to 19.1% in 2027 [2]

01 A股重磅！沪深北交易所程序化交易管理实施细则明起实施 7月7日起，沪深北交易所《程序化交易管理实施细则》正式施行。《实施细则》围绕强监管、防风险、促高质量发展主线，秉 承"趋利避害、突出公平、从严监管、规范发展"的程序化交易监管总体思路，对程序化交易报告管理、交易行为管理、信息系统 管理、高频交易管理、深股通管理、监督检查等作出细化规定。 在高频交易管理方面，《实施细则》明确高频交易标准，即单账户每秒申报、撤单笔数合计最高达到300笔以上，或者单账户全 日申报、撤单笔数合计最高达到20000笔以上。同时，《实施细则》对高频交易作出差异化监管安排，包括额外报告要求、从严 管理异常交易行为、实行差异化收费标准等。 02 央行大消息 7月4日，中国人民银行就《人民币跨境支付系统业务规则（征求意见稿）》公开征求意见。《业务规则（征求意见稿）》共六章 三十一条。对参与者和运营机构账户开立、参与者结算资金归属、参与者流动性管理等业务行为进行规范。明确参与者的业务类 型，对报文权限申请、系统登录、业务种类填写、查询查复等业务行为进行规范。 03 国资委重要 表态 7月3日，国务院国资委党委书记、主任张玉卓到中国有色矿 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trade agreements between the United States and Vietnam, highlighting the differences in negotiation outcomes with Japan and the implications for U.S. trade policy under Trump [3][4][6]. Group 1: U.S.-Vietnam Trade Agreement - The U.S. has agreed to reduce tariffs on Vietnamese products from 46% to 20%, while imposing a 40% tariff on goods transshipped through Vietnam to the U.S. Vietnam will maintain zero tariffs on U.S. goods [3][4]. - The agreement reflects a broader strategy by the U.S. to maintain a competitive tariff differential with other countries, with a minimum differential of 8.2% and a maximum of 20% [6][15]. Group 2: U.S.-Japan Trade Negotiations - Japan's negotiations with the U.S. have stalled, with Japan insisting on comprehensive exemptions from tariffs, while the U.S. focuses on specific tariff rates [11][16]. - The U.S. has threatened to impose tariffs as high as 35% on Japanese goods, indicating a tougher stance compared to the agreement with Vietnam [10][24]. - Japan's position as a major investor in the U.S. has not translated into favorable trade terms, as the U.S. perceives Japan as a "spoiled ally" [11][24]. Group 3: Broader Implications for Trade Policy - The article suggests that the U.S. may adopt a phased approach to tariff negotiations, granting exemptions to countries making progress while applying pressure to those lagging behind [21]. - The potential for a trade agreement with India is highlighted, with India facing a 26% tariff and seeking a similar arrangement as Vietnam [18][19]. - The article notes that the U.S. is likely to be more flexible in negotiations with non-allied countries compared to traditional allies like Japan [17][21].

Core Viewpoint - Liaoning Province is advancing its offshore wind power projects, with a total capacity of 13.1 million kilowatts, which is expected to drive the transformation of traditional industries and stimulate regional economic growth [1][3][12]. Group 1: Offshore Wind Power Development - The 13.1 million kilowatt offshore wind power project is progressing steadily, aiming to enhance the energy structure towards greener and newer sources [3][4]. - By 2024, clean energy generation capacity and output in Liaoning are projected to exceed 50%, achieving the goals set in the 14th Five-Year Plan ahead of schedule [3][4]. - Liaoning's offshore wind power capacity has reached 1.25 million kilowatts, with plans to develop two large-scale offshore wind power bases exceeding 5 million kilowatts each [4][7]. Group 2: Economic Impact - The construction of the 13.1 million kilowatt offshore wind power project is estimated to attract investments of approximately 300 billion yuan, generate annual output exceeding 100 billion yuan, and create over 100,000 jobs [4][12]. - Liaoning ranks second in the country for green electricity trading, with a trading volume of 12.783 billion kilowatt-hours, highlighting its significant role in the national green energy market [4][8]. Group 3: Industrial Integration and Innovation - The offshore wind power industry in Liaoning is expected to integrate with traditional industries such as steel, metallurgy, and shipbuilding, leveraging the region's strong industrial base [7][10]. - A collaborative initiative involving 35 leading companies from various sectors aims to establish a world-class offshore wind power industrial cluster in Liaoning [8][10]. - The Taiping Bay Innovation Cooperation Zone is being developed as a hub for offshore wind power, focusing on creating a complete industrial chain for green energy [10][11]. Group 4: Future Prospects - By 2025, Liaoning aims to achieve a clean energy generation capacity share of 55% and an output share of over 53%, marking significant progress in its energy transition [11][12]. - The development of offshore wind power is seen as a strategic pivot for Liaoning, potentially transforming its traditional manufacturing sector into a modern, intelligent, and green industry [13][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the transportation industry, indicating expectations for the industry to outperform the overall market [11]. Core Insights - The shipping sector is expected to see performance improvements driven by a shift in oil production policies and a tightening supply of older vessels, with demand for small container ships increasing due to regional industrial shifts [1][2]. - The shipbuilding market is anticipated to recover as demand is expected to rebound following the easing of trade tensions, with new orders and ship prices likely to rise [2]. - The aviation sector is experiencing steady growth in passenger traffic, with a narrowing decline in ticket prices, suggesting a recovery in airline revenues [2]. - The express delivery industry is facing a decline in growth rates, with increased competition in the mid-to-high-end e-commerce segment, but companies like SF Express are expected to maintain strong growth [2][3]. Shipping Sector Summary - The demand for oil tankers and bulk carriers is improving, with Q2 performance estimates showing significant increases for companies like COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [2]. - The small container ship market is experiencing rising charter rates and second-hand prices, with a tight supply situation expected to persist until at least 2030 [2]. Shipbuilding Sector Summary - The easing of the 301 tariffs is expected to release pent-up demand in the shipbuilding market, with new orders likely to increase as trade relations improve [2]. - The report highlights that China's shipbuilding industry is recovering from previous pressures, with new orders returning to a leading position [2]. Aviation Sector Summary - The aviation market is entering a peak season with stable growth in passenger numbers, and airlines are expected to benefit from improved cost structures due to lower fuel prices [2]. - Recommendations include major airlines such as China Southern Airlines and China Eastern Airlines, which are projected to return to profitability [3]. Express Delivery Sector Summary - The express delivery industry is seeing a decrease in growth rates, with competition intensifying in the e-commerce segment, particularly for mid-to-high-end services [2]. - Despite the overall slowdown, SF Express is expected to continue its high growth trajectory, driven by operational expansions and new service offerings [2]. Road and Rail Sector Summary - The report anticipates stable growth in highway traffic and toll revenues, with recommendations for companies like Zhejiang Expressway and Ninghu Expressway [2]. - Rail passenger traffic is also expected to grow, albeit at a slower pace, with recommendations for high-speed rail companies [2].

Core Viewpoint - The restructuring of China Shipbuilding Group's two major listed companies, China Shipbuilding Industry Co., Ltd. and China Shipbuilding Heavy Industry Co., Ltd., is entering a critical phase, aiming to create the world's largest and most comprehensive listed shipbuilding giant, injecting strong momentum into the high-quality development of China's shipbuilding industry [2][3]. Group 1: Restructuring Details - The merger involves a total asset exceeding 400 billion yuan, with the restructuring plan approved by relevant authorities [5][8]. - The share exchange ratio is set at 1:0.1339, meaning each share of China Heavy Industry can be exchanged for 0.1339 shares of China Shipbuilding [5]. - Following the merger, China Heavy Industry will be delisted, and all its assets, liabilities, and rights will be transferred to China Shipbuilding [5][10]. Group 2: Financial Performance - In 2024, China Shipbuilding achieved a revenue of 78.58 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.01%, and a net profit of 3.61 billion yuan, up 22.21% [12]. - China Heavy Industry reported a revenue of 55.44 billion yuan in 2024, an 18.70% increase, and a net profit of 1.31 billion yuan, recovering from a loss in the previous year [15]. - Both companies have seen significant growth in their order books, with China Shipbuilding holding 322 vessels worth 216.96 billion yuan and China Heavy Industry holding 216 vessels worth 303.10 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [12][15]. Group 3: Strategic Implications - The merger is a significant step in deepening state-owned enterprise reform, aiming to enhance operational quality and core competitiveness while reducing industry competition [8]. - The combined entity will focus on high-end, green, intelligent, and standardized development in shipbuilding, positioning itself as a world-class shipbuilding enterprise [8][16]. - The total assets of the surviving company will exceed 400 billion yuan, with annual revenue projected to surpass 130 billion yuan, solidifying its leadership in the global shipbuilding industry [16].